Assignment 3

Question No. 1:

a) A tourism management company offers 6 sightseeing tours on each of 3 days. In how many ways can a
tourist arrange to go on a sightseeing tour planned by this company?
b) If a courier guy has to deliver 9 parcels in the same area in a day, in how many possible ways can he deliver
them?
c) A drug for the relief of asthma can be purchased from 5 different manufacturers in liquid, tablet, or capsule
form, all of which come in regular and extra strength. How many different ways can a doctor prescribe the
drug for a patient suffering from asthma?

d) The presidents, vice presidents, and secretary-treasurers from each of four classes are eligible for an all-
school council. How many ways can four officers be chosen from these representatives? How many ways
can they be chosen if the president must be selected from the sitting presidents, the vice president from the
sitting vice presidents, the secretary from the sitting secretary-treasurers, and the treasurer from everybody
who’s left?

Question No. 2:

In a game of cards consisting of 5 cards (taken randomly from 52) find the probability of holding
a) 3 aces
b) 4 hearts and one club

Question No. 3:

If 3 books are picked at random from a shelf containing 5 novels, 3 books of poems and 2 dictionaries, then find
the probability of the following events
a) The dictionary is selected
b) 2 novels and 1 book of poems are selected.

Question No. 4:

The probability that a student passes mathematics is 2/3 and the probability that he passes English is 4/9. If the
probability of passing at least one course is 4/5 then what is the probability that he will pass both mathematics
and English?

Question No. 5:

Three cards are drawn in succession, without replacement, from an ordinary deck of 52 cards, Find the
probability that the first card is a red ace, the second card is a 10 or Jack and the third card is greater than 3 but
less than 7.
Question No. 6:

In a gambling game, craps, a pair of dice is rolled and the outcome of the experiment is the sum of the dice. The
player wins on the first roll if the sum is 7 or 11 and loses if the sum is 2, 3, or 12. If the sum is 4, 5, 6, 8, 9, or
10, that number is called the player's "point." Once the point is established, the rule is: If the player rolls a 7
before the point, the player loses; but if the point is rolled before a 7, the player wins. Compute the probability
of winning in the game of craps.

Question No. 7:

It is common in many industrial areas to use a filling machine to fill boxes full of product. This occurs in the
food industry as well as other areas in which the product is used in the home, for example, detergent. These
machines are not perfect, and indeed they may A, fill to specification, B, underfill, and C, overfill. Generally,
the practice of underfilling is that which one hopes to avoid. Let P(B) = 0.001 while P(A) = 0.990.
i. Give P(C).
ii. What is the probability that the machine does not underfill?
iii. What is the probability that the machine either overfills or underfills?

Question No. 8:

A survey in 2020 asked 100 peoples in 3 rounds if they thought women in the police forces should be permitted
to participate in combat. The results of the survey are shown.

Gender Yes No Total

Male 32 18 50
Female 8 42 50
Total 40 60 100
Find the following probabilities.
a) The respondent answered yes, given that the respondent was a female.
b) The respondent was a male, given that the respondent answered no.

Question No. 9:

A club of 9 people wants to choose a board of 3 officers: President, Vice-President and Secretary. Assuming
that the officers are chosen at random, what is the probability that the officers are Marsha for President, Sabita
for Vice-President and Robert for Secretary?

Question No. 10:

The credit department of Lion’s Department Store in Anaheim, California, reported that 30 percent of their sales
are cash or check, 30 percent are paid with a credit card and 40 percent with a debit card. Twenty percent of the
cash or check purchases, 90 percent of the credit card purchases, and 60 percent of the debit card purchases are
for more than $50. Ms. Tina Stevens just purchased a new dress that cost $120. What is the probability that she
paid cash or check?

Question No. 11:

One-fourth of the residents of the Burning Ridge Estates leave their garage doors open when they are away
from home. The local chief of police estimates that 5 percent of the garages with open doors will have
something stolen, but only 1 percent of those closed will have something stolen. If a garage is robbed, what is
the probability the doors were left open?
Question No. 12:

Flashner Marketing Research Inc. specializes in providing assessments of the prospects for women’s apparel
shops in shopping malls. Al Flashner, president, reports that he assesses the prospects as good, fair, or poor.
Records from previous assessments show that 60 percent of the time the prospects were rated as good, 30
percent of the time fair, and 10 percent of the time poor. Of those rated good, 80 percent made a profit the first
year; of those rated fair, 60 percent made a profit the first year; and of those rated poor, 20 percent made a profit
the first year. Connie’s Apparel was one of Flashner’s clients. Connie’s Apparel made a profit last year. What is
the probability that it was given an original rating of poor?

Question No. 13:

Horwege Electronics Inc. purchases TV picture tubes from four different suppliers. Tyson Wholesale supplies
20 percent of the tubes, Fuji Importers 30 percent, Kirkpatricks 25 percent, and Parts Inc. 25 percent. Tyson
Wholesale tends to have the best quality, as only 3 percent of its tubes arrive defective. Fuji Importers’ tubes are
4 percent defective, Kirkpatricks’ 7 percent, and Parts Inc. are 6.5 percent defective. a. What is the overall
percent defective? b. A defective picture tube was discovered in the latest shipment. What is the probability that
it came from Tyson Wholesale?

Question No 14:
A random sample of 200 adults are classified below by gender and their level of education attained.

Education Male Female

Elementary 38 45
Secondary 28 50
College 22 17

If a person is picked at random from this group, find the probability that
a. The person is a male, given that the person has a secondary education;
b. The person does not have a college degree, given that the person is a female.

Question No. 15:

Below is given the summary from the 112th Congress of Senators whose terms end in 2013, 2015, or 2017.

2013 2015 2017

Democrat 21 20 1
Republican 8 15 13

Choose one of these Senators at random and find

a. P(Democrat and term expires in 2015)
b. P(Republican or term expires in 2013)
c. P(Republican given term expires in 2017)
d. Are the events “Republican” and “term expires in 2015” independent? Explain.