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UNZA: Department of Mathematics and Statistics MAT1110: Foundation Mathematics and Statistics For Social Sciences Tutorial Sheet 6 (2020/2021)

1. This document contains a tutorial sheet with probability questions covering topics like finding the probability of outcomes of coin tosses, dice rolls, drawing cards or marbles from collections, and more. 2. The questions involve calculating probabilities of events occurring individually or jointly, determining independence of events, and applying Bayes' theorem to diagnostic testing scenarios. 3. Students are provided with formulas and given probability information to use in order to calculate the requested probabilities for each question.

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Hendrix Nail
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380 views3 pages

UNZA: Department of Mathematics and Statistics MAT1110: Foundation Mathematics and Statistics For Social Sciences Tutorial Sheet 6 (2020/2021)

1. This document contains a tutorial sheet with probability questions covering topics like finding the probability of outcomes of coin tosses, dice rolls, drawing cards or marbles from collections, and more. 2. The questions involve calculating probabilities of events occurring individually or jointly, determining independence of events, and applying Bayes' theorem to diagnostic testing scenarios. 3. Students are provided with formulas and given probability information to use in order to calculate the requested probabilities for each question.

Uploaded by

Hendrix Nail
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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UNZA: Department of Mathematics and Statistics

MAT1110: Foundation Mathematics and Statistics for Social Sciences


Tutorial Sheet 6 (2020/2021)

1. (a) i. Two coins are tossed, find the probability that a head and a tail are ob-
tained.
ii. A die is rolled, find the probability that an prime number is obtained.
iii. A die is rolled and a coin is tossed, find the probability that the die shows
an even number and the coin shows a tail.
(b) An ordinary die is thrown. Find the probability that the number obtained is
i. a multiple of 2.
ii. a factor of 6.
iii. less than 7.
(c) Two dice are rolled, find the probability that the sum of the two scores is
i. equal to 13
ii. equal to 4
iii. less than 10
iv. greater than 10
(d) i. A card is drawn at random from a deck of cards. Find the probability of
getting a diamond.
ii. A card is drawn at random from a deck of cards. Find the probability of
getting the 3 of diamond.
(e) A jar contains 4 red marbles, 6 green marbles and 10 white marbles. If a
marble is drawn from the jar at random, what is the probability that
i. this marble is green?
ii. this marble is not white?
2. (a) A die is rolled. What is the probability of getting
i. an odd number or even number?
ii. an even number or a number greater that 4.
(b) In a class of 20 students, 4 of the 9 boys and 3 of the 11 girls are in the
athletics team.
A person from the class is chosen to participate in the ” egg and spoon
race” on Sports Day. Find the probability that the person chosen is
i. in the athletics team.
ii. female.
iii. a female member of the athletics team.
iv. a female or in the athletics team.
3 2 1
(c) Events A and B are such that P(A) = 10 , P(B) = 5 and P(A ∩ B) = 10 . Find
i. P(A ∩ Bc ).
ii. P(Ac ∩ Bc ).
(d) A card is drawn at random from an ordinary pack of playing cards. Find
the probability that the card is
i. a club or a diamond.
ii. a club or a king.
3. (a) Events A and B are independent such that P(A) = 0.3, P(B) = 0.5. Find
i. P(A ∩ B)
ii. P(A ∪ B)
(b) Events A and B are such that P(A|B) = 0.4, P(B|A) = 0.25 and P(A ∩ B) =
0.12.
i. Calculate the value of P(B).
ii. Explain why A and B are not independent.
iii. Calculate the value of P(A ∩ Bc ).
4. For the purposes of allocating first year students to different MAT 1110 lecture
groups, a survey was randomly conducted on 600 students in the school of Hu-
manities and Social Sciences of the University of Zambia. The results showed
that:
60% took ECN 1115, 50% took BBA 1110, 45% took DEM 1110. In addition,
30% to ECN 1115 and BBA 1110, 28% took ECN 1115 and DEM 1110 and 25%
took BBA 1110 and DEM 1110.
6% of the students took non of the these three courses.
Find the probability that
(a) a student took none of the courses.
(b) a student took all the courses.
(c) a student took only one of the course.
5. (a) A die was thrown and the score was an odd number. What is the probability
that it was a prime number?
(b) In a certain University,
65% of the students are full-time students ,
55% of the students are female ,
35% of the students are male full-time students ,
Find the probability that
i. a student chosen at random from all the students in the University is a
part-time student.
ii. a student chosen at random from all the students in the University is a
female and a part-time student.
iii. a student chosen at random from all the female students in the University
is a part-time student.
(c) Events X and Y are such that P(X|Y ) = 25 , P(Y ) = 41 and P(X) = 51 . Find
i. P(Y |X)
ii. P(Y ∩ X)
iii. P(Y ∪ X)
6. A diagnostic test has a probability of 0.95 of giving a positive result when
applied to a person suffering from a certain disease, and a probability 0.10 of
giving a (false) positive when applied a non-sufferer. It is estimated that 0.5%
of the population are sufferers. Suppose that the test is now administered to
a person about whom we have no relevant information relating to the disease
(apart froom the fact that he/she comes from this population). Calculate the
following probability:
(a) that the test result will be positive;
(b) that, given a positive result, the person is a suffurer;
(c) that, given a negative result, the person is a non-sufferer;
(d) that the person will be misclassified.

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