Agency Problem in Financial Management - CFA Research Notes
Agency Problem in Financial Management - CFA Research Notes
Review
THE PRINCIPAL–AGENT
PROBLEM IN FINANCE
Sunit N. Shah
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Available online at www.cfapubs.org 9 781934 667729
Literature
Review
THE PRINCIPAL–AGENT
PROBLEM IN FINANCE
Sunit N. Shah
Statement of Purpose
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ISBN 978-1-934667-72-9
April 2014
Editorial Staff
Ellen Barber
Editor
Sunit N. Shah
Strategist
Pine River Capital Management
The relationship between a principal and the agent who acts on the princi-
pal’s behalf contains the potential for conflicts of interest. The principal–agent
problem arises when this relationship involves both misaligned incentives
and information asymmetry. In asset management, factors contributing
to the principal–agent problem include managers’ compensation structures
and investors’ tendency to focus on short-term performance. In the banking
industry, myriad principal–agent relationships and complex instruments
provide a fertile breeding ground for incentive conflicts, many of which were
highlighted by the recent financial crisis.
Introduction
Within economics, the study of incentives is a relatively new one. In fact,
Joseph Schumpeter’s (1954) thousand-plus-page authoritative survey, History
of Economic Analysis, contains not a single mention of the word “incentive”
(Laffont and Martimort 2002). The study of principal–agent relationships,
an even newer phenomenon, resides within this framework. The principal is
one who delegates a task to the agent, who performs the task on the principal’s
behalf. Everyday examples of this relationship include a homeowner using a
real estate agent to sell a house and a business owner hiring a manager to run a
store. Within this construct, whenever the two entities’ interests are misaligned
and monitoring is difficult, the agent could act in a way that does not reflect the
principal’s best interests. Such is the basis of the principal–agent problem.
Any system that includes such relationships is vulnerable to potential
principal–agent problems; the financial system is no exception. Individuals
in a variety of roles within this system, including investment managers, bro-
ker/dealers, rating agencies, and even the government, serve as agents in one
form or another. Within asset management, compensation structures in large
part drive managers’ interests, and if these contracts are not structured cor-
rectly, managers may have an incentive to act counter to the fiduciary duty they
have to their investors. Furthermore, investors’ tendency to focus on short-term
performance may indirectly provide managers with additional incentives that
exacerbate this problem. Similar incentive problems exist within the banking
industry, many of which were clearly illuminated by the 2008 financial crisis.
©2014 The CFA Institute Research Foundation 1
The Principal–Agent Problem in Finance
and Zeckhauser (1971) tackle a slightly different problem; they explore sev-
eral mathematical models of insurance contracts in which the insurer and the
insured have different utility functions, the insurer has various monitoring
abilities, and the insured has several choices of behavior available. Such anal-
yses bring to light a set of difficulties that can occur when parties to a contract
involving the exchange of risk alter their actions after the contract has been
struck.1 This area of investigation came to be known as “agency theory.”
These two lines of study share a common thread: Both examine how one
party to a contract must be wise to the possibility that the other party might
change his or her behavior post-agreement. Consequently, these two paths
merged over time. In this way, agency theory came to include the examina-
tion of post-contract behavior both in a cooperative framework with conflict-
ing incentives and in the context of risk sharing among groups (Eisenhardt
1989). This combination came to represent the latter half of contract theory
mentioned above and was eventually dubbed the “principal–agent model.” The
difficulty involved in structuring the optimal contract in the principal–agent
model when the principal has to worry that the agent might act in a way
that does not reflect the principal’s interests has come to be known as the
“principal–agent problem.”
In their examination of insurance contracts, Spence and Zeckhauser (1971)
find that, even with conflicting incentives, cases in which the insurer can moni-
tor the insured’s actions yield no issues because the insurer can simply structure
the contract to yield the appropriate payoffs for each action the insured might
take. Cases of incomplete monitoring, however, do create a problem:
[When] a signal . . . depends in part or completely on the insured individ-
ual’s action . . . [t]he insured will be induced to alter his natural maximiz-
ing action somewhat in order to influence this signal and thus increase his
payoff from the insurer. The insurer can be cognizant of this adverse incen-
tives problem, but he cannot overcome it. Given his limited information-
monitoring capability, his selection of the optimal insurance payoff function
is a second-best exercise. Neither complete risk spreading nor appropriate
incentives for individual action will be achieved. To find the optimal mix-
ture of these two competing objectives is a difficult problem, here as in the
real world. (p. 387)
This outcome highlights a key component of agency research. For the
principal–agent problem to be meaningful, two ingredients are needed: con-
flicting incentives and private information. Without the former, the principal
may simply leave the agent to his or her own devices; without the latter, the
principal need only structure the contract to cover each realization of the pri-
vate information ex post. Consequently, for a principal–agent relationship to
1
See Arrow (1971) for a thorough treatment of this topic.
exhibit the principal–agent problem, both characteristics must exist (Laffont and
Martimort 2002).
Although the above conclusion arose through an examination of risk
sharing within a group, it applies to agency research in general, including
contracting within a firm. Consider a store owner who aims to hire a manager
to run her store. On the one hand, if the owner and manager have the same
incentives—say, if the manager is the owner’s husband—then the owner may
simply engage the manager without fear that he might act in a way counter to
her interests. On the other hand, if the owner can perfectly monitor the man-
ager’s effort—say, through security cameras or network logs—she can simply
structure the contract to contain a large penalty in any situation involving a
lack of effort on the manager’s part. Only if the manager has both different
incentives from the owner and the ability to shirk his responsibilities unde-
tected might principal–agent problems arise.
Several works in the 1970s brought the study of the principal–agent rela-
tionship into sharper focus. Ross (1973) examines classes of utility functions
and payoff structures in which the solution to the principal’s problem leads to
Pareto efficiency, or outcomes in which no one party can be made better off
without making another party worse off. Jensen and Meckling (1976) explore
agency costs to both the principal and the agent and examine the impact of
such costs on a number of other variables, including the ownership structure
of the firm, the fair market value of the firm’s stock, and the firm’s use of debt
and equity. Harris and Raviv (1979) demonstrate the added value of monitoring
in principal–agent relationships and explore the benefits of imperfect, or noisy,
monitoring to the outcome of such arrangements. The study of principal–agent
relationships has endured to this day, with several recent works addressing simi-
lar issues. As one example among many, Miller (2008) examines potential solu-
tions to the principal–agent problem for various management patterns within
a firm and concludes that there is no single solution to such problems. Instead,
he constructs a contingency theory in which various conditions within the firm
call for different solutions to any principal–agent problems that appear.2
Principal–agent problems arise naturally in a variety of economic rela-
tionships and contexts. Mas-Colell, Whinston, and Green (1995) provide the
following list of examples in their exposition:
[•] insurance companies and insured individuals (the insurance company
cannot observe how much care is exercised by the insured),
[•] manufacturers and their distributors (the manufacturer may not be able
to observe the market conditions faced by the distributor),
2
For a thorough review of the agency literature, see Eisenhardt (1989). For more detail on
the principal–agent problem, see Mas-Colell, Whinston, and Green (1995) or Laffont and
Martimort (2002).
[•] a firm and its workforce (the firm may have more information than its
workers about the true state of demand for its products and therefore about
the value of the workers’ product), and
[•] banks and borrowers (the bank may have difficulty observing whether
the borrower uses the loaned funds for the purpose for which the loan was
granted). (p. 478)
The principal–agent problem itself contains two subcategories of conflict
based on the informational asymmetry involved. The first, known as adverse
selection, involves problems arising from hidden knowledge. The second,
known as moral hazard, involves problems arising from hidden action. For
example, an owner’s incomplete knowledge of the abilities of a manager she
considers hiring could cause an adverse selection problem, whereas the inabil-
ity of that same owner to observe how hard the manager works once hired
could produce a moral hazard problem (Mas-Colell et al. 1995).3
The Principal–Agent Problem in Finance. Any industry in which
some individuals act on behalf of others faces potential principal–agent prob-
lems, and the finance industry is no exception. On the contrary, that the
study of the principal–agent problem evolved as a merger of firm mechanics
with the exploration of risk sharing among groups demonstrates how suscep-
tible the financial system is to the consequences of this problem. Not only
do financial markets include a number of intertwined relationships in which
complete or perfect monitoring is difficult, but they also involve numerous
transactions in which risk shifts from one party to another through insurance
or insurance-like products. Therefore, those involved in financial markets
must be that much more wary of the potential problems inherent in agency
relationships. The extraordinary level of interconnectedness present in finan-
cial markets creates a fertile breeding ground for potential conflicts. Consider
the path of a mortgage through the financial system:
• The bank that makes the loan must attempt to ensure that the individual
borrowing the funds puts forth his or her best effort to guard against default.
• The packager that bundles this mortgage with others must ensure that it
receives all of the pertinent information it needs from its counterparties and
so must each of the relevant parties as the resulting mortgage-backed secu-
rities (MBS) are packaged, repackaged, tranched, and sold downstream.
3
Laffont and Martimort (2002) include a third category, non-verifiability, which exists when
the principal and the agent have the same knowledge ex post but this knowledge cannot be
verified by a third party, as in the case of a benevolent court of law attempting to make a
ruling in a case between the two. This category receives notably less coverage in the literature
than either of the two mentioned in the main text here.
• The buyers of the various resulting securities must also ensure that they
receive all relevant information as insurance in the form of credit default
swaps (CDS) is written against the resulting payments, as those CDS
are packaged into collateralized debt obligations (CDOs), and as those
CDOs are squared, cubed, and so on.
• The investment bank that packages the loans must ensure that its long-term
interests and those of its employees executing the transactions are aligned.
• The investor whose funds are used to purchase all or part of the resulting
securities must ensure that the asset manager who executes those pur-
chases does so to benefit the investment goals of the investor rather than
the manager’s own personal fee stream.
• The taxpayer must ensure, when there is an implicit guarantee by the gov-
ernment if a given firm fails, that that institution does not accumulate
excess risk as a result of participating in upside outcomes with taxpayer
insurance in the extreme downside.
Given the misaligned incentives involved and the difficulty of monitoring
one’s counterparty, ethical standards must be high to ensure that these actors’
monetary incentives do not override their fiduciary ones.
In June 2013, a former assistant director and counsel in the US SEC
enforcement division, then a partner at Labaton Sucharow, asked his law
firm to conduct a survey on Wall Street ethics. The firm surveyed 250
insiders in the financial services industry, including traders, portfolio man-
agers, investment bankers, hedge fund professionals, financial analysts, and
stock brokers.
The survey found a number of unsettling results: 23% of respondents said
they had observed wrongdoing in the workplace (Sorkin 2013), and 24% felt
some of their colleagues likely had engaged in misconduct to get ahead (Labaton
Sucharow 2013). These actors’ incentive structures were cited as contributors to
these outcomes: 26% of survey participants “believed the compensation plans or
bonus structures in place at their companies incentivize employees to compro-
mise ethical standards or violate the law” (Sorkin 2013, p. B1).
Furthermore, 17% stated that they believed company leaders would turn
a blind eye if they suspected a top earner was engaged in insider trading, and
15% doubted that leadership would report such crimes even if they knew of
them. It is not surprising, then, that 24% said they would “engage in insider
trading to make $10 million if they could get away with it” (Sorkin 2013,
p. B1). The fact that many of these results were disproportionately skewed
toward the younger members of these organizations paints a pretty grim pic-
ture of the future of leadership in the industry. In the survey administrator’s
own words:
6 ©2014 The CFA Institute Research Foundation
The Principal–Agent Problem in Finance
A particularly troubling and consistent finding from our survey is what the
future holds for Wall Street. Many of the young professionals who will one
day assume control of the trillions of dollars that the industry manages have
lost their moral compass, accepted corporate wrongdoing as a necessary evil
and fear reporting misconduct. This is a ticking economic time bomb that
responsible organizations must immediately defuse. (Labaton Sucharow
2013, p. 1)
Many of the respondents work at firms whose codes of ethics specifically
proscribe those behaviors. JPMorgan Chase’s code states, “Our integrity and
reputation depend on our ability to do the right thing, even when it’s not the easy
thing”; Goldman Sachs’s code states, “No financial incentive or opportunity—
regardless of the bottom line—justifies a departure from our values” (Sorkin
2013, p. B1). Wrongdoing in the financial services industry also runs counter to
the CFA Institute Code of Ethics and Standards of Professional Conduct, which
states, among other things, that members and candidates must do the following:
• Place the integrity of the investment profession and the interests of clients
above their own personal interests. . . .
• Practice and encourage others to practice in a professional and ethical
manner that will reflect credit on themselves and the profession.
• Promote the integrity of and uphold the rules governing capital markets.4
(p. 1)
Other surveys have yielded similar results. CFA Institute, in conjunction
with Edelman, conducted its own survey on trust in the industry. The study
found that only 53% of investors trust investment management firms to do
what is right. This figure varies by geographical region, dipping as low as 39%
in the United Kingdom. Similar figures hold for the financial services indus-
try, with only 52% of investors, including only 33% of those in the United
Kingdom, trusting its members (CFA Institute and Edelman 2013).
These results emerge despite the importance of trust to investors. In the
same survey, the attribute investors cited most often as the most important
when making an investment manager hiring decision was “Trusted to act
in my best interest,” a response given more than twice as often as “Ability
to achieve high returns.” The top three attributes that investors identified as
building that trust—“Has transparent and open business practices,” “Takes
responsible actions to address an issue or crisis,” and “Has ethical business
practices”—all relate to integrity rather than performance (CFA Institute
and Edelman 2013). They also directly reflect the problems inherent in the
principal–agent model: Investors want a greater ability to view and monitor
4
CFA Institute, “Code of Ethics and Standards of Professional Conduct” (1 July 2010):
http://www.cfapubs.org/toc/ccb/2010/2010/14.
their agents’ behavior, and they want to trust their agents to act responsibly in
scenarios in which they themselves cannot participate.
In truth, the majority of actors in this space are not to be vilified. As
Sorkin (2013) states, “There are clearly good people out there doing good
work. A large majority fall in that category” (p. B1). But when 28% of indus-
try insiders think “the financial services industry does not put the interests of
clients first” (Sorkin 2013, p. B1), that is 28% too many.
Roadmap. This literature review explores the academic research behind
the principal–agent problem in the finance industry today. The discussion
focuses on two categories within the financial system: (1) asset management
and (2) banking and related activities. It begins with an analysis of compen-
sation structures in asset management. The structure of asset management
contracts directly drives the incentives that govern how managers will invest
their clients’ money; if these incentives are not aligned with those of the inves-
tors, principal–agent problems may ensue. The discussion then moves to the
tendency of investors to focus on short-term performance, known as inves-
tor “short-termism.” This tendency on the part of investors creates short-term
incentives for managers and, consequently, may indirectly cause managers to
act in ways that do not reflect the long-term interests of those very investors.
The narrative then shifts to the banking industry, using the financial
crisis of 2008 as a backdrop. The banking industry contains many potential
principal–agent problems, including some entirely of its own, and the recent
experience provided by the crisis illuminates many of these issues within a
real-life framework. This section takes a detailed look at this important event
from recent history to demonstrate examples of these issues. It expands the
discussion on compensation structures to other entities, such as bank man-
agement, traders, and rating agencies. It also examines the role of the govern-
ment in both the crisis and its aftermath, as well as the principal–agent issues
that may have arisen as a result.
incentive fees provide a larger incentive on the upside to produce alpha but
also potentially provide an incentive to introduce more volatility and make
riskier investments. The optimal contract balances the trade-off between the
motivations in the equity-like compensation of the management fee and those
in the option-like compensation of the incentive fee.
■■ Optimal contract structure—static framework. Several papers on optimal
compensation structure model these contracts in a static, one-period frame-
work. Lambert and Larcker (2004) examine the incentive provided to an
agent serving as management. Holding the cost of the contract to the prin-
cipal constant, they compare the incentives provided by stock option plans of
various strike prices with those provided by compensation in restricted stock.
They find that restricted stock provides the least cost-effective method for
properly incentivizing the agent from the principal’s point of view. Restricted
stock incentivizes the agent better when incentives are low, such as when the
stock price has dropped significantly below its starting value, whereas stock
options incentivize the agent better when incentives are high, such as when
the options are close to being at the money.
Agarwal, Daniel, and Naik (2009) examine the same question in a fund
management context by extending the analysis of Goetzmann et al. (2003) one
step further. They recognize that the various investors in a fund enter that fund
at different times and with different initial investments. Consequently, they con-
sider the manager’s overall pay as a portfolio of call options, with each call option
on a portion of a given investor’s wealth in the fund struck at the high-water mark
that prevailed when that particular investor invested. The manager’s incentives
are then driven by the increase in the value of the portfolio of options given each
relevant high-water mark and the relative size of each investment.
Agarwal et al. (2009) calculate, for each option in the portfolio, its “delta,”
or the increase in that option’s value for a one percentage point increase in
the value of the underlying fund. Then, they calculate the delta for all of the
options across the portfolio. Combining this portfolio delta with the manag-
er’s incentive based on his or her coinvestment in the fund yields the manager’s
overall incentive to increase the value of the fund by another dollar, which
they term the manager’s “total delta.” This analysis is similar to the analysis
of executive compensation in other management contexts, which often uses
deltas from the portfolio of stocks and options held by CEOs to estimate their
incentives to drive value increases in their firms (Agarwal et al. 2009).
The authors find that the performance fee percentages themselves serve
as a poor representation of the manager’s incentive to increase the value of
the fund. Funds with the same incentive fee structure exhibit notably dif-
ferent total deltas as a consequence of differences in the return histories of
individual capital flows. Within their data, they find the correlation between
10 ©2014 The CFA Institute Research Foundation
The Principal–Agent Problem in Finance
total delta and the incentive fee to be only 0.17. Furthermore, they find that
total delta does explain future returns, even after incentive fees are controlled
for, whereas incentive fees do not explain future returns after total delta is
controlled for (Agarwal et al. 2009).
They also find that high-water marks and hurdle rates are positively related
to future returns, lending support to the use of these elements as a method
to align the managers’ incentives with those of the investors. Elements that
might suggest more managerial discretion, such as longer lockup, notice, and
redemption periods, are also positively related to investment returns. It is not
immediately clear, however, whether any of these correlations are causal in
nature. The authors also find that the manager’s coinvestment in a fund relates
positively to performance, which suggests further that the management fee
may be a valuable tool in aligning the incentives of the manager with those of
the investors (Agarwal et al. 2009).
■■ Optimal contract structure—dynamic framework. Lan, Wang, and Yang
(2013) examine a similar question in a different, purely theoretical, context.
They seek to determine the optimal amount of leverage a manager can employ
as a function of the parameters of the contract and the fund’s current position
relative to its high-water mark (HWM). They use the option framework from
Goetzmann et al. (2003) and Agarwal et al. (2009) but in a dynamic model
in which the manager seeks to maximize the discounted present value of his
or her fees over time. Within this setting, Lan et al. calculate the optimal
amount of leverage both from the manager’s point of view and from that of
the investors.
They examine the effect of the contract structure on the manager’s desired
leverage and compare this amount of leverage with what is optimal for the
investors. As the incentive fee increases, holding the total cost of the contract
constant, the equity-like position of the management fee gets replaced with a
call-option-like position in the fund’s assets, which changes the manager’s
incentives. When the AUM is very far from the HWM, the manager has a rela-
tively low incentive to increase the AUM an additional percentage point because
the increase in the value of the manager’s option would be small. As the AUM
approaches the HWM, the delta of the manager’s position increases. This effect
increases his or her incentive to grow the AUM an additional percentage point,
providing motivation to increase the leverage employed in the fund’s strategy.
Lan et al. find that the management fee perfectly aligns the managers’ incentives
with those of the investors. When there is no incentive fee, the manager employs
the amount of leverage that is also optimal for investors as a result of the equity-
like characteristics of the management fee structure (Lan et al. 2013).
The authors then take the analysis one step further, incorporating a liqui-
dation option in the case of a large drawdown, representing a loss of investor
©2014 The CFA Institute Research Foundation 11
The Principal–Agent Problem in Finance
confidence in the manager’s abilities and a resulting desire on the part of the
investors to cut their losses. This extension reflects the idea that a large enough
loss might trigger significant redemptions, resulting in a closing of the fund
and, therefore, a loss of all future management and incentive fee streams.
From the manager’s point of view, the liquidation is exogenously imposed
once the AUM reaches a predetermined percentage of the high-water mark.
This feature of the model essentially imposes a short put position on the man-
ager in addition to the long call position provided by the incentive fee. With
this liquidation option included, the authors rerun the analysis and examine
the results (Lan et al. 2013).
They find that as the AUM approaches the liquidation point, the dynam-
ics of this short put position cause the manager to reduce leverage rapidly,
often going so far as to employ a leverage ratio less than 1—or, in other words,
to invest part of the portfolio in the risk-free asset. This behavior, of course,
defeats the investors’ purpose in investing with the manager in the first place;
they have placed money with the manager to take advantage of the alpha
that manager generates, not to pay fees on a strategy that they could employ
themselves (Lan et al. 2013).
The results imply that in a framework in which the manager and the
investors have similar preferences for risk and the manager does not face a
significant risk of redemptions, a pure management fee structure is opti-
mal. The authors conclude, however, that the implications of the liquidation
option cast doubt on the prevailing wisdom that high-powered incentive
fees encourage excessive risk taking. They find that when facing the risk of
redemptions, managers may invest more conservatively than is optimal for
the investors. They state that this tendency could explain why investors often
require a lower bound on a fund’s leverage; otherwise, the manager might
choose too conservative a path in order to ensure survival and fee collection in
subsequent periods (Lan et al. 2013).
Lim, Sensoy, and Weisbach (2013) provide empirical support for this con-
clusion. They quantify the effect of increased performance on the future stream
of capital flows—and, consequently, the future stream of management and per-
formance fees—that a manager will receive. They find that for each dollar in
value a manager creates, 83 cents goes to the investors and 17 cents goes to the
manager, on average. The manager, however, receives an additional 58 cents in
expected future management and incentive fees, yielding a total of 75 cents in
additional income per dollar of value created. In other words, almost 80% of the
income generated from an additional dollar of investment value comes in the
form of fees on future capital flows. The authors find further that this number
is notably higher for nascent funds; brand-new funds receive 84 cents in future
income from each dollar of value created (Lim et al. 2013).
12 ©2014 The CFA Institute Research Foundation
The Principal–Agent Problem in Finance
They also find that the effect of value creation from increasing capital
inflows decreases monotonically and significantly over the life of a fund, with
most of the additional capital entering in the first two years. Specifically, they
find that a 10 percentage point increase in return corresponds to a 22% increase
in AUM over the next two years for an existing fund and to a 41% increase in
AUM over the next two years for a new fund. The diminishing effect is so
strong that a steady decrease can be seen even at the quarterly level. They also
find that funds that execute strategies they identify as capacity constrained
receive a lower future capital incentive than those they deem unconstrained,
along the lines of 64 cents versus 50 cents. This finding suggests that investors
understand that some strategies can scale well whereas others will have trouble
generating the same alpha at higher levels of assets under management.
Lim et al. (2013) also find, curiously, that the direct and indirect incen-
tives of the agent are positively correlated in their sample. In other words,
firms that charge higher fees and, therefore, receive higher current compensa-
tion for a dollar increase in value creation also receive higher future compen-
sation from the same dollar of value created. This result contradicts optimal
contracting theory, under which equilibrium is reached only when the total
incentive to each agent in the market remains constant across agents. This
finding likely reflects the fact that some characteristics of a fund, such as hav-
ing a well-known management team or an in-vogue strategy, allow the fund
to both charge higher fees and create more buzz if the fund outperforms oth-
ers. This explanation could also lend credence to the existence of the “illusion
of validity,” or the tendency for individuals to place too much weight on new
evidence that supports a previously held conclusion (Burton and Shah 2013).
Investors might react even more strongly to above-average returns in funds
they already believe have top-flight management, as is likely the case if the
fund has above-average fees and they are already invested in it.
These results imply that if managers are at all risk averse, they may err on
the side of taking on less risky investments for fear of the effect that greater
risk could have on their future capital flows. To counteract this tendency, the
optimal contract would need to involve an even higher level of incentive fees to
persuade the manager to adopt the level of risk that is optimal for the investor.
This effect would be even stronger for nascent funds, which endure even larger
capital flow effects from gains and losses in performance (Lim et al. 2013).
Alternative Investor Criteria. Although investors frequently use past
return history to evaluate money managers, they have other metrics that they
can use to measure potential agents. One common metric used is the Sharpe
ratio, the ratio of an investment’s expected return above a benchmark to the
standard deviation of this difference. Sharpe ratios are used in large part for
their simplicity, although much research has identified environments in which
©2014 The CFA Institute Research Foundation 13
The Principal–Agent Problem in Finance
the Sharpe ratio does not serve as a good measure of performance as well as
ways in which the Sharpe ratio can be manipulated by money managers.6
Goetzmann, Ingersoll, Spiegel, and Welch (2004) determine the optimal
investment strategy when both a market of securities and the entire continuum
of option contracts on these securities are available for investment and the man-
ager seeks to maximize the fund’s Sharpe ratio. They find that out of the universe
of possible investment choices, the optimal strategy is two short positions—one
an out-of-the-money call and the other an out-of-the-money put—that together
generate a positive immediate payment to the manager. This strategy truncates
the right tail of the return probability distribution and fattens the left tail while
returning a positive payoff today. In other words, with large probability, the fund
generates a modestly high return, and with small probability, the fund blows up
entirely. Such an approach is certainly not in the best interests of many inves-
tors, but if investors use the Sharpe ratio as an important measure of manager
talent, these results imply that managers have an incentive to use this strategy.
Furthermore, as suggested by Lim et al. (2013), among others, the incentive
to impress investors along the dimensions they feel are important is that much
stronger because of the future capital inflows that may be gained.
Investor Short-Termism
The results of Lim et al. (2013) imply that investors tend to base their invest-
ment decisions on short-term evaluation. Investors often tend to do so even
when such actions may not be in their own best interests. This behavior,
called investor “short-termism,” is broadly accepted in the literature as sim-
ply one aspect of human nature in investing. Alfred Rappaport has written
extensively on the subject in the context of corporate management, calling
short-termism “a disease” for which “earnings and tracking error are the car-
riers” (Rappaport 2005, p. 65). Such behavior has even caused the British
royal family to weigh in, with Prince Charles stating that the “current focus
on quarterly capitalism is unfit for purpose” (Smith and Foley 2013).
In June 2011, the UK Secretary of State for Business, Innovation, and
Skills asked John Kay to review UK equity markets and the impact of short-
termism within those markets on the long-term outlook for quoted compa-
nies. Kay found that short-termism is a problem and that “the principal causes
are the decline of trust and the misalignment of incentives throughout the
equity investment chain” (Kay 2012, p. 9). He calls short-termism “myopic
behavior” that reflects “the natural human tendency to make decisions in
search of immediate gratification at the expense of future returns: decisions
which we subsequently regret” (p. 14).
6
For additional examples of how managers can manipulate their investments’ Sharpe ratios,
see Lo (2002) and Getmansky, Lo, and Makarov (2004).
abandoned, but they are certainly out of the mainstream of investing today.
(Bogle and Sullivan 2009, p. 19)
To solve these problems, Bogle suggests imposing a tax on very short-term gains
to help curb speculative trading, as well as supplementing the fiduciary duty of
money managers with regulation enforced by powerful federal and state agencies.
The tendency of investors to focus on short-term results might force asset
managers to manage for the short term in response, which might cause them
to neglect the best interests of those very investors. In this circular fashion,
the actions of investors may indirectly provide managers with an incentive
structure that motivates them to act contrary to those investors’ long-term
interests. As Rappaport (2005) states:
The fascination of investment managers with quarterly earnings . . . is per-
fectly rational in a market dominated by agents responsible for other peo-
ple’s money but also looking out for their own interests. (p. 65)
The following discourse explores this issue in a variety of contexts—
corporate management, mutual funds, and hedge funds—concluding with a
discussion of the consequences of this dynamic.
Short-Termism and Corporate Management. The examination of
the effect of investor short-termism on corporate management largely begins
with two theoretical papers by Jeremy Stein in the late 1980s. Stein (1988)
posits a model of shareholder myopia that artificially depresses stock prices
during a temporary period of low earnings and precipitates takeovers at unfa-
vorable prices. Management reacts to the anticipated myopia of the firm’s
shareholders in a myopic fashion itself, selling off the long-term value of the
firm to boost its short-term outlook.
Stein (1989) follows up that theory with a broader model of many firms
in a competitive environment in which managers can reduce future earnings
to increase current earnings at a discount and the market must decide how to
evaluate each firm’s stated earnings. This research concludes that a scenario in
which management teams do not artificially inflate earnings and the market
takes earnings announcements at face value could not persist, because each
manager would then have an incentive to start inflating earnings. The only
potential equilibrium involves managers selling the firm’s long-term value to
inflate current earnings, with the market rationally anticipating such behavior.
That result bears repeating: Even though the market rationally anticipates the
earnings inflation, managers are still better off managing earnings. This is a
prisoner’s dilemma–like situation in which the cooperative equilibrium—when
no manager massages earnings and the market expects as much—is best for all
parties but such an outcome is untenable, because each manager has a distinct
incentive to defect. Consequently, each manager mortgaging the firm’s future,
16 ©2014 The CFA Institute Research Foundation
The Principal–Agent Problem in Finance
with the market rationally anticipating this behavior, is the only possible equi-
librium, even if the future sell-off occurs at a large discount to today’s dollars.
The academic literature abounds with examinations of investor short-
termism and its effect on corporate management. Some studies explicitly find
that management acts for the short term as a result. By using conference call
transcripts, Brochet, Loumioti, and Serafeim (2013) verify the relationship
between short-term investor biases and short-term management decisions.
The vast majority of the research in this area, however, takes as a given that
management focuses on short-term horizons, rather than explicitly verifying
this relationship. The consensus in the literature is that investor sentiment
drives management to act this way, both for the sake of the firm’s stock price
and for the sake of their own jobs.8
Decades later, investor short-termism still garners much academic atten-
tion. Alfred Rappaport, who has written extensively on the topic, provides
an example. Rappaport (2005) states that he understands the appeal of using
earnings to perform discounted cash flow analyses. But earnings have limited
informational power for two reasons—one, companies have considerable lati-
tude in managing earnings, and two, earnings in one year represent a small
fraction of a company’s overall lifetime discounted cash flow story. Rappaport
concludes that investors place too much emphasis on earnings and goes on
to state that management’s obsession with short-term metrics compromises
shareholder value. As potential solutions for these concerns, he suggests dif-
ferent compensation schemes for management, including deferred compen-
sation based on performance relative to peers, as well as new performance
reporting that separates current cash flows from forward-looking accruals
with certainty levels attached to future flows (Rappaport 2005).9
Short-Termism and Mutual Funds. As professional money manage-
ment grew in scope, academic focus on investor short-termism expanded to
the mutual fund industry. Ippolito’s (1992) examination of this industry is the
most noted work in this area. He finds that investors react significantly to the
most recent period of performance but that older information has no effect on
fund allocation. Furthermore, he disaggregates these flows into inflows and
outflows and finds the reactions to be asymmetrical: Winning funds receive a
larger increase in capital inflows than losing funds suffer in withdrawals.
Sirri and Tufano (1998) also find an asymmetry in mutual fund investor
reaction to performance, stating that “fund consumers chase returns, flock-
ing to funds with the highest recent returns, though failing to flee from
8
See Shleifer and Vishny (1990), Bebchuk and Stole (1993), Bolton, Scheinkman, and Xiong
(2006), and Bushee (1998) for additional examples. For a general survey on the topic, see
Laverty (1996).
9
See Rappaport (2011) for a broader discussion on the topic.
poor performers” (p. 1590). They find a similar asymmetry with respect
to fees; investors respond to fee decreases by injecting capital, whereas fee
increases cause little capital outflow. They also find that investor sensitiv-
ity to performance increases with a fund’s fees. In summary, investors tend
to inject money when the prospects of a fund improve, either with higher
performance or lower fees, but are not quick to withdraw money when pros-
pects diminish.
This behavior can be explained by a combination of several known psycho-
logical effects. When looking to place new money, an investor likely focuses on
recent performance as a result of saliency or representativeness. Once money
is placed, however, the status quo effect causes a need to feel compelled before
actually making a change (Burton and Shah 2013). Consequently, investors
react strongly to recent results when placing money but are slow to move those
funds in the face of underperformance once those funds have been placed.
Chevalier and Ellison (1997) find similar results and dissect the data even
further. They find a strong relationship between the most recent two-year returns
and capital flows in the mutual fund market. Disaggregating flows into invest-
ment and divestment, they also find that minor to moderate negative perfor-
mance relative to the market, defined as underperformance of 0 to 15 percentage
points (pps), causes little change in capitalization, whereas underperformance of
more than 15 pps causes outflows to increase dramatically. For outperformance
of 0 to 15 pps, inflows increase moderately but steadily, whereas outperformance
of more than 15 pps creates massive inflows for the fund.
From these results, Chevalier and Ellison then estimate the manager
incentive to change risk profiles in the later months of a year given the outlook
of potential inflows and outflows. Their empirical work implies, for example,
that young funds that have either underperformed the market by more than
12% or outperformed it by between 0% and 10% by September have a disin-
centive to increase risk 50%, whereas those that have underperformed by less
than 12% or outperformed by more than 10% are incentivized to increase
risk. The results for older funds are directionally similar but more muted in
magnitude (Chevalier and Ellison 1997).
The authors then examine whether fund managers alter the risk profiles
of their portfolios as a result of the differences in inflows and outflows they
expect to face. They find that, at a 1% significance level, funds alter their posi-
tions in response to the incentive to add or reduce risk implied by expected
capital inflows or outflows. Put differently, they find that managers choose
their investments at least in part based on their own incentives to maximize
capital under management and, consequently, their long-term stream of fees,
rather than following their fiduciary duty to manage the assets solely based on
what is best for their investors (Chevalier and Ellison 1997).
18 ©2014 The CFA Institute Research Foundation
The Principal–Agent Problem in Finance
1998 to 2000 as the tech bubble was building; during this period, Berkshire
lost 44% of its market value while the stock market gained 32%. But these
drawdowns did not bring about the demise of Berkshire Hathaway, although
similar losses have undone other large funds in the past.
Frazzini et al. (2013) attribute this outcome not only to Buffett’s stel-
lar ability as an investor but also to Berkshire’s unique corporate structure.
According to the authors:
We find that both public and private companies contribute to Buffett’s per-
formance, but the portfolio of public stocks performed better, suggesting
that Buffett’s skill is mostly in stock selection. Why then does Buffett rely
heavily on private companies as well, including insurance and reinsurance
businesses? One reason might be that this structure provides a steady source
of financing, allowing him to leverage his stock selection ability. Indeed, we
find that 36% of Buffett’s liabilities consist of insurance float with an aver-
age cost below the T-Bill rate. (p. 4)
They liken collecting insurance premiums up front and later paying out claims
to taking out and repaying a loan, and they find Berkshire’s cost of capital in
this context to be more than three percentage points lower than the average
T-bill rate (Frazzini et al. 2013).
This permanent base of capital allows Berkshire Hathaway to avoid the
whims of investor sentiment, immunizing it from the vicious cycle of redemp-
tions that has forced other large funds to unwind quickly. Since Berkshire’s
inception, several other hedge funds have followed its lead. Many have launched
reinsurance companies, including Moore Capital in 1999 (Mider 2013);
Greenlight in 2004 (Davidoff 2012); and SAC, Third Point, and Paulson—
all after 2010 (Mider 2013). Others have launched other publicly traded
vehicles, such as the two publicly traded REITs created by Pine River Capital
Management—Two Harbors, which began in 2009, and Silver Bay, which had
its IPO in 2012 (St. Anthony 2013).
bank employees, both those executing the trades to purchase securities and
those managing the traders, often faced conflicts between the incentives cre-
ated by their compensation contracts and their duty to the shareholders of
their companies. The government certainly faced tension between its duty
to represent taxpayer interests and its stance of not interfering with private
industry. And the bailouts themselves forged a new principal–agent relation-
ship between bank managers and the taxpayers whose money was used to sta-
bilize their institutions. The myriad interconnected relationships among the
various parties involved, combined with the density of relevant information
in each transaction, provided a fertile breeding ground for principal–agent
issues. Furthermore, the amount of money involved amplified each individu-
al’s incentives significantly, making them that much more difficult to ignore.
The following discussion reviews the literature on these relationship pairs and
the principal–agent problems that existed within them.
Bank Employees as Agents for Shareholders. The classic
principal–agent relationship, that of worker or manager as agent for the firm
owner, played its part in the events of the financial crisis. Many have attrib-
uted much of the responsibility for the crisis to bank employees, stating that
compensation contracts structured incentives in such a way as to misalign
them with those of shareholders and promote actions that did not forward
the best interests of the banks themselves. Being closest to the decisions that
accumulated risk on bank balance sheets, bank traders have been chastised
for sacrificing long-term firm value to line their own pockets. Management,
meanwhile, has received similar blame for its oversight—or lack thereof.
■■ Traders as agents for shareholders. The crisis literature is nearly unani-
mous on the existence of principal–agent problems in the relationship between
bank traders and the shareholders of the banks they represented. Crotty’s
(2009) scathing piece sets the tone for the discussion. According to Crotty,
traders received incentive compensation based on profits created in a given year,
regardless of the risk these trades created for the banks in future years. Crotty
cites as evidence AIG’s Financial Products division, which lost $40.5 billion in
2008 but whose employees received a total of $220 million in bonuses for that
year, which averages to more than $500,000 per employee. Under this incen-
tive scheme, Crotty concludes, taking excessive risk during a bubble actually
represents rational behavior, even if the individual trader knows his or her
actions are likely to contribute to a crash in the intermediate future.
Kirkpatrick (2009) also posits a misalignment between trader compensa-
tion and firm incentives. He states that traders, especially senior ones, gener-
ally have unlimited upside to their bonuses, whereas the downside is floored
at zero, with any losses borne by the bank and its shareholders. He makes two
suggestions to cure this defect. The first is to defer bonus compensation subject
22 ©2014 The CFA Institute Research Foundation
The Principal–Agent Problem in Finance
adds that when this approach was tried two decades ago in an initiative that
he was a part of, it failed miserably. Instead, he blames boards of directors,
stating that these bodies are supposed to represent the interests of the share-
holders but instead often reflect those of management. According to Blinder:
The unhappy (but common) combination of coziness and drowsiness in cor-
porate boardrooms must end. As one concrete manifestation, boards should
abolish go-for-broke incentives and change compensation practices to align
the interests of shareholders and employees better. . . . The problems are
many and complex, and the government’s to-do list is not only long but also
a political minefield. Yet fixing compensation incentives does not require
any government action. It can be done by financial companies, tomorrow.
Too bad they didn’t do it yesterday. (p. A15)
■■ Management as agent for shareholders. Although the literature pres-
ents near unanimity on the principal–agent problems caused by the incentive
structures of bank traders, the verdict on management incentive structures
is much more mixed. Soon after the crisis, several opinion pieces came out
stating emphatically and unequivocally that compensation structures for bank
CEOs caused them to act counter to the banks’ interests. John Bogle, in his
interview with Financial Analysts Journal editor Rodney Sullivan (Bogle and
Sullivan 2009), states that the asymmetry inherent in management’s joining
in the firm’s upside during good times without forfeiting those proceeds when
downside risks are realized cannot continue to go unacknowledged as a major
issue. He calls for government regulation as the cure.
Crotty (2009) again provides a scathing viewpoint, citing such statistics
as those regarding Merrill Lynch’s chief executives, who were paid $240
million in performance-based compensation from 1997 to 2008 despite the
fact that Merrill’s losses in 2007 and 2008 wiped out all previous earnings
reported by the firm over that time frame. Crotty’s discussion of the com-
plexity of the relevant securities further implies that mark-to-model practices
afforded management an additional layer of private information that it could
use to further its own interests at the expense of shareholders.
As time passed, however, researchers performed in-depth empirical
analysis, and the results became more mixed. Kirkpatrick (2009) examines
the remuneration policies of banks to determine whether management had
incentives to take excessive risk. He finds that some bank CEOs received
most of their compensation in the form of stock or options, whereas others
received mainly short-term compensation. As of 2006, European banks paid
24% of CEO compensation in fixed salary, 36% in cash bonuses, and 40% in
long-term incentives. In contrast, a study of six US banks found that salary
made up only 4% to 6% of top executive compensation, with stock compen-
sation reaching very high levels. Kirkpatrick cites an example of one bank
24 ©2014 The CFA Institute Research Foundation
The Principal–Agent Problem in Finance
much of their wealth during it, in line with the fate of the shareholders they
represented. The authors conclude that these findings are inconsistent with
the view that CEOs led banks to take on excessive risk as a result of their own
incentives and in spite of those of shareholders.
Bailouts. The advent of the government bailout programs created a
separate, yet less classically obvious, principal–agent relationship. When the
Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) was signed into law, the government
agreed to use taxpayer dollars to prop up financial institutions to avoid the
systemic risks that would result from their collapse. As steward of the taxpay-
ers’ funds, the government implicitly took on the responsibility of using those
assets judiciously. As such, it bore the burden of funding only those institu-
tions with the greatest systemic importance so as to maximize the trade-off
between spending taxpayer dollars and reducing the negative externalities
that might be borne by the public if the financial system were to collapse.
The structure of the bailout programs itself created a second, related
principal–agent relationship. Because some banks had flexibility about whether
to apply for aid, any misalignment between the banks’ interests and those of the
taxpayers could result in a misuse of those bailout funds. Furthermore, to the
extent that it had been assumed that the government would bail out systemi-
cally important institutions if large risks turned against them, the banks were
implicitly acting as agents of the taxpayer while making those risky decisions
all along.
■■ Lessons from the Japanese crisis. Some research has shown striking similar-
ities between the Japanese banking crisis of the late 1990s and the financial col-
lapse of 2008. Iwatsubo (2007) examines the behavior in the 1990s of Japanese
banks, which shifted lending from other sectors to real estate even in the face of
declining land prices. He cites moral hazard as the explanation, describing the
problem as “gambling for resurrection” (p. 167). Essentially, poorly capitalized
banks used the backstop of the deposit insurance system as a reason to choose a
riskier asset portfolio in an effort to become competitive again.
Iwatsubo then takes this analysis one step further, showing empiri-
cally that the decision to increase or decrease risk in response to a decline
in capital depends on the initial franchise value of the bank. High-valued
banks decrease risk to avoid falling into insolvency, whereas low-valued banks
increase risk to try to become competitive in the marketplace again. The put
option inherent in the deposit insurance system again serves as a backstop
against this increased risk (Iwatsubo 2007).
Furthermore, Iwatsubo (2007) creates a theoretical model reflecting the
banks’ incentives and analyzes how capital adequacy requirements and capital
injections by government affect the banks’ incentives to assume risk. He finds
that a prospective future capital requirement incentivizes banks to assume more
26 ©2014 The CFA Institute Research Foundation
The Principal–Agent Problem in Finance
risk today as a result of the expectation of increased future capital costs, whereas
a prospective future capital injection program has the opposite effect because of
the expectation of reduced future capital costs. He also finds that, empirically,
as banks approached the capital adequacy requirement in the 1990s, they sim-
ply issued more subordinated debt to ease the capital restriction and bet harder
on real estate to try to become competitive again. The additional subordinated
debt issuance eased the capital crunch, but the increased leverage on the real
estate bets simply increased the problem of nonperforming loans.
Other research has directly compared the US financial crisis with that
of Japan a decade earlier. Hoshi and Kashyap (2010) develop a framework to
evaluate the US government’s role post-crisis, using the role of the Japanese
government in the Japanese banking crisis of the 1990s and the resulting
outcome for comparison. They find a number of similarities between the
two crises and identify eight lessons that the US government should have
learned from Japan’s experience. Many of these lessons involve the potential
principal–agent problem inherent in allowing banks free choice over whether
or not to receive assistance. With this autonomy, the banks essentially act as
agents for the taxpayers, deciding whether or not to accept funds to stem a
systemic collapse and avoid the resulting negative externalities that taxpayers
might face (Hoshi and Kashyap 2010).
The authors posit that a potentially failing bank may have a stronger
incentive to refuse assistance than the taxpayers would like, for two reasons.
First, accepting assistance serves as a negative signal indicating the bank’s
inability to receive additional funding in private markets. Second, exchanging
new securities that sit above common equity in the capital structure creates
a debt overhang problem for the existing shareholders. These two factors do
not affect the taxpayers’ willingness to aid the banks but do enter into a given
bank’s decision making. The lesson as stated here involves incorporating the
possibility that banks will reject assistance from the aid programs in such a
way that banks’ incentives to accept or reject assistance are aligned with those
of the taxpayers (Hoshi and Kashyap 2010).
They find further that the Japanese government program did not ade-
quately tie assistance to credible inspection programs. They posit that this
omission was intended to remove the potential negative signal associated
with accepting aid, but ironically, the banks hesitated to accept aid anyway.
Consequently, the 1998 program was too small. A similar program the fol-
lowing year did involve inspections, and the authors provide evidence that
this program was more successful in inducing lending by the recipient banks
than the predecessor program was. Regulators, however, did not force banks
to clean up their nonperforming loans, and this omission resulted in subopti-
mal outcomes (Hoshi and Kashyap 2010).
©2014 The CFA Institute Research Foundation 27
The Principal–Agent Problem in Finance
which government assumes the risk but does not take a strong regulatory or
ownership role, cannot persist (Bogle and Sullivan 2009).
Poole (2009) posits an interesting market-based solution. He recommends
regulation that would require every bank above a size threshold to maintain
10% of its liabilities as 10-year uncollateralized notes that are subordinated
to all other debt obligations, so the bank would have to refinance one-tenth
of this debt every year. If a particular bank could not refinance this debt in a
given year, it would have to shrink its balance sheet by 10%. This restructur-
ing would be managed by the bank itself rather than the government, miti-
gating potential principal–agent problems. Moreover, in the event of another
bailout, this layer of the capital structure would provide an additional cushion
before taxpayers suffered losses.
Rating Agencies as Agents for the Market. Another principal–agent
problem examined in the crisis literature involves the rating agencies as agents
for the market. As independent arbiters, these agencies are tasked with rat-
ing various financial instruments as accurately and objectively as possible.
As Crotty (2009) argues, however, these parties receive fee revenue for each
instrument rated and face no recourse if the securities or loans do not perform
later. Therefore, the rating agencies’ incentive was simply to maximize deal
flow rather than optimize the quality of their output. According to Crotty,
competition among the rating agencies exacerbated this problem because
banks merely shopped around for the highest rating provider.
Kirkpatrick (2009) also analyzes the rating agencies’ role in the financial
crisis. He cites the concentration of banks that represent the rating agencies’
customer base as creating a potential conflict of interest in which the agen-
cies must appease their customers to get repeat business. Furthermore, he
addresses the fact that agencies engage in discussions with banks about how
to structure an instrument to get the desired rating, likening this scenario to
an auditor auditing his or her own work; the agencies are rating a security
that they themselves helped to design.
Kotecha, Ryan, and Weinberger (2010) make a similar argument—that
market forces place downward pressure on ratings accuracy as a result of the
“ratings shopping” behavior cited by Crotty (2009). They examine the ratings
environment closely and conclude that simply increasing ratings transparency,
as previous governmental acts have attempted to do, cannot fix the problem:
The underlying compensation model must also be changed. They propose a
new structure in which rating costs are deducted from issuance proceeds and
yearly interest payments cover annual reevaluation of the ratings.
Other Principal–Agent Relationships. Crotty (2009) extends his argu-
ment involving fee income to other parties in the crisis, including the mortgage
©2014 The CFA Institute Research Foundation 31
The Principal–Agent Problem in Finance
brokers who sold the loans, the investment bankers who packaged them, and
the banks that serviced them. Crotty argues that all of these parties were incen-
tivized to maximize flow rather than quality. He also addresses the obscurity
involved in the CDO market, stating that this obscurity gives the banks selling
these securities another layer of private information in deals with counterparties.
Because the banks’ objective is to maximize flow, they have an incentive to not
provide counterparties with the entire truth in these transactions.
As Timiraos and Zibel (2013) point out, government regulation has
attempted to address this issue by forcing banks to keep 5% of these securities
on their balance sheets so that they have some “skin in the game,” but individ-
uals on both the bank side and the consumer advocate side oppose such rules.
Both groups agree that the new rules would be much more complex than the
old ones and would, therefore, raise costs both for lenders and for consumers.
Conclusion
As the study of market entities within economics grew ever more granular,
academic focus shifted from industries to firms and then to individual par-
ties within firms. Consequently, the issue of competing incentives within
cooperative arrangements came to the fore. Simultaneously, economists began
studying the behavior of individuals before and after entering into risk-sharing
agreements. Eventually, these two paths merged into the study of agency the-
ory, from which the concept of the principal–agent problem was born.
The principal is one who delegates work to another, known as the agent,
who performs the task on the principal’s behalf. When the agent has an ethi-
cal obligation to act in a way that reflects the principal’s incentives but the
agent’s own incentives lie on an orthogonal path, the agent is faced with a
conflict between an ethical imperative and his or her personal interests. It
is not difficult to see how the financial system could provide a fertile breed-
ing ground for principal–agent issues, given its interconnected nature and the
risk-sharing features of the products often sold within it.
Organizations such as CFA Institute have developed codes of ethics to
guide professionals in finance and to set expectations for ethical behavior in
such situations. Reflection upon such behavior and how successful the indus-
try as a whole has been in achieving its ethical goals has rarely been more
important than it is at the current time. Financial products and relationships
have become so complex and interwoven that discerning ethical actions from
irresponsible behavior is increasingly difficult, as demonstrated by the recent
financial crisis, which threatened to bring down the entire financial system.
Investors as well as the general public have noticed, as several recent surveys
have shown, that trust both of and within the financial markets has reached
frighteningly low levels.
32 ©2014 The CFA Institute Research Foundation
The Principal–Agent Problem in Finance
This review has aimed to summarize the existing literature on topics ger-
mane to the principal–agent problem. It split the discussion into two parts,
focusing first on investment management and then shifting to the banking
industry. It began with a broad view of compensation schemes for asset man-
agers in the contexts of hedge funds and mutual funds. These compensation
structures directly provide managers with incentives that, if misaligned with
those of the investors, can lead to conflicts with those managers’ fiduciary
duty. These contracts often have a management component that provides rev-
enue in the form of a percentage of assets under management, as well as an
incentive fee equivalent to a share of the upside return. The latter component
has often been blamed for incentivizing managers to take on too much risk as
a result of its embedded call optionality. Research that examines this issue in
a static, or one-period, context has concluded as such. But work that exam-
ines this question in a dynamic context has sometimes found that incentive
fees actually cause managers to take on too little risk. From the manager’s
point of view, the downside risk of losing money and thereby not growing the
fund over time—or, worse, facing redemptions—often outweighs the upside
risk of additional incentive proceeds because of the immense stream of future
management fees on existing and additional capital that is at stake.
The discourse then moved to investor “short-termism,” or the tendency
for investors to focus on short-term performance rather than on the long-term
outlook that represents their best interests. Investor short-termism has been
well documented in its effect on corporate governance, where short-term
thinking by stockholders causes management to sacrifice the long-term
interests of the company for small short-term gains. This same phenome-
non has been observed in the much newer field of asset management. Such
behavior by investors indirectly provides managers with an incentive to man-
age for the short term, thereby misaligning the managers’ incentives with
those of the very investors whose assets they are managing. The theoretical
research suggests that the effect of such behavior can profoundly hamper
managers’ ability to achieve optimal risk and return targets for their inves-
tors. Consequently, many asset managers have sought out sources of capital
with longer lock-up periods, thus launching publicly traded entities to pro-
vide more stable capital bases and avoid the misaligned incentives that inves-
tor short-termism can create.
Finally, the discussion shifted to the banking industry, focusing on
the myriad principal–agent relationships that catalyzed the financial crisis
of 2008. Research on the compensation structures of senior executives at
banks is mixed, whereas most research on the incentives of the traders
and others more directly involved in the decision making points to these
incentives as reasons for the increased risk on bank balance sheets. The
©2014 The CFA Institute Research Foundation 33
The Principal–Agent Problem in Finance
role of the government in the crisis was also examined, with several key
financial figures weighing in on changes the government must make to
the current market environment to prevent such problems from recurring.
The literature also offers considerable criticism of the compensation meth-
ods for the rating agencies, claiming that their pay schemes incentivize
them to sacrifice accuracy for speed and to shade their ratings up to ben-
efit their clients.
The problems, as outlined in this work, are well known, but the ques-
tion that remains is who will act to solve them in the future. On their own,
members of the financial profession are realizing that it is not enough to just
avoid conflicts or manage their own conflicts responsibly. A more sustainable
financial system requires a more trustworthy reputation, not just for individu-
als but for the industry. Where there has at times been a leadership void, the
financial crisis has prompted CFA Institute and other organizations to take a
more active role to (1) better align interests so that the economic purpose of
finance can be realized and (2) speak out to discourage poor business prac-
tices. By finding ways to cultivate a more ethical culture in the finance indus-
try, we can together shape a better future of finance.
I would like to thank CFA Institute for the opportunity to write this literature review
and the members of its staff, including Rodney Sullivan, CFA, Larry Siegel, and Barbara
Petitt, CFA, for their hard work in helping get this document to completion. I am also
grateful to Vaishali Shah, Bruce MacDonald, Adam Oestreich, Colin Teichholtz, and
Maxim Engers for all of their thoughtful comments and suggestions. All remaining errors
are my own.
Bibliography
Agarwal, Vikas, Naveen Daniel, and Narayan Naik. 2004. “Flows, Performance,
and Managerial Incentives in Hedge Funds.” EFA 2003 Annual Conference Paper
No. 501 (July):1–44 (http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=424369).
“This paper investigates the determinants of money-flows, nature of
managerial incentives, behavior of investors, and drivers of perfor-
mance in the hedge fund industry. It examines performance-flow
relation and finds that funds with good recent performance, greater
managerial incentives, and lower impediments to capital withdrawals
experience higher money-flows. It also analyzes how current money-
flows relate to future performance and finds that larger funds with
greater inflows are associated with poorer future performance, a result
consistent with decreasing returns to scale. It also finds that funds
with greater managerial incentives are associated with superior future
performance, justifying investors’ preference for funds with higher
managerial incentives.” (Abstract)
Agarwal, Vikas, Naveen Daniel, and Narayan Naik. 2009. “Role of Managerial
Incentives and Discretion in Hedge Fund Performance.” Journal of Finance, vol. 64,
no. 5 (October):2221–2256.
“Using a comprehensive hedge fund database, we examine the role
of managerial incentives and discretion in hedge fund performance.
Hedge funds with greater managerial incentives, proxied by the delta
of the option-like incentive fee contracts, higher levels of manage-
rial ownership, and the inclusion of high-water mark provisions in
the incentive contracts, are associated with superior performance.
The incentive fee percentage rate by itself does not explain perfor-
mance. We also find that funds with a higher degree of managerial
discretion, proxied by longer lockup, notice, and redemption peri-
ods, deliver superior performance. These results are robust to using
alternative performance measures and controlling for different data-
related biases.” (p. 2221)
Agnew, Harriet. 2012. “Investor Short-Termism Is the Bane of Hedge Funds.”
Financial News (1 October): http://www.efinancialnews.com/story/2012-10-01/
investor-short-termism-bane-of-hedge-funds.
Agnew examines the ways investor short-termism has changed as a
result of the financial crisis as well as the effect it has had on hedge
funds. She discusses the current investor mandate and provides her
opinion on its tendency to depress fund returns.
©2014 The CFA Institute Research Foundation 35
The Principal–Agent Problem in Finance
Bibliography
Crotty, James. 2009. “Structural Causes of the Global Financial Crisis: A Critical
Assessment of the ‘New Financial Architecture.’” Cambridge Journal of Economics,
vol. 33, no. 4 (July):563–580.
“We are in the midst of the worst financial crisis since the Great
Depression. This crisis is the latest phase of the evolution of finan-
cial markets under the radical financial deregulation process that
began in the late 1970s. This evolution has taken the form of cycles
in which deregulation accompanied by rapid financial innovation
stimulates powerful financial booms that end in crises. Governments
respond to crises with bailouts that allow new expansions to begin.
As a result, financial markets have become ever larger and financial
crises have become more threatening to society, which forces govern-
ments to enact ever larger bailouts. This process culminated in the
current global financial crisis, which is so deeply rooted that even
unprecedented interventions by affected governments have, thus far,
failed to contain it. In this paper we analyse the structural flaws in the
financial system that helped bring on the current crisis and discuss
prospects for financial reform.” (p. 563)
Davidoff, Steven M. 2012. “With Lax Regulation, a Risky Industry Flourishes
Offshore.” New York Times Dealbook (4 September): http://dealbook.nytimes.
com/2012/09/04/with-lax-regulation-a-risky-industry-flourishes-offshore/.
Davidoff examines the entrance of hedge funds into the reinsurance
business. He posits that funds are entering the business in response to
the fickle desires of investors, who often pull their capital out of funds
quickly after poor results. These vehicles provide permanent capital
for hedge funds to invest.
De Long, J. Bradford, Andrei Shleifer, Lawrence H. Summers, and Robert J.
Waldmann. 1990. “Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets.” Journal of Political
Economy, vol. 98, no. 4 (August):703–738.
“We present a simple overlapping generations model of an asset mar-
ket in which irrational noise traders with erroneous stochastic beliefs
both affect prices and earn higher expected returns. The unpredict-
ability of noise traders’ beliefs creates a risk in the price of the asset
that deters rational arbitrageurs from aggressively betting against
them. As a result, prices can diverge significantly from fundamental
values even in the absence of fundamental risk. Moreover, bearing a
disproportionate amount of risk that they themselves create enables
noise traders to earn a higher expected return than rational inves-
tors do. The model sheds light on a number of financial anomalies,
including the excess volatility of asset prices, the mean reversion of
stock returns, the underpricing of closed-end mutual funds, and the
Mehra-Prescott equity premium puzzle.” (p. 703)
40 ©2014 The CFA Institute Research Foundation
The Principal–Agent Problem in Finance
Bibliography
Goetzmann, William N., Jonathan Ingersoll, Matthew Spiegel, and Ivo Welch.
2004. “Sharpening Sharpe Ratios.” Yale School of Management Working Paper
(November):1–44 (http://viking.som.yale.edu/will/hedge/Sharpe.PDF).
“It is now well known that the Sharpe ratio and other related
reward-to-risk measures may be manipulated with option-like strat-
egies. This paper derives the general conditions for achieving the
maximum expected Sharpe ratio. Also derived are static rules for
achieving the maximum Sharpe ratio with two or more options, as
well as a continuum of derivative contracts. The optimal strategy has
a truncated right tail and fat left tail. Additionally, the paper provides
dynamic rules for increasing the Sharpe ratio.
“In order to address the sensitivity of the Sharpe ratio to information-
less, option-like strategies, the paper proposes an alternative measure
that is less susceptible to such manipulations. The case for using this
alternative ranking metric is particularly compelling in the hedge
fund industry where the use of derivatives is unconstrained and man-
ager compensation itself induces a non-linear payoff.” (Abstract)
Harris, Milton, and Artur Raviv. 1979. “Optimal Incentive Contracts with Imperfect
Information.” Journal of Economic Theory, vol. 20, no. 2 (April):231–259.
“It is well known that in situations involving uncertainty, the exis-
tence of a complete set of contingent claims is sufficient to assure a
Pareto-efficient allocation of resources. . . . The purpose of this paper
is to develop a theory of contracts in situations characterized by a
divergence of incentives between the two parties and asymmetric
information (i.e., moral hazard) with special emphasis on how the
possibilities for acquiring information affect the structure of the con-
tract. In particular, we seek to explain the widespread use in areas
such as employment and insurance of contracts in which the result
of an imperfect (noisy) monitoring process is used to determine the
schedule according to which one agent is compensated by another.”
(p. 231)
Hoshi, Takeo. and Anil K. Kashyap. 2010. “Will the U.S. Bank Recapitalization
Succeed? Eight Lessons from Japan.” Journal of Financial Economics, vol. 97, no. 3
(September):398–417.
“During the financial crisis that started in 2007, the U.S. govern-
ment has used a variety of tools to try to rehabilitate the U.S. banking
industry. Many of those strategies were also used in Japan to combat
its banking problems in the 1990s. There are also a surprising number
of other similarities between the current U.S. crisis and the recent
Japanese crisis. The Japanese policies were only partially successful in
recapitalizing the banks until the economy finally started to recover
in 2003. From these unsuccessful attempts, we derive eight lessons.
©2014 The CFA Institute Research Foundation 43
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Bibliography
In light of these eight lessons, we assess the policies the U.S. has pur-
sued. The U.S. has ignored three of the lessons and it is too early to
evaluate the U.S. policies with respect to four of the others. So far, the
U.S. has avoided Japan’s problem of having impaired banks prop up
zombie firms.” (p. 398)
Ippolito, Richard A. 1992. “Consumer Reaction to Measures of Poor Quality:
Evidence from the Mutual Fund Industry.” Journal of Law & Economics, vol. 35, no.
1 (April):45–70.
“Unless quality is apparent at the point of sale, the market must find
ways to ensure the delivery of high-quality products; otherwise, pro-
ducers have incentives to sell low-quality goods at high-quality prices,
thereby assuring a degenerate equilibrium. . . . Despite its prominence
in the theoretical literature, direct evidence of consumer response to
less-than-promised quality is rarely measured. This market seem-
ingly is ripe for a degenerate equilibrium. There is much noise in
performance data across mutual funds and over time, requiring many
periods to judge the ability of an investment manager with statistical
confidence. . . . I explore the hypothesis that vigilance among mutual
fund investors plays an important role in generating an efficient equi-
librium in this market. I show that, as long as poor-quality funds
exist, an investment algorithm that allocates monies to the latest best
performer is rational investor behavior (taking into account transac-
tion costs). This investment algorithm conveys an externality to the
market by denying poor-quality funds the opportunity to capture an
important market share. I examine empirically whether investors fol-
low these investment rules. I find strong evidence that investors react
to new information about product quality in the mutual fund indus-
try, that they react disproportionately where the expected payoffs are
higher, and that returns within mutual funds are serially correlated.”
(pp. 45–47)
Iwatsubo, Kentaro. 2007. “Bank Capital Shocks and Portfolio Risk: Evidence from
Japan.” Japan and the World Economy, vol. 19, no. 2 (March):166–186.
“Despite the downward trend of land prices and the ex post low
return on real estate loans, Japanese banks increased their lending to
the real estate sector during the 1990s. We argue that this phenom-
enon can be explained by the risk-shifting incentives of banks and
discover that banks with low capital-to-asset ratios and low franchise
value chose high-risk assets such as real estate loans. Unlike previ-
ous studies, we show that the capital–risk relationship is non-linear
and changes from positive to negative as franchise value falls. We also
find that a capital adequacy requirement did not prevent risk-taking
behavior of under-capitalized banks since they then just issued more
subordinated debts to meet this requirement. In contrast, government
44 ©2014 The CFA Institute Research Foundation
The Principal–Agent Problem in Finance
Bibliography
to the strategy and risk appetite of the company and its longer term
interests. The article also suggests that the importance of qualified
board oversight and robust risk management is not limited to finan-
cial institutions. The remuneration of boards and senior management
also remains a highly controversial issue in many OECD countries.
The current turmoil suggests a need for the OECD to re-examine the
adequacy of its corporate governance principles in these key areas.”
(p. 1)
Kotecha, Mahesh, Sharon Ryan, and Roy Weinberger. 2010. “The Future of
Structured Finance Ratings after the Financial Crisis.” Journal of Structured Finance,
vol. 15, no. 4 (Winter):67–74.
“The authors believe that the rating agency reforms underway in
Europe and the United States, as well as at the agencies themselves,
are steps in the right direction but do not go far enough to ensure
accuracy and timeliness of ratings. Most importantly, they fail to
address the conflict-ridden rating agency compensation system. The
authors believe that credibility of ratings cannot be restored until
rating agencies are paid not by the sell side or the buy side, but by
both the buy side and the sell side, via a transaction charge on new
issues and secondary market trades. Their proposal is to pay for ratings
via an industry fund such as has been operated for over two decades
by the U.S. Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board (MSRB), albeit
on a smaller scale and for a more limited purpose, for the benefit
of the municipal securities markets. Carefully structured, such a
compensation system would give rating agencies more appropriate
incentives to produce more accurate and timely ratings that can
hold up through both up and down markets.” (Summary: http://
www.iijournals.com/doi/abs/10.3905/JSF.2010.15.4.067#sthash.
iLpdBp3N.dpbs)
Labaton Sucharow. 2013. “Wall Street in Crisis: A Perfect Storm Looming.” U.S.
Financial Services Industry Survey (July): http://www.secwhistlebloweradvocate.com/.
The law firm of Labaton Sucharow conducted a survey on the state of
ethics on Wall Street and found some alarming and troubling results.
Laffont, Jean-Jacques, and David Martimort. 2002. The Theory of Incentives: The
Principal-Agent Model. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
“This book focuses on the principal-agent model, the ‘simple’ situa-
tion where a principal, or company, delegates a task to a single agent
through a contract—the essence of management and contract theory.
How does the owner or manager of a firm align the objectives of its
various members to maximize profits? Following a brief historical
overview showing how the problem of incentives has come to the fore
in the past two centuries, the authors devote the bulk of their work
46 ©2014 The CFA Institute Research Foundation
The Principal–Agent Problem in Finance
Bibliography
to invest in the long run. I argue that the debate has suffered from
a limited focus; to address this problem, I present a framework that
addresses organizational and individual as well as economic per-
spectives. I offer a review of concepts, analysis, and evidence, and I
suggest a cross-discipline, multilevel research agenda for advancing
understanding of this vital topic.” (p. 825)
Lim, Jongha, Berk A. Sensoy, and Michael S. Weisbach. 2013. “Indirect Incentives
of Hedge Fund Managers.” NBER Working Paper No. 18903 (March):1–45.
“Indirect incentives exist in the money management industry when
good current performance increases future inflows of new capital,
leading to higher future fees. We quantify the magnitude of indi-
rect performance incentives for hedge fund managers. Flows respond
quickly and strongly to performance; lagged performance has a
monotonically decreasing impact on flows as lags increase up to two
years. Conservative estimates indicate that indirect incentives for the
average fund are four times as large as direct incentives from incentive
fees and returns to managers’ own investment in the fund. For new
funds, indirect incentives are seven times as large as direct incentives.
Combining direct and indirect incentives, for each dollar generated
for their investors in a given year, managers receive close to another
dollar in direct performance fees plus the present value of future fees
over the expected life of the fund. Older and capacity constrained
funds have considerably weaker relations between future flows and
performance, leading to weaker indirect incentives. There is no evi-
dence that direct contractual incentives are stronger when market-
based indirect incentives are weaker.” (Abstract)
Lo, Andrew W. 2002. “The Statistics of Sharpe Ratios.” Financial Analysts Journal,
vol. 58, no. 4 (July/August):36–52.
“The building blocks of the Sharpe ratio—expected returns and
volatilities—are unknown quantities that must be estimated statis-
tically and are, therefore, subject to estimation error. This raises the
natural question: How accurately are Sharpe ratios measured? To
address this question, I derive explicit expressions for the statistical
distribution of the Sharpe ratio using standard asymptotic theory
under several sets of assumptions for the return-generating process—
independently and identically distributed returns, stationary returns,
and with time aggregation. I show that monthly Sharpe ratios can-
not be annualized by multiplying by √12 except under very special
circumstances, and I derive the correct method of conversion in the
general case of stationary returns. In an illustrative empirical example
of mutual funds and hedge funds, I find that the annual Sharpe ratio
for a hedge fund can be overstated by as much as 65 percent because
of the presence of serial correlation in monthly returns, and once this
48 ©2014 The CFA Institute Research Foundation
The Principal–Agent Problem in Finance
Bibliography
the fallout from the global market crisis and how to end the moral
hazard arising from government bailouts.” (Abstract)
Rappaport, Alfred. 2005. “The Economics of Short-Term Performance Obsession.”
Financial Analysts Journal, vol. 61, no. 3 (May/June):65–79.
“In theory, discounted cash flows (DCFs) set prices in
well-functioning capital markets. In practice, investment managers
attach substantial weight in stock selection to short-term perfor-
mance, particularly earnings and tracking error. Corporate executives
blame this behavior for their own obsession with short-term earnings.
Are stock prices likely to allocate financial resources efficiently when
short-term earnings dominate investment decisions? Can investment
managers who identify stocks as mispriced on a DCF basis earn
excess returns? This article explains why maximizing long-term cash
flow is the most effective way to create value for shareholders and
charts a course for alleviating the obsession with short-term perfor-
mance.” (Abstract)
Rappaport, Alfred. 2011. Saving Capitalism from Short-Termism: How to Build
Long-Term Value and Take Back Our Financial Future. New York: McGraw-Hill.
“[Rappaport] delivers a clarion call for conquering this addiction to
short-term profit and getting on the path to building long-term value.
His solution to short-termism is simple but profound: Business leaders
must align the interests of corporate and investment managers with
those of their shareholders and beneficiaries. Part 1 of the book exam-
ines short‐termism in publicly traded companies and the investment
management community. Part 2 presents an action plan for raising
profit horizons by aligning the interests of corporate and investment
managers with those of their shareholders and beneficiaries.” (Press
Release Summary)
Ross, Stephen A. 1973. “The Economic Theory of Agency: The Principal’s Problem.”
American Economic Review, vol. 63, no. 2 (May):134–139.
Ross explores the principal–agent problem and defines classes of utility
functions and payoff structures that give rise to Pareto-optimal outcomes.
Schumpeter, Joseph. 1954. History of Economic Analysis. New York: Oxford University
Press.
“At the time of his death in 1950, Joseph Schumpeter—one of the
great economists of the first half of the 20th century—was working
on his monumental History of Economic Analysis. A complete history
of efforts to understand the subject of economics from ancient Greece
to the present, this book is an important contribution to the history
of ideas as well as to economics. Although never fully completed,
it has gained recognition as a modern classic due to its broad scope
©2014 The CFA Institute Research Foundation 51
The Principal–Agent Problem in Finance
Bibliography
Smith, Alison, and Stephen Foley. 2013. “Criticism of Short-Term Investing Grows
after Woodford Departure.” Financial Times (18 October): http://www.ft.com/cms/
s/0/34a2abba-37e7-11e3-8668-00144feab7de.html#axzz2qtdHBQFB.
Smith and Foley springboard from Neil Woodford’s decision to leave
Invesco Perpetual to a general discussion of investor short-termism in
UK markets.
Sorkin, Andrew Ross. 2013. “On Wall Street, a Culture of Greed Won’t Let Go.”
New York Times (16 July):B1.
Sorkin discusses a survey produced by Labaton Sucharow on the state
of ethics on Wall Street. The survey’s results show that employees at
banks do not believe that their colleagues act ethically and often do
not believe that they themselves act ethically either.
Spence, Michael, and Richard Zeckhauser. 1971. “Insurance, Information, and
Individual Action.” American Economic Review, vol. 61, no. 2 (May):380–387.
“This paper looks at some intricacies and difficulties that arise in the
real world operation of contingent claims markets. Insurance con-
tracts, the most readily observable and perhaps most important exam-
ple of contingent claims markets in action, provide the focus for our
discussion.” (p. 380)
The authors find that in cases in which the insurer can monitor the
insured, no adverse incentive problem occurs. When monitoring is
impossible or incomplete, however, appropriate incentives for action
by the insured will not be achieved.
St. Anthony, Neal. 2013. “St. Anthony: Pine River Takes on Housing Bust as
Investor and Landlord.” Star Tribune (26 May): http://www.startribune.com/
business/208912211.html.
St. Anthony discusses Pine River’s publicly traded firms: Two
Harbors, a real estate investment trust, and Silver Bay, which spe-
cializes in buying distressed property. He goes through the evolution
of these firms and discusses why Pine River thought they were good
investments to make given current market conditions.
Stein, Jeremy. 1988. “Takeover Threats and Managerial Myopia.” Journal of Political
Economy, vol. 96, no. 1 (February):61–80.
“This paper examines the familiar argument that takeover pressure can
be damaging because it leads managers to sacrifice long-term inter-
ests in order to boost current profits. If stockholders are imperfectly
informed, temporarily low earnings may cause the stock to become
undervalued, increasing the likelihood of a takeover at an unfavorable
price; hence the managerial concern with current bottom line. The
magnitude of the problem depends on a variety of factors, including
©2014 The CFA Institute Research Foundation 53
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THE PRINCIPAL–AGENT
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