Snohomish County Tomorrow - PAC Recommended 2044 Initial Targets

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Recommended by the SCT Planning Advisory Committee on October 14, 2021

APPENDIX B, Table 1 - 2044 Initial Population Growth Targets for Cities, UGAs and the Rural/Resource Area

2020-2044 Population Growth


2020 2044
Census Population Pct of Total
Area Population Targets Amount County Growth

Non-S.W. County UGA 187,883 260,836 72,953 23.7%


Arlington UGA 20,418 35,506 15,088 4.9%
Arlington City 19,868 34,649 14,781 4.8%
Unincorporated 550 857 307 0.1%
Darrington UGA 1,564 1,983 419 0.1%
Darrington Town 1,462 1,770 308 0.1%
Unincorporated 102 213 111 0.0%
Gold Bar UGA 3,211 3,496 285 0.1%
Gold Bar City 2,403 2,650 247 0.1%
Unincorporated 808 846 38 0.0%
Granite Falls UGA 4,597 6,885 2,288 0.7%
Granite Falls City 4,450 6,551 2,101 0.7%
Unincorporated 147 334 187 0.1%
Index UGA (incorporated) 155 173 18 0.0%
Lake Stevens UGA 41,023 50,952 9,929 3.2%
Lake Stevens City 38,951 48,565 9,614 3.1%
Unincorporated 2,072 2,387 315 0.1%
Maltby UGA (unincorporated) 164 590 426 0.1%
Marysville UGA 70,911 100,020 29,109 9.4%
Marysville City 70,714 99,822 29,108 9.4%
Unincorporated 197 198 1 0.0%
Monroe UGA 21,266 26,276 5,010 1.6%
Monroe City 19,699 24,302 4,603 1.5%
Unincorporated 1,567 1,974 407 0.1%
Snohomish UGA 11,526 14,683 3,157 1.0%
Snohomish City 10,126 12,878 2,752 0.9%
Unincorporated 1,400 1,805 405 0.1%
Stanwood UGA 7,847 11,395 3,548 1.2%
Stanwood City 7,705 10,963 3,258 1.1%
Unincorporated 142 432 290 0.1%
Sultan UGA 5,201 8,876 3,675 1.2%
Sultan City 5,146 8,672 3,526 1.1%
Unincorporated 55 204 149 0.0%

S.W. County UGA 505,947 731,284 225,337 73.1%


Incorporated S.W. 282,883 423,950 141,067 45.7%
Bothell City (part) 19,205 32,355 13,150 4.3%
Brier City 6,560 7,100 540 0.2%
Edmonds City 42,853 55,966 13,113 4.3%
Everett City 110,629 179,176 68,547 22.2%
Lynnwood City 38,568 63,735 25,167 8.2%
Mill Creek City 20,926 24,813 3,887 1.3%
Mountlake Terrace City 21,286 34,710 13,424 4.4%
Mukilteo City 21,538 24,616 3,078 1.0%
Woodway Town 1,318 1,480 162 0.1%
Unincorporated S.W. 223,064 307,334 84,270 27.3%

UGA Total 693,830 992,120 298,290 96.7%


City Total 463,562 674,946 211,384 68.6%
Unincorporated UGA Total 230,268 317,174 86,906 28.2%

Non-UGA Total 134,127 144,190 10,063 3.3%


(Uninc Rural/Resource Area)
County Total 827,957 1,136,309 308,352 100.0%
NOTES: All estimates and targets above are based on August 26, 2021 city boundaries.
Recommended by the SCT Planning Advisory Committee on October 14, 2021

APPENDIX B, Table 2 - 2044 Initial Population Growth Targets for Cities and Unincorporated MUGAs within
the SW County UGA

2020-2044 Population Growth


2020 2044
Census Population Pct of Total
Area Population Targets Amount County Growth

SW County UGA Total 505,947 731,284 225,337 73.1%


Incorporated SW County UGA Total 282,883 423,950 141,067 45.7%
Unincorporated SW County UGA Total 223,064 307,334 84,270 27.3%
Bothell Area 53,504 77,581 24,077 7.8%
Bothell City (part) 19,205 32,355 13,150 4.3%
Unincorporated MUGA 34,299 45,226 10,927 3.5%
Brier Area 8,388 9,078 690 0.2%
Brier City 6,560 7,100 540 0.2%
Unincorporated MUGA 1,828 1,978 150 0.0%
Edmonds Area 46,860 60,881 14,021 4.5%
Edmonds City 42,853 55,966 13,113 4.3%
Unincorporated MUGA 4,007 4,915 908 0.3%
Everett Area 158,319 244,002 85,683 27.8%
Everett City 110,629 179,176 68,547 22.2%
Unincorporated MUGA 47,690 64,826 17,136 5.6%
Lynnwood Area 74,220 119,170 44,950 14.6%
Lynnwood City 38,568 63,735 25,167 8.2%
Unincorporated MUGA 35,652 55,435 19,783 6.4%
Mill Creek Area 72,975 90,238 17,263 5.6%
Mill Creek City 20,926 24,813 3,887 1.3%
Unincorporated MUGA 52,049 65,426 13,377 4.3%
Mountlake Terrace Area 21,309 34,740 13,431 4.4%
Mountlake Terrace City 21,286 34,710 13,424 4.4%
Unincorporated MUGA 23 30 7 0.0%
Mukilteo Area 37,122 48,378 11,256 3.7%
Mukilteo City 21,538 24,616 3,078 1.0%
Unincorporated MUGA 15,584 23,762 8,178 2.7%
Woodway Area 1,318 1,751 433 0.1%
Woodway Town 1,318 1,480 162 0.1%
Unincorporated MUGA - 271 271 0.1%
Paine Field Area (Unincorporated) 50 50 - 0.0%
Larch Way Overlap (Unincorporated) 4,999 10,539 5,540 1.8%
Lake Stickney Gap (Unincorporated) 11,042 14,842 3,800 1.2%
Silver Firs Gap (Unincorporated) 15,841 20,034 4,193 1.4%

County Total 827,957 1,136,309 308,352 100.0%


NOTE: All estimates and targets above are based on August 26, 2021 city boundaries; MUGA = Municipal Urban Growth Area.
Recommended by the SCT Planning Advisory Committee on October 14, 2021

APPENDIX B, Table 5 - 2044 Initial Employment Growth Targets for Cities, UGAs and the Rural/Resource
Area

2019-2044 Employment Growth


2019 2044
Employment Employment Pct of Total
Area Estimates Targets Amount County Growth
Non-S.W. County UGA 58,827 104,955 46,128 26.8%
Arlington UGA 10,289 24,751 14,462 8.4%
Arlington City 10,267 24,690 14,423 8.4%
Unincorporated 22 61 39 0.0%
Darrington UGA 522 1,091 569 0.3%
Darrington Town 522 1,015 493 0.3%
Unincorporated - 76 76 0.0%
Gold Bar UGA 257 862 605 0.4%
Gold Bar City 250 841 591 0.3%
Unincorporated 7 21 14 0.0%
Granite Falls UGA 971 2,128 1,157 0.7%
Granite Falls City 971 2,126 1,155 0.7%
Unincorporated - 3 3 0.0%
Index UGA (incorporated) 27 30 3 0.0%
Lake Stevens UGA 5,732 9,017 3,285 1.9%
Lake Stevens City 5,675 8,894 3,219 1.9%
Unincorporated 57 122 65 0.0%
Maltby UGA (unincorporated) 3,623 4,629
Marysville UGA 15,974 33,683 17,709 10.3%
Marysville City 15,310 32,926 17,616 10.3%
Unincorporated 664 757 93 0.1%
Monroe UGA 10,260 12,660 2,400 1.4%
Monroe City 10,096 12,420 2,324 1.4%
Unincorporated 164 241 77 0.0%
Snohomish UGA 6,110 7,971 1,861 1.1%
Snohomish City 5,842 7,666 1,824 1.1%
Unincorporated 268 305 37 0.0%
Stanwood UGA 4,057 5,799 1,742 1.0%
Stanwood City 3,865 5,073 1,208 0.7%
Unincorporated 192 726 534 0.3%
Sultan UGA 1,005 2,335 1,330 0.8%
Sultan City 1,005 2,334 1,329 0.8%
Unincorporated - 1 1 0.0%

S.W. County UGA 219,102 340,365 121,263 70.6%


Incorporated S.W. 184,813 291,764 106,951 62.2%
Bothell City (part) 16,100 24,805 8,705 5.1%
Brier City 495 609 114 0.1%
Edmonds City 14,174 17,232 3,058 1.8%
Everett City 99,817 167,157 67,340 39.2%
Lynnwood City 28,628 50,540 21,912 12.8%
Mill Creek City 6,787 7,523 736 0.4%
Mountlake Terrace City 8,431 11,148 2,717 1.6%
Mukilteo City 10,313 12,671 2,358 1.4%
Woodway Town 68 80 12 0.0%
Unincorporated S.W. 34,289 48,601 14,312 8.3%

UGA Total 277,929 445,320 167,391 97.4%


City Total 238,643 389,778 151,135 88.0%
Unincorporated UGA Total 39,286 55,542 16,256 9.5%

Non-UGA Total * 17,887 22,314 4,427 2.6%


(Uninc Rural/Resource Area)
County Total 295,816 467,634 171,818 100.0%
NOTES: All estimates and targets above are based on August 26, 2021 city boundaries.
Employment includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers and self-employed persons, excluding jobs within
the resource (agriculture, forestry, fishing and mining) and construction sectors.
Recommended by the SCT Planning Advisory Committee on October 14, 2021

APPENDIX B, Table 6 - 2044 Initial Employment Growth Targets for Cities and Unincorporated MUGAs within
the SW County UGA

2019-2044 Employment Growth


2019 2044
Employment Employment Pct of Total
Area Estimates Targets Amount County Growth

SW County UGA Total 219,102 340,365 121,263 70.6%


Incorporated SW County UGA Total 184,813 291,764 106,951 62.2%
Unincorporated SW County UGA Total 34,289 48,601 14,312 8.3%
Bothell Area 18,314 27,561 9,247 5.4%
Bothell City (part) 16,100 24,805 8,705 5.1%
Unincorporated MUGA 2,214 2,756 542 0.3%
Brier Area 619 814 195 0.1%
Brier City 495 609 114 0.1%
Unincorporated MUGA 124 205 81 0.0%
Edmonds Area 14,421 17,585 3,164 1.8%
Edmonds City 14,174 17,232 3,058 1.8%
Unincorporated MUGA 247 353 106 0.1%
Everett Area 106,229 175,473 69,244 40.3%
Everett City 99,817 167,157 67,340 39.2%
Unincorporated MUGA 6,412 8,317 1,905 1.1%
Lynnwood Area 33,695 58,548 24,853 14.5%
Lynnwood City 28,628 50,540 21,912 12.8%
Unincorporated MUGA 5,067 8,009 2,942 1.7%
Mill Creek Area 12,567 14,903 2,336 1.4%
Mill Creek City 6,787 7,523 736 0.4%
Unincorporated MUGA 5,780 7,379 1,599 0.9%
Mountlake Terrace Area 8,431 11,149 2,718 1.6%
Mountlake Terrace City 8,431 11,148 2,717 1.6%
Unincorporated MUGA - 0 0 0.0%
Mukilteo Area 14,006 19,252 5,246 3.1%
Mukilteo City 10,313 12,671 2,358 1.4%
Unincorporated MUGA 3,693 6,581 2,888 1.7%
Woodway Area 68 112 44 0.0%
Woodway Town 68 80 12 0.0%
Unincorporated MUGA - 32 32 0.0%
Paine Field Area (Unincorporated) 6,371 7,955 1,584 0.9%
Larch Way Overlap (Unincorporated) 1,636 2,127 491 0.3%
Lake Stickney Gap (Unincorporated) 911 1,618 707 0.4%
Silver Firs Gap (Unincorporated) 1,834 3,268 1,434 0.8%

County Total 295,816 467,634 171,818 100.0%


NOTES: All estimates and targets above are based on August 26, 2021 city boundaries; MUGA = Municipal Urban Growth Area.
Employment includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers and self-employed persons, excluding jobs within
the resource (agriculture, forestry, fishing and mining) and construction sectors.

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