Hera Oktadiana Indonesia Tourism Outlook WTD

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Tourism in 2021 and beyond: Where are we heading?

Hera Oktadiana, Ph.D, CHE


Adjunct Associate Professor
James Cook University Australia
Trisakti School of Tourism Indonesia
Tourism, crisis, and pandemics
• Various crisis has impacted global tourism in the past
and caused major disruption. For example:
• September 11, 2001 terrorist attack
• SARS 2003 outbreak
• Global economic crises 2008/2009
• Swine flu 2009
• MERS outbreak 2012, 2015
• Ebola, peaked in 2013-2014
• Zika virus infection outbreak, 2015

• Yet nothing like Covid-19 pandemic


• Led to a longer-term decline in international arrivals and
the global tourism development

Gössling, Scott, & Hall (2020); WHO (n.d.)


Tourism and the Covid-19 pandemic

Tourism is back to 1990 levels

International arrivals falls A loss of USD935 billion in Asia and Pacific tourism
by 72% or 900 million revenues from international decreases by 82% in
less tourists than 2019 tourism (more than 10 times the international arrivals in
between January and loss under the impact of 2009 the first 10 months of
October 2020 global economic crisis) 2020

UNWTO (2020)
Tourism and the Covid-19 pandemic
• Global tourism has shifted from over-tourism to non-tourism
• Changes in human mobility patterns, labor environment,
and recreation
• Weak demand for outbound travel is still weak although
some large markets have shown a sign of recovery (e.g.
USA, France)
• Some markets see the increase in the demand for domestic
tourism (e.g. China)
• The vaccine will boost the travelers’ confidence for
traveling.
• A long road to recovery: it may take 2.5 - 4 years for the
tourism industry to return to 2019 levels for the international
arrivals.
Gössling et al. (2020); Roman, Niedziółka & Krasnodebski (2020); UNWTO (2020)
Is travel going to be normal again?

 Probably not! – health risks in visiting a


destination
 People want to travel again, but not sure when
 What we will be looking at is a new way to
travel
Villa-Clarke (2020)
How do travel behaviors change?
Travelers will:
 be more cautious about their health and safety (conscious
travelers)
 prefer to travel to the less crowded destination, wide and
open space, solo/secluded activities and dining – remote,
safe and meaningful experience
 have higher demand on top-notch technology, online
connectivity, and flexibility
 fancy to stay in a (long-term) rental home, local and smaller
accommodation, or a place that offers the right facilities that
assure them a healthy and safe visit
 favor slow tourism
 seek short haul travel, close to home
 appreciate quality in travel than the quantity
(Skyticket, 2020; Southan, 2021; Villa-Clarke, 2020)
What kind of travels are preferred?

Slow tourism – a form of sustainable tourism


• Flight prices are expected to increase due to covid-19
impact → Eco-friendly travel modes can save travel cost
and offer more unique experiences
• Slow tourism offers less stressful and relaxing vacation
and eliminates many of the worries that most travelers
have on holidays due to traveling time
• Slow tourism allows you to get to know the destination
better – more time to see and do
(Skyticket, 2020)
What kind of travels are preferred?
Wellness tourism
• Increase trend in taking a trip that leaves us feeling better than before when
returning home

Engagement with local communities


• Tourists are eager to learn and build human connections, leave a positive
footprint, to give something back

Experience-driven travel
• Tourists want to discover new places, landscape, cultures, and cuisines,
and reconnecting with nature.

Workation
• Many companies may continue the remote working policy that allows
people to travel without taking holiday and spend more time in a destination
• Travelers combine work with vacations
(Skyticket, 2020; Southan, 2021)
What do tourism providers need to consider?

 Reassurance to protect travelers’ booking if policies or


restrictions change
 Reassurance about health and safety information for
the travelers
 Obtain eco-tourism certifications for hotels and travel
businesses – as travel is shifting to meaningful travel;
giving back to the planet
 Reviews (online and word of mouth) are becoming
more vital
 The wilderness travel, as many people are now
seeking outdoor adventure/activities
 Wellness-focused stays accommodation
(Southan, 2021)
Indonesia tourism potentials
Indonesia: a wonderful and ideal destination for slow tourism, experience driven tourism,
wellness tourism, community based tourism, and workation.

Beautiful, scenic Distinctive culinary Diverse and unique cultures


landscape and nature
Phronetic planning approach
 Concerns practical value, ethics, things that are
good or bad for man
 Four value-rational questions:
1. Where are we going with Indonesia tourism
planning and development during and post
pandemic?
2. Who gains and who loses, by which
Getty images
mechanisms of power?
3. Is the development desirable?
4. What should be done?

(Flyvbjerg, 2001, 2002, 2004)


Share your ideas and studies through a publication

Enqueries and Abstract submission (500


words) to:
Hera Oktadiana
E-mail: [email protected]

Full paper dateline: 5 June 2021

https://www.emeraldgrouppublishing.com/journal/ijtc/contemporary-
trends-issues-and-challenges-southeast-asian-tourism-cities
Stay safe and healthy

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