FMP Mechanics of Futures SSEI

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MECHANICS OF FUTURES

Both Forwards & Futures belong to category of-“ FORWARD COMMITMENTS”-both sided betting.

Def-Contract to buy/sell a commodity at an agreed upon price at a later date.

Similar to F/W Contract except that it is exchange-traded. Diff btw the two same as btw OTC & Exchange Traded.

TERM STRUCTURE OF FUTURES PRICE


Margin Req:- Changes made in OTC Mkt
post 2008 crisis- CASE I-F(3)>(F2)>F(1)>S -CONTANGO/NO
Trader---------Broker---------Member-------Clearing C/SHORT SHD DELIVER AT BEG. OF DELIVERY
House Bilateral CCP
Settlement- Settlement PERIOD
ISDA,NETTING, Margin –(A)
(A) (B) COLLATERALIZATION CASE I-F(3)<(F2)<F(1)<S-
Deposit Initial Margin. Only Initial Margin With/without BACKWARDATION/VERY HIGH C/SHORT SHD
Change in price reflects (CLEARING MARGIN) Threshold DELIVER AT END OF DELIVERY PERIOD
in Margin.When margin ON NET
balance falls below LONG/SHORT RULE OF CONVERGENCE- F=S ON MATURITY
Maintenance POSITION IN Standardization in Futures BASIS=S-F (+VE IN BACKWARDATION ,-VE IN
Margin,there is a CONTRACT.
margin call & trader CONTANGO)(Shift can take place from contango to
 Asset Quality backwardation & vice versa)
brings back margin
 Contract Size
balance back to Initial-
 Delivery Arrangement F+ Backwardation +ve Roll Yield
Margin brought back is Contango -ve Roll Yield
 Delivery Period
known as Variation
 Price Limit & Position
Margin. F- Backwardation -ve Roll Yield
Limit
Contango +ve Roll Yield
(Choice always enjoyed
COST OF CARRY MODEL by short (F-),hence its F>E(S)=Normal Contango
futures price lower ) F<E(s)=Normal Backwardation
F = Se ^ ((r + u -y-c) x t)
INTEREST ON MARGIN
Where
r=Risk free rate INITIAL MARGIN VARIATION MARGIN
u=Storage Cost
FUTURES CASH-INT RECD NO INTEREST
y=Monetary benefit SECURITIES(MARGIN WITH
HAIRCUT)-NO INTEREST
c=Convenience Yield
Consumption Asset-Does not have y except gold
Investment Asset-Does not have u & c F/W CASH-INT RECD CASH-INT RECD (because daily settlement
SECURITIES(MARGIN WITH does not take place as against Futures).
HAIRCUT)-NO INTEREST

Relationship btw Futures Price & Fwd Price(When F is +vely correlated to Int Rate,one would choose Long Futures over Long F/W)

DETERMINISTIC(PREDICTABLE) STOCHASTIC(UNPREDICTABLE)

FUTURES PRICE=F/W PRICE

Int Rate +vely correlated to Int Rate -vely correlated to F


F

Futures Price> FWD Price Futures Price< FWD Price (Eg


Eurodollar Futures)

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