Berger, A., & Bouwman, C. (2009) .
Berger, A., & Bouwman, C. (2009) .
Berger, A., & Bouwman, C. (2009) .
Allen N. Berger
University of South Carolina, Wharton Financial Institutions Center, CentER,
Tilburg University
Christa H. S. Bouwman
A previous version of this article was entitled “Bank Capital and Liquidity Creation.” Our bank liquidity creation
data is available for research purposes at: http://wsomfaculty.case.edu/bouwman/data.html. The authors thank
two anonymous referees and Paolo Fulghieri, the editor, for helpful suggestions; Bob Avery, Bill Bassett, Sreed-
har Bharath, Arnoud Boot, Bob DeYoung, Doug Diamond, Phil Dybvig, Mark Flannery, Michael Gordy, Diana
Hancock, Gautam Kaul, Lutz Kilian, Beth Kiser, Vikram Nanda, Charlotte Ostergaard, George Pennacchi,
Jianping Qi, Rich Rosen, Doug Skinner, Anjan Thakor, Bent Vale, Egon Zakrajsek, and participants at presenta-
tions at the Western Finance Association Meeting, the Financial Intermediation Research Society Meeting, the
European Finance Association, the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago’s Bank Structure and Competition Con-
ference, the FDIC/JFSR Conference on Liquidity and Liquidity Risk, the University of Michigan, Case Western
Reserve University, Ohio State University, ESCP-EAP European School of Management, Stockholm School
of Economics, Yale School of Management, Binghamton University, the Federal Reserve Board, the Federal
Reserve Bank of Cleveland, the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, the Norges Bank, and Sveriges Riksbank for
useful comments; Ron Borzekowski for providing data; and Phil Ostromogolsky for excellent research assis-
tance. Send correspondence to Christa H. S. Bouwman, Case Western Reserve University, Wharton Financial
Institutions Center, 10900 Euclid Avenue, 362 Peter B. Lewis Building, Cleveland, OH 44106; telephone: (216)
368-3688; fax: (216) 368-6249. E-mail: [email protected].
1
These two roles are often jointly referred to as banks’ qualitative asset transformation (QAT) function (e.g.,
Bhattacharya and Thakor 1993).
2
Smith (book II, chapter II, 1776) highlights the importance of liquidity creation by banks and describes how it
helped commerce in Scotland. In particular, he notes “That the trade and industry of Scotland, however, have
increased very considerably during this period, and that the banks have contributed a good deal to this increase,
cannot be doubted.”
C The Author 2009. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Society for Financial Studies.
All rights reserved. For Permissions, please e-mail: [email protected].
doi:10.1093/rfs/hhn104 Advance Access publication January 8, 2009
The Review of Financial Studies / v 22 n 9 2009
Diamond and Dybvig (1983). These theories argue that banks create liquid-
ity on the balance sheet by financing relatively illiquid assets with relatively
liquid liabilities. Holmstrom and Tirole (1998) and Kashyap, Rajan, and Stein
(2002) suggest that banks also create liquidity off the balance sheet through
loan commitments and similar claims to liquid funds.3
Banks’ role as risk transformers is also well studied. A vast literature has
emerged on bank risk taking and prudential regulation, supervision, and mar-
ket discipline to control risk-taking behavior. According to the risk transfor-
3
Other theoretical contributions explain the existence of bank loan commitments as providing a mechanism
for optimal risk sharing (Campbell 1978; Ho and Saunders 1983), reducing credit rationing (James 1981;
Blackwell and Santomero 1982; Morgan 1994; Thakor 2005), and ameliorating informational frictions between
the borrower and bank (Berkovitch and Greenbaum 1991; Boot, Thakor, and Udell 1991; Boot, Greenbaum,
and Thakor 1993). Melnik and Plaut (1986); Shockley and Thakor (1997); and Sufi (2007) provide detailed
overviews of the contractual features of loan commitments and lines of credit.
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Bank Liquidity Creation
value. The current financial crisis raises the additional question of how bank
liquidity creation responds during crises. This is one of the issues addressed in
a follow-up paper that uses one of the measures of liquidity creation developed
here (Berger and Bouwman 2008). Our third goal is to use our liquidity creation
measures to examine the policy-relevant issue mentioned above—the effect of
bank capital on bank liquidity creation. Some recent theories predict that bank
capital reduces bank liquidity creation, while others predict that capital makes
banks capable of absorbing more risk, and thereby allows them to create more
4
All liquidity creation measures in the article are as of December 31 of a given year.
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The Review of Financial Studies / v 22 n 9 2009
liquidity has declined due to the development of capital markets. Our results are
fairly similar when we calculate liquidity creation using our “mat fat” measure,
which classifies loans based on maturity instead of category. Results based on
our “nonfat” measures reveal that the banking sector only creates about half
of its liquidity on the balance sheet, highlighting the importance of liquidity
created off the balance sheet as in Holmstrom and Tirole (1998) and Kashyap,
Rajan, and Stein (2002).
Liquidity creation differs considerably among large banks (GTA exceeding
3782
Bank Liquidity Creation
5
Gorton and Winton (2000) develop a general equilibrium model, so it theoretically applies to all banks, small
and large. However, we argue in Section 1.2 that as an empirical matter, it is likely to be more applicable to small
banks.
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The Review of Financial Studies / v 22 n 9 2009
control variables. Since the effect of capital on liquidity creation may be driven
by banks’ role as risk transformers rather than their role as liquidity creators, all
our regressions control for bank risk. We use three-year lagged average values
of capital and the other exogenous variables to mitigate potential endogeneity
problems, as lagged values represent earlier bank decisions. We run the tests
separately for large, medium, and small banks to allow for the possibility that
capital may affect these banks differently.
We find empirical support for both hypotheses. For large banks, the rela-
3784
Bank Liquidity Creation
1. Literature Review
In this section, we provide a brief review of the literature to place our article in
context. Our research is related to three strands of literature: the measurement
of bank liquidity creation; the theories of the effect of capital on liquidity
creation; and the empirical studies of capital and liquidity creation. We discuss
these three literatures in turn.
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The Review of Financial Studies / v 22 n 9 2009
6
Diamond and Rajan’s (2000, 2001) model builds on Calomiris and Kahn’s (1991) argument that the ability of
uninsured depositors to run on the bank in the event of expected wealth expropriation by bank managers is an
important disciplining mechanism. A related idea is proposed by Flannery (1994), who focuses on the disciplining
effect of depositors’ ability to withdraw funds on demand, and thus prevent the bank from expropriating depositor
wealth through excessively risky investments.
7
A similar argument regarding capital requirements is made by Van den Heuvel (2008).
3786
Bank Liquidity Creation
deposits are more effective liquidity hedges for investors than investments
in equity capital and higher capital ratios shift investors’ funds from deposits
to bank capital. Since deposits are liquid and bank equity is illiquid, there is a
reduction in overall liquidity for investors when the capital ratio is higher.8
While the theories underlying the “financial fragility-crowding out” hypoth-
esis apply to banks of all sizes, we argue that they are most applicable to small
banks. An essential feature of the Diamond and Rajan (2000, 2001) model is the
bank’s monitoring of the borrower using its borrower-specific skills, without
8
Gorton and Winton’s (2000) analysis suggests that even if equityholders did not reduce funding to the bank in
Diamond and Rajan (2000), there would be less liquidity creation with a higher capital ratio.
3787
The Review of Financial Studies / v 22 n 9 2009
(e.g., Allen and Santomero 1998; Allen and Gale 2004). The more liquidity that
is created, the greater is the likelihood and severity of losses associated with
having to dispose of illiquid assets to meet the liquidity demands of customers.
The second strand consists of papers that posit that bank capital absorbs risk
and expands banks’ risk-bearing capacity (e.g., Bhattacharya and Thakor 1993;
Repullo 2004; Von Thadden 2004; Coval and Thakor 2005). Combining these
two strands yields the prediction that higher capital ratios may allow banks to
create more liquidity.
1.3 Bank capital and liquidity creation: the existing empirical evidence
Some empirical studies examine issues related to liquidity creation, but do
not focus on the role of capital. Kashyap, Rajan, and Stein (2002) provide
empirical evidence of synergies between commitment lending and deposits,
consistent with their model. Gatev, Schuermann, and Strahan (2006) and Gatev
and Strahan (2006) find that banks have a comparative advantage in hedging
liquidity risk in the economy because banks experience deposit inflows fol-
lowing a market crisis or liquidity shock that allow them to have more funds
to provide the additional loans drawn down under commitments at such times.
Pennacchi (2006) confirms the existence of synergies between loan commit-
ments and deposit taking, but finds that such synergies do not hold prior to the
creation of FDIC deposit insurance. These studies do not focus on the role of
bank capital, but they do in some cases include the capital ratios in regressions
3788
Bank Liquidity Creation
9
For example, Gatev and Strahan (2006) find that a higher bank capital ratio tends to be followed by greater loans
and deposits (which may increase liquidity creation) and greater liquid assets and nondeposit liabilities (which
may reduce liquidity creation).
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2.1.1 Assets
• Classifying loans
(a) Category (“cat”): For the “cat” measures of liquidity creation, we
classify business loans and leases as illiquid assets, because these
items typically cannot be sold quickly without incurring a major loss.
Residential mortgages and consumer loans are generally relatively
easy to securitize, and loans to depositories and governments are likely
to be comparatively easy to sell or otherwise dispose of because the
10
In a robustness check, we use an alternative approach to measuring the liquidity contribution of some of these
items (see Section 6.1).
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Bank Liquidity Creation
Table 1
Liquidity classification of bank activities and construction of four liquidity creation measures
Step 1: We classify all bank activities as liquid, semiliquid, or illiquid. For activities other than loans, we combine information on product category and maturity. Due to data limitations,
we classify loans entirely by product category (“cat”) or maturity (“mat”)
Step 2: We assign weights to the activities classified in step 1
Assets
Illiquid assets (weight = 1/2 ) Semiliquid assets (weight = 0) Liquid assets (weight = –1/2 )
(continued overleaf)
3791
Step 3: We combine bank activities as classified in step 1 and as weighted in step 2 in different ways to construct four liquidity creation measures by using the “cat” or “mat” classification
for loans, and by alternatively including off-balance sheet activities (“fat”) or excluding these activities (“nonfat”)
cat fat = +½ ∗
illiquid assets (cat) +0 ∗ semiliquid assets (cat) −½ ∗
liquid assets
+½ ∗
liquid liabilities +0 ∗ semiliquid liabilities −½ ∗
illiquid liabilities
−½ ∗
equity
+½ ∗
illiquid guarantees +0 ∗ semiliquid guarantees −½ ∗
liquid guarantees
−½ ∗
liquid derivatives
cat nonfat = +½ ∗
illiquid assets (cat) +0 ∗ semiliquid assets (cat) −½ ∗
liquid assets
+½ ∗
liquid liabilities +0 ∗ semiliquid liabilities −½ ∗
illiquid liabilities
−½ ∗
equity
mat fat = +½ ∗
illiquid assets (mat) +0 ∗ semiliquid assets (mat) −½ ∗
liquid assets
+½ ∗
liquid liabilities +0 ∗ semiliquid liabilities −½ ∗
illiquid liabilities
−½ ∗
equity
+½ ∗
illiquid guarantees +0 ∗ semiliquid guarantees −½ ∗
liquid guarantees
−½ ∗
liquid derivatives
mat nonfat = +½ ∗
illiquid assets (mat) +0 ∗ semiliquid assets (mat) −½ ∗
liquid assets
+½ ∗
liquid liabilities +0 ∗ semiliquid liabilities −½ ∗
illiquid liabilities
−½ ∗
equity
This table explains our methodology to construct liquidity creation measures in three steps.
11
In a robustness check, we use a different method to establishing which loans are securitizable (see Section 6.2).
3793
The Review of Financial Studies / v 22 n 9 2009
point of view of the bank; except in very unusual circumstances, the bank
must provide the funds to the customer upon demand.12 As well, in most
cases, the bank cannot sell or participate these items. We classify net credit
derivatives (i.e., the amount guaranteed minus the beneficiary amount) and
net securities lent (i.e., the amount lent minus the amount borrowed) as
semiliquid guarantees since they can potentially be sold or participated,
analogous to semiliquid on-balance sheet residential mortgages and con-
sumer loans. We classify net participations acquired from other institutions
12
We acknowledge that banks could dispose of loan commitments by invoking the material adverse change (MAC)
clause and the customer would not have access to the funds. However, failing to honor loan commitments is
generally very costly since it may create legal liabilities and reputational losses, and is therefore rarely done.
3794
Bank Liquidity Creation
13
Fair values reported in Call Reports are as in FASB 133: the amount at which an asset (liability) could be
bought (incurred) or sold (settled) in a current transaction between willing parties, that is, other than in a forced
or liquidation sale. The fair value equals the quoted market price, if available. If a quoted market price is not
available, the estimate of fair value is based on the best information available in the circumstances.
3795
The Review of Financial Studies / v 22 n 9 2009
contracts can be bought and sold easily and are functionally similar to liquid
securities. Like securities, derivatives with gross positive fair values reduce
bank liquidity creation as the bank effectively holds a valuable liquid asset in
place of the public. Derivatives with gross negative fair values increase bank
liquidity creation as the bank effectively holds a negatively valued liquid asset
in place of the public. Since the Call Reports assign positive values to contracts
with gross positive fair values and negative values to those with gross negative
fair values, we capture these opposing effects on liquidity creation by simply
14
While the gross positive and negative fair values of derivatives are often quite substantial, most banks operate
with nearly matched books, so these values tend to offset each other, yielding a small net contribution to liquidity
creation.
15
The seminal papers say nothing about the role that derivatives play in the liquidity creation function of banks.
Rather, derivatives play a more major role in the risk-transformation function of banks. Nonetheless, it is
important to consider the contribution of all balance sheet and off-balance sheet activities to liquidity creation in
our measurement, whether or not the theory has spoken on these activities. Thus, for measurement purposes, we
take the gross fair values of liquid derivatives and assign a weight consistent with that of a functionally similar
on-balance sheet item, which in this case is liquid securities.
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Bank Liquidity Creation
of liquidity creation at a particular bank. We sum across all banks to obtain the
total dollar value of liquidity created by the entire industry.
We recognize that our liquidity creation measures are rough approximations.
We classify all bank activities as liquid, semiliquid, or illiquid, and use three
weights, 1/2 , 0, and −1/2 . Differences in liquidity obviously exist within each
of the three classifications, but the data generally do not allow for much finer
distinctions, and there are no other unambiguous weights to apply. The use of
1
/2 , −1/2 , and 0 are the clear demarcations of full liquidity, full illiquidity, and
3. Bank Liquidity Creation over Time, in the Cross Section, and Value
Implications
In this section, we pursue our second main goal of gaining a deeper insight
into banks’ role as liquidity creators by applying our four measures to data
on the U.S. banking sector. We first describe how we construct our sample.
We then measure how much liquidity banks create. We next explore the time-
series and cross-sectional variation in bank liquidity creation, and examine
the characteristics of banks that create the most and least liquidity over the
sample period. In all of these analyses, we split the sample by size. In addition,
we divide the data by bank holding company status, wholesale versus retail
orientation, and merger status. Finally, we explore the value implications of
bank liquidity creation.
16
Applying these changes, our formula becomes [½ ∗ illiquid assets − ½ ∗ liquid assets + ½ ∗ liquid liabilities −
½ ∗ illiquid liabilities − ½ ∗ equity]/A = [½ ∗ (A − liquid assets) − ½ ∗ liquid assets + ½ ∗ (liquid liabilities)
− ½ ∗ (A − liquid liabilities)]/A = [liquid liabilities − liquid assets]/A, which is their LT gap measure.
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The Review of Financial Studies / v 22 n 9 2009
17
Banks with lagged average GTA below $25 million are not likely to be viable commercial banks in equilibrium.
This exclusion reduced the sample size by 12,955 bank-year observations (from 96,953 to 83,998), but does
not materially affect our findings. Inclusion of these banks increases liquidity creation of small banks by only
0.1% ($0.0027 trillion) in 2003 based on our “cat fat” measure, and leaves our regression results qualitatively
unchanged.
18
The Federal Reserve Board defines a credit card bank as having (1) 50% or more of its total assets in the form
of loans to individuals; (2) 90% or more of its loans to individuals in the form of credit card outstandings; and
(3) $200 million or more in loans to individuals.
19
We apply the $3 billion and $1 billion cutoffs, measured in real 2003 dollars, in each year to separate the banks
in our sample into large, medium, and small banks.
20
We also tried splitting small banks into banks with GTA up to $100 million and banks with GTA $100 million–$1
billion. Since the regression results presented in Sections 5 and 6 yielded very similar results for both size classes,
we decided not to pursue this finer partitioning of the data.
3798
Bank Liquidity Creation
GTA. Large banks with GTA over $3 billion create much more liquidity off the
balance sheet than small banks. Large institutions also tend to generate and
disperse on-balance sheet funds on more national and international bases than
small institutions. Medium banks with GTA between $1 billion and $3 billion
tend to have portfolios that mix some of the characteristics of small and large
banks.
Our sample contains 83,998 bank-year observations: 1804 for large banks,
2132 for medium banks, and 80,062 for small banks.
21
Applying the formula given in step 3 of Table 1: liquidity creation = ½ ∗ illiquid assets of $2.752 trillion + 0
∗
semiliquid assets of $1.905 trillion − ½ ∗ liquid assets of $2.550 trillion + ½ ∗ liquid liabilities of $3.718
trillion + 0 ∗ semiliquid liabilities of $1.777 trillion − ½ ∗ illiquid liabilities of $0.370 trillion − ½ ∗ equity of
$0.624 + ½ ∗ illiquid guarantees of $2.781 trillion + 0 ∗ semiliquid guarantees of $0.782 trillion − ½ ∗ liquid
guarantees of −$0.001 trillion − ½ ∗ liquid derivatives of $0.023 trillion = $2.843 trillion.
3799
Table 2
3800
cat fat All banks 9095 1523 0.34 4.36 0.60 0.46 6968 2843 0.39 4.56 0.70 0.58
(preferred) Large 205 1154 0.40 5.44 0.70 0.58 143 2298 0.41 4.93 0.75 0.64
Medium 208 115 0.30 3.73 0.53 0.38 205 149 0.38 3.69 0.61 0.51
Small 8682 254 0.21 2.40 0.39 0.25 6620 396 0.33 3.37 0.51 0.40
cat nonfat All banks 9095 830 0.19 2.38 0.33 0.25 6968 1463 0.20 2.35 0.36 0.30
Large 205 562 0.19 2.65 0.34 0.28 143 1041 0.19 2.23 0.34 0.34
Medium 208 73 0.19 2.37 0.33 0.24 205 108 0.27 2.68 0.44 0.44
Small 8682 195 0.16 1.84 0.30 0.19 6620 315 0.26 2.67 0.41 0.41
mat fat All banks 9095 1693 0.38 4.85 0.67 0.51 6968 3234 0.45 5.18 0.79 0.66
Large 205 1224 0.42 5.77 0.74 0.61 143 2647 0.47 5.68 0.86 0.86
Medium 208 144 0.38 4.68 0.66 0.48 205 160 0.41 3.98 0.66 0.66
Small 8682 324 0.27 3.06 0.50 0.32 6620 427 0.35 3.63 0.55 0.55
mat nonfat All banks 9095 1000 0.22 2.87 0.40 0.30 6968 1855 0.26 2.97 0.45 0.38
Large 205 633 0.22 2.98 0.38 0.32 143 1391 0.25 2.98 0.45 0.45
Medium 208 102 0.27 3.32 0.47 0.34 205 119 0.30 2.96 0.49 0.49
Small 8682 265 0.22 2.50 0.41 0.26 6,620 345 0.28 2.93 0.45 0.45
(continued overleaf)
High liquidity Low liquidity High liquidity Low liquidity High liquidity Low liquidity
creators creators creators creators creators creators
Banks split by (top 25%) (bottom 25%) (top 25%) (bottom 25%) (top 25%) (bottom 25%)
Overall LC A. Average liquidity creation ($ billion) 36.00 0.67 1.20 0.12 0.12 −0.00
Composition of high and low liquidity creators
a. MBHC members 0.99 0.85 0.93 0.56 0.54 0.20
b. OBHC members 0.01 0.05 0.05 0.16 0.31 0.46
c. Independent banks 0.00 0.10 0.01 0.28 0.15 0.34
a. Wholesale banks 0.25 0.97 0.47 0.76 0.29 0.91
b. Retail banks 0.75 0.03 0.53 0.24 0.71 0.09
a. Recent M&A activity 0.74 0.47 0.52 0.28 0.16 0.02
b. No recent M&A activity 0.26 0.53 0.48 0.72 0.84 0.98
LC/GTA B. Average liquidity creation/GTA 0.66 0.15 0.57 0.08 0.43 0.00
Composition of high and low liquidity creators
a. MBHC members 0.99 0.84 0.89 0.59 0.45 0.22
b. OBHC members 0.00 0.06 0.07 0.14 0.36 0.45
c. Independent banks 0.00 0.10 0.03 0.27 0.19 0.33
a. Wholesale banks 0.60 0.86 0.62 0.68 0.58 0.83
b. Retail banks 0.40 0.14 0.38 0.32 0.42 0.17
a. Recent M&A activity 0.63 0.53 0.41 0.31 0.10 0.03
b. No recent M&A activity 0.37 0.47 0.59 0.69 0.90 0.97
Panel A shows liquidity creation of the banking sector in $ billion and divided by gross total assets (GTA, i.e., total assets plus the allowance for loan and lease losses and the allocated
transfer risk reserve (a reserve for certain foreign loans)), equity (EQ), gross loans (LNS), and deposits (DEP) from 1993 to 2003. Panel B contains graphs of liquidity creation by banks
split by BHC status, wholesale versus retail orientation, and merger status. Panel C uses these bank characteristics to contrast banks that create the most and least liquidity (top 25% and
bottom 25% in each size class, respectively) over 1993–2003. All panels show results for large banks (GTA exceeding $3 billion), medium banks (GTA $1 billion–$3 billion), and small
banks (GTA up to $1 billion). Panel A measures liquidity creation using all four liquidity creation measures as defined in Table 1, while panels B and C only show liquidity creation based
on our preferred “cat fat” measure. All financial values are expressed in real 2003 dollars using the implicit GDP price deflator. The cat (mat) liquidity creation measures classify all bank
activities other than loans based on product category and maturity, and loans by category (maturity) only. The fat (nonfat) liquidity creation measures include (exclude) off-balance sheet
activities.
3803
and small institutions also had slightly lower ratios of liquidity creation divided
by GTA, equity, gross loans, and total deposits than large banks. As will be
shown, this is because these institutions generated much less liquidity off the
balance sheet. At large banks, liquidity creation doubled in real dollars, although
it only rose as a fraction of GTA from 40% in 1993 to 41% in 2003. Perhaps
surprisingly, small banks showed the greatest increase in liquidity creation
divided by GTA, equity, gross loans, and total deposits.
As shown in the “cat fat” graph in panel A of Table 2, liquidity creation
22
Commercial and similar letters of credit and other off-balance sheet liabilities only amounted to $0.024 trillion
and $0.043 trillion, respectively.
3804
Bank Liquidity Creation
commitments equal 48% of total liquidity created by large banks, while only
amounting to 26% and 19% of liquidity created by medium and small banks,
respectively. Commercial real estate, on the other hand, equals only 12% of to-
tal liquidity creation for large banks, while equaling 36% and 42% of liquidity
creation for medium and small banks, respectively. Similarly, for large banks,
transactions deposits equal only 9% of total liquidity creation, whereas the cor-
responding figures for medium and small banks are 15% and 31%, respectively
(not shown for reasons of brevity).
3805
The Review of Financial Studies / v 22 n 9 2009
liquidity creation grows in each year for both retail and wholesale banks,
except for the spikes in 2002 and 2003. These spikes occur because Citibank
shifted from a wholesale bank to a retail bank in 2002 and back to wholesale
status in 2003.
Finally, as shown in the bottom right in Table 2, panel B, most banks did not
engage in M&As, but most of overall industry liquidity is created by recently
merged institutions. This result is purely driven by large banks; among medium
and small banks, institutions that did not engage in recent merger activity
3.3 Characteristics of banks that create the most and least liquidity
We next examine the characteristics of banks that create the most and least
liquidity. In each size class, we split banks into “high liquidity creators” and
“low liquidity creators” based on our preferred “cat fat” measure. We define
high and low liquidity creators as those in the top 25% and bottom 25%, re-
spectively, based on (1) overall liquidity creation; (2) liquidity creation divided
by GTA; and (3) liquidity creation divided by equity.
The top, middle, and bottom parts of panel C in Table 2 show the results
based on overall liquidity creation (LC), LC/GTA, and LC/EQ, respectively.
Each part shows the average amount of liquidity created by high and low
liquidity creators, and some key characteristics (BHC status, wholesale versus
retail orientation, and merger status) of these banks. For example, among large
banks, each of the high liquidity creators on average created $36 billion in
liquidity. Splitting these high liquidity creators by BHC status, we find that 99%
of these banks are MBHC members, and 1% are OBHC members. Similarly,
25% have a wholesale orientation, while 25% are retail banks; 74% engaged
in recent M&A activity, while 26% were not involved in recent M&A activity.
Several findings are noteworthy. First, not surprisingly, high liquidity creators
create substantially more liquidity than low liquidity creators in each size
class. What may be surprising, however, is just how small the numbers are
for the low liquidity creators. In particular, the bottom 25% of small banks
in terms of overall liquidity creation create slightly negative liquidity. This
raises the question of whether these institutions should still be considered to
be banks. To address this question, it is important to recall that banks perform
two central roles in the economy, liquidity creation and risk transformation.
While these banks may not create liquidity, they may still provide valuable
risk-transformation services, although a deeper investigation of this issue is
beyond the scope of this article.
Second, MBHC members tend to create the most liquidity in every size
class by every measure of liquidity creation. In all cases, OBHC members and
independent banks tend to be more prevalent among the low liquidity creators.
3806
Bank Liquidity Creation
Third, based on overall liquidity creation, retail banks tend to be high liquidity
creators in every size class. Maybe surprisingly, we find opposite results when
we split banks based on liquidity creation divided by GTA and equity. One
explanation may be that retail banks tend to be the largest banks in each size
class. While these banks create substantial amounts of liquidity, they create far
less liquidity per dollar of assets or equity. Wholesale banks tend to be low
liquidity creators in every size class.
Fourth, a far more diverse picture arises when we look at banks’ M&A
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The Review of Financial Studies / v 22 n 9 2009
Table 3
Value implications of liquidity creation
N Market-to-Book ratio Price-Earnings ratio Price-Earnings ratio
(based on earnings before (based on earnings after
extraordinary items) extraordinary items)
This table shows correlations between liquidity creation and valuation of listed banks and bank holding companies.
For independent banks, these are direct correlations between the amount of liquidity created by the bank and
its valuation. For multibank holding companies, we aggregate liquidity created by all the banks in the holding
company. For one-bank holding companies and multibank holding companies we require that the total assets
of the banks comprise at least 90% of the total assets of the bank holding company, and calculate correlations
between total bank liquidity created and the valuation of the holding company. The dollar amount of liquidity
creation (LC) is calculated using our preferred “cat fat” liquidity creation measure as defined in Table 1. GTA
equals total assets plus the allowance for loan and lease losses and the allocated transfer risk reserve (a reserve
for certain foreign loans). EQ is total equity capital. The valuation measures used are the market-to-book ratio
and the price-earnings ratio. The market-to-book ratio is defined as the market value of equity measured as of
31 December divided by the book value of equity measured as of the previous fiscal year end. The book value
of equity is defined as the Compustat book value of stockholder’s equity, plus balance sheet deferred taxes and
investment tax credit, minus the book value of preferred stock. All accounting data are winsorized at the 1% and
99% level to reduce the impact of outliers. As in Fama and French (1993), we use the redemption, liquidation, or
par value (in that order) to estimate the value of preferred stock. The price-earnings ratio is defined as the share
price as of 31 December divided by earnings (before and after extraordinary items) per share measured as of the
previous fiscal year end. p-values are in parentheses. ∗ , ∗∗ , and ∗∗∗ denote significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1%
levels, respectively.
and after extraordinary items) are also all positive, but they are smaller in
magnitude, and are significant in only four of six cases. These results suggest
that banks that create more liquidity are valued more highly by investors.
4. Analytical Framework
We next turn to our third main goal of analyzing the effect of bank capital on
liquidity creation. In this section, we describe our regression framework and
explain our regression variables. In Section 5, we present our empirical results,
and in Section 6, we examine the robustness of our results.
Before we present our regression framework, we note that the theories sug-
gest a causal link between capital and liquidity creation. According to the
“financial fragility-crowding out” hypothesis, the effect of capital on liquidity
creation is negative, and according to the “risk absorption” hypothesis the ef-
fect is positive. The negative effect of capital on liquidity creation as suggested
by Diamond and Rajan (2000, 2001), i.e., the financial fragility effect, only
arises if deposit insurance coverage is incomplete. Deposit insurance is indeed
incomplete for banks in all three of our size classes over our sample period:
most banks fund themselves partly with uninsured deposits and with overnight
federal funds purchased, another funding source that can run on the bank.24
24
For example, as of 2003, large banks fund 21.4% and 7.5% of their GTA with uninsured deposits and overnight
federal funds purchased, respectively. For medium banks, the corresponding figures are 24.3% and 5.7%,
respectively, while for small banks, the figures are 19.8% and 2.2%, respectively.
3808
Bank Liquidity Creation
In practice, capital and liquidity creation are to some extent jointly deter-
mined. To mitigate this potential endogeneity problem, our exogenous variables
are lagged values, as discussed above. Nonetheless, this may not be sufficient.
We therefore interpret all our regression results with care. We do not claim
to establish causation in our regressions, but at a minimum, our results yield
interesting correlations between capital and liquidity creation that are consis-
tent with the theories and are robust to a variety of checks, including tests that
involve instrumental variables for capital.
25
We obtain similar results if we express all values in real 1993 dollars.
26
Exceptions are two of our risk measures, which are calculated using data from the previous twelve quarters (see
Section 4.3).
3809
3810
The exogenous variables are created using annual data and are three-year lagged averages (i.e., the average of three years prior to observation of the dependent variable), except for the
risk measure, which is calculated using data on the previous twelve quarters. All of the annual lagged values are merger adjusted; the bank capital ratio and size are pro forma values, the
mergers and acquisitions dummies simply take a value of 1 or 0 based on the combined experience of the banks in the case of mergers or acquisitions, and the local market competition
and environment variables are weighted averages for the merging banks using their GTA values in constructing the weights. Sample period: 1993–2003. Sample means are provided for all
banks, large banks (GTA exceeding $3 billion), medium banks (GTA $1 billion–$3 billion), and small banks (GTA up to $1 billion). All financial values are expressed in real 2003 dollars
using the implicit GDP price deflator.
Data sources: Bank Call Reports, Bank Holding Company Y-9 reports, FDIC Summary of Deposits, NIC Database, Bureau of Economic Analysis, and U.S. Census Bureau.
3811
three years of data may more accurately reflect the inputs into liquidity creation
decisions.27 All of the annual lagged values are merger adjusted. We collect
information from the Federal Reserve Board’s National Information Center
(NIC) database on a bank’s prior M&As, and use it to construct historical pro
forma values.
27
Using one-year lagged values weakens the significance of the results for large banks, but leaves our results for
medium and small banks qualitatively unchanged.
28
Since our analyses are performed at the bank level, risk measures typically used at the BHC level (including
stock return volatility, bond ratings, and beta) cannot be used.
29
See, e.g., Brockman and Turtle (2003); Acharya, Bharath, and Srinivasan (2007); John, Litov, and Yeung (2008);
and Kadan and Swinkels (2008).
3812
Bank Liquidity Creation
assess the same underlying unobservable variable (risk), there is a serious mul-
ticollinearity problem associated with introducing them simultaneously. We
deal with this problem by orthogonalizing two of the risk measures.30 In all
of the analyses reported in the article, we include EARNVOL, orthogonalized
CREDITRISK, and orthogonalized ZSCORE. (For simplicity, we use the terms
CREDITRISK and ZSCORE instead of orthogonalized CREDITRISK and or-
thogonalized ZSCORE throughout.) Since our approach is a departure from the
standard approach of introducing risk measures one at a time, we also run the
30
We regress CREDITRISK on EARNVOL, ZSCORE, and all of the control variables. The residuals of this regression
represent the variation in CREDITRISK not captured by EARNVOL, ZSCORE, or the other explanatory variables.
We follow a similar procedure for ZSCORE.
31
For example, based on our preferred “cat fat” measure, liquidity creation divided by GTA (our dependent variable)
is in the [0,1] interval 90.5% of the time.
32
U.S. regulations require BHCs to be a source of strength for the banks they own and require other banks in the
same BHC to cross-guarantee the other bank affiliates. Empirical research finds, for example, that bank loan
growth depends on the BHC (e.g., Houston, James, and Marcus 1997).
3813
The Review of Financial Studies / v 22 n 9 2009
or non-MSA county in which the offices are located.33 For banks with offices
in more than one local market, we use weighted averages across these mar-
kets, using the proportion of the bank’s deposits in each of these markets as
the weights.34 To control for local market competition, we include HERF, the
Herfindahl index of concentration for the market or markets in which the bank
is present. We base HERF on the market shares of both banks and thrift insti-
tutions, given that thrifts compete vigorously with banks for deposits. We also
include SHARE-ML, the local market share of medium and large institutions,
5. Regression Results
In this section, we present our regression results. We first present our main
results and find that the relationship between capital and liquidity creation
differs for large, medium, and small banks. We then investigate why the results
differ by size class using the components of liquidity creation. In all cases,
we examine whether the findings are consistent with the economic intuition
discussed earlier. In Section 6, we conduct a number of robustness checks.
Before proceeding, we note the important distinction between the liquidity
creation weight on capital and the regression coefficient on lagged capital. We
assign a weight of −½ to equity when forming our liquidity creation measures,
the dependent variables in the regressions. This does not imply that when we
regress the dollar amount of liquidity creation (normalized by GTA) on the
lagged equity ratio, EQRAT, the coefficient on EQRAT should necessarily be
negative or close to −0.5. Rather, the measured effect depends on bank behavior.
For example, if banks with more lagged equity capital extend significantly more
illiquid loans and hold significantly fewer liquid assets than banks with lower
levels of capital, we may find a positive association between lagged capital and
liquidity creation.36
33
In some cases, we use New England County Metropolitan Areas (NECMAs) in place of MSAs, but for conve-
nience, we use the term MSA to cover both MSAs and NECMAs.
34
We use shares of deposits because this is the only banking service for which geographic location is publicly
available.
35
We obtain similar regression results if we exclude the local market competition variables.
36
A potential concern about our regression specification is that current bank equity is included in our dependent
variable (liquidity creation divided by GTA), while the lagged equity ratio is our key exogenous variable. To
3814
Bank Liquidity Creation
5.1 The net effect of capital on liquidity creation for large, medium, and
small banks
Panels A, B, and C of Table 5 contain the regression results for large banks
(GTA exceeding $3 billion), medium banks (GTA $1 billion—$3 billion), and
small banks (GTA up to $1 billion), respectively. All of our regressions include
the full set of control variables and have time and bank fixed effects, but the
results are similar if we control only for size and include fixed effects (not
shown for brevity’s sake).
address this, we also construct a liquidity creation measure that excludes equity and obtain similar results (see
Section 6.3).
3815
3816
cat fat/ cat nonfat/ mat fat/ mat nonfat/ cat fat/ cat nonfat/ mat fat/ mat nonfat/ cat fat/ cat nonfat/ mat fat/ mat nonfat/
GTA GTA GTA GTA GTA GTA GTA GTA GTA GTA GTA GTA
EQRAT 1.146 0.465 1.171 0.490 0.219 −0.438 0.260 −0.397 −0.330 −0.341 −0.394 −0.405
(3.23)∗∗∗ (1.22) (3.19)∗∗∗ (1.31) (0.29) (−1.83)∗ (0.37) (−1.71)∗ (−7.26)∗∗∗ (−8.73)∗∗∗ (−9.90)∗∗∗ (−11.83)∗∗∗
EARNVOL −0.129 −0.103 −0.128 −0.102 0.025 −0.034 0.037 −0.023 −0.019 −0.012 −0.013 −0.005
(−2.48)∗∗ (−2.24)∗∗ (−2.32)∗∗ (−2.16)∗∗ (0.29) (−1.19) (0.38) (−0.72) (−3.54)∗∗∗ (−2.42)∗∗ (−2.30)∗∗ (−1.02)
CREDITRISK −0.018 0.013 −0.008 0.024 0.043 0.023 0.056 0.036 −0.002 −0.003 −0.021 −0.022
(−1.03) (1.23) (−0.38) (1.89)∗ (1.76)∗ (1.65)∗ (2.12)∗∗ (2.06)∗∗ (−0.72) (−1.28) (−7.40)∗∗∗ (−8.58)∗∗∗
ZSCORE 0.006 0.011 0.000 0.004 0.008 0.008 0.006 0.006 −0.003 −0.003 −0.002 −0.002
(0.82) (2.16)∗∗ (0.02) (0.89) (1.98)∗∗ (2.43)∗∗ (1.32) (1.63) (−4.82)∗∗∗ (−5.18)∗∗∗ (−3.51)∗∗∗ (−3.61)∗∗∗
Ln(GTA) −0.018 0.013 −0.008 0.024 0.043 0.023 0.056 0.036 −0.002 −0.003 −0.021 −0.022
(−1.03) (1.23) (−0.38) (1.89)∗ (1.76)∗ (1.65)∗ (2.12)∗∗ (2.06)∗∗ (−0.72) (−1.28) (−7.40)∗∗∗ (−8.58)∗∗∗
D-MBHC 0.004 −0.005 0.012 0.002 −0.004 −0.001 −0.004 −0.001 0.010 0.010 0.014 0.013
(0.38) (−0.96) (1.03) (0.30) (−0.71) (−0.24) (−0.80) (−0.34) (5.82)∗∗∗ (6.39)∗∗∗ (7.83)∗∗∗ (8.41)∗∗∗
D-OBHC 0.090 0.099 0.099 0.109 0.021 0.026 −0.004 0.001 0.033 0.032 0.034 0.033
(0.74) (1.10) (0.84) (1.24) (0.66) (1.13) (−0.12) (0.03) (10.82)∗∗∗ (11.37)∗∗∗ (10.65)∗∗∗ (10.99)∗∗∗
D-BANK-MERGE 0.004 −0.005 0.012 0.002 −0.004 −0.001 −0.004 −0.001 0.010 0.010 0.014 0.013
(0.38) (−0.96) (1.03) (0.30) (−0.71) (−0.24) (−0.80) (−0.34) (5.82)∗∗∗ (6.39)∗∗∗ (7.83)∗∗∗ (8.41)∗∗∗
D-DELTA-OWN −0.026 0.021 −0.001 0.046 −0.097 −0.053 −0.106 −0.062 0.019 0.015 0.020 0.016
(−0.50) (0.53) (−0.02) (1.06) (−2.21)∗∗ (−1.98)∗∗ (−2.11)∗∗ (−1.85)∗ (3.90)∗∗∗ (3.42)∗∗∗ (3.84)∗∗∗ (3.30)∗∗∗
HERF −0.027 −0.241 0.107 −0.106 −0.270 −0.176 −0.113 −0.020 0.032 0.028 0.008 0.005
(−0.12) (−1.31) (0.45) (−0.57) (−1.89)∗ (−1.45) (−0.68) (−0.15) (2.15)∗∗ (2.13)∗∗ (0.52) (0.34)
SHARE-ML −0.026 0.021 −0.001 0.046 −0.097 −0.053 −0.106 −0.062 0.019 0.015 0.020 0.016
(−0.50) (0.53) (−0.02) (1.06) (−2.21)∗∗ (−1.98)∗∗ (−2.11)∗∗ (−1.85)∗ (3.90)∗∗∗ (3.42)∗∗∗ (3.84)∗∗∗ (3.30)∗∗∗
Ln(POP) 0.803 −0.361 0.665 −0.498 −0.318 −0.372 −0.249 −0.303 0.080 0.039 0.035 −0.006
(1.42) (−1.26) (1.10) (−1.58) (−1.11) (−2.07)∗∗ (−0.77) (−1.31) (4.09)∗∗∗ (2.24)∗∗ (1.78)∗ (−0.31)
Ln(DENSITY) −0.089 −0.020 −0.043 0.026 −0.015 −0.022 −0.019 −0.026 0.017 0.015 0.010 0.008
(−1.50) (−0.95) (−0.62) (0.80) (−0.29) (−0.56) (−0.35) (−0.63) (2.64)∗∗∗ (2.60)∗∗∗ (1.48) (1.25)
Time fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Bank fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Observations 1804 1804 1804 1804 2132 2132 2132 2132 80,062 80,062 80,062 80,062
Adjusted R-squared 0.82 0.85 0.81 0.85 0.76 0.90 0.72 0.88 0.89 0.89 0.88 0.87
This table presents our main regression results. The dependent variable is the dollar amount of liquidity a bank has created, calculated using the four liquidity creation measures as defined
in Table 1, normalized by GTA. GTA equals total assets plus the allowance for loan and lease losses and the allocated transfer risk reserve (a reserve for certain foreign loans). Panels A, B,
and C contain the results for large banks (GTA exceeding $3 billion), medium banks (GTA $1 billion–$3 billion), and small banks (GTA up to $1 billion), respectively.
EQRAT is the equity capital ratio (total equity capital as a proportion of GTA). EARNVOL is the standard deviation of the bank’s quarterly return on assets measured over the previous twelve
quarters, multiplied by 100. CREDITRISK is a credit risk measure, calculated as the bank’s Basel I risk-weighted assets and off-balance sheet activities divided by GTA. This variable is
orthogonalized to avoid multicollinearity. ZSCORE is the distance to default, measured as the bank’s return on assets plus the equity capital/GTA ratio divided by the standard deviation
of the return on assets. This variable is orthogonalized to avoid multicollinearity. Ln(GTA) is the log of GTA. D-MBHC and D-OBHC are dummy variables that equal 1 if the bank has
been part of a multibank holding company or a one-bank holding company over the prior three years. D-BANK-MERGE is a dummy that equals 1 if the bank was involved in one or more
mergers over the past three years, combining the charters of two or more banks. D-DELTA-OWN is a dummy that equals 1 if the bank was acquired in the last three years, indicated by a
change in top-tier holding company with no change in charter. HERF is a bank-level Herfindahl index based on bank and thrift deposits (the only variable for which geographic location
is publicly available). We first establish the Herfindahl index of the markets in which the bank has deposits and then weight these market indices by the proportion of the bank’s deposits
in each of these markets. SHARE-ML is the share of market bank and thrift deposits held by medium and large banks (GTA exceeding $1 billion). Ln(POP) is the natural log of weighted
average population in all markets in which a bank has deposits, using the proportion of deposits held by a bank in each market as weights. Ln(DENSITY) is the weighted average population
density (natural log of population per square mile) in all markets in which a bank has deposits, using the proportion of deposits held by a bank in each market as weights. INC-GROWTH is
the weighted average income growth in all markets in which a bank has deposits, using the proportion of deposits held by a bank in each market as weights. All regressions are run with
both time fixed effects and bank fixed effects.
The sample period is 1993–2003. t-statistics based on robust standard errors clustered by bank are in parentheses. ∗ , ∗∗ , and ∗∗∗ denote significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels,
respectively.
3817
In sum, we find that for large banks, capital and liquidity creation are posi-
tively correlated when we use measures that include off-balance sheet activities,
while this relationship is insignificant when we exclude those activities. For
small banks, capital and liquidity creation are negatively correlated using all
of our measures, while for medium banks, the relationship is mixed. Thus, the
data suggest that, consistent with our economic intuition, the “risk absorption”
hypothesis dominates for large banks when off-balance sheet activities are
included and the “financial fragility-crowding out” hypothesis strongly domi-
5.2 Why is the net effect of capital on liquidity creation different by bank
size class?
To understand more deeply why the relationship between capital and liquidity
creation differs by bank size class, we examine the relationship between capital
and the individual components of liquidity creation (e.g., liquid, semiliquid, and
illiquid assets). Specifically, we use the individual components based on our
“cat fat” liquidity creation measure normalized by GTA as dependent variables
in our regressions.
Panels A, B, and C of Table 6 show the coefficients on EQRAT from these
regressions for large, medium, and small banks, respectively. All of the control
variables from the full specification are included in these regressions, but are
not shown in the interest of brevity. Importantly, since liquidity creation equals
the weighted sum of the individual components (using the ½ , 0, and −½
liquidity creation weights discussed above), the weighted sums of the EQRAT
coefficients on the individual liquidity creation components in Table 6 equal the
coefficient on EQRAT using the “cat fat” measure in Table 5.37 Therefore, the
EQRAT coefficients in the individual component regressions help us understand
which components of liquidity creation yield the different results for large,
medium, and small banks.
The results in panel A of Table 6 suggest that for large banks, lagged capital
is positively related with liquidity creation on the asset side of the balance
sheet, as well as off the balance sheet. Banks with higher lagged capital ratios
have significantly more illiquid assets, fewer liquid assets, and more illiquid
guarantees. These positive effects of capital are partially offset by the fact that
large banks with higher lagged capital ratios have significantly higher capital
ratios in the current period (i.e., the coefficient on EQRAT in the equity/GTA
regression is positive and significant). Thus, the positive relationship between
lagged capital and liquidity creation calculated using our “cat fat” measure
in panel A of Table 4 is the net result of the positive relationship between
37
For example, for large banks, ½ ∗ 0.356 + 0 ∗ 0.186 + (−½ ) ∗ (−0.541) + ½ ∗ 0.191 + 0 ∗ (−0.276) + (−½ ) ∗
(−0.195) + (−½ ) ∗ 0.353 + ½ ∗ 1.353 + 0 ∗ (−0.664) + (−½ ) ∗ 0.000 + (−½ ) ∗ (−0.009) = 1.146.
3818
Bank Liquidity Creation
Table 6
The effect of capital on the components of liquidity creation
Assets/GTA Liabilities/GTA Equity/GTA Guarantees/GTA Derivatives/GTA
Illiquid Semiliquid Liquid Liquid Semiliquid Illiquid Illiquid Illiquid Semiliquid Liquid Liquid
Weight ½ 0 −½ ½ 0 −½ −½ ½ 0 −½ −½
This table presents regression results. The dependent variables are the dollar amounts of the individual liquidity creation components normalized by GTA. The dollar amount of liquidity
created is calculated using our preferred “cat fat” liquidity creation measure as defined in Table 1. GTA equals total assets plus the allowance for loan and lease losses and the allocated
transfer risk reserve (a reserve for certain foreign loans).
Panels A, B, and C contain the results for large banks (GTA exceeding $3 billion), medium banks (GTA $1 billion–$3 billion), and small banks (GTA up to $1 billion), respectively. All
panels show only the coefficients on EQRAT (total equity capital as a proportion of GTA) in the interest of parsimony, although the regressions include all the exogenous variables from the
full specification as defined in Table 4. All regressions are run with both time fixed effects and bank fixed effects.
The sample period is 1993–2003. t-statistics based on robust standard errors clustered by bank are in parentheses. ∗ , ∗∗ , and ∗∗∗ denote significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels,
respectively.
3819
lagged capital and assets and illiquid guarantees being larger than the negative
relationship with current capital. The insignificant relationship between lagged
capital and liquidity creation calculated using the “cat nonfat” measure in panel
A of Table 4 occurs because the positive relationship between lagged capital
and illiquid guarantees is excluded—the positive relationship between lagged
capital and assets approximately offsets the negative relationship with current
capital.
The findings in panel A of Table 6 are also consistent with the economic
38
Lagged capital also has a negative effect on illiquid liabilities (which enhances liquidity creation), but the effect
is small.
3820
Bank Liquidity Creation
6. Robustness Issues
In Section 5, we found that, based on our preferred “cat fat” measure of liquidity
creation, the relationship between capital and liquidity creation is positive and
significant for large banks (when off-balance sheet activities are included),
insignificant for medium banks, and negative and significant for small banks.
We now examine the robustness of these main findings to (1) using an alternative
method to measuring off-balance sheet bank liquidity creation; (2) using an
39
Sufi (2007) uses data on letters of credit and loan commitments over 1996–2003, which corresponds closely with
our sample period, and finds that conditional on having a letter of credit or a loan commitment, the probability
of drawdown over this time period was approximately 30% in every year.
3821
3822
Panel A: Measures off-balance sheet liquidity Panel B: Uses an alternative way to establishing Panel C: Excludes equity
creation differently which assets are securitizable
Large banks Medium banks Small banks Large banks Medium banks Small banks Large banks Medium banks Small banks
LC/GTA LC/GTA LC/GTA LC/GTA LC/GTA LC/GTA LC/GTA LC/GTA LC/GTA
EQRAT 0.672 −0.238 −0.338 1.251 0.259 −0.380 0.747 0.259 −0.212
(1.96)∗ (−0.68) (−8.33)∗∗∗ (3.58)∗∗∗ (0.36) (−8.80)∗∗∗ (2.30)∗∗ (0.36) (−6.39)∗∗∗
EARNVOL −0.111 −0.017 −0.014 −0.147 0.019 −0.021 −0.103 0.019 −0.013
(−2.52)∗∗ (−0.46) (−2.82)∗∗∗ (−2.62)∗∗∗ (0.21) (−3.75)∗∗∗ (−2.01)∗∗ (0.21) (−2.75)∗∗∗
CREDITRISK 0.355 0.370 0.437 0.533 0.524 0.482 0.266 0.524 0.433
(5.80)∗∗∗ (5.39)∗∗∗ (40.08)∗∗∗ (5.32)∗∗∗ (2.64)∗∗∗ (40.09)∗∗∗ (4.05)∗∗∗ (2.64)∗∗∗ (39.24)∗∗∗
ZSCORE 0.009 0.008 −0.003 0.004 0.007 −0.003 0.009 0.007 −0.002
(1.80)∗ (2.37)∗∗ (−5.12)∗∗∗ (0.53) (1.68)∗ (−4.16)∗∗∗ (1.76)∗ (1.68)∗ (−2.70)∗∗∗
Ln(GTA) 0.004 0.029 −0.003 −0.013 0.046 −0.021 0.019 0.046 −0.019
(0.39) (1.81)∗ (−1.11) (−0.72) (1.94)∗ (−7.39)∗∗∗ (1.71)∗ (1.94)∗ (−7.80)∗∗∗
D-MBHC 0.075 0.034 0.014 0.053 0.014 0.016 0.079 0.014 0.014
(0.74) (1.67)∗ (5.55)∗∗∗ (0.42) (0.44) (5.48)∗∗∗ (0.85) (0.44) (5.15)∗∗∗
D-OBHC 0.096 0.025 0.032 0.092 0.004 0.035 0.094 0.004 0.030
(0.98) (1.01) (11.31)∗∗∗ (0.73) (0.12) (11.02)∗∗∗ (1.06) (0.12) (10.61)∗∗∗
D-BANK-MERGE −0.003 −0.002 0.010 0.009 −0.004 0.013 −0.001 −0.004 0.012
(−0.39) (−0.43) (6.25)∗∗∗ (0.80) (−0.77) (7.51)∗∗∗ (−0.11) (−0.77) (7.65)∗∗∗
D-DELTA-OWN −0.018 −0.002 −0.003 −0.010 0.023 −0.004 −0.014 0.023 −0.003
(−1.27) (−0.17) (−2.10)∗∗ (−0.47) (0.76) (−2.52)∗∗ (−1.02) (0.76) (−2.28)∗∗
HERF −0.176 −0.206 0.029 0.121 −0.175 0.028 −0.048 −0.175 0.023
(−0.98) (−1.71)∗ (2.15)∗∗ (0.54) (−1.12) (1.86)∗ (−0.28) (−1.12) (1.72)∗
SHARE-ML 0.008 −0.066 0.016 −0.037 −0.109 0.014 0.015 −0.109 0.009
(0.21) (−2.21)∗∗ (3.60)∗∗∗ (−0.68) (−2.24)∗∗ (2.77)∗∗∗ (0.36) (−2.24)∗∗ (1.97)∗∗
Ln(POP) 0.035 0.017 0.006 0.070 0.007 0.008 0.006 0.007 0.008
(1.29) (0.61) (1.64) (1.17) (0.19) (2.10)∗∗ (0.25) (0.19) (2.14)∗∗
Ln(DENSITY) −0.040 −0.020 0.015 −0.072 −0.008 0.012 −0.007 −0.008 0.010
(−1.42) (−0.49) (2.64)∗∗∗ (−1.18) (−0.15) (1.91)∗ (−0.32) (−0.15) (1.75)∗
This table presents regression results. The dependent variable is LC/GTA, the dollar amount of liquidity a bank has created (calculated using alternative “cat fat” liquidity creation measures
as explained below) normalized by GTA. GTA equals total assets plus the allowance for loan and lease losses and the allocated transfer risk reserve (a reserve for certain foreign loans).
Panel A shows results for an alternative method to measuring off-balance sheet liquidity creation (discussed in Section 7.1). Panel B shows results for an alternative way to establishing
which assets are securitizable (discussed in Section 7.2). Panel C shows results based on a liquidity creation measure which excludes equity (discussed in Section 7.3). All panels show
results for large banks (GTA exceeding $3 billion), medium banks (GTA $1 billion–$3 billion), and small banks (GTA up to $1 billion).
EQRAT is the equity capital ratio (total equity capital as a proportion of GTA). EARNVOL is the standard deviation of the bank’s quarterly return on assets measured over the previous twelve
quarters, multiplied by 100. CREDITRISK is a credit risk measure, calculated as the bank’s Basel I risk-weighted assets and off-balance sheet activities divided by GTA. This variable is
orthogonalized to avoid multicollinearity. ZSCORE is the distance to default, measured as the bank’s return on assets plus the equity capital/GTA ratio divided by the standard deviation
of the return on assets. This variable is orthogonalized to avoid multicollinearity. Ln(GTA) is the log of GTA. D-MBHC and D-OBHC are dummy variables that equal 1 if the bank has
been part of a multibank holding company or a one-bank holding company over the prior three years. D-BANK-MERGE is a dummy that equals 1 if the bank was involved in one or more
mergers over the past three years, combining the charters of two or more banks. D-DELTA-OWN is a dummy that equals 1 if the bank was acquired in the last three years, indicated by a
change in top-tier holding company with no change in charter. HERF is a bank-level Herfindahl index based on bank and thrift deposits (the only variable for which geographic location
is publicly available). We first establish the Herfindahl index of the markets in which the bank has deposits and then weight these market indices by the proportion of the bank’s deposits
in each of these markets. SHARE-ML is the share of market bank and thrift deposits held by medium and large banks (GTA exceeding $1 billion). Ln(POP) is the natural log of weighted
average population in all markets in which a bank has deposits, using the proportion of deposits held by a bank in each market as weights. Ln(DENSITY) is the weighted average population
density (natural log of population per square mile) in all markets in which a bank has deposits, using the proportion of deposits held by a bank in each market as weights. INC-GROWTH is
the weighted average income growth in all markets in which a bank has deposits, using the proportion of deposits held by a bank in each market as weights. All regressions are run with
both time fixed effects and bank fixed effects.
The sample period is 1993–2003. t-statistics based on robust standard errors clustered by bank are in parentheses. ∗ , ∗∗ , and ∗∗∗ denote significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels,
respectively.
3823
40
Our “mat” measures classify loans entirely based on maturities and hence do not take differences in securitizability
into account.
3824
Bank Liquidity Creation
bank may have securitized virtually its entire residential real estate portfolio in
that year, while another bank may have securitized nothing.
Using this alternative approach, the banking sector created more liquidity,
but the growth pattern is similar to the “cat fat” pattern described in Section 3.
Based on this alternative measure, liquidity creation equaled $1.843 trillion in
1993 and increased by about 70% to $3.168 trillion in 2003.
The regression results presented in panel B of Table 7 reinforce our prior
findings. That is, for large banks, the relationship between capital and liquidity
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The Review of Financial Studies / v 22 n 9 2009
One motivation for using this alternative capital ratio is to see if there is
a different effect of regulatory capital from conventional equity capital on
liquidity creation. A second motivation is to allow for a broader definition of
capital in line with some of the theoretical studies. For example, Diamond and
Rajan (2000, 2001) indicate that capital in their analysis may be interpreted as
either equity or long-term debt, sources of funds that cannot run on the bank.
The results based on this alternative capital ratio are shown in Table 8 and
are qualitatively similar to our main results. The relationship between capi-
6.5 Splitting the sample by bank holding company status, wholesale versus
retail orientation, and merger status
In all of the regression results presented thus far, we have split our sample
only by size. In Section 3, however, we also split our sample by bank holding
company status, wholesale versus retail orientation, and merger status, and
showed that substantial time-series and cross-sectional variation exists among
these banks in terms of their ability to create liquidity. We now test the robust-
ness of our main results by rerunning our regressions by size class for MBHC
Table 8
The effect of capital on liquidity creation based on an alternative capital ratio
Large banks Medium banks Small banks
cat fat/GTA cat fat/GTA cat fat/GTA
(continued overleaf)
3826
Bank Liquidity Creation
Table 8
(Continued)
Large banks Medium banks Small banks
cat fat/GTA cat fat/GTA cat fat/GTA
This table presents regression results using an alternative capital ratio (discussed in Section 7.4). The dependent
variable is cat fat/GTA, the dollar amount of liquidity a bank has created (calculated using our preferred “cat fat”
liquidity creation measure as defined in Table 1) normalized by GTA. GTA equals total assets plus the allowance
for loan and lease losses and the allocated transfer risk reserve (a reserve for certain foreign loans). Results are
shown for large banks (GTA exceeding $3 billion), medium banks (GTA $1 billion–$3 billion), and small banks
(GTA up to $1 billion).
TOTRAT is the ratio of total capital (as defined in the Basel I capital standards) to GTA. EARNVOL is the standard
deviation of the bank’s quarterly return on assets measured over the previous twelve quarters, multiplied by 100.
CREDITRISK is a credit risk measure, calculated as the bank’s Basel I risk-weighted assets and off-balance sheet
activities divided by GTA. This variable is orthogonalized to avoid multicollinearity. ZSCORE is the distance
to default, measured as the bank’s return on assets plus the equity capital/GTA ratio divided by the standard
deviation of the return on assets. This variable is orthogonalized to avoid multicollinearity. Ln(GTA) is the log of
GTA. D-MBHC and D-OBHC are dummy variables that equal 1 if the bank has been part of a multibank holding
company or a one-bank holding company over the prior three years. D-BANK-MERGE is a dummy that equals 1
if the bank was involved in one or more mergers over the past three years, combining the charters of two or more
banks. D-DELTA-OWN is a dummy that equals 1 if the bank was acquired in the last three years, indicated by a
change in top-tier holding company with no change in charter. HERF is a bank-level Herfindahl index based on
bank and thrift deposits (the only variable for which geographic location is publicly available). We first establish
the Herfindahl index of the markets in which the bank has deposits and then weight these market indices by the
proportion of the bank’s deposits in each of these markets. SHARE-ML is the share of market bank and thrift
deposits held by medium and large banks (GTA exceeding $1 billion). Ln(POP) is the natural log of weighted
average population in all markets in which a bank has deposits, using the proportion of deposits held by a bank
in each market as weights. Ln(DENSITY) is the weighted average population density (natural log of population
per square mile) in all markets in which a bank has deposits, using the proportion of deposits held by a bank in
each market as weights. INC-GROWTH is the weighted average income growth in all markets in which a bank
has deposits, using the proportion of deposits held by a bank in each market as weights. All regressions are run
with both time fixed effects and bank fixed effects.
The sample period is 1993–2003. t-statistics based on robust standard errors clustered by bank are in parentheses.
∗ ∗∗
, , and ∗∗∗ denote significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels, respectively.
members, OBHC members, and independent banks; banks with wholesale and
retail orientations; and banks with and without recent M&A activity.
The results are shown in Table 9. For large banks, the coefficient on EQRAT
is positive and statistically significant (except for the small subsample of in-
dependent banks, which has only fifty-four observations). For medium banks,
the coefficient on EQRAT is positive and significant for OBHC members, and
not significant for any of the other subsamples. For small banks, the coefficient
is negative in all cases, and significant in all but one case. Thus, our main
findings are generally robust to splitting the data by bank holding company
status, wholesale versus retail orientation, and merger status.
3827
3828
cat fat/GTA cat fat/GTA cat fat/GTA cat fat/GTA cat fat/GTA cat fat/GTA cat fat/GTA
This table presents regression results. The dependent variable is cat fat/GTA, the dollar amount of liquidity a bank has created (calculated using our preferred “cat fat” liquidity creation
measure as defined in Table 1) normalized by GTA. GTA equals total assets plus the allowance for loan and lease losses and the allocated transfer risk reserve (a reserve for certain foreign
loans).
The sample is split in three ways. First, by bank holding company status: multibank holding company (MBHC) member, one-bank holding company (OBHC) member, and independent
bank. Second, by wholesale versus retail orientation: banks with below versus above average number of branches. Third, by merger status: banks that engaged in M&A activity during the
previous three years versus banks that did not engage in M&A activity recently.
Panels A, B, and C contain the results for large banks (GTA exceeding $3 billion), medium banks (GTA $1 billion–$3 billion), and small banks (GTA up to $1 billion), respectively. All
panels show only the coefficients on EQRAT (total equity capital as a proportion of GTA) in the interest of parsimony, although the regressions include all the exogenous variables from the
full specification as defined in Table 4. All regressions are run with both time fixed effects and bank fixed effects.
The sample period is 1993–2003. t-statistics based on robust standard errors clustered by bank are in parentheses. ∗ , ∗∗ , and ∗∗∗ denote significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels,
respectively.
43
In an earlier version of the article, we also investigated whether omitted variables could drive our results. For
example, increased corporate governance pressures over time may have forced management of small banks to
more aggressively court deposits and create liquidity, causing the observed negative relationship between capital
and liquidity creation for these banks. To address this, we tested whether the negative effect is stronger for small
banks in the second half of the sample period and examined whether capital ratios of small banks decreased over
time. The results of these analyses were inconsistent with the alternative corporate governance explanation of
our results.
44
An alternative way to establish causality would be to shock banks with more capital (e.g., by imposing higher
capital requirements) and examine the effect on liquidity creation. This is not possible for us, however, since
such exogenous shocks did not occur during our sample period.
45
We explained in Section 4.2 why it is important to include time and bank fixed effects in the main regressions.
Our use of fixed effects in OLS and IV regressions is in line with the recent literature (e.g., Rajan and Zingales
1998; Anderson and Reeb 2003; Desai, Foley, and Hines 2004; Berger et al. 2008; Klapper, Laeven, and Rajan
2006). Although many papers do not elaborate on the first-stage regressions, it is clear from Levitt (2002) and
Faulkender and Petersen (2006) that they explicitly include fixed effects in this stage.
3829
The Review of Financial Studies / v 22 n 9 2009
instrument that meets both requirements are therefore carried out following the
approach highlighted above. After discussing our instruments, we explain our
approach for regressions that use the other instrument.
Our first instrument is EFF-TAX, the state income tax rate a bank has to
pay. Since interest on debt is tax deductible while dividend payments are not,
banks that operate in states with higher income tax rates are expected to have
lower equity ratios, keeping all else equal. Furthermore, there is no reason to
believe that the state income tax rate directly affects liquidity creation. Similar
46
In each state (except Ohio), the highest tax bracket starts at or below $1 million in pretax profits: when we use
the marginal tax rate on $1 million in pretax profits as our instrument, we obtain similar results. In Ohio, banks
pay 0.015 times the book value of their stock. However, for comparability reasons, we use the corporate income
tax rate to calculate Ohio taxes.
47
In contrast to Ashcraft (2008), we use the income tax rate banks have to pay rather than the corporate income tax
rate. These rates differ in ten states. To illustrate, in South Dakota, corporations did not pay income tax between
1993 and 2003, while banks paid 6%. In North Dakota, corporations paid 10.35%, while banks were taxed at
7%. Also, unlike Ashcraft (2008), we do not average the tax rate over our sample period. This ensures that we
do not use forward-looking data in our regressions.
48
It would be preferable to use the share of pretax income earned in each state as weights, but Call Reports (and
other data sources) do not provide these data.
49
These calculations are based on data from the triennial Survey of Consumer Finances in 1995, 1998, 2001, and
2004, as presented in Tables 3 and 6 in Bucks, Kennickell, and Moore (2006). In particular, we compare average
values for families headed by a senior (65–74-year-olds and 75-year-olds and above) with values for an average
family.
50
Becker (2007) uses Survey of Consumer Finances data to show that seniors also hold more deposits than the
average family, and hence uses the fraction of seniors as an instrument for deposits of small banks. However,
the impact of age on deposits is dwarfed by the impact of age on equity holdings. For example, in 2001, the
median value of transaction accounts plus CDs for families headed by seniors was $13,400 (65–74-year-olds)
and $15,900 (75-year-olds and up) versus $6000 for all families. In contrast, the median value of stock held by
3830
Bank Liquidity Creation
Panel A of Table 10 examines the extent to which the instruments vary. The
data suggest that there is substantial time-series variation for the tax rate for
both size classes. We therefore use the entire sample and include time and bank
fixed effects in all the analyses in which we employ the effective tax rate. The
fraction of seniors shows sufficient variation in the cross section, but not over
time since we only have information on the fraction of seniors from the 2000
Census. In the analyses that use SENIORS, we therefore do not use the entire
sample and do not include time and bank fixed effects. Rather, we use liquidity
families headed by seniors was $58,800 (65–74-year-olds) and $41,000 (75-year-olds and up) versus $17,900
for all families. Values are calculated as the likelihood of holding a particular asset times the median dollar value
of the holdings of those that do own that asset. The underlying data are from the 2001 Survey of Consumer
Finances as presented in Tables 5B and 6 in Aizcorbe, Kennickell, and Moore (2003).
51
Levitt (1996) finds that the number of prisoners has a negative effect on crime that is five times larger when
he uses instruments for the prison population. He argues that the coefficients in his original regressions are too
low because the number of prisoners is negatively correlated with the residuals and that he obtains consistent
estimates when he uses instruments.
3831
Table 10
The effect of capital on liquidity creation based on instrumental variable regressions
3832
Large banks Small banks Fraction of seniors Large banks Small banks
This table contains results from our instrumental variable approach for large banks (GTA exceeding $3 billion), and small banks (GTA up to $1 billion). GTA equals total assets plus the allowance for
loan and lease losses and the allocated transfer risk reserve (a reserve for certain foreign loans). Panel A shows summary statistics on the instruments. Panel B contains first-stage regression results. The
dependent variable is EQRAT, total equity capital as a proportion of GTA. Panel C shows second-stage regression results. In these regressions, the dependent variable is cat fat/GTA, the dollar amount of
liquidity a bank has created (calculated using our preferred “cat fat” liquidity creation measure as defined in Table 1) normalized by GTA and EQRAT is alternatively instrumented with EFF-TAX and
SENIORS.
EFF-TAX is the effective state income tax rate a bank has to pay on $1 million in pretax income (see Ashcraft 2006). All regressions that include EFF-TAX are run with both time fixed effects and bank
fixed effects. SENIORS is the fraction of seniors in all markets in which a bank has deposits, using the proportion of deposits held by a bank in each market as weights. The fraction of seniors is calculated
using county- and MSA-level population data from the 2000 decennial Census. All regressions that include SENIORS are run with liquidity creation data only from the year 2001 and lagged values of the
instrument (i.e., the 2000 Census values) and the other exogenous variables; since these are cross-sectional rather than panel regressions, time fixed effects and bank fixed effects are not included.
Panel B shows only the coefficients on the instruments, and panel C shows only the coefficients on EQRAT (total equity capital as a proportion of GTA) in the interest of parsimony, although the regressions
include all the exogenous variables from the full specification as defined in Table 4 (except that bank and time fixed effects are excluded when SENIORS are used as the instrument).
The sample period is 1993–2003. t-statistics based on robust standard errors clustered by bank are in parentheses. ∗ , ∗∗ , and ∗∗∗ denote significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels, respectively.
7. Conclusion
According to banking theory, banks exist because they create liquidity and
transform risk. Our understanding of the liquidity creation role is hampered by
the absence of comprehensive liquidity creation measures. The first contribu-
52
Because our liquidity creation measure includes current capital, we also rerun the instrumental variable regres-
sions with our liquidity creation measure that excludes capital as a robustness check. While we lose statistical
significance for large banks, the results are similar for small banks.
3833
The Review of Financial Studies / v 22 n 9 2009
with it reduced liquidity creation by small banks, but enhanced liquidity creation
by large banks.
Our liquidity creation measures may also be used to address a number of
other interesting issues that are beyond the scope of this article, but may be
pursued in future research. Does liquidity creation affect economic growth?
How do monetary policy initiatives by central banks, changes in deposit insur-
ance, and other policy innovations affect liquidity creation? How does liquidity
creation differ across nations? How much liquidity do banks create compared to
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