FIle 1 - M
FIle 1 - M
FIle 1 - M
power generation
companies
Board training document
September 28th, 2021
Jochen Latz
Partner Matias Melero Christian Staudt
Associate Partner Associate Partner
Europe
Cologne office US US/Europe Washington
Digital Power Plant Stamford office DC office Renewables
Thermal Power
Digital and analytics (DnA) levers will drive Provide a perspective of what is digital in power
significant value creation in almost every industry, generation and what are leading integrated and
and power generation is not an exception. IPP players doing worldwide in terms of DnA.
Many of the world’s leading power generation Understand core value drivers in specific
companies are investing in digital, but with technologies (Thermal, Hydro, Renewables) and
different levels of conviction and success. cross-technology workflows.
However, it is not uncommon for energy companies to Reflect on what lessons we have learned to
struggle scaling DnA levers and drive successfully deploy a Digital transformation in
significant value creation. power generation.
“By turning analyzed smart meter data into In 2018, we built an innovation hub to scale
proactive, convenient care for our customers, practices across the entire company, not just IT. That
“We developed a line of business and IT
Vistra is adding to an already strong record of framework allowed the IT department to partner
partnership to tackle data and analytics as a
innovation in the world of retail electricity" with our business, to drive innovation and to ensure
part of PG&E’s Digital Catalyst group. transformation is ingrained in our core”
The Digital Catalyst approach combines – Bonnie Titone,
design thinking, agile development and co- – Scott
location of business and IT resources.
CIO, 2020
Hudson president of Vistra
– Jen Owens Retail, 2021
Member of PG&E’s Digital Catalyst
group, 2018
–Roland Busch,
CEO, 2021
McKinsey & Company
McKinsey & Company 5
Major players have taken actions according to their digital vision
and strategy
NON-EXHAUSTIVE
Digital vision “Foundations have “Our digital strategy “We realized we “Digitization is As part of its 2030 “Our "EDP Group’s "Innovation is an
and strategy been laid using the focuses on needed to focus on going to play a strategy, EDF is commitment to digitization important driver
cloud, platforms keeping us at the both the customer fundamental role focusing its continuous process is taking of the new Axpo
and cyber security forefront of our and employee in the energy transformation improvement in over the strategy. Digital
as enabling industry with a key experience. That transformation programme on everything we do company's entire transformation was
factors. The focus in offshore goal would drive through the “accountability, drives us to landscape, the basis for
strategy for the wind power our overall digital electrification of the simplification and develop changing […] the corporate change
coming years operations, transformation economy” innovation/digital innovative, way we interact even before
targets large- customer solutions, strategy. ” technology” industry- with our Corona. Axpo
scale digitization market trading, leading employees, intends to use the
to maximize value.” combined heat and solutions to customers and the opportunities
power plant complex communities we offered by this
operations and challenges” serve." process.."
shared services.”
Actions taken In 2017 Enel launched Running 800 FTE IT In In 2016, Engie Since 2008, digitizationAcquired Oreka Acquired Windlogics, Established EDP Launched a pilot project at
Enel X, global e- department and adding created Engie Digital, a of centralized asset Solutions, a solution an advanced analytics Digital Global Unit as the Sarganserland power
solutions business line Architecture and Centre of Excellence management provider of 3D wind forecast company in separate department to plant to make it the first
including 4 core areas: e- Design departments dedicated to support the simulations for 2006 integrate digital digital power plant in
home, e-industry, e- city digital transfor-mation of IT department works in decommissioning initiatives in core Switzerland
and e-mobility Established 6 Agile the Group’s 25 BUs. an agile manner that is nuclear plants Established Digital functions
Release Trains (ART) driving many of the Transformation Office Tests using drones to
Fully migrated to cloud running across the Invested in Tiko, a initiatives Teep Trak, a start-up under CIO EDP digital factory inspect power plant
in 2019 (100% organization, with pioneer in the specializing in indus- developed >300 digital water catchments that
applications in Cloud Offshore operations as development of intel- trial performance MVP initiatives are difficult to access
most advanced ligent energy manage- monitoring solutions,
ment systems in 2019 raised EUR 3 million
through EDF incubator
Selected Using drones to reduce Installation of smart Implemented Robotic Installed asset life cycle Developed Use of advanced Built Digital AI forecast model
the operation, wind sensors led to Process Automation in management and VVProPrepa, a video analytics and Monitoring Center to increase
implemented
maintenance and virtual uplift in production of their back offices, with a predictive analysis with game styled training for predictive mainte- avoids efficiency accuracy of wind
use case reality to train 2% increase in efficiency maintenance teams to to losses, increases forecasts success-
0.2-0.3% for SGRE2 single license having the nance allows NextEra
and impact specialized fleet equal to DKK ~21 processing capability of 6 and 35% reduction in explore reactor buildings to operate at $3 to $4 availability, and fully implemented
technicians mn in EBITDA p.a. human workers turndown down to the smallest [per MWh] better than reduces maintenance Spain and gradually
detail competition costs rolled out in Europe
Virtual and Augmented Reality Big data/open data Cloud Additive manufacturing (e.g.,
(e.g., heat rate training, PM technology 3D Printing in maint.)
execution, remote operation)
5 Consumables optimization
5 Consumables optimization
DnA AI and Machine Learning applications to Using PRiSM software (by Schneider), develops Connected to over 30,0000 locations and can
Capabilities forecast energy demand, enabling: data models to pick up patters in sensor remotely manage and control “hundreds
and energy plant data for maintenance and and thousands” of energy assets.
Efficient dispatch of generation fleet
performance.
Early warning of anomalies Deploys Predictive Maintenance for Networks
Assets:
Virtual Reality technology to
enable real-time collaboration between Machine learning to predict if an asset on the
remote sites and Vistra subject matter electrical network is likely to fail
experts.
Digital Have implemented 300+ real time “Duke Energy Smart Gen Program” Building an Energy Economic Integrated
execution Machine Learning models across the fossil developed monitoring, predictive analytics, data platform to power different forecasting
highlights fleet to drive operational improvement and and diagnostics infrastructure: modules and enable prompt market insights.
plant efficiencies. Has 4 monitoring stations for reviewing Uses Tableau to monitor the status of
As of 2020, produced 1-2% efficiency the health of its power generation fleet1 hundreds of sensors on each Combined
gains across fleet Heat and Power (CHP) system:
Over 30,000 sensors implemented across
50 selected power plants for asset health Visualizes and analyses using deep
monitoring and alert notification. learning algorithms that determine their
600 TBs volume database growth from
health and state
2014-2018 of new operating data. Leverages SparkCognition AI algorithms to
safeguard turbines by predicting potential
disasters and shut down.
1. As of 2016
Sources: Company websites, Annual reports, Press search
McKinsey & Company 12
Proven Fossil Analytics Impact Cases
Not exhaustive
Use-case Description
Unit 1 Heat rate setpoint Real time optimizer providing frequent setpoint recommendations to operator to optimize overall system
Efficiency optimization efficiency – boiler efficiency, turbine, augmentation mode usage – leveraging historic unit specific
operating data and real time input conditions (e.g., coal quality, water temperature, ambient conditions)
Real time recommendation of desired operating mode to optimize between fuel and maintenance costs
2 Optimized dispatch (e.g., LTSA)
strategy
Aggregate risk signal by trip archetype that synthesizes multiple sensor data to identify anomalous
Unit 3 Advanced trip behavior taking into consideration actual run profile, performs initial root cause analysis and provides
Availability prediction prescriptive actions to operations perform
Real time planner to optimize timing of main maintenance activities such as boiler cleaning, filter changeouts,
4 Maintenance compressor washes, taking into consideration actual and expected performance and degradation and associated
optimization O&M costs
Performance management dashboards leveraging real time data to set targets to operators while improving site-
Unit 5 Start-up and ramp commercial / HQ coordination
Flexibility sequence
6 Day ahead capacity Dynamic max generation estimations based on input quality
Ambient temperature °F
~0.5-2%
Improvement in heat
rate in CCGT
1-3%
Improvement in heat
rate in coal plants
From single variable alarms… …to multivariate predictions… …to prescriptive insights
Monitor behavior of individual Defining trip archetypes (e.g., temp spread Prescribes action based upon
variables (i.e., bearing tirp, temp trip, valve failure, vibration, pump aggregate failure risk and associated
temperature) to gauge failure risk health) and dynamically aggregate insights system behavior to deliver dynamic,
and equipment health across all key variables to gauge failure asset actionable insights
risk profile
Predict and notify control room
of increased failure risk
Pressure Temp IR
sensors sensors sensors
Bearing
temp
Quality Level
sensors sensors
Prescribe actionable interventions
Renewables
Hydro
Cross-cutting workflows
5 Consumables optimization
Realtime data sensor uplink: ML based performance optimization and In house forecasting tool provides customized
Transmits performance and weather data predictive maintenance scheduling. meteorological and power predictions for
each plant.
Integrated price forecast module. Integrated Developed proprietary AA tool for renewables
site design that considers: Uses big data for predictive maintenance of
weather forecast module. offshore turbines and developed AI models to
Weather, resource data, land constraints, and
Performance data visibility across predict faults in onshore turbines components.
equipment characteristics for ideal build sites
operations, maintenance, and 3rd parties. Remotely monitors and operates ~7 GW of RE
Uses historic and forecast data to extract
Digital maximum power output from resources across 55 sites (14 solar) from NCC1 in Portland,
execution OR.
highlights 1 Billion data points collected every day to
Majority of Engie’s renewable fleet is optimize project development, maximize Digitally manages its electricity generation
connected to its digital analytics platform. revenues and reduce operational costs assets.
Dedicated team of developers working with Forecasting a 30% reduction in their Solar Launched an international competition to
different external partners to develop O&M costs per MWh by 2022 resulting from identify solutions for renewables. 70+ teams
software/systems: their digital work plans. from 24 countries participated.
Developed Darwin, which collects real time Purchased WindLogic Inc. (resource analysis Piloting waterless PV cleaning solution and
data for renewable energy assets and forecasting solution) in 2006 to leverage data soiling data measurement system.
Conducts drone assisted inspections insights and analytics prowess. Along with Shell, funded a $6M Series A round
identifying: for Innowatts (a Texas based energy AI
1. National Control Center
Hotspots, disconnected strings, micro- platform) that predicts power demand using ML
cracks, internal corrosion, and and big data.
delamination
McKinsey & Company 19
While there is a multitude of digital levers and use cases, the full
value is captured by integrating them into a new operating model
Detailed next
Renewables
value chain Develop Own & Build Operate & market
Traditional Leverage forward- Standard Engineering modules Yield and availability optimization, e.g.,
levers looking cost curves Design-to-Cost analysis (incl. suppliers) Cleaning cycle optimization
project scope
Tech. specification structure review Optimized vegetation management
Targeted securing land
Collaborative contracting approach Remote external monitoring
rights
Change orders management Remote resets
Select digital Automatic site Geospatial performance monitoring Automated shadow detection and correction
use cases selection based on Digitally-enabled sourcing tool, e.g., leveraging Tracker efficiency improvement
forecasted demand, commodity price forecasting Unnatural module degradation identification
interconnection
Capex Digitalization (5 BIM, digital twin, virtual Real time loss measurement and
information, and site
testing) improvement Static Yaw Alignment
condition
Wake optimization
Predictive maintenance
Sensor-based, integrated online condition
monitoring
Automated and dynamic planning,
scheduling, dispatching and routing
McKinsey & Company 20
By leveraging geospatial data, solar developers been able to assess
solar project trajectory, efficiency and execution practices
Roadrunner – a 497MWdc solar project completed in Q3 2020 in West Texas
Holiday break
2019 2020
© AIRBUS DS (2019-2020) © CNES (2019-2020) – All data is anonymized and aggregated without personal identifying information, complying with privacy laws McKinsey & Company 21
Wake Optimization – Opportunity to optimize individual turbine
level and park level harvesting of wind energy content
Context
Approach Impact
ReNew is a large Setup agile analytics lab with tangible Wind turbine yield
renewables player business value.
with over 5GW +2-2.5% post
installed capacity in Data management to streamline access correction on
Wind and Solar. across multiple sources. underperforming
Organization-wide workshops for use- turbines.
Strategic priority to
leverage digital and case pipeline generation and prioritization.
analytics to increase Use-case delivery in waves - model Solar plants generation
generation and extract building and implementation prioritized by enhancement by
more value from value at stake. 0.5-1%
existing solar and Engagement of site teams and business
wind assets. partners (e.g. OEMs) Agile Lab in place with
inhouse data scientists
and engineers
McKinsey & Company23
Introduction: Digital and Analytics (DnA) in Power Generation
Hydro
Cross-cutting workflows
5 Consumables optimization
Potential value
Levers extraction Example initiatives
Optimize yield Increase asset • Turbine/pump optimization based on
1 availability and yield real time water conditions (turbidity,
through technical, currents, temp, etc)
digital, and analytics
tools • Solid waste and preventive cleaning
systems
• Data acquisition, collection and
management
Main Introduced innovative technologies to Create a revamped digital strategy for Become world’s first fully digital utility
objectives improve the safety and technical- better management of its 43 assets by integrating its whole value chain &
economic performance of the hydro (hydropower, coal & natural gas) in the ensuring lowest possible carbon footprint.
fleet. Iberian Peninsula.
DnA Developed a digital platform for Created a revamped digital strategy to Set up a 25,000 square foot digital
initiatives predictive maintenance (PresAGHO) enhance management practices in all “mission control” center in New York &
for its 44 hydro plant feet (+50MW) in assets. within it an Integrated Smart Operations
Latin America. Entered 5 year partnership contract with a Center (iSOC) to review insights supplied
Used drones & robots to facilitate vendor to use AI algorithms to facilitate by data analytics.
plant inspection in confined places. real time evaluation of energy
Launched unmanned aerial vehicle production variables.
(UAV) in Beyond Visual Line of Sight This enabled EDP to create actionable
(BVLOS) mode to monitor the health of insight to balance reliability,
certain channels in Italy. availability, performance & cost
Data integration across conventional against risk to maximize asset value.
generation, renewables, trading,
distribution and retail using Enel Unified
Virtual Data Lake (developed as part of 5
year partnership with C3).
Sources: Company websites, Annual reports, Press search
McKinsey & Company 27
European player aiming to optimize dispatching of hydro assets
Expected impact
~1.8 USD/MWh or ~3%
of additional revenues D. Post implementation /
KPI monitoring
Cross-cutting workflows
5 Consumables optimization
Process
Identify bad Analyze root Implement Continuously
actors Assess gap cause & derive actions & track improve
actions
How
technology
can Real time Relevant data pre- System-supported Learning
support visualization and filled System supported tracking and algorithms for
notifications based root case monitoring pattern recognition
analysis &
recommendations
Source: McKinsey
McKinsey & Company 31
Maintenance execution: Digital Maintenance App helps for digitized
maintenance process
End-to-end process
2
Use cases development and
Technology transformation
1 implementation
Digitized business processes
All cases tied to value
2
2-speed IT and data architecture
Backbone systems for rapid
Digital transformation deployment
1 3
Business transformation Organization transformation New governance, roles, and skills
3
required
New ways of working
Establish transition plan in line with
business roadmap
McKinsey
McKinsey &
& Company
Company 35
35
We have learned that there are six key success factors to ensure
sustainable value capture and business DnA transformation
A Digital
transformation
must… Focus on impact Build conviction Start with MVPs
Be value-back not technology- Engage the organization to build Start quickly and then improve:
forward: DnA must drive business conviction: through alignment with have an small but highly skilled DnA
value through a well coordinated strategy, interactions with previously teams initially for anchor roles and
implementation instead of success cases and early development of don’t wait for perfect data to get
independent use cases proof-of-concept in critical areas started – almost all companies have
“good enough” data