Module 3 - Quarter 4 - Prob and Statistics
Module 3 - Quarter 4 - Prob and Statistics
SECOND SEMESTER
PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS
Content Standard
The learner demonstrates understanding of key concepts of tests of hypotheses
on the population mean and population proportion
Performance Standard
The learner is able to perform appropriate tests of hypotheses involving the
population mean and population proportion to make inferences in real-life problems in
different disciplines.
Competencies
Identifies the appropriate rejection region for a given level of significance
when: (a) the population variance is assumed to be known; (b) the population
variance is assumed to be unknown; and (c) the Central Limit Theorem is to be
used.
The critical region is the region of values that corresponds to the rejection of the null
hypothesis at some chosen probability level. The shaded area under the Student's t
distribution curve is equal to the level of significance. The critical values are
tabulated and thus obtained from the Student's t table or anther appropriate table. If
the absolute value of the t statistic is larger than the tabulated value, then t is in the
critical region.
The statistical tests used will be one tailed or two tailed depending on the nature of
the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis.
The following hypothesis applies to test for the mean:
2
Left-tailed test
3
Right-tailed test
Example 1.
A researcher reports that the average salary of assistant professors is more
than 42,000. A sample of 30 assistant professors has a mean salary of 43,260. At α =
0.05, test the claim that assistant professors earn more than 42,000 per year. The
standard deviation of the population is 5230. Identify the region of rejection.
Solution.
Find the critical value.
Since α = 0.05 and the test is a right-tailed test, the critical value is z =
+1.65.
Example 2.
A researcher claims that the average cost of men’s athletic shoes is less than
80. He selects a random sample of 36 pairs of shoes from a catalog and finds the
following. Is there enough evidence to support the researcher’s claim at α = 0.10? .
Identify the region of rejection.
Assume σ = 19.2.
60 70 75 55 80 55 50 40 80 70 50
95 120 90 75 85 80 60 110 65 80 85
85 45 75 60 90 90 60 95
110 85 45 90 70 70
4
Solution.
Find the critical value. Since α = 0.10 and the test is a left-tailed test, the critical
value is -1.28.
Example 3.
The Medical Rehabilitation Education Foundation reports that the average cost
of rehabilitation for stroke victims is 24,672. To see if the average cost of rehabilitation
is different at a particular hospital, a researcher selects a random sample of 35 stroke
victims at the hospital and finds that the average cost of their rehabilitation is 25,226.
The standard deviation of the population is 3251. At α = 0.01, can it be concluded that
the average cost of stroke rehabilitation at a particular hospital is different from
24,672? Identify the region of rejection.
Solution.
Since α = 0.01 and the test is a two-tailed test, the critical values are -2.58 and
+2.58.
Example 4.
Hospital Infections. A medical investigation claims that the average number of
infections per week at a hospital in southern Davao is 16.3. A random sample of 10
weeks had a mean number of 17.7 infections. The sample standard deviation is 1.8.
Is there enough evidence to reject the investigator’s claim at α = 0.05? Identify the
region of rejection.
Solution.
The critical values are +2.262 and -2.262 for a = 0.05 and df. = 9.
5
Example 5.
Substitute Teachers’ Salaries. An educator claims that the average salary of
substitute teachers in school districts in DepEd, is less than 60 per day. A random
sample of eight school districts is selected, and the daily salaries are shown. Is there
enough evidence to support the educator’s claim at α = 0.10?
60 56 60 55 70 55 60 55
Activities
(For practice purposes only)
Draw the curve showing the critical region of rejection of the problems
below.
2. In the past the average length of an outgoing telephone call from a business
office has been 143 seconds. A manager wishes to check whether that average
has decreased after the introduction of policy changes. A sample of 100
telephone calls produced a mean of 133 seconds, with a standard deviation of
35 seconds. Perform the relevant test at the 1% level of significance
5. Researchers wish to test the efficacy of a program intended to reduce the length
of labor in childbirth. The accepted mean labor time in the birth of a first child is
15.3 hours. The mean length of the labors of 13 first-time mothers in a pilot
program was 8.8 hours with standard deviation 3.1 hours. Assuming a normal
distribution in time of labor, test at the 10% level of significance test whether
the mean labor time for all women following this program is less than 15.3
hours.
ASSESSMENT
General Direction
In ½ crosswise answer the problem below. Please don’t forget to write your
name, grade level and section in the upper left part of your answer sheet.
Draw the curve showing the critical region of rejection of the problems
below.
2. Six coins of the same type are discovered in an archaeological site. If their
weights on average are significantly different from 5.25 grams then it can be
assumed that their provenance is not the site itself. The coins are weighed and
have mean 4.73 g with sample standard deviation 0.18 g. Perform a relevant
test at 0.1% (1/10th of 1%) level of significance, assuming a normal distribution
of weights of all such coins.
The student has demonstrated merely an acquaintance with the topic, or provided a
completely incorrect or uninterpretable response. The student’s response may be
associated with the task, but contains few attributes of an appropriate response.
1 There are significant omissions or irregularities that indicate a lack of comprehension
in regard to the mathematical content and practices essential to this task. No
evidence is present that demonstrates the student’s competence in problem solving,
reasoning, and/or modeling related to the specified task.
Reference:
https://portal.smarterbalanced.org/library/en/mathematics-general-rubrics.pdf
Prepared by:
Ace Angstrom V. Abanes
09305784890