Problem Tree Analysis
Problem Tree Analysis
Problem tree analysis (also called Situational analysis or just Problem analysis) helps to find
solutions by mapping out the anatomy of cause and effect around an issue in a similar way to a
Mind map, but with more structure.
• The problem can be broken down into manageable and definable chunks. This enables a
clearer prioritisation of factors and helps focus objectives;
• There is more understanding of the problem and its often interconnected and sometimes
contradictory causes. This is often the first step in finding win-win solutions;
• It identifies the central issues and arguments, and can help establish who and what the
political actors and processes are at each stage;
• It can help establish whether further information, evidence or resources are needed to
make a strong case, or build a convincing solution;
• Present issues – rather than apparent, future or past issues – are dealt with and identified;
• The process of analysis often helps build a shared sense of understanding, purpose and
action.
Problem tree analysis is best carried out in a small focus group of about six to eight people using
flip chart paper or an overhead transparency. It is important that factors can be added as the
conversation progresses.
Step 1: Discuss and agree the problem or issue to be analysed. The problem can be broad, as the
problem tree will help break it down. The problem or issue is written in the centre of the flip chart
and becomes the ‘trunk’ of the tree. This becomes the ‘focal problem’. The problem should be an
actual issue everyone feels passionate about, described in general, key wording.
Step 2: Identify the causes of the focal problem – these become the roots – and then the
consequences, which become the branches. These causes and consequences can be created on
post-it notes or cards, perhaps individually or in pairs, so that they can be arranged in a cause-
and-effect logic.
The heart of the exercise is the discussion, debate and dialogue generated in the process of
creating the tree. Take time to allow people to explain their feelings and reasoning, and record
Source: www.iisd.org/csconservation/conflict_tree.aspx
Objective Tree: Following the problem tree analysis, it is possible to rephrase each of the problems
into positive desirable outcomes – as if the problem had already been treated, the problem can be
turned into an objectives tree. In this way, root causes and consequences are turned into root
solutions, and key project or influencing entry points are quickly established. A Force Field
analysis (Tool 16) could be a useful next step.
Opportunity Tree: Instead of focusing on ‘problems’ it is possible to use the tree to analyse
opportunities. This implies changing the initial question from “what is the problem and what are
underlying causes” to “what works well and what are underlying causes”. Can be done after
Appreciative story telling (Tool 6).
Learn more
This description has been adapted from the ODI Toolkit, Successful Communication, A Toolkit for
Researchers and Civil Society Organisations. www.odi.org/publications/5258-problem-tree-
analysis.
The opportunity tree is adapted from Participatory Action Research, Theory and methods for
engaged inquiry J. M. Chevalier and D. J. Buckles (2012).