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Central Limit Theorem

The document discusses the Central Limit Theorem and its applications. It provides examples of using the theorem to calculate probabilities related to sample means. Specifically, it shows how the sampling distribution of the mean approximates the normal distribution as sample size increases, allowing probabilities to be determined based on this approximation even if the population is not normally distributed. A variety of probability problems involving different distributions are worked through as illustrations.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
139 views3 pages

Central Limit Theorem

The document discusses the Central Limit Theorem and its applications. It provides examples of using the theorem to calculate probabilities related to sample means. Specifically, it shows how the sampling distribution of the mean approximates the normal distribution as sample size increases, allowing probabilities to be determined based on this approximation even if the population is not normally distributed. A variety of probability problems involving different distributions are worked through as illustrations.

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arvindshukla123
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The Central Limit Theorem

{The purpose of this exercise is to provide ample opportunity to familiarise yourself with the concept of the
[ ]
sampling distribution of the sample means and to verify the fact that E X = µ and
2

[ ]
Var X =
n
for such distributions.}

1) For each of the following distributions, a) find the mean µ and variance 2
,

b) by considering all possible samples of size 2, verify


2

[ ]
that E X = µ and Var X =[ ] n
.

i) x 0 1 2
P(X = x) 06 03 01

ii) x 0 1 2 3
P(X = x) 02 03 03 02

2) Find the mean µ and variance 2


of the random variable X shown in the table.

x 1 4 7
P(X = x) 1
3
1
3
1
3

By considering the 27 possible samples of size 3 taken from this distribution, verify that E X = µ [ ]
2

[ ]
and Var X =
n
.

1) Marks in a mathematics examination are normally distributed with mean 50 and standard deviation
10. What is the probability that:
a) the mean mark of a group of 5 students will be above 60,
b) the mean mark of a group of 20 students will be between 44 and 48 ?

2) The weights of a large group of animals have mean 8 2kg and variance 4 84kg2. What is the
probability that a random selection of 80 from the group will have mean weight between 8 3 and
8 4kg ?
State any assumptions that you make.

3) The weekly wages paid to the weekly paid staff of a manufacturing company are approximately
normally distributed with a mean of £33 40 and a standard deviation of £3 00.
a) Calculate the probability that the mean weekly wage of a random sample of 9 of the weekly paid
staff is within £2 of the population mean of £33 40.
b) How large a random sample should be taken if the sample mean is to have probability 0 9 of being
within £1 of the population mean ?
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4) A random sample of size 100 is taken from Bin(20, 0 6). Find the probability that
a) X is greater than 12 4, b) X is less than 12 2,
where X denotes the sample mean.

5) Random samples of size 30 are taken from Poi(4 5). Find the probability that a randomly chosen
sample has a sample mean in excess of 5.

6) A random samples of size 30 is taken from Poi(4). Find:


a) P( X < 4 5), b) P( X > 3 8), c) P(3 8 < X < 4 5).

7) If a large number of samples, of size n, are taken from Poi(4 6) and approximately 2 5% of the
sample means are less than 4 005, estimate n.
{Hint: Let X ~ Poi(4 6), then X approx. ~ N(4 6, 4n6 ). P( X < 4 005) = 0 025, ……standardise etc.}

8) If a large number of samples, of size n, are taken from Poi(2 9) and approximately 1% of the sample
means are greater than 3 41, estimate n.

9) If a large number of samples of size n are taken from Bin(20, 0 3) and approximately 90% of the
sample means are less than 2 7, estimate the value of n.

10) The standard deviation of the masses of articles in a large population is 4 55kg. If random samples of
size 100 are drawn from the population, find the probability that a sample mean will differ from the
true population mean by less than 0 8kg.

11) The weight of luggage that aircraft passengers take with them is distributed with mean 20kg and
standard deviation 5kg. A certain type of aircraft carries 100 passengers. What is the probability
that the total weight of the passengers’ luggage exceeds 2150kg ?

[HINT:- turn the problem into one involving a sample mean and then apply the central limit
theorem.]

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ANSWERS.
1) a) 0.0127, b) 0.1819.
2) Assume that the sampling distribution of the sampling means is approximately normal. 0.1339.
3) a) 0.9544, b) 25.
4) a) 0.034, b) 0.8194.
5) 0.0983.
6) a) 0.9145, b) 0.7081, c) 0.6226.
7) 50.
8) 60.
9) 20.
10) 0.9212.
11) 0.00135.

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