Session - 20-Problem Set-Solution - PK
Session - 20-Problem Set-Solution - PK
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.81242546193166
R Square 0.66003513119487
Adjusted R Squar 0.61753952259422
Standard Error 25.4009168303564
Observations 10
ANOVA
df SS MS
Regression 1 10021.25 10021.25
Residual 8 5161.653 645.2066
Total 9 15182.9
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.9620421485435
R Square 0.92552509557419
Adjusted R Squar 0.90424655145253
Standard Error 12.7096421575264
Observations 10
ANOVA
df SS MS
Regression 2 14052.15 7026.077
Residual 7 1130.745 161.535
Total 9 15182.9
F Significance F
2.276521 0.169781
F Significance F
15.53184 0.00429
F Significance F
43.4957 0.000113
ŷ = 45.06 + 1.94x1
An estimate of y when x1 = 45 is
ŷ = 85.22 + 4.32x2
An estimate of y when x2 = 15 is
96 5 1.5
90 2 2
95 4 1.5 The owner of Showtime Movie Theater
92 2.5 2.5 as a function of advertising expenditure
95 3 3.3
94 3.5 2.3 a. Develop an estimated regression equ
94 2.5 4.2 the independent variable.
94 3 2.5 b. Develop an estimated regression equ
advertising as the independent variable
c. Is the estimated regression equation
the same in part (a) and in part (b)? Inte
d. Predict weekly gross revenue for a w
and $1800 is spent on newspaper adve
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Standard Error
Observations
ANOVA
Regression
Residual
Total
Coefficients
Intercept
Televison
Advertising
($1000s)
Newspaper
Advertising
($1000s)
MARY OUTPUT
egression Statistics
0.958663
0.919036
0.88665
0.642587
8
df SS MS F Significance F
2 23.43541 11.7177 28.37777 0.001865
5 2.064592 0.412918
7 25.5
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
83.23009 1.573869 52.88248 4.572E-08 79.18433 87.27585 79.18433 87.27585
egression equation is
ue = 83.2 + 2.29 TVAdv + 1.30 NewsAdv
The regression equation is
Revenue = 88.6 + 1.60 TVAdv
Analysis of Variance
Source DF SS MS F P
Regression 1 16.640 16.640 11.27 0.015
Residual Error 6 8.860 1.477
Total 7 25.500
b.
Analysis of Variance
Source DF SS MS F P
Regression 2 23.435 11.718 28.38 0.002
Residual Error 5 2.065 0.413
Total 7 25.500
F P
28.38 0.002
(a) and 2.29 above. In part (b) it represents the marginal change in revenue due to an increase in television advertising with newspaper advertising held co
8) = $93.56 or $93,560
with newspaper advertising held constant.
Team Conf Yds/Att Int/Att Win% The National Football League (NFL) records a varie
Arizona CarNFC 6.5 0.042 50 and teams. To investigate the importance of passin
Atlanta FalNFC 7.1 0.022 62.5 team, the following data show the conference (Co
Carolina P NFC 7.4 0.033 37.5 attempt (Yds/Att), the number of interceptions thr
Cincinnati AFC 6.2 0.026 56.3 of games won (Win%) for a random sample of 16 N
Detroit Lio NFC 7.2 0.024 62.5 (NFL website, February 12, 2012).
Green Bay NFC 8.9 0.014 93.8
Houstan TeAFC 7.5 0.019 62.5 a. Develop the estimated regression equation that
IndianapoliAFC 5.6 0.026 12.5 of games won given the average number of passin
Jacksonvill AFC 4.6 0.032 31.3 b. Develop the estimated regression equation that
MinnesotaNFC 5.8 0.033 18.8 of games won given the number of interceptions t
New EnglanAFC 8.3 0.02 81.3 c. Develop the estimated regression equation that
New OrleanNFC 8.1 0.021 81.3 of games won given the average number of passin
Oakland RaAFC 7.6 0.044 50 of interceptions thrown per attempt.
San Franci NFC 6.5 0.011 81.3 d. The average number of passing yards per attem
Tennessee AFC 6.7 0.024 56.3 and the number of interceptions thrown per attem
Washington NFC 6.4 0.041 31.3 regression equation developed in part (c) to predic
the Kansas City Chiefs. (Note: For the 2011 season
7 wins and 9 losses.) Compare your prediction to t
by the Kansas City Chiefs.
ll League (NFL) records a variety of performance data for individuals
tigate the importance of passing on the percentage of games won by a
data show the conference (Conf), average number of passing yards per
e number of interceptions thrown per attempt (Int/Att), and the percentage
%) for a random sample of 16 NFL teams for the 2011 season
ary 12, 2012).
Analysis of Variance
Source DF SS MS F P
Regression 1 4814.3 4814.3 19.11 0.001
Residual Error 14 3527.4 252.0
Total 15 8341.7
Unusual Observations
Analysis of Variance
Source DF SS MS F P
Regression 1 3652.8 3652.8 10.91 0.005
Residual Error 14 4688.9 334.9
Total 15 8341.7
Unusual Observations
Analysis of Variance
Source DF SS MS F P
Regression 2 6277.0 3138.5 19.76 0.000
Residual Error 13 2064.7 158.8
Total 15 8341.7
Source DF Seq SS
Yds/Att 1 4814.3
Int/Att 1 1462.8
Unusual Observations
With 7 wins and 9 loses, the Kansas City Chiefs won 44% of the g
al St Resid
53 2.19R
dardized residual.
sas City Chiefs won 44% of the games they played. The predicted value is somewhat lower than the actual value.
Ship Overall Shore ExcuFood/Dining The Condé Nast Traveler Gold List for 2
Seabourn Odyssey 94.4 90.9 97.8 ships (Condé Nast Traveler website, M
Seabourn Pride 93 84.2 96.7 each ship received based upon the res
National Geographic E 92.9 100 88.5 Choice Survey. Each score represents t
Seabourn Sojourn 91.3 94.8 97.1 excellent or very good on several criter
Paul Gauguin 90.5 87.9 91.2 An overall score was also reported and
Seabourn Legend 90.3 82.1 98.8 Seabourn Odyssey, has an overall score
Seabourne Spirit 90.2 86.3 92 for Food/Dining.
Silver Explorer 89.9 92.6 88.9
Silver Spirit 89.4 85.9 90.8 a. Determine an estimated regression e
Seven Seas Navigator 89.2 83.3 90.5 score given the score for Shore Excursi
Silver Whisperer 89.2 82 88.6 b. Consider the addition of the indepen
Natinal Geographic Exp 89.1 93.1 89.7 regression equation that can be used t
Silver Cloud 88.7 78.3 91.3 Shore Excursions and Food/Dining.
Celebrity Xpedition 87.2 91.7 73.6 c. Predict the overall score for a cruise
Silver Shadow 87.2 75 89.7 Food/Dining Score of 90.
Silver Wind 86.6 78.1 91.6
SeaDream II 86.2 77.4 90.9
Wind Star 86.1 76.5 91.5
Wind Surf 86.1 72.3 89.3
Wind Spirit 85.2 77.4 91.9
é Nast Traveler Gold List for 2012 provided ratings for the top 20 small cruise
ndé Nast Traveler website, March 1, 2012). The data shown below are the scores
received based upon the results from Condé Nast Traveler’s annual Readers’
rvey. Each score represents the percentage of respondents who rated a ship as
or very good on several criteria, including Shore Excursions and Food/Dining.
l score was also reported and used to rank the ships. The highest ranked ship, the
Odyssey, has an overall score of 94.4, the highest component of which is 97.8
ine an estimated regression equation that can be used to predict the overall
n the score for Shore Excursions.
er the addition of the independent variable Food/Dining. Develop the estimated
n equation that can be used to predict the overall score given the scores for
ursions and Food/Dining.
the overall score for a cruise ship with a Shore Excursions score of 80 and a
ng Score of 90.
a. The Minitab output follows.
Analysis of Variance
Source DF SS MS F P
Regression 1 60.202 60.202 17.21 0.001
Residual Error 18 62.963 3.498
Total 19 123.166
Analysis of Variance
Source DF SS MS F P
Regression 2 90.955 45.477 24.00 0.000
Residual Error 17 32.211 1.895
Total 19 123.166
n 1 8 1
Ra2 1 (1 R 2 ) 1 (1 .919) .887
n p 1 8 2 1
er of passing
f games won
a. r 2 = .577. Thus, the averages number of passing yards per attempt
variability in the percentage of games won. Considering the na
factors that might be related to the number of games won, this
a. Develop an estimated regression equation that can be used to predict the average
number of runs given up per inning given the average number of strikeouts per inning
pitched.
b. Develop an estimated regression equation that can be used to predict the average number
of runs given up per inning given the average number of home runs per inning
pitched.
c. Develop an estimated regression equation that can be used to predict the average number
of runs given up per inning given the average number of strikeouts per inning
pitched and the average number of home runs per inning pitched.
d. A. J. Burnett, a pitcher for the New York Yankees, had an average number of strikeouts
per inning pitched of .91 and an average number of home runs per inning of .16.
Use the estimated regression equation developed in part (c) to predict the average
number of runs given up per inning for A. J. Burnett. (Note: The actual value for
R/IP was .6.)
e. Suppose a suggestion was made to also use the earned run average as another independent
variable in part (c). What do you think of this suggestion?
a. The Minitab output follows.
Analysis of Variance
Source DF SS MS F P
Regression 1 0.047263 0.047263 13.01 0.002
Residual Error 18 0.065392 0.003633
Total 19 0.112655
Analysis of Variance
Source DF SS MS F P
Regression 1 0.028874 0.028874 6.20 0.023
Residual Error 18 0.083781 0.004655
Total 19 0.112655
Unusual Observations
Analysis of Variance
Source DF SS MS F P
Regression 2 0.063477 0.031738 10.97 0.001
Residual Error 17 0.049178 0.002893
Total 19 0.112655
Source DF SS MS F P
Regression 2 0.063477 0.031738 10.97 0.001
Residual Error 17 0.049178 0.002893
Total 19 0.112655
P
23
esid
2.30R
residual.
P
001
P
001
Refer to exercise PR7, where Major League Baseball (MLB) pitching statistics were
reported for a random sample of 20 pitchers from the American League for the 2011
season (MLB website, March 1, 2012).
a. In part (c) of exercise 10, an estimated regression equation was developed relating the
average number of runs given up per inning pitched given the average number of
strikeouts per inning pitched and the average number of home runs per inning pitched.
What are the values of
b. Does the estimated regression equation provide a good fit to the data? Explain.
c. Suppose the earned run average (ERA) is used as the dependent variable in part (c)
instead of the average number of runs given up per inning pitched. Does the
estimated regression equation that uses the ERA provide a good fit to the data?
Explain.
ed relating the
ning pitched.
a. The Minitab output in exercise 10 shows that R 2 = .563 and Ra2 = .512.
b. The fit is not great, but considering the nature of the data being able to explain slight
than 50% of the variability in the number of runs given up per inning pitched using j
independent variables is not too bad.
Analysis of Variance
Source DF SS MS F P
Regression 2 5.1739 2.5870 14.17 0.000
Residual Error 17 3.1025 0.1825
Total 19 8.2765
Approximately 60% of the variability in the ERA can be explained by the linear effe
and SO/IP. This is not too bad considering the complexity of predicting pithing perf
Ra2 = .512.
e follows.
P
0
3
5
58.1%
P
0.000