Problems in MAFA
Problems in MAFA
Problems in MAFA
Introduction
In the increased competitive world, the objective of reduction in cost and maximization of
wealth cannot be overlooked / undermined, even if business is done across the borders.
Geography is transformed into history in the web enabled commercial world. But the
requirement of being efficient will not be lost at any point of transformation. Expert
knowledge in international financial management is a sine quo non to the successful
running of business, as knowledge is always power. Let us make a small beginning.
Direct Quote
Direct quotation is the one where so many units of local currency are given in terms of
one unit of foreign currency. Example 1$=Rs.46. Compare a domestic situation wherein
One kilo of Brinjal is priced for Rs.12.50. Foreign currency is akin to a commodity say, 1
kilogram of Brinjal - both have price.
Indirect Quote
Indirect quotation is the one where so many units of foreign currency are given in terms
of one unit or fixed number of units of local currency. Example Rs100=$2.1739. For
Rs.100 how many kilograms of Brinjal can be procured? The answer is 8 Kilograms of
Brinjal. {Rs.100/12.50}
Presently Direct quotes are in vogue except in England where indirect quotes are used.
The bid rate will be normally lower than the offer rate. The difference between the two is
referred to as spread. The spread is also expressed in terms of percentage on the offer
rate. That is spread/offer rate * 100.
Inverting quotes
Direct quotes can be converted to indirect quotes and vice versa is also possible. Two-
way quotes can also be expressed exactly in the opposite way by inverse operation. That
is 1/offer rate of a direct quote becomes bid rate of an indirect quote. Similarly 1/bid
rate of a direct quote bec omes offer rate of an indirect quote. This inverse operation
helps to find cross rates where quotation is not available between two currencies. That
is when INR/FFr is not available, we shall use INR/$, $/L and L/FFr. This may involve use
of 2 or more quotations.
Arbitrage
Arbitrage involves buying and selling a same currency in two different markets for gain.
It is a speculative action on the part of the authorized dealers. In a well-informed
market, it is not at all possible. Though academic interest is shown by many authors on
this subject, it cannot be ruled out totally.
Spot Rate
The rate used by the authorized dealers in immediately settling the transactions.
Practically not more than two days will take to complete the transactions when dealt on
spot rate. TT (Telegraphic Transfer) rate is the rate prevailing on the date of the dealing
of transactions. However TT rates are used widely by the bankers/authorized dealers
interse.
Forward Rate
It is possible to buy/sell currencies for transaction (delivery) at an agreed future dates
usually 1 month, 3 months or 6 months later from the date of the transaction. This rate
is referred to as Forward Rate. It is a sort of a binding between the authorized dealer
and the customer for taking/giving delivery of a foreign currency on a future date. Such
forward rates are quoted either on outright basis or with the help of swap points. The
decimal expression (normally 4 decimal expression is a standard form) is called swap
points.
If the swap points are in the ascending scale (low-high), the quotation is at premium or
else {descending – (high-low)} at discount. To arrive at forward rates, Premium (swap)
points are to be added to the spot rate and discount (swap) points are to be subtracted
from the spot rate. The premium/discount are expressed in terms of annualized
percentage. The formula is (Forward rate-Spot rate)/Spot rate *12/n * 100. (Where n
stands for the number of months).
A firm should be indifferent about investing at home or investing abroad if the home
interest rate equals the foreign interest rate plus the annualized forward exchange
premium/discount on the foreign currency.
Similarly the firm should invest at home when the domestic interest rate exceeds the
sum of the foreign interest rate plus the foreign exchange premium/discount, and it
should invest abroad when the domestic rate is less than this sum. It is understood that
mere comparison of interest is not sufficient. Hence one should compare the interest
rates differentials with the forward premium/discount rates to find where investments
should be made for gain. Chances are many for speculators cashing on the interest rate
differentials, for gain. This is technically referred to as covered interest arbitrage.
If interest rate differential (IRD) is lower than the premium/discount (annualized) rates,
then invest in the currency bearing lower rate of interest.
This discussion brings yet another rule for arbitrage as follows:- Second Rule
Domestic rate < Foreign rate + or- Forward Premium/Discount rates invest in foreign
country. (We have teacher and taught relation ship and no business man like approach.)
Domestic rate > Foreign rate +or- Forward Premium/Discount rates invest in domestic
country. (For any inquiry or admission to kalpesh classes dial 2382 0676)
Expectation Theory
Forward rate and expected future spot rate are two different things to be understood.
Forward rate is the rate negotiated for the delivery to be made / taken on a future date
for a present transaction. Future spot rate is the actual rate prevailing on the agreed
future date. An equilibrium is achieved only when the forward (premium/discount) points
equal to the expected change in the future spot rate. However it generally overshoots
one way or the other.
FORMULAE
Hedging Techniques
Hedging To Hedge Payables To Hedge Receivables
Technique
1. Futures Purchase a currency futures Sell a currency futures contract (or
hedge contract (or contracts) contracts) representing the currency
representing the currency and and amount related to the receivables.
amount related to the
payables.
2. Forward Negotiate a forward contract to Negotiate a forward contract to sell the
hedge purchase the amount of foreign amount of foreign currency that will be
currency needed to cover the received as a result of the receivables.
payables.
3. Money Borrow local currency and Borrow the currency denominating the
market convert to currency receivables, convert it to the local
hedge denominating payables. Invest currency, convert it to the local
these funds until they are currency, and invest it. Then pay off
needed to cover the payables. the loan with cash inflows from the
receivables.
4. Currency Purchase a currency call option Purchase a currency put option (or
option hedge (or options) representing the options representing the currency and
currency and amount related to amount related to the receivables.
the payables.
Following are the quotes given by Banker at Mumbai. Identify the quote as Direct or
Indirect quote. Also compute the Direct for Indirect Quote and Vice-versa.
c)
d)
e)
f)
g)
h)
i)
j)
In the above problem compute the opposite quote. Also find out the forward rate and
discount or premium in annualized % .
The following table shows interest rates for the US$ and FFr. The spot exchange rate
7.05 FFr per dollar. Complete the missing figures:
(All the percentage rates are annualized)
3 months 6 months 12 months
Dollar Interest rate 11.5% 12.25% ?
Franc interest rate 19.5% ? 20%
Forward Franc per dollar ? ? 7.5200
Forward Dollar Premium % ? 6.72% ?
Following is the data pertaining to Spot rate, Forward Rate and Money market rates.
Compute the missing values if the covered interest parity holds good:
1 33.50 33.8 ? 6
2 33.70 33.4 6 ?
3 33.50 ? 4 6
4 ? 33.8 4 8
Today is April 19. You see the following quotes given by the banker:
In 2000 a Transistor cost $22.84 in New York, S$69 in Singapore, and 3240 rubles in
Moscow.
(i) If the law of one price held, what was the exchange rate between US dollars
and Singapore dollar? Between US dollars and rubles?
(ii) The actual exchange rates in 2000 were S$6.13 = US$1 and 250 rubles =
US$1. Where would you prefer to buy your Transistor?
December 27 January 3
Bombay $ / 100 Rs.: 3.10 – 3.15 3.07 – 3.12
London $/Pound: 1.7250 / 60 1.7175 / 85
DG / pound 3.9575 / 90 3.9380 / 90
The bank wishes to retain an exchange margin of 0.125%. How much does the customer
stand to gain or lose due to the delay?
Spot Rs.44.4725/4800
April Rs.44.2550/2625
Ignoring interest and find out the amount that would be paid/received by the
company on early delivery?
An Indian company enters into a forward agreement with a Bank on 17th January 2002 for
purchasing 1 lac US Dollars. As on that date the forex situation was as follows:
On 15th February 2002, the company comes to know that it has to make early payment for his
on 28th Feb 2002 and not on 30th March 2002. The current rates on 15th February 2002
transaction date are:
An Indian company enters into a forward agreement with a Bank on 19th January 2002 for
selling 1.75 lac US Dollars. As on that date the forex situation was as follows:
On 15th February 2002, the company comes to know that it has to receive early remittance on
28th Feb 2002 and not on 30th March 2002. The current rates on 15th February 2002
transaction date are:
An Indian company enters into a forward agreement with a Bank on 17th January 2002 for
purchasing 1 lac US Dollars. As on that date the forex situation was as follows:
Spot USD/INR: 46.5400/5450
31st Jan 2002: 775/825
28th Feb 2002: 2350/2425
30th Mar 2002: 4000/4100
On 15th February 2002, the company comes to know that it has to settle its payable on 30th
March 2001 and not on 28th February 2002. The current rates on 15th February 2001
transaction date are:
requests the bank to postpone the date to 15th July. Calculate the extension charges
payable to the banker assuming the following rates in the market on 5th May.
Spot USD 1 = Rs.45.00/02
Spot/June mid 45.04/06
Spot/July mid 45.04/10
Spot/Aug mid 45.1/14
Gayle Company Ltd had booked a forward sale contract for USD 2,00,000 at Rs.45.22 a
bill for collection. However, on the maturity date the company requested to extend
contract by one month:
Assuming the on-going market rates for US dollars are as under:
Spot USD 1 = Rs.45.1925/2575
One month forward 600/700
Two months forward 900/1,000
Three months forward 1,200/1,300
What will be the extension charges payable/receivable by the company
On September 15 the Rs./$ rates were 41.15/41.40 spot and 82/95 3 month swap
points. A firm booked a 3 month forward purchase contract for $1,50,000. on November
15 it wished to cancel the contract. At that time, the spot rate was 41.90/42.10 and one
month swap rate was 20/30. How much is collectable / payable by customer.
The current spot rate => 1£ = Rs.70, Risk free rate in India is 10%, in United Kingdom is
6%.(We have teacher and taught relation ship and no business man like approach.)
The companies cost of capital is 20%. Will the project be undertaken?
(ii) Calculate and comment on Indian interest rate if the forward exchange rate was
0.04795 SG $/Rs.
(iii) Calculate and comment on the 90 days forward rate on Rs. SG $ if Indian interest
rate was 8%.
(a) Calculate the maximum FFr/ rate at the end of 90 days below which the firm will
make a net gain from the put.
(b) Calculate the range of maturity spot over which the option would be better than the
forward and vice-versa.
LM Ltd. will need Great Britain Pound 2 lacs in 6 months. The spot rate of a pound is US
is $1.50. Six months forward rate is $1.47. Interest rates are as follows:
U.K in % US in %
A call option on pound 6 months term at exercise price of $1.48 for a premium of $0.03.
Similarly Put option for the same term of $1.49 at a premium of $0.02
LM Ltd. Forecasts the future spot rate at 6 months as follows:
Possible Outcome Probability
$1.43 20%
$1.46 70%
$1.52 10%
a) Forward
b) Money Market
c) Option
You are the financial controller of IBM Inc, New York. You plan to visit Geneva,
Switzerland, in three months to attend an international business conference. You expect
to incur a total cost of SFr 5,000 for lodging, meals, and transportation during your stay.
As of today, the spot exchange rate is $0.60/SF and the three- month forward rate is
$0.63/SF. You can buy the three month call option on SF with an exercise price of
$0.64/SF for the premium of $0.05 per SF. The three- month interest rate is 6 percent
per annum in the United States and 4 percent per annum in Switzerland.
(a) Calculate your expected dollar cost of buying SF5,000 if you choose to hedge by a
call option on SF.
(b) Calculate the future dollar cost of meeting this SF obligation if you decide to hedge
using a forward contract.
At what future spot exchange rate will you be indifferent between the forward and option
market hedges? (To know more about us visit KalpeshClasses.com)
(a) Explain the position of the company against 3 maturity spot prices in the event of
successful and unsuccessful bid. Ignore Premia.
(b) When Call option would be bought such as exporting/importing?
(c) Will that hold good for UK based company? Thoroughly discuss.
Question: 53 Currency futures
Today is March 24. Dow Chemical has shipped chemicals worth SFr 25 million to Ciba-Geigy.
Ciba will pay in 180 days on September 26. The market rates are:
September futures on SF are trading at USD 0.8093. Each futures contract is for SF 1,25,000
and the round-trip brokerage fee is USD 50 per contract.
An American firm has a 180-day payable of Aus$ 10,00,000 to an Australian supplier. The
market rates are:
The Australian authorities have imposed a restriction on Australian firms which prevents them
from borrowing in the Aus$ market. Similarly, non-residents cannot make money-market
investment in Australia. As a consequence, the domestic 180-day interest rate in Australia is
9.5% p.a. The American firm wants to evaluate the following four alternative hedging
strategies:
a. By Forward.
b. By Money market hedging.
c. By Leading.
d. By Leading with a forward.
XYZ Ltd. is a manufacturing company enters into a fixed price contract to purchase
Machinery. It has higher funding costs, whether fixed or floating. It has risk of losses if
funded on a floating rate basis.
The relative borrowing costs of ABC Ltd. as XYZ Ltd. are as follows:
Name of the Company Fixed rate % Floating Rate %
BC Ltd. (Financial Institution) 8 LIBOR
XYZ Ltd. (Manufacturing Company) 10 LIBOR + 1
Differential borrowing cost 2 1
Question: 58 Hedging
BPCL requiring US$20,00,000 to settle by 90 days for the crude oil commitments. the
following rates are available.
Spot
INR / $ 48.95 – 49.00
90 days swap 15 – 20
US Interest rate % 5.00 – 5.25
Bank of Baroda, the chief banker for BPCL advise Yen Loan for settlement. Yen Loan is
available at 2.5% p.a. BPCL finds the exchange rate as follows:
Spot
¥/$ 123.50 – 124
90 days Swap 20 –10
What is the borrowing currency for BPCL Ltd. BOD of BPCL expresses that the bottom line
would be affected very much on assuming any fluctuation risk what so ever.
CAPITAL BUDGETING
SALIENT FEATURES:
MAXIMS:
DISCCO
EAC= -------------
Avg. Return
AF
----------------------- x 100
Avg. Investment
DISCCI
Recovery DISCCI EAB=------------- DISPB=Recovery
(or) DISCCI -
b) Formula Time Interpolation ---------------- AF time based
DISCCO
of Investment DISCCO on DISCCI
Annual Return
(or)
-------------------------- x 100
Initial Investment
NPV
-------
AF
c) Acceptance Shortest Highest Highest (+ve) Highest Highest EAC - Lowest Shortest
Criteria EAB - Highest
Capital
rationing i.e. Mutually
Non-mutually exclusive project
exclusive project with disparity Cost of capital
Cost of capital Cost of capital
d) Applicability No disparity --- with disparity ignore size given and asked
Is not given is not given
Ignore life disparity for time BEP
disparity and and consider
consider size life disparity
disparity
AF: Annuity Factor DISCCI: Discounted Cash Inflow DISCCO: Discounted Cash Outflow EAC: Equated
Annual Cost PI: Profitability Index
EAB: Equated Annual Benefits NPV: Net Present Value ARR: Annual Rate of Return IRR: Internal Rate of
Return PB: Pay Back
Accounting Rate of Return
Average Rate of Return
(b) Find out the Present value of future cash flows. Assume 10% discount rate.
Amount No. of years Annuity factor Present value of cash flows
1000 7
2500 4
3250 6
4800 5
5600 8
(b) Find out the Present value of future cash flows. Assume 10% discount rate.
Year end CF (Rs) PVF PV of CF PVF @12% PV of CF
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Total
(c) Find out the future cash flows if Cost of capital and inflation rate are respectively 10%
and 12% for Rs.1000 for a term of 5 years.
(f) Find out the missing figures from the following
Situation Real cost Inflation rate Money rate
1 10 5 ?
2 8 ? 17.72
3 ? 5 12.35
Question No:3
Situation Mutually Life Size Tool to
exclusive be
selected
1 Yes Yes Yes
2 Yes Yes No
3 Yes No Yes
4 No Yes Yes
5 No No Yes
6 Yes No No
7 No Yes No
8 No No No
a) Rank each project applying the methods of Pay-back, average rate of return, net
present value, internal rate of return and profitability index.
b) What would be the profitability index if the IRR equaled the required rate of investment?
What is the significance of a profitability index less than one?
c) Recommend the project to be adopted and give reasons.
Which of the above investment should be undertaken. Assume that the cost of capital is
12% and risk free interest rate is 10% per annum.
Given compounded sum of Re.1 at 10% in 5 years is Rs.1.611 and discount factor of Re.1 at
12% rate for 5 years is 0.567.
Question No: 9 Rudimentary on Capital Budgeting
a. Following are the data on a capital project being evaluated by the management of X Ltd.
Project M
Annual cost saving Rs.40,000
Useful life 4 years
IRR 15%
Profitability Index 1.064
NPV ?
Cost of Capital ?
Cost of Project ?
Payback ?
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Salvage value 0
Find the missing values considering the following table of discount factor only:
Discount Factor 15% 14% 13% 12%
1 Year 0.869 0.877 0.885 0.893
2 Years 0.756 0.769 0.783 0.797
3 Years 0.658 0.675 0.693 0.712
4 Years 0.572 0.592 0.613 0.636
2.855 2.913 2.974 3.038
b. S Ltd. has Rs.10,00,000 allocated for capital budgeting purposes. The following
proposals and associated profitability indexes have been determined:
Project Amount (Rs.) Profitability Index
1 3,00,000 1.22
2 1,50,000 0.95
3 3,50,000 1.20
4 4,50,000 1.18
5 2,00,000 1.20
6 4,00,000 1.05
Which of the above investments should be undertaken? Assume that projects are indivisible
and there is no alternative use of the money allocated for capital budgeting.
If the discount rate is 13 %, which system should Pioneer choose? Ignore the salvage
value.
Both machines fulfil the same function and have equal capacities. The appropriate discount
rate is 10%. Taxation may be ignored.
Required: Determine which machine should be purchased. Specify any assumptions made.
To what amount would the initial cost of Machine A be required to alter in order that the two
machines were then of equal financial attractiveness?
Years 0 1 2 3
Outlay -1000
Revenues +900 +800 +700
Costs -400 -350 -350
Scrap value +650 +400 +150
What is the appropriate replacement cycle?
Question No: 14 Repair or Replace
S Engineering Company is considering replacing or repairing a particular machine, which has
just broken down. Last year this machine costed Rs.20,000 to run and maintain. These
costs have been increasing in real terms in recent years with the age of the machine. A
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further useful life of 5 years is expected, if immediate repair of Rs.19,000 are carried out. If
the machine is nor repaired it can be sold immediately to realize about Rs.5,000 (Ignore
loss/gain on such disposal).
Alternatively, the company can buy a new machine for Rs.49,000 with an expected life of 10
years with no salvage value after providing depreciation on straight lift basis. In this case,
running and maintenance costs will reduce to Rs.14,000 each year and are not expected to
increase much in real terms for a few years at least. S Engineering Company regard a
normal return of 10% p.a. after tax as a minimum requirement on any new investment.
Considering capital budgeting techniques, which alternatively will you choose? Take
corporate tax rate of 50% and assume that depreciation on straight line basis will be
accepted for tax purposes also.
Given: Cumulative present value of Re.1 p.a. at 10% for 5 years Rs.3.791, 10 years
Rs.6.145.
Prepare calculations to show whether Demeter’s existing machine should be replaced now,
or after one or two years.
equipment is 8 years. The company is thinking of selling the lotion in a single standard pack
of 50 grams at Rs. 12 each pack. It is estimated that variable cost per pack would be Rs.6
and annual fixed cost, Rs.420000. Fixed cost includes (straight-line) depreciation of Rs.
70,000 and allocated overheads of Rs.30000. The company expects to sell 1 lakh packs of
lotion each year. Assume that the tax paid is 45% and straight-line depreciation is allowed
for tax purposes. The opportunity cost of capital is 12%. Should the company manufacture
the lotion? Also calculate the time -adjusted break-even point.
Each machine is in production for 48 weeks per year and each is used on a given product in
terms of full weeks and not in fractions of weeks. The company has no question in
obtaining adequate supplies of labour and raw materials.
Marketing policy is that all four products should be sold, and the minimum annual
production is 500 tubs of each. Fixed costs are budgeted at std.820,000 for the year.
Information on production, market price and direct costs is given below:
A B C D
Production (tubs per machine per week) 14 4 3 6
(Rs.) (Rs.) (Rs.) (Rs.)
Market price (per tub) 390 390 450 570
Direct Costs:
Process 1: Direct Materials (per week) 238 108 96 156
Process 1 Direct Labour (per week) 448 304 186 264
Process 2 Direct Material (per tub) 10 10 10 10
Process 2: Direct Labour (per tub) 80 72 100 120
Transport (per tub) 130 130 100 240
Because the demand for product A and D is increasing, the company is considering
converting into all-product machines those which, at present, are unsuitable for products A
and D. The cost quoted for this work is Rs.70,000 per machine. The company expects a
12% return over a three year period for this type of expenditure.
Market research indicated that the company’s expected sales over the next 3 years for
products A and D would be 7000 tubs and 2100 tubs per annum respectively.
and because of its wish to enter this market, Wymark is prepared to accept this contract on
breakeven basis.
You are required to
(a) Calculate the maximum price per circuit that Wymark should be pay assuming
that the circuits are purchased in three batches, payment is made at the end of
each year and minimum amount of equipment is purchased.
(b) Calculate the minimum amount of additional equipment which should be
purchased assuming that it is discovered that the microchip circuits cannot be
bought at less than Rs.1200 each.
On the basis of data given above, the managing director feels that the replacement, if
carried out, would at latest yield post tax return of 15% in the three years provided the
capacity build up is 60%, 80% and 100% respectively. Do you agree?
The expected economic life of overpass is 25 years with a salvage value of zero. The cost of
capital is 7% (the corresponding capital recovery factory is 0.0858). compute the benefit
cost ratio.
would be 10% of materials and other variable cost. If the sales differed from the forecast
level, stocks would be adjusted in proportion.
Depreciation relates to machinery which would be purchased especially for the manufacture
of the new product and is calculated on the straight-line basis assuming that the machinery
would last for four year and have no terminal scrap value. Fixed costs are included at Rs.1
per labour hour, the absorption rate currently used by the company: actual expenditure on
fixed costs would not alter. ABC supply of labour is limited. The managers believe that
enough products which generate cash contribution of Rs.1.50 per labour hour are available
to absorb the productive capacity.
There is a high level of confidence concerning the accuracy of all the above estimates except
the annual sales volume. ABC’s cost of capital is 20% per annum. You may assume that
operating cash flows and annually in arrear. No changes in the prices of inputs or outputs
are expected over the next 4 years.
You are required to:
(a) Prepare calculations to show whether manufacture of the new product is worthwhile.
(b) Calculate the minimum annual sales volume at which manufacture would be
worthwhile
Rs. Rs.
Selling Price 22.00
Material (3Kg @ Rs.1.50 per Kg) 4.50
Labour (2 hours @ Rs.2.50 per hour) 5.00
Overheads 11.50 21.00
Profit per unit 1.00
A feasibility study, recently undertaken at a cost of Rs.50000, suggests that a selling pric e
of Rs.22 per unit should be set. At this price, it is expected that 10000 units would be sold
each year. Demand for the product is expected to cease after 5 years. Direct Labour and
materials costs would be incurred only for the duration of the product life.
Overheads per unit have been calculated as follows:
Rs.
Variable overheads 2.50
Rent (see note a below) 0.80
Managers’ Salary (See note b) 0.70
Depreciation (See note c) 5.00
Head Office cost (see note d) 2.50
11.50
Notes:
a) Azam would be ma nufactured in a factory rented specially for the purpose. Annual
rental would be Rs.8000 payable only for as long as the factory was occupied.
b) A manager would be employed to supervise production of Azams at a salary of Rs.7000
per annum. The manager is at present employed by the company but is due to retire in
the near future on an annual pension of Rs.2000. If he continued to be employed his
pension would not be paid during the period of employment. His subsequent pension
rights would not be affected.
c) Manufacture of the Azam would require a specialized machine costing Rs.250000. The
machine would be capable of producing Azam for an indefinite period, although due to
its specialized nature it would not have any resale or scrap value when the production of
Azam ceased. It is the policy of Butcher Ltd. to provide depreciation on all fixed assets
using the straight line method. The annual charge of Rs.50000 for the new machine is
based on a life of 5 years, equal to the period during which Azams are expected to be
produced.
d) Butcher Ltd. allocates it head office fixed costs to all products at the of Rs.1.25 per
direct labour hour. Total head office fixed costs would not be affected by the
introduction of the Azam to the company’s range of products.
The required return of Butcher Ltd. for all new projects is estimated at 5% per annum in
real terms, and you may assume that all costs and prices given above will remain constant
in real terms. All cash flows would arise at the end of each year, with exception of the cost
of the machine would be payable of all the estimates given above, with the exception of
those relating to product life, annual sales volume and material cost per Azam.
Required:
(a) Prepare NPV calculations, based on the estimates provided, to show whether Butcher
Ltd. should proceed with manufacture of the Azam.
(b) Prepare a statement showing how sensitive the NPV of manufacturing Azams is to
errors of estimation in each of the three factors: Product Life, annual sales volume
and material cost per Azam.
Note: Mi is reached by taking an average of the various probable estimates of Cash flow for
a particular year.
Proposal
Investment A Investment B
optimistic estimates of the returns associated with each of these alternatives. These
estimates are as follows:
Machine A (Rs.) Machine B (Rs.)
Cost 50,000 50,000
Cash Flow estimates
Pessimistic 8,000 0
Most likely 12,000 10,000
Optimistic 16,000 20,000
Assuming 14% cost of capital, which project do you consider more risky, and why?
Evaluate the financial implications of the proposal, assuming that the operating cash flows
occur uniformly throughout the period of the project’s life.
YEAR 1 YEAR 2
Cash Flow Probability Cash Flow Conditional
Probability
Rs.6,000 0.3 Rs.2,000 0.3
3,000 0.5
4,000 0.2
4,000 0.3
7,000 0.4 5,000 0.4
6,000 0.3
6,000 0.2
8,000 0.3 7,000 0.5
8,000 0.3
The company’s required rate of return for this investment is 8 percent.
a) Calculate the mean of the probability distribution of possible net present values.
b) Suppose now that the possibility of abandonment exists and that the abandonment
value of the project at the end of year 1 is Rs.4,500. Calculate the new mean NPV,
assuming the company abandons the project if it is worthwhile to do so. Compare your
calculations with those in part a. What are the implications?
first year, the cash inflow for the second year is likely to be Rs.1,50,000 (probability of 0.3),
Rs.1,80,000 (probability of 0.4) and Rs.2,00,000 (probability of 0.3). In case of first year
cash inflow is Rs.2,20,000, the second year’s likely cash inflow would be Rs.1,80,000 and
Rs.2,70,000 (each with 0.3 probability), and Rs.2,20,000 (Probability 0.4). The firm uses a
14% minimum required rate of return for deciding whether to invest in projects comparable
in risk to the ones under consideration.
a) Calculate the risk adjusted expected NPV for project A and B.
b) Identify the best and the worst possible outcomes for project B.
c) Which of the projects, if any, would you recommend? Why?
The firm uses a 10% discount rate for this type of investment.
Required:
a) Construct a decision tree for the proposed investment project.
b) What net present value will be project yield if worst outcome is realized? What is the
probability of occurrence of this NPV?
depreciation of the asset allowable for tax purposes is 20% on W.D.V. with no extra shift
allowance. The salvage value of the asset at the end of 5 years period is estimated to be
Rs.1,000. Whether the Company should accept the proposal of Bank or leasing company, if
the effective tax rate of the company is 50%.
Option I: The terms of offer envisaged payment of rentals for 96 months. During the first
72 months the lease rental were to be paid @ Rs.30 p.m. per Rs.1,000 and during the
remaining 24 months @ Rs.5 p.m. per Rs.1,000 on the expiry of lease period, the lessor has
offered to sale the assets at 5% of the original cost.
Optio n II: Another offer envisaged lease agreement for a period of 72 months during which
lease rentals were to be paid as follows:
Your lease rentals per Rs.1,000 p.m.
Years 1 2 3 4 5 6
(Rs.) 35 30 26 24 22 20
At end of lease period the asset is proposed to be abandoned.
Option III: Under this offer a lease agreement is proposed to be signed for a period of 60
months wherein a initial lease deposit to the extent of 15% will be made at the time of
signing of agreement. Lease rentals @ Rs.35 per Rs.1,000 per month will have to be paid
for period of 60 months on the expiry of leasing agreement, the assets shall be sold against
the initial deposit and the asset is expected to last for a further period of three years.
You are required to evaluate the proposals keeping in view the following parameters.
(i) Depreciation @ 25%
Company X needs a machine which if purchased outright will cost Rs.10 laksh. A Hire
Purchase and Leasing Company has offered two alternatives as below:
Option : Lease
Rs.20,000 will be payable towards initial service fee upon signing of the agreement. Annual
lease rent of Rs.4,32,000 is payable at the end of each year starting from the first, for a
period of 3 years.
Company X’s tax rate is 35%.
Evaluate the two alternatives and advise the Company as to which one implies least cost.
Fair Finance Ltd. is a hire purchase and leasing company who have been approached by a
local small scale business interested in acquisition of a machine through leasing. The price
quoted by the manufacturer of the machine is Rs.3,00,000. 10% Sales tax is extra. The
proposed lessee desires to have a primary lease period of 5 years.
Fair Finance’s target rate of return on the transaction is 8% post-tax on the outlay. They
wish to fix annual lease rents which are to be payable in arrears at the end of each year.
Their effective Income -tax rate is 50%. The Income -tax rate of depreciation on the machine
is 25%.
Calculate the annual lease rent to be charged by Fair Finance Ltd.
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(a) The machine can be depreciated fully over the 10 years on straight line basis (assume
this to be acceptable for IT purposes)
(b) The current effective tax rate for Kuber Leasing is 40% and they expect to go down to
30% from the beginning of the 6th year of the lease.
(c) (c) It is the normal objective of Kuber to make a 10% post-tax return in its lease
pricing.
(d) Lease management fee of 1% of the value of the asset is usually collected from the
lessees upon signing of the contract of lease, to cover the overhead costs related to
processing of the proposal.
(e) Annual lease rents are collected at the beginning of every year.
You are required to determine the equated annual rent to be charged for the proposal.
Elite builders present to rate averages at 50%. The full cost of construction and registration
will be written off 15 years and will be allowed for the proposes. You are required to
calculate the norma l lease rental/annum/flat.
Assumption:-
a) Minimum desired return 10%.
b) Rentals and repairs will arise on the last day of the year.
c) Construction & registration and other cost will be incurred at time”O”.
be repayable in 5 equal annual instalments, the first installment falling due at the end of the
second year.
The balance amount required for the project c an be raised by issuing equity. The issue cost
is expected to be 8 per cent. The tax rate for the company is 50 per cent.
(i) What is the base case NPV?
(ii) What is adjusted net present value?
Rs.100 nominal loan stock. The share price is currently Rs.4.15. the annual interest on stock
has just being paid.
Required:
What is the average annual growth rate in the share price that is required for stock holders
to achieve an overall rate of return of 12% a year compound over next four years, including
the proceeds of conversion.
What is the implicit conversion premium on stock?
Question No:12
M/s. Agfa Industries is planning to issue a debentures series on the following terms:
Face Value Rs. 100
Term of maturity 10 Yrs.
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Years
1-4 9%
5-8 10%
9-10 14%
The current market rate on similar debentures is 15 per cent per annum. The
Company proposes to price the issue in such a manner that it can yield 16 per cent
compounded rate of return to the investors. The Company also proposes to redeem the
debentures at 5 per cent premium on maturity. Determine the issue price of the debentures
Estimate of the net realisable value of company’s assets in two years time are as follows:
Probability 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1
NRV Rs.M 2 4 6 8
If the company does not go into liquidation, its value as a going concern after two years is
estimated to be 150% of the net realisable value of its assets, and the share price will
reflect this value.
Company would not be allowed to issued any additional shares, nor pay any dividend, for
the next two years. There are currently 10,000,000 shares in issue.
Which option would the debenture holders prefer, on the assumption that they choose the
one that maximises the expected value of their wealth?
Calculate the weighted cost of capital, using book and market value weights.
Calculate the weighted average cost of capital, using marginal weights, if the company
intended to raise the needed funds using 50% long-term debt, 35% preference shares and
15% retained earnings.
You are required to determine the optimal debt equity mix for the company by calculating
composite cost of capital.
An investor owns 10% equity shares of the over-valued firm. Determine his investment
cost of earning the same income so that he is at a break-even point? Will he gain by
investing in the undervalued firm?
Calculate the value of each security based on your required rate of return. Clearly indicate
any assumptions you make.
Indicate whether these securities are over-priced or under-priced, depending on which state
whether you will buy the security or not.
If the anticipated growth rate for the equity stock changes to 12%, would your answers to
(a) and (b) above be different?
Delphi Products Corporation currently pays a dividend of $2 per share and this dividend is
expected to grow at a 15% annual rate for 3 years, then at a 10% rate for the next 3 years,
after which it is expected to grow at a 5% rate for ever.
What value would you place on the stock if an 18% rate of return were required?
Would your valuation change if you expected to hold the stock only 3 years?
Are you satisfied with the current dividend policy of the firm? If not, what should be the
optimal dividend payout ratio in this case?
What will be the dividend per share of Rohan Industries for the year 2003 given the
following information about the company?
EPS of 2003 = Rs.3
DPS for 2002 = Rs.12
Target payout ratio = 0.6
Adjustment rate = 0.7
Apply the Lintner Model.
a. The forecast of Sky Ltd. according to various possible states of the economy is as
follows:
Status of the Economy Return
Probability
Good 0.1 20
Average 0.4 16
Bad 0.3 10
Worse 0.2 3
What is the expected return, Variance and the Standard Deviation of the above Security?
Question No: 3
Using the data from the previous calculate covariance and correlation and then compute
return and risk of all the following portfolios based on correlation covariance.
Investment A B
(i) Proportion 0.2 0.8
(ii) Proportion 0.7 0.3
(iii) Proportion 0.5 0.5
A B C D E F
Return (%) 8 8 12 4 9 8
Risk (%) (Standard Deviation) 4 5 12 4 5 6
(i) Which of the securities will be selected?
(ii) Assuming perfect correlation, analyse whether it is preferable to invest 75% in
security A and 25% in security C.
Find out the required return and also comment on the pricing as under valued, overvalued
or otherwise.
Question No:7
The rates of return on the security of Company X and market portfolio for 10 periods are
given below:
9 -7 6
10 20 11
(i) What will be the equilibrium price per share of Target Ltd.?
(ii) Would you advise purchasing the share?
Port Folio 2
Security Beta of security Expected Amount invested
Return (%) Million Rs.
E 1.2 14 7.1
F 0.8 11 2.7
G 0.2 7 5.4
H 1.5 17 2.8
The market return is expected to be 12.5% and the risk free rate is 5.5%.
Required:
a) Calculate the beta of each portfolio and the required return on each portfolio.
b) Explain whether the individual shares in portfolio 1 appear to be over or under valued
and what action this would imply for the portfolio manager?
c) A colleague has commented that the actual return on each security has often been quite
different to that predicted by its beta value. Explain why that is not unusual.
(b) In a portfolio of the company Rs.2,00,000 have been invested in asset X which has an
expected return of 8.5%, Rs.2,80,000 in asset Y, which has an expected return of 10.2%
and Rs.3,20,000 in asset Z which has an expected return of 12%/ What is expected return
for the portfolio and expected return on vestment of portfolio.
c) What is the functional relationship between the required return for a security and market
risk?
DERIVATIVES
Terms and their meanings/importance.
Call Option: A call option gives the buyer ‘the right but not the obligation’ to buy the share
at a specified price on a future date.
Put Option: A put option gives the buyer ‘the right but not the obligation’ to sell a share at
a given price on a future date.
Exercise: Options that can be exercised earlier to the expiration date are American Options
and European options can be exercised only on the date of expiration.
Call/Put premium: The price paid by the buyer of a call/put option is termed as the
call/put premium. The premium is a one time outflow for the buyer of the options.
Expiration Date: It is the day on which the option contract matures. The expiration date in
the case of options on both NSE and BSE is fixed as the last Thursday of the respective
month.
In the money: A call option is “in the money” if the strike price is less than the market
price of the underlying share. A put option is “in the money” when the strike price is greater
than the market price.
Out of the money: A call option is “out of the money” if the strike price is greater than the
market price of the underlying share. A put option is “in the money” when the strike price is
less than the market price.
c) A ___________ option gives the purchaser the opportunity to sell a share / shares at a
specified price.
d) The buyer of the option is referred to as _________ of option. The seller of the option in
referred to as __________ of the option.
g) Options can be exercised only at maturity are __________ options & other option are
____________.
h) Call option shall lapse when the future spot is ___________ than exercise price.
Similarly put option shall be rendered valueless if future spot is __________ than strike
price.
j) Action of mitigating the loss through derivatives in referred to as __________ and action
of profiting through derivatives is referred to __________.
k) An executive who qualifies for a share option plan acquires _________ option.
l) A firm buys an advanced technology system with a ready second hand market. The
second hand market gives the firm a _______ option.
n) A holder of call option is _________ish so also writer of put option. Their pay off would
be positive only in such market similarly writer of a call option is _______ish so also the
holder of put option. Their pay off would be position only in such market.
o) An option premium or value of option has two parts. They are _________ value and
_________ value.
p) Writer has to pays initial _________ & maintain in accordance with the requirement of
the clearing house.
q) When seller of a call does not have the underlying asset on deposit, then it is referred to
as _____________ call or __________ call. Otherwise it is referred to as __________ call.
r) What is the effect on the value of call options (indicate gains by +ve sign and losses by –
sign)
increase Decrease
Share Price – future ___________ ___________
Mr.A bought a call option with strike price at Rs.80 at a cost of Rs.5. The Expiry period is 3
months. On the same day, he also bought a Put Option for the same underlying asset for
the same period, at a strike price of Rs.80 at a cost of Rs.4. Draw a graph showing both the
call option & Put option from the following prices of future spot: Rs.65 – Rs.95 with an
interval of Rs.5
Comment on the strategy
A Share price is currently Rs.50. it is known that at the end of six months it will either Rs.45
or Rs.55. the risk-free interest rate is 10% per annum with continuous compounding. What
is the value of a six- month European put option with a strike price of Rs.50?
(a) If the put has a market price of Rs.2 and share is worth Rs.9 per share, what is the
value of the call?
(b) If the put has a market price of Rs.1 and the call Rs.4, what is the value of the share
per share?
(c) If the call has a market value of Rs.5 and market price of the share is Rs.12 per share,
what is the value of the put?
S.No S0 E R T σ
1 50 49 7 200 days 0.3
2 60 56 14 6 months 0.3
3 120 110 14 1 year 0.4
4 20 20 12 3 months 0.4
5 40 45 10 6 months 0.3
6 25 30 8 6 months 0.2
7 412 400 5 3 months 0.22
8 380 400 5 3 months 0.22
9 408 400 5 3 months 0.22
Consider a call option with a strike price of Rs. 45 and four months to expiration. The share
is trading at Rs. 50. Using past share prices, the variance in the log of share prices is
estimated at 0.06. There is one dividend, amounting to Re 0.56, and it expected to be paid
in two months. The risk-free rate is 3%. Find out the value of the call option
A four- month European call option on a dividend-paying stock is currently selling for Rs.5.
The stock price is Rs. 64, the strike price is Rs. 60, and a dividend of Rs. 0.80. is expected
in one month. The risk-free interest rate is 12% per annum for all maturities. What
opportunities are there for an arbitrageur?
The price of a European call that expires in six months and has a strike price of Rs. 30 is
Rs.2. The underlying stock price is Rs.29, and a dividend of Rs.0.50 is expected in two
months and in five months. The term structure is flat, with all risk-free interest rates being
10%. What is the price of a European put option that expires in six months and has a strike
price of Rs.30?
The spot Nifty Index is at 1350 and futures price is 1352. to use stock index futures to (a)
decrease the portfolio beta to .8 and (b) increase the portfolio beta to 1.5
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Once again there are no gains from merging. In exchange for Small and Little shares, Very
Big Ltd issues just enough of its own shares to ensure its Rs.2.67 earnings per share
objective.
(a) Complete the above table for the merged firm.
(b) How many shares of Very Big Ltd are exchanged for each share of Small and Little?
(c) What is the cost of the merger to Very Big Ltd?
(d) What is the change in the total market value of the Very Big Ltd shares that were
outstanding before the merger?
BSNL VSNL
Rs. Rs.
EPS 6 6
Market Price Per Share 50 48
No. of Equity Shares 90,000 75,000
It is measured that the effect of synergy would be 11.12% during post acquisition period.
What exchange ratio would guarantee an EPS of Rs.7.5 for BSNL?
It is also estimates that the synergy value is measured at present value of RS 687.5 lacs.
(b) What is the minimum exchange ratio acceptable to the shareholders of Rathra Limited
if the PE ratio of the combined firm is 9?
Anjaneya is trying to decide whether it should offer 25% of its share Rs.15 Million in
cash to Nalen.
c) What is the cost to Anjaneya of each alternative?
d) What is the NPV to Anjaneya of each alternative?
e) Which alternative should Anjaneya use?
/ earnings ratio of the Share is 12, and there are 10 million shares outstanding. What is the
present market price per share? What is the maximum Rupees premium above this price
that the company could pay in order to take the company into private Limited?
Earnings would have witnessed 5% constant growth rate without merger and 6% with
merger on account of economies of operations after 5 years in each case. The cost of
capital is 15%. Since the details of the vendor company is not coming forth but a principle
commitment was made by the chairman of KL Ltd as exchange ratio at 0.6. This is likely to
be accepted by both the parties. From the view point of KL Ltd, find out the value of
acquisition.
Better Enterprises has agreed to merge into Best. To accomplish the merger, 2 shares of
Best will be exchanged for every share of Better. Before the merger, the firms were as
follows:
Better Best
Earnings Rs.10 lacs Rs.15 lacs
Shares outstanding 5 lacs 5 lacs
EPS Rs.2 Rs.3
P/E Ratio 10 8
(i) If the merger goes through by exchange of equity and the exchange ratio is
based on the current market price, what is the new earning per share for M Co.
Ltd.?
(ii) N Co. Ltd. wants to be sure that the earning available to its shareholders will not
be diminished by the merger. What should be the exchange ratio in that case?
Mutual Funds
Question No: 1 Annual Return
a. A mutual fund had a net asset value (NAV) of Rs.50 at the beginning of the year.
During the year a sum of Rs.4 was distributed as income (dividend) besides Rs.3 as
capital gains distribution. At the end of the year NAV was Rs.55, calculate total return
for the year.
b. Suppose the aforesaid Mutual Fund in the next year gives a dividend of Rs.5 as income
distributio n and no capital gains distribution and NAV at the end of second year is
Rs.50. what is the return for the second year.
(a) Rank these portfolios using (i) Sharpe’s method, and (ii) Treynor’s method.
(b) Compare the ranking in part (a) and explain the reasons behind the differences.
(a) Rank each of the portfolios using each of the performance me asures. Are the rankings
consistent for the three techniques?
(b) Compare each portfolio’s performance to the market’s performance. Are the
comparisons consistent for the three techniques?
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The mean risk-free rate was 5 percent. Calculate the Treynor measure, Sharpe measure,
and Jensen measure for the three mutual funds and the market index.
Miscellaneous
Question No: 1 Factoring
The turnover of R Ltd. is Rs.60 Lakhs of which 80% is on credit. Debtors are allowed one
month to clear off the dues. A factor is willing to advance 90% of the bills raised on credit
for a fee of 2% a month plus a commission of 4% on the total amount of debts. R Ltd. as a
result of this arrangement is likely to save Rs.21,600 annually in management costs and
avoid bad debts at 1% on the credit sales.
A scheduled bank has come forward to make an advance equal to 90% of the debts at an
interest rate of 18% p.a. However, its processing fee will be at 2% on the debts. Would you
accept factoring or the offer from the bank?
Question No:8
Axle India Ltd’s financial manager has forecast a Rs.1 million cash deficit for the next
quarter. However, there is only a 50% chance this deficit will actually occur. The treasurer
estimates that there is a 20% probability the company will have no deficit at all and a 30%
probability that it will actually need Rs.2 million in short-term financing. The company can
either take out a 90-day unsecured loan at 1% per month or establish a line of credit,
costing 1% per month on the amount borrowed plus a commitment fee of Rs.20,000. Both
alternatives also required a 20% compensating balance for outstanding loans. If excess
cash can be reinvested at 9%, which source of financing gives the lower expected cost?
FORMULAE
COST OF CAPITAL
Ke – Cost of Equity
(a) Constant dividend D1
=
valuation model P0
Alternative 2:
Use Capital Budgeting Techniques as follows
Year Events Cash Flow Appropriate
Discount
0 Issue Price Inflow
1–n Preference Dividend Outflow
(including Dividend
tax)
N Redemption value Outflow
Nil
Duration
Volatility of a Bond =
1 + YTM
RISK ANALYSIS:
Return of a security ø = ÓP x r
Variance of a security ó 2 = ÓP x (r – ø) 2
Standard Deviation of a security = ó2
Covariance of two security = P x (ra – øa) x (rb – øb)
Correlation of Security(A, B) = Cov(A, B)
óA x óB
Ós x Cov(s,m)
Beta =
Óm
(or )
Cov (s,m)
(óm)2
Return of a portfolio = P a x r a + Pb x r b
Maxims :
Expected Return = SML or CML [perfectly priced]
(given)
Action – Hold
Expected Return > SML or CML [under priced/under valued]
Action – Buy
Expected Return < SML or CML [overpriced or over valued]
Action – Sell
DERIVATIVES:
Pricing of an Option under Black Scholes Model
Value of a Call Option = P x N(d1) – (X) x e–r t f x N(d 2)
Value of a Put Option = (X) x e–rtf x N(-d 2) – P x N( -d1)
Ln (P/X) stands for Natural log of P/X or else a near approximate answer can be ascertained by
using other formula:
LN (P/X) = Log (P) - Log (X)
0.4346
FUTURES:
Number of Futures to be
bought or sold = Value of the portfolio x (β2 - β1)
Stock index value
If the value of the above formula is negative then the futures are to be sold or else purchased.
MUTUAL FUNDS:
Sharpe Index (Reward to variablity) = Expected Return – rf
σ
Treynor Index (Reward to volatility)= Expected Return – rf
β
Jenson’s Alpha Index = Expected Return – SML
â unlevered firm = â levered firm x E
E + D(1 – t)
Net Asset Value = Net Assets
No.of shares
Sentiments of the
Shareholders of No of MPS Wealth
shares
A (Purchasing Co.) Same as Should at least Wealth is
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