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2.

    A t-shirt company is planning a production run for an event where the attendance (and thus
demand for t-shirts) is uncertain. The event planners have indicated that they think the attendance
will be 500, 750 or 1000, with probabilities of 30%, 50% and 20% respectively. The company must
pre-order the blank t-shirts (cost=P250 per shirt) and it can sell finished shirts for P600 apiece. Any
finished shirts that cannot be sold at the event can be sold for P100 apiece to a used clothing
vendor.

Likely Attendance (a) Probability (b) Blank T-shirts to be ordered


(a*b)
500 30% 150
750 50% 375
1000 20% 200
Blank T-shirts to be ordered TOTAL 725
 

Requirements: (25 points)


a) What Excel function is useful for calculating the expected value of demand for t-shirts?
What is the expected demand?
b) What Excel function is useful for calculating revenue? Explain why it is useful.

c) What are the two possible cases for the number of t-shirts that will be sold to the used clothing
vendor? How would you calculate this amount in a spreadsheet model?

d) Suppose that blank t-shirts can only be ordered from the wholesale vendor in batches of 100?
How many t-shirts should the company order?
e) Suppose now that blank t-shirts can only be ordered from the wholesale vendor in batches of 50?
How many t-shirts should the company order?

3.  A winemaker in California's Napa Valley must decide how much of two types of wine she will
produce from a particular variety of grapes. Each liter of table wine yields $8 profit, while each
liter of dessert wine produces $3 profit. The labor hours and bottling process time used for the type
of wine are given in the table below. Resources available include 200 labor hours and 80 hours of
bottling process time. Assume the winemaker has more than enough grapes available to supply any
feasible production plan.

Table Wine Dessert Wine


Labor (Hours) 0.20 0.60
Process Time (Hours) 0.30 0.10

Cell Name Final Value Reduced Objective Allowable Allowable


Cost Coefficient Increase Decrease
$C$3 Table 175 0 8 1 7
$C$4 Dessert 275 0 3 21 0.33333333
 
Cell Name Final Shadow Constraint Allowable Allowable
Value Price R.H. Side Increase Decrease
$C$9 Labor 200 0.625 200 280 146.6666667
$C$10 Process 80 26.25 80 220 46.66666667
$C$11 175 0 0 175 1E+30
$C$12 275 0 0 275 1E+30

Requirements: (20 points)


a)    Formulate a linear programming model (an algebraic model) that will enable the winemaker to
determine the number of liters of each type of wine to produce in order to maximize her profit.

b)    Implement the model in Part (a) in Excel Solver and obtain an answer report. Which
constraint(s) are binding on the optimal solution?
c)    Obtain a sensitivity report for the model in Part (a). How much should the winemaker be
willing to pay for an additional labor hour?
Table wine: 175

d)    Suppose the winemaker can obtain 100 additional labor hours. Can you use the sensitivity
analysis obtained for Part (c) to determine her expected profit? Would her bottling plan change?
Explain your answer.

4.  A hospital emergency room requires different numbers of nurses on different days of the week.
The number of full-time employees required to be working (i.e. not on call) each day is given in the
table below.
 

Hospital rules require that nurses work four consecutive days, are on call for one day, and then
receive two days off. The hospital wants to meet its daily requirements while minimizing the
number of nurses that must be on staff.
 
Requirements: (15 points)
a)    Use Solver to formulate and solve the hospital's problem.
b)    Suppose the hospital is experiencing a budget crunch and needs to use the nurses' on call day to
temporarily staff the emergency room. Use Solver to formulate and solve the hospital's problem.

c)    Suppose the hospital has 40 nurses and is not allowed to hire or fire any employees, and cannot
temporarily schedule nurses on their on-call days. Determine a schedule that maximizes the number of
weekend days off received by the nurses.

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