Gematmw Notes
Gematmw Notes
In a society, decisions are made by its members in order to come up with a situation that
benefits the most
The problem
1. There is a group of 15 people would like to discuss: where to have lunch?
5 3 6 1
st
1 Mcdo Mcdo Jollibee Burger King
choice
2nd KFC KFC KFC KFC
choice
3rd Jollibee Burger King Burger King Mcdo
choice
4th Burger King Jollibee Mcdo Jollibee
choice
Terminologies
A preference ballot is a ballot on which each voter ranks all eligible candidates, from
first to last place, with NO tied ranks
Rank Vote
st
1 B
nd
2 D
3rd A
th
4 C
A preference table is a table showing how many times each possible ballot was
submitted
No. of votes
Rank 6 5 3 1
st
1 A B D C
nd
2 B D B A
rd
3 C A A B
4th D C C D
A voting method is mathematical procedure that uses data from the preference table to
determine a winner
Some methods of voting
1. Plurality method
In this method, whoever receives the most first-place votes is declared the winner.
This is by far the simplest and widely used voting method. It may require a tiebreaker
though
Where to have lunch?
By the most number of 1st place votes, Mcdo wins with 8 votes
Terminologies
A fairness criterion is a mathematical statement about our expectations for a voting
system
Fairness criteria
1. The majority criterion
If a candidate receives majority of first-place votes, that candidate should win the
election
Where to have lunch?
Mcdo vs Jollibee
o Mcdo= 8, Jollibee= 6
Mcdo vs. KFC
o Mcdo= 8, KFC= 7
Mcdo vs. BK
o Mcdo= 8, BK=7
We know that the winner is Mcdo. So the non-winning candidates are Jollibee,
Burger King, and KFC
If we eliminate one of the non-winning candidates (if we remove BK)
Mcdo is still the winner
o Mcdo= 8
o Jollibee= 6
o KFC= 1
After taking away the non-winning candidate Burger King, Mcdo is still the
winner
Plurality satisfies the IIA criterion
4. Pareto criterion
If there is at least one candidate, say candidate 1, that every voter prefers to another
candidate, say candidate 2, then it should be impossible for candidate 2 to win the
election
The Pareto condition is named after Vilfred Pareto (1848-1923), an Italian economist
KFC is preferred by all voters over Burger King. It should be impossible for burger King
to win
5. Monotonicity criterion
It should be impossible for a winning candidate to lose in a re-election if the only
changes in the votes were changes that were favorable to that candidate
Fairness criteria
All voters should be treated equally
o No voter has special influence, only the ballot counts. If voters exchange
ballots, the result of the election should still be the same
All candidates should be treated equally
o No candidate has more privilege than any other. In the case of two candidates,
this means if every voter reversed their vote, the election result would be
revered as well
Unanimity
o If every individual prefers a certain option to another, then so must the result
societal choice
Non-dictatorship
o The social choice function should not simply follow the preference order of a
single individual while ignoring all others
Illustration
Gibbard-Satterhwaite’s Theorem
No voting method is completely resistant to strategic voting
o A has the most number of first-place but cannot be the winner under majority
rules. 6 out of 15 is not a majority
Looking at the first-place:
A 6
B 5
D 3
C1
15/2= 7.1= 8
Since nobody got more than 8 votes. Thus, there is no winner using the
majority rule
However, A is declared the winner using plurality method
May’s theorem
If the number of voters is odd, there are only two candidates, and we want a voting method
that never results in a tie, then majority rules is the only method that satisfies the following
three criteria:
1. All voters are treated equally
2. Both candidates are treated equally
3. Monotonicity
Plurality vs. majority
PLURALITY MAJORITY
Candidate with more first place votes Candidate with more than 50% of the
than any other first-place votes
The most votes Most of the votes
Illustration:
Since there are 37 votes cast (14 + 4 + 11 + 8), the majority is 19 votes (37/2= 18.5).
A received a plurality but not a majority
In order to have a winner, there must be someone who will receive more than 50% of
the votes
There are a total of 37
50%= 18.5= 19
But in the first round, no candidate received more than 50% or 19 votes
Among the candidates B received the lowest votes (4 votes only)
Using the hare system, we drop B
There is no election done in the hare system. We keep the original election results
By dropping B:
o A 14 votes
o C 11 votes
o D 12 votes
Since none got more than 19 votes, eliminate the lowest, which is C
By dropping C:
A 14
D 10+8+4+1= 23
Since D has more than 50%, D wins the election
Borda count
The Borda Count method is named after Jean-Charles do Borda (1733-1799)
Borda Cound method assigns points in a non-increasing manner to the ranked
candidates on each voter’s preference list
o Ex: given N candidates, below is the point system. Political elections in at least 3
countries, Slovenia and the tiny Micronesian nations of Kiribati and Nauru
Illustration:
Summary
Majority Condorcet IIA criterion Pareto Monotonicity
criterion criterion criterion criterion
Plurality Not always Not always Not always Always Always
Borda Count Not always Not always Not always Always Always
Sequential Always Always Not always Not always Always
pairwise
Hare system Always Not always Not always Always Not always
Approval Not always Not always Always Not always Always
voting
1. If you are one of the two suspects, what are you going to do in this scenario?
CONFESS or REMAIN SILENT
2. What would be your “best” response and what would be the other suspect’s best
response?
To explain:
Player 2
Rock Paper Scissors
Player Rock (0,0) (-1,1) (1,-1)
1 It is (0,0) It is (-1,1) it is (1,-1)
because because because rock
they are the rock loses beats
same to paper. scissors.
So: So:
Rock= -1 Rock= 1
Paper= 1 Scissors= -1
Paper (1,-1) (0,0) (-1,1)
Scissors (-1,1) (1,-1) (0,0)
Player 2
C R
Player 1 C (-10,-10) (-1,-25)
If they both Since
confess, then they player 1= confess
BOTH go to jail for player 2= silent
10 years
R (-25,-1) (-3,-3)
Example 4: normal form of a game
Two companies share a market where they make P50 million each. They need to decide
whether they will advertise or not. Advertising costs P20 million but captures P30 million in
revenues from the competitor provided that the competitor does not advertise.
Construct the normal form of this game
Company 2
A N
Company 1 A (30,30) (60,20)
Since both Company 1
companies (advertises) : 50-
advertise, the 20+30= 60
payoff is 50-20=30. Company 2 (does
not advertise) : 50-
30= 20
N (20,60) (50,50)
Since neither
company
advertises, there is
no advertising cost
Belle
Saturday Sunday
Anna Saturday (-10,-10) (5,4)
Sunday (4,5) (-10,-10)
Analyzing simultaneous games in normal form
Games in normal form are used to analyze one-shot games. Each player chooses one
actions and all of them chooses simultaneously
How do we decide? We can use the following:
o Maximin solution
o Nash equilibrium
Maximin solution
This solution involves choosing the strategy that gives you the maximum among your
worst payoffs
This was proposed by the mathematician John von Neumann
Step 1: separate the payoff values of each player into two matrices
If you decide to work hard (W), the payoff for YOU is 2 and 0
If you decide to take it easy (T), the payoff for YOU is 3 and 1
If classmate decides to work hard (W), the payoff for him is 2 and 0
If classmate decides to take it easy (T), the payoff for him is 3 and 1
Step 2a: determine the maximin strategy of the row player. To do this, highlight the
worst payoff in each row. Among the highlighted payoff values of the row player,
determine the maximum. The strategy corresponding to this maximum value is the
maximin strategy of the row player
Step 2b: determine the maximin strategy of the column player. to do this, highlight
the worst payoff in each column. Along the highlighted payoff values of the column
player, determine the maximum. the strategy corresponding to this maximin value is
the maximin strategy of the column player
Step 3: if both players have a maximin strategy, then the game has a maximin
solution. We write it as an ordered pair (A,B) where A and B are the maximin
strategies of the row and column plater, respectively
For the working on a project game, the maximin solution is (take it easy, take
it easy). This solution leads to the payoff pair (1,1)
Example 6: maximin strategy
Battle of the sexes: suppose, on a given night, a husband can either watch a sports program or a
TV series. The husband prefers the sprots program while his wife prefers the TV series. The
worst possible thing to happen would be to have an argument and not watch together, or at all.
What should the husband do? Determine the maximin solution of this game.
Let S= watch sports program
Let T= watch TV series
Wife
S T
Husband S (2,1) (0,0)
T (0,0) (1,2)
Since at least one of the players (husband or wife) does not have a maximin strategy,
the batter of the sexes game does not have a maximin solution
Column
Between 2 and 3, 3 is higher
Between 0 and 1, 1 is higher
Row
Between 2 and 3, 3 is higher
Between 0 and 1, 1 is higher
Thus:
If there are ordered pairs that are both highlighted, then the game has a Nash
equilibrium
Since both numbers are highlighted, (1,1) is the Nash equilibrium
For this game, the maximin strategy and the Mash equilibrium coincides
The Nash equilibrium is (take it easy, take it easy)
***yellow= column
***blue= row
(S,S) and (T,T) are both Nash equilibrium
Exercise: Nash equilibrium
Consider again the normal form of the Prisoner’s dilemma game. Determine any Nash
Equilibrium
Player 2
C R
Player 1 C (-10,-10) (-1,-25)
R (-25,-1) (-3,-3)
Sometimes the result of the maximin solution to Nash equilibrium are the same, sometimes
they don’t
Step 1: separating the payoff values of the row and column players
- For the row player (player 1), A3 is dominating A1 and A2. Thus, A3 is a dominant
strategy of the row player.
o A2 is dominating A1 but does not dominate A3. Hence, A2 is not a dominant
strategy of the row player
o Thus, the row player has a dominant strategy
- For the column player (player 2), B2 is dominating B1, and B3 is also dominating B1.
However, neither of them is a dominant strategy because they don’t dominate all the
other strategies.
o Thus, the column player does not have a dominate strategies