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United International University: School of Science and Engineering

This document contains a 3-question midterm assessment for a Probability and Statistics course. Question 1 contains 3 subparts asking about probabilities related to medical tests, COVID-19 testing, and wicket hits in bowling. Question 2 contains 2 subparts about the maximum of dice rolls and infected people. Question 3 asks to sketch PDF and CDF graphs and find the median of 2 probability distributions. Relevant probability distribution formulas are also provided.

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Jannatul Fardoes Rime 2021937630
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50 views2 pages

United International University: School of Science and Engineering

This document contains a 3-question midterm assessment for a Probability and Statistics course. Question 1 contains 3 subparts asking about probabilities related to medical tests, COVID-19 testing, and wicket hits in bowling. Question 2 contains 2 subparts about the maximum of dice rolls and infected people. Question 3 asks to sketch PDF and CDF graphs and find the median of 2 probability distributions. Relevant probability distribution formulas are also provided.

Uploaded by

Jannatul Fardoes Rime 2021937630
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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United International University

School of Science and Engineering


Mid Term Assessment Trimester: Summer-2021
Course Title: Probability and Statistics
Course Code: Math 2205/Stat 205 Marks: 20 Time: 1 Hour
Additional Time for Uploading answer script: 15 Mins.
Total Time: 1 Hour 15 minutes

Answer all the questions.


Q1. a) During a visit to a doctor’s chamber, the probability of having neither medical test, nor a [3]
referral to a specialist is 𝟐𝟑%. Of those coming to that chamber, the probability of having a
medical test is 𝟒𝟑% and the probability of having referral is 𝟔𝟏%. What is the probability
of having both medical test and referral?

b) Rapid testing is a screening procedure to test Covid-19. The people appearing in the test, [3]
𝟐𝟑% of them false-positive while 𝟏𝟕% of them false-negative. If the Covid-19 spreads
among 𝟕% people in bangladesh, find the probability of a person who is suffering in Covid-
19, when he/she tested negative in the test.

c) Each of four bowlers will attempt to hit the wicket and their probabilities to not hitting the [4]
wicket are 𝟎. 𝟑𝟑, 𝟎. 𝟐𝟕, 𝟎. 𝟓𝟑 and 𝟎. 𝟔𝟏, respectively. Find the probabilities that (i) exactly
two players are successful to hit, (ii) at least one player is successful to hit, (iii) no player is
successful to hit the wicket.

Q2. a) Let a random experiment be the casting of a pair of fair five-sided dice and let 𝑿 equal the [4]
maximum of two outcomes. With reasonable assumptions, find pmf of 𝑿. Also, find the
mean and variance of 𝑿.

b) It is claimed that 𝟑𝟕% of the people in a certain region are infected by severe virus attack. [3]
Suppose 𝟐𝟑 people are selected at random. Let 𝑿 equal to the number of people infected by
the virus. Assuming independence, how 𝑿 is distributed. Find the probability that (i) at least
𝟒 people are infected, (ii) at most 𝟐𝟎 people are infected.
𝟑𝒙𝟐 [3]
Q3. Consider 𝒇(𝒙) = ; 𝟎 ≤ 𝒙 ≤ 𝟐 as the pdf of 𝑿. Sketch the graphs of pdf and cdf of 𝑿.
𝟖
Or
𝒙+𝟏
For the pdf 𝒇(𝒙) = ; −𝟏 ≤ 𝒙 ≤ 𝟏. Find the median.
𝟐
Formulae:
Distribution Pmf / pdf

Hypergeometric 𝑵𝟏 𝑪𝒙 𝑵𝟐 𝑪𝒏−𝒙
𝒇(𝒙) = ; 𝑵 = 𝑵𝟏 + 𝑵𝟐 , 𝒙 = 𝟏, 𝟐, … … 𝒏
𝑵𝑪 𝒏
Geometric 𝒇(𝒙) = 𝒒𝒙−𝟏 𝒑 ; 𝒙 = 𝟎, 𝟏, 𝟐, ….
Binomial 𝒇(𝒙) = 𝒏𝑪𝒙 𝒑𝒙 𝒒𝒏−𝒙 ; 𝒙 = 𝟎, 𝟏, 𝟐, … . 𝒏
Poisson 𝝀𝒙 𝒆−𝝀
𝒇(𝒙) = ; 𝒙 = 𝟎, 𝟏, 𝟐, … ..
𝒙!
Uniform 𝟏
𝒇(𝒙) = ; 𝒂≤𝒙≤𝒃
𝒃−𝒂
Exponential 𝟏 𝒙
𝒇(𝒙) = 𝒆− 𝜽 ; 𝟎 ≤ 𝒙 < ∞
𝜽
Gamma 𝟏
𝒇(𝒙) = 𝒙𝜶−𝟏 𝒆−𝒙/𝜽 ; 𝟎 ≤ 𝒙 < ∞
𝜞(𝜶) 𝜽𝜶
Normal 𝟏 (𝒙−𝝁)𝟐
−
𝒇(𝒙) = 𝒆 𝟐𝝈𝟐 ; −∞ < 𝒙 < ∞
𝝈√𝟐𝝅

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