2/19/2020 Project Three Guidelines and Rubric - MAT-243-X3682 Applied Statistics for STEM 20EW3

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Competency
In this project, you will demonstrate your mastery of the following competency:

Perform regression analysis to address an authen c problem

Scenario
You are a data analyst for a basketball team and have access to a large set of historical data that you can use to
analyze performance pa erns. The coach of the team and your management have requested that you come up with
regression models that predict the number of wins in a regular game based on the performance metrics that are
included in the data set. These regression models will help make key decisions to improve the performance of the
team. You will use the Python programming language to perform the sta s cal analyses and then prepare a report
of your findings to present for the team’s management. Since the managers are not data analysts, you will need to
interpret your findings and describe their prac cal implica ons.

Note: This data set has been “cleaned” for the purposes of this assignment.

Reference

FiveThirtyEight. (April 26, 2019). FiveThirtyEight NBA Elo dataset. Kaggle. Retrieved from
h ps://www.kaggle.com/fivethirtyeight/fivethirtyeight-nba-elo-dataset/

Direc ons
For this project, you will submit the Python script you used to make your calcula ons and a summary report
explaining your findings.

1. Python Script: To complete the tasks listed below, open the Project Three Jupyter Notebook link in the
Assignment Informa on module. This notebook contains your data set and the Python scripts for your
project. In the notebook, you will find step-by-step instruc ons and code blocks that will help you complete
the following tasks:
Simple Linear Regression
Create sca erplots
Compute the correla on coefficient
Conduct a linear regression
Mul ple Regression
Create sca erplots
Compute the correla on matrix
Conduct a mul ple regression analysis

2. Summary Report: Once you have completed all the steps in your Python script, you will create a summary
report to present your findings. Use the provided template to create your report. You must complete each of
the following sec ons:
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2/19/2020 Project Three Guidelines and Rubric - MAT-243-X3682 Applied Statistics for STEM 20EW3

Introduc on: Set the context for your scenario and the analyses you will be performing.
Sca erplots and Correla on: Discuss rela onships between variables using sca erplots and correla on
coefficients.
Simple Linear Regression: Create a simple linear regression model to predict the response variable.
Mul ple Regression: Create a mul ple regression model to predict the response variable.
Conclusion: Summarize your findings and explain their prac cal implica ons.

What to Submit
To complete this project, you must submit the following:

Python Script
Your Jupyter Notebook Python script contains all the sta s cal analyses you completed for this project. You
downloaded your work as an HTML file. Review the file to make sure that every step and all your outputs are
included. Submit the HTML file as part of your submission. Review the Jupyter Notebook in Codio Tutorial in the
Suppor ng Materials sec on if you need help.

Summary Report
Use the provided template to create your summary report. The template contains guiding ques ons to help you
complete each sec on. Be sure to remove these ques ons before submi ng your report. Your summary report
should be submi ed as a 3- to 5-page Microso Word document. It should include an APA-style cover page and
APA cita ons for any sources used. Use double spacing, 12-point Times New Roman font, and one-inch margins.

Suppor ng Materials
The following resource(s) may help support your work on the project:

Document: Jupyter Notebook in Codio Tutorial

This tutorial will help you become familiar with the Jupyter Notebook interface. You will learn how to open,
complete, save, and download your Jupyter Notebook for this project.

Shapiro Library: APA Style Guide

This guide will help you format your cover page and references according to APA style. You are not required to use
external resources for this project. However, if you do use any resources, you must cite them in APA format.

Project Three Rubric

Needs
Criteria Exemplary Proficient Not Evident Value
Improvement

Python Script Accurately performs Shows progress Does not a empt 5

regression analyses, toward proficiency, criterion (0%)
including data but with errors or
visualiza on, omissions (55%)
calcula ng

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2/19/2020 Project Three Guidelines and Rubric - MAT-243-X3682 Applied Statistics for STEM 20EW3

coefficients, and
linear and mul ple
linear regression
(100%)

Summary Exceeds proficiency Discusses Shows progress Does not a empt 15

Report: by wri ng with rela onships toward proficiency, criterion (0%)
Simple Linear excep onal clarity, between the but with errors or
Regression insight, and variables using data omissions (55%)
Correla on mastery of visualiza on and
sta s cal correla on
terminology (100%) coefficient (85%)

Summary Exceeds proficiency Reports results of Shows progress Does not a empt 25
Report: by wri ng with simple linear toward proficiency, criterion (0%)
Simple Linear excep onal clarity, regression by but with errors or
Regression insight, and iden fying and omissions (55%)
Model mastery of interpre ng the
sta s cal coefficient of
terminology (100%) determina on,
regression model,
and the model’s
significance (85%)

Summary Exceeds proficiency Discusses Shows progress Does not a empt 15

Report: by wri ng with rela onships toward proficiency, criterion (0%)
Mul ple excep onal clarity, between the but with errors or
Regression insight, and variables using data omissions (55%)
Correla on mastery of visualiza on and
sta s cal correla on matrix
terminology (100%) (85%)

Summary Exceeds proficiency Reports results of Shows progress Does not a empt 25
Report: by wri ng with mul ple regression toward proficiency, criterion (0%)
Mul ple excep onal clarity, by iden fying and but with errors or
Regression insight, and interpre ng the omissions (55%)
Model mastery of coefficients of
sta s cal determina on,
terminology (100%) regression models,
and results of
hypothesis tests and
F-tests (85%)

Summary Exceeds proficiency Communicates all Shows progress Does not a empt 10
Report: by wri ng with ideas by presen ng toward proficiency, criterion (0%)
Introduc on excep onal clarity, context, as well as but with errors or
insight, and summarizing and omissions (55%)

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2/19/2020 Project Three Guidelines and Rubric - MAT-243-X3682 Applied Statistics for STEM 20EW3

and mastery of interpre ng the

Conclusion sta s cal prac cal
terminology (100%) implica ons of the
results (85%)

Ar cula on Exceeds proficiency Clearly conveys Shows progress Submission has 5

of Response in an excep onally meaning with toward proficiency, cri cal errors in
clear, insigh ul, correct grammar, but with errors in grammar, sentence
sophis cated, or sentence structure, grammar, sentence structure, and
crea ve manner and spelling, structure, and spelling, preven ng
(100%) demonstra ng an spelling, nega vely understanding of
understanding of impac ng ideas (0%)
audience and readability (55%)
purpose (85%)

Total: 100%

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