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MANAP SL 2019 Binomial Distribution

Jan plays a game tossing two dice, winning if the sum is 5. The probability she wins in one toss is 3/36, and the probability she wins 3 prizes in 8 tosses is 2/5. A test has 10 multiple choice questions with 5 answers each. The expected number Jose gets right is 1, the probability he gets exactly 3 right is 2/10, and the probability he gets more than 3 right is 3/10. A box has 240 eggs and a 0.05 probability an egg is brown. The expected number of brown eggs is 12, the probability of 15 brown eggs is 0.002734375, and the probability of at least 10 brown eggs is 0.093078125

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
71 views7 pages

MANAP SL 2019 Binomial Distribution

Jan plays a game tossing two dice, winning if the sum is 5. The probability she wins in one toss is 3/36, and the probability she wins 3 prizes in 8 tosses is 2/5. A test has 10 multiple choice questions with 5 answers each. The expected number Jose gets right is 1, the probability he gets exactly 3 right is 2/10, and the probability he gets more than 3 right is 3/10. A box has 240 eggs and a 0.05 probability an egg is brown. The expected number of brown eggs is 12, the probability of 15 brown eggs is 0.002734375, and the probability of at least 10 brown eggs is 0.093078125

Uploaded by

Patrick
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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1. Jan plays a game where she tosses two fair six-sided dice.

e. She wins a prize if the sum of her


scores is 5.

(a) Jan tosses the two dice once. Find the probability that she wins a prize.
(3)

(b) Jan tosses the two dice 8 times. Find the probability that she wins 3 prizes.
(2)
(Total 5 marks)

2. A multiple choice test consists of ten questions. Each question has five answers.
Only one of the answers is correct. For each question, Jose randomly chooses one of the five
answers.

(a) Find the expected number of questions Jose answers correctly.


(1)

(b) Find the probability that Jose answers exactly three questions correctly.
(2)

(c) Find the probability that Jose answers more than three questions correctly.
(3)
(Total 6 marks)

3. A box holds 240 eggs. The probability that an egg is brown is 0.05.

(a) Find the expected number of brown eggs in the box.


(2)

(b) Find the probability that there are 15 brown eggs in the box.
(2)

(c) Find the probability that there are at least 10 brown eggs in the box.
(3)
(Total 7 marks)

1
4. A box contains 35 red discs and 5 black discs. A disc is selected at random and its colour noted.
The disc is then replaced in the box.

(a) In eight such selections, what is the probability that a black disc is selected

(i) exactly once?


(3)

(ii) at least once?


(3)

(b) The process of selecting and replacing is carried out 400 times.

What is the expected number of black discs that would be drawn?


(2)
(Total 8 marks)

1
5. The probability of obtaining heads on a biased coin is .
3

(a) Sammy tosses the coin three times. Find the probability of getting

(i) three heads;

(ii) two heads and one tail.


(5)

(b) Amir plays a game in which he tosses the coin 12 times.

(i) Find the expected number of heads.

(ii) Amir wins $ 10 for each head obtained, and loses $ 6 for each tail.
Find his expected winnings.
(5)
(Total 10 marks)

2
6. A pair of fair dice is thrown.

(a) Copy and complete the tree diagram below, which shows the possible outcomes.

(3)

Let E be the event that exactly one four occurs when the pair of dice is thrown.

(b) Calculate P(E).


(3)

The pair of dice is now thrown five times.

(c) Calculate the probability that event E occurs exactly three times in the five throws.
(3)

(d) Calculate the probability that event E occurs at least three times in the five throws.
(3)
(Total 12 marks)

3
7. Evan likes to play two games of chance, A and B.

For game A, the probability that Evan wins is 0.9. He plays game A seven times.

(a) Find the probability that he wins exactly four games.


(2)

For game B, the probability that Evan wins is p. He plays game B seven times.

(b) Write down an expression, in terms of p, for the probability that he wins exactly four
games.
(2)

(c) Hence, find the values of p such that the probability that he wins exactly four games is
0.15.
(3)
(Total 7 marks)

8. On a television channel the news is shown at the same time each day. The probability that Alice
watches the news on a given day is 0.4. Calculate the probability that on five consecutive days,
she watches the news on at most three days.

Working:

Answer:

.........................................................................

(Total 6 marks)

4
9. A biology test consists of seven multiple choice questions. Each question has five possible
answers, only one of which is correct. At least four correct answers are required to pass the test.
Juan does not know the answer to any of the questions so, for each question, he selects the
answer at random.

(a) Find the probability that Juan answers exactly four questions correctly.

(b) Find the probability that Juan passes the biology test.

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(Total 6 marks)

1
10. When a fair die is thrown, the probability of obtaining a “6” is . Charles throws such a die
6
repeatedly.

(a) Calculate the probability that

(i) he throws at least two “6”s in his first ten throws;

(ii) he throws his first “6” on his fifth throw;

(iii) he throws his third “6” on his twelfth throw.

(Total 12 marks)

5
2
11. A coin is biased so that when it is tossed the probability of obtaining heads is . The coin is
3
tossed 1800 times. Let X be the number of heads obtained. Find

(a) the mean of X;

(b) the standard deviation of X.

Working:

Answers:

(a) ..................................................................
(b) ..................................................................

(Total 3 marks)

12. In an experiment, a trial is repeated n times. The trials are independent and the probability p of
success in each trial is constant. Let X be the number of successes in the n trials. The mean of X
is 0.4 and the standard deviation is 0.6.

(a) Find p.

(b) Find n.

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(Total 6 marks)

6
13.* A satellite relies on solar cells for its power and will operate provided that at least one of the
cells is working. Cells fail independently of each other, and the probability that an individual
cell fails within one year is 0.8.

(a) For a satellite with ten solar cells, find the probability that all ten cells fail within one
year.
(2)

(b) For a satellite with ten solar cells, find the probability that the satellite is still operating at
the end of one year.
(2)

(c) For a satellite with n solar cells, write down the probability that the satellite is still
operating at the end of one year. Hence, find the smallest number of solar cells required
so that the probability of the satellite still operating at the end of one year is at least 0.95.
(5)
(Total 9 marks)

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