141342112021251larsen Toubro Limited - 20210129
141342112021251larsen Toubro Limited - 20210129
141342112021251larsen Toubro Limited - 20210129
Company Data
Promising order book; Growth rebounds Market Cap (cr) Rs. 187,411
Larsen & Toubro Ltd. (LT) is an engineering & construction (E&C) Enterprise Value (cr) Rs. 340,048
conglomerate. Further, it has presence in IT & financial services sectors and Outstanding Shares (cr) 140.4
operates in over 30 countries. Free Float 87.0%
Consolidated revenue grew 14.7% QoQ (-1.8% YoY) on the back of Dividend Yield 1.3%
encouraging order book in Q3FY21. 52 week high Rs. 1,396
EBITDA margin up 130bps QoQ to 12.0% on improved utilization, better 52 week low Rs. 661
onshore vs. offshore mix and operational efficiency. Net profit fell 6m average volume (lacs) 2.5
53.8% QoQ (+4.9% YoY) to Rs. 2,467cr impacted by higher income tax. Beta 0.9
Company’s order book surged ~76% YoY to Rs. 73,233cr in Q3FY21, Face value Rs. 2
with international orders accounting for 14% of total order inflow. Shareholding % Q1FY21 Q2FY21 Q3FY21
L&T has a strong project pipeline for the upcoming quarter with strong Promoters 71.3 71.3 71.3
domestic ordering activity seen in Infra and Hydrocarbon. Also, it FII’s 9.8 11.0 12.2
stands to benefit from government support for key sectors, such as MFs/Insti 10.9 9.7 8.4
Infrastructure. We reiterate our BUY rating on the stock with a rolled Public 6.4 7.0 7.1
forward target price of Rs. 1,592 based on SOTP valuation. Others 1.7 1.0 1.0
Total 100.0 100.0 100.0
Steady topline on gradual recovery across key segment
Promoters’ pledge 36.5 0.0 0.0
L&T recorded revenue grew 14.7% QoQ to Rs. 35,596cr, on the back of a strong Price Performance 3 Month 6 Month 1 Year
performance across all segments, except for Developmental Projects. Infrastructure
Absolute Return 42.8% 44.7% -2.3%
revenue rose 22.0% QoQ to Rs. 15,973cr aided by higher utilization, strong order book
Absolute Sensex 16.4% 21.6% 12.3%
and operation normalization. Defense Engineering rose 33.2% QoQ to Rs. 1,024cr
backed by multiple small value orders as well as ramp-up in large orders in Q3FY21. Relative Return* 26.4% 23.1% -14.6%
Hydrocarbon segment reported a 9.2% QoQ increase to Rs. 4,422cr, helped by big *over or under performance to benchmark index
order wins and improved activity level. Additionally, sequential growth was registered
1,800 LT Sensex Rebased
in Power (+31.2%), IT & Technology Services (+5.3%), Financials Services (+1.8%),
and Other businesses (+50.0%). On the other hand, Developmental Projects witnessed 1,500
a 28.6% QoQ decline during the quarter at Rs. 814cr. 1,200
www.geojit.com
Quarterly Financials (Consolidated)
Profit & Loss Account
YoY QoQ YoY
Q3FY21 Q3FY20 Q2FY21 9MFY21 9MFY20
Growth % Growth % Growth %
Revenue 35,596 36,243 (1.8) 31,035 14.7 87,891 101,207 (13.2)
EBITDA 4,280 4,118 3.9 3,335 28.3 9,235 11,208 (17.6)
EBITDA margins 12.0 11.4 60bps 10.7 130bps 10.5 11.1 (60bps)
Depreciation 702 660 6.3 713 (1.5) 2,087 1,751 19.2
EBIT 3,578 3,457 3.5 2,622 36.5 7,148 9,457 (24.4)
Interest 962 703 36.8 1,042 (7.7) 3,060 1,976 54.9
Other Income 1,065 469 127.0 559 90.4 2,401 1,700 41.2
Exceptional Items - - - (3,919) n.m. (3,694) - n.m.
PBT 3,681 3,223 14.2 (1,780) 306.7 2,795 9,181 (69.6)
Tax 1,041 711 46.4 675 54.1 1,924 2,297 (16.2)
Sh. of profit from Associate 9 48 (82.2) (53) n.m. (145) (75) n.m.
Minority Interest 391 400 (2.1) 304 28.7 935 980 (4.5)
Profit from discon. operat. 209 191 9.4 8,146 (97.4) 8,362 522 -
Reported PAT 2,467 2,352 4.9 5,334 (53.8) 8,152 6,352 28.3
Adjustments - - - 3,919 n.m. 3,694 - n.m.
Adj. PAT 2,467 2,352 4.9 9,253 (73.3) 11,846 6,352 86.5
No. of shares 140.4 140.5 (0.1) 140.4 - 140.4 140.5 (0.1)
Adj. EPS (Rs.) 17.6 16.7 4.9 65.9 (73.3) 84.4 45.2 86.6
Gross Segment Revenue
% YoY % QoQ % YoY
Particulars Q3FY21 Q3FY20 Q2FY21 9MFY21 9MFY20
Growth Growth Growth
Infrastructure 15,973 17,176 (7.0) 13,096 22.0 35,525 47,364 (25.0)
Power 904 698 29.4 689 31.2 1,972 1,753 12.5
Heavy Engineering 803 806 (0.3) 708 13.5 1,937 2,940 (34.1)
Electrical & Automation 5 1,420 (99.7) 846 (99.4) 1,606 4,328 (62.9)
Hydrocarbon 4,422 4,393 0.7 4,050 9.2 11,542 12,466 (7.4)
IT & Technology Services 6,530 6,126 6.6 6,200 5.3 18,773 15,874 18.3
Financial Services 3,401 3,550 (4.2) 3,342 1.8 10,027 10,457 (4.1)
Developmental Projects 814 1,238 (34.3) 1,140 (28.6) 2,508 3,869 (35.2)
Defence Engineering 1,024 1,004 2.0 769 33.2 2,269 2,900 (21.8)
Others 2,051 1,600 28.1 1,367 50.0 4,186 5,107 (18.0)
Change in Estimates
Old estimates New estimates Change %
Year / Rs. cr FY21E FY22E FY21E FY22E FY23E FY21E FY22E
Revenue 139,050 162,036 137,947 161,792 184,766 (0.8) (0.2)
EBITDA 19,444 19,132 15,108 19,277 22,119 (22.3) 0.8
Margins (%) 14.0 11.8 11.0 11.9 12.0 (300bps) 10bps
Adj. PAT 10,704 9,857 8,301 9,384 11,478 (22.5) (4.8)
Adj. EPS 76.2 70.2 59.1 66.8 81.7 (22.5) (4.8)
Sum-of-the-Parts (SOTP) valuation
Particulars Basis Multiple % holding Value (Rs. cr.) Value/share (Rs.)
Core E&C FY23E P/E 19.0x 100% 176,826 1,259
Financial Services Geojit TP 1.0x 64% 14,692 105
Developmental Projects FY23E P/BV 0.5x 97% 10,611 76
Hydrocarbon FY23E P/BV 3.0x 100% 24,938 178
L&T Infotech FY23E P/E 15.0x 75% 21,007 150
L&T Technology services FY23E P/E 15.0x 75% 9,666 69
Others FY23E P/BV 1.0x 100% 5,303 38
Conglomerate discount 15% (39,457) (281)
Total 223,587 1,592
www.geojit.com
PROFIT & LOSS BALANCE SHEET
Y.E March (Rs. cr) FY19A FY20A FY21E FY22E FY23E Y.E March (Rs. cr) FY19A FY20A FY21E FY22E FY23E
Revenue 135,220 145,452 137,947 161,792 184,766 Cash 11,726 15,118 8,569 10,084 16,632
% change 12.8 7.6 (5.2) 17.3 14.2 Accounts Receivable 36,846 40,732 38,906 45,954 52,849
EBITDA 15,330 16,329 15,108 19,277 22,119 Inventories 6,414 5,747 5,474 7,559 8,932
% change 13.0 6.5 (7.5) 27.6 14.7 Other Cur. Assets 111,805 121,094 131,694 132,891 134,112
Depreciation 1,923 2,462 2,801 2,816 2,841 Investments 11,215 11,062 33,616 33,579 33,543
EBIT 13,407 13,867 12,307 16,461 19,277 Gross Fixed Assets 16,614 19,913 22,672 25,584 28,910
Interest 1,803 2,797 4,127 4,558 4,318 Net Fixed Assets 10,890 10,104 12,450 12,697 13,044
Other Income 2,131 2,361 (743) 3,246 3,571 CWIP 2,484 3,225 3,289 3,355 3,422
PBT 13,735 13,431 7,438 15,149 18,530 Intangible Assets 17,486 29,921 27,697 27,700 27,703
% change 18.0 (2.2) (44.6) 103.7 22.3 Def. Tax (Net) 3,419 3,847 3,654 3,472 3,576
Tax 4,067 3,263 2,142 4,363 5,337 Other Assets 66,063 67,291 67,526 69,798 69,798
Tax Rate (%) 29.6 24.3 28.8 28.8 28.8 Total Assets 278,347 308,140 332,876 347,090 363,610
Reported PAT 8,905 9,549 4,607 9,384 11,478 Current Liabilities 82,368 85,628 101,971 114,343 121,381
Adj* (295) - 3,694 - - Provisions 557 709 744 781 820
Adj PAT 8,610 9,549 8,301 9,384 11,478 Debt Funds 125,910 144,075 150,996 145,027 144,988
% change 18.8 10.9 (13.1) 13.0 22.3 Other Liabilities 312 1,484 1,557 1,633 1,713
No. of shares (cr) 140.5 140.5 140.4 140.4 140.4 Equity Capital 281 281 281 281 281
Adj EPS (Rs.) 61.3 68.0 59.1 66.8 81.7 Reserves & Surplus 62,094 66,442 67,118 73,413 81,101
% change 18.8 10.8 (13.0) 13.0 22.3 Shareholder’s Fund 62,375 66,723 67,399 73,694 81,382
DPS (Rs.) 18.0 18.0 28.0 22.0 27.0 Minority Interest 6,826 9,521 10,209 11,611 13,327
CEPS (Rs.) 75.0 85.5 79.1 86.9 102.0 Total Liabilities 278,347 308,140 332,876 347,090 363,610
BVPS (Rs.) 444 475 480 525 580
www.geojit.com
Recommendation Summary Dates Rating Target
1,750 5-Aug-19 BUY 1,650
30-Oct-19 BUY 1,714
1,500
12-Feb-20 BUY 1,599
1,250 20-Apr-20 BUY 1,125
Definition:
Buy: Acquire at Current Market Price (CMP), with the target mentioned in the research note.
Accumulate: Partial buying or to accumulate as CMP dips in the future.
Hold: Hold the stock with the expected target mentioned in the note.
Reduce: Reduce your exposure to the stock due to limited upside. The stock may still be a quality stock.
Sell: Exit from the stock.
Not rated: The analyst has no investment opinion on the stock.
COMPANY OVERVIEW
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5. Disclosure regarding Market Making activity: ANTU EAPAN
Digitally signed by ANTU EAPAN THOMAS
DN: c=IN, o=GEOJIT FINANCIAL SERVICES LIMITED, ou=GEOJIT FINANCIAL SERVICES
LIMITED,
Neither GEOJIT/its Analysts have engaged in market making activities for the subject company.
2.5.4.20=3910b3d4e925c012a25efe32803b57a54cfe10a55f3a11833f669195da3bd971,
THOMAS
postalCode=682024, st=KERALA,
serialNumber=0a3a848e6013941043e45e447a32ca3f208029cfbb7d153712262f8c948bb58
d, cn=ANTU EAPAN THOMAS
Date: 2021.02.01 10:26:13 +05'30'
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Exchange Board of India before investing.
Geojit Financial Services Ltd. (formerly known as Geojit BNP Paribas Financial Services Ltd.), Registered Office: 34/659-P, Civil Line Road, Padivattom,
Kochi-682024, Kerala, India. Phone: +91 484-2901000, Website: www.geojit.com. For investor queries: [email protected], For grievances:
[email protected], For compliance officer: [email protected].
Corporate Identity Number: L67120KL1994PLC008403, SEBI Stock Broker Registration No INZ000104737, Research Entity SEBI Reg No:
INH200000345, Investment Adviser SEBI Reg No: INA200002817, Portfolio Manager: INP000003203, Depository Participant: IN-DP-325-2017, ARN
Regn.Nos:0098, IRDA Corporate Agent (Composite) No.: CA0226
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