Mark Scheme (Results)

October 2018

Pearson Edexcel International Advanced Level

in Statistics S1 (WST01/01)
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October 2018
Publications Code WST01_01_1810_MS
All the material in this publication is copyright
© Pearson Education Ltd 2018
General Marking Guidance

• All candidates must receive the same

treatment. Examiners must mark the first candidate in
exactly the same way as they mark the last.
• Mark schemes should be applied positively.
Candidates must be rewarded for what they have shown
they can do rather than penalised for omissions.
• Examiners should mark according to the mark
scheme not according to their perception of where the
grade boundaries may lie.
• There is no ceiling on achievement. All marks on
the mark scheme should be used appropriately.
• All the marks on the mark scheme are designed to
be awarded. Examiners should always award full marks
if deserved, i.e. if the answer matches the mark
scheme. Examiners should also be prepared to award
zero marks if the candidate’s response is not worthy of
credit according to the mark scheme.
• Where some judgement is required, mark schemes
will provide the principles by which marks will be
awarded and exemplification may be limited.
• When examiners are in doubt regarding the
application of the mark scheme to a candidate’s
response, the team leader must be consulted.
• Crossed out work should be marked UNLESS the
candidate has replaced it with an alternative response.
 •
EDEXCEL IAL MATHEMATICS

General Instructions for Marking

1. The total number of marks for the paper is 75.

2. The Edexcel Mathematics mark schemes use the following types of marks:

• M marks: method marks are awarded for ‘knowing a method and attempting to
apply it’, unless otherwise indicated.
• A marks: Accuracy marks can only be awarded if the relevant method (M) marks
have been earned.
• B marks are unconditional accuracy marks (independent of M marks)
• Marks should not be subdivided.

3. Abbreviations

These are some of the traditional marking abbreviations that will appear in the mark
schemes.

• bod – benefit of doubt

• ft – follow through
• the symbol will be used for correct ft
• cao – correct answer only
• cso - correct solution only. There must be no errors in this part of the question to
obtain this mark
• isw – ignore subsequent working
• awrt – answers which round to
• SC: special case
• oe – or equivalent (and appropriate)
• dep – dependent
• indep – independent
• dp decimal places
• sf significant figures
•  The answer is printed on the paper
• The second mark is dependent on gaining the first mark

4. All A marks are ‘correct answer only’ (cao.), unless shown, for example, as A1 ft to
indicate that previous wrong working is to be followed through. After a misread
however, the subsequent A marks affected are treated as A ft, but manifestly absurd
answers should never be awarded A marks.

5. For misreading which does not alter the character of a question or materially simplify
it, deduct two from any A or B marks gained, in that part of the question affected.

6. If a candidate makes more than one attempt at any question:

• If all but one attempt is crossed out, mark the attempt which is NOT crossed
out.
• If either all attempts are crossed out or none are crossed out, mark all the
attempts and score the highest single attempt.

7. Ignore wrong working or incorrect statements following a correct answer.

Question
Scheme Marks
Number
(136) 2
1.(a) Stt =
1828 − =286.6...... o.e. awrt 287 M1A1
12
(2)
Sht −236 −236
(b) r= = or ; = −0.8088... awrt – 0.809 M1A1
Stt Shh "286.6..."× 297 85140
(2)
B1ft
(c) Temperature decreases as height increases.
(1)

S ht −236
(d) b= = (= −0.7946...) M1
S hh 297
a =t − bh =11.3... + 0.7946 × 9.33... =18.7497... M1
=t 18.7 − 0.795h A1
(3)
t 18.7 − 0.795 × 5= 14.7
(e) = M1 A1
(2)
(f) Unreliable as the data is from France not South Africa B1
(1)
Total 11
Notes
Correct numerical answers in (a), (b), (d) or (e) score all the marks for that part.
(a) M1 Correct expression for Stt
A1 awrt 287 allow exact fractions e.g. 860
3 or 286 23

−236
(b) M1 for attempt at correct formula, values must be substituted. Allow
287 × 297
A1 awrt  0.809 (allow – 0.808 from a correct expression with 287 used)

(c) B1ft for a comment in context. Must see “height” (or h) and “temperature” (or t) mentioned
Allow “as the temperature increases the height above sea level decreases” (o.e.)
NB If |r| > 1 score B0 in (c) Saying “sea level increases” (o.e.) is B0

(d) M1 Correct expression for b.

M1 Allow 11.3... − "their b × 9.33..." [ a = 16706
891
scores M1 but A0]
A1 t = (18.75 or awrt 18.7) – (awrt 0.795)h [No fractions and no x, y]

(e) M1 substitute h = 5 or 500 into their regression line

A1 answer in range [14.7 , 14.8] (condone coming from y, x equation)

(f) B1 unreliable with a reason. [Use of 500 in (e) and stating “out of range” is B0]
Must mention France or (S) Africa and at least imply the other
Question
Scheme Marks
Number
2.(a) Q2 = 54 B1
Q1 = 45 B1
Q3 = 59 B1
(3)
(b) Upper limit = 59  1.514 = 80 M1
Lower limit = 45 1.514 = 24 A1
Outlier 84 A1ft
(3)

B1

B1
(c)
B1

(3)
(d) Any two from:
The females are heavier than the males (on average). B1
The males have lower median than females. B1
The males have a smaller IQR than the females.
The females have a greater range than males.
[Comments just about skewness are B0] (2)
Notes Total 11
st
(a) 1 B1 for Q2 = 54
2nd B1 for Q1 = 45
3rd B1 for Q3 = 59

(b) M1 correct expression for either limit ft their values in (a)

1st A1 80 and 24
2nd A1ft all outliers identified using their limits (must be stated in (b))

(c) 1st B1 Box with whiskers drawn and Q2 and quartiles ft from(a), condone 2 whiskers on RHS
2nd B1 For only one lower whisker to 32 and no outliers
3rd B1 For upper whisker to 80 or 77 and an outlier at 84
NB If there are whiskers at both 77 and 80 it is 3rd B0

(d) 1st B1 a correct comparison on location e.g. median or comment implying “on average”
2nd B1 a second correct comparison on spread e.g. range or IQR (greater spread is B0)
Question
Scheme Marks
Number
3(a) Width = 3 cm B1
1cm2 represents 2 cars or 0.5cm2 represents 1 car or their h × w =
6 or area = 6 M1
6
Height = = 2 cm A1
3
(3)
30  28 30.5  28
(b) Median = 2  2 or  2  2 (o.e.) M1
15 15
= 2.266… ( or 2.33…) A1
(2)
182
(c)=t  = 3.03... B1
  60
883
=[σ t ] − t 2 = 5.5155... M1
60
= 2.3485… (s = 2.3683…) A1
(3)
(d) Mean > median B1ft
Positive skew dB1
(2)
(e) [75 mins = 1.25 hours]
3 1 3
(> 75 mins) = 5  12  15  18  45.5 or (< 75) = 10 + ×18 or 28 − ×18 M1
4 4 4
45.5 14.5
P(T > 1.25) = or e.g. 1 − M1
60 60
0.7583… awrt 0.758 A1
(3)
Notes Total 13
(a) B1 3 only
M1 may be implied by correct height
A1 correct height of 2(cm) and correct width of 3 (cm)
(b) M1 for any correct equation leading to correct fraction as part of m = …or (m – [2]) = …
Ignore incorrect end point and watch out for “working down”
A1 awrt 2.27 allow exact fraction e.g. 15
34
(allow awrt 2.33 [ or 73 ] if n +1 used)

(c) B1 awrt 3.03 (allow exact fraction e.g. 30

91
)
M1 A correct expression
A1 awrt 2.35 or 2.37

(d) 1st B1 ft their mean and median (Allow “larger frequencies at the start of table”)
Do not allow comparison of quartiles unless correct values are seen (2sf comparisons)
Q1 1.28 or 18
= 23
[(=
n + 1) 1.29]
= Q3 4.33 or 133 [(= n + 1) 4.42] e.g. 2.1 > 0.99 or 2.1 > 1.0
nd
2 dB1 dependent on previous B1 being awarded.

(e) 1st M1 for a correct expression for no. of cars longer than 75 mins or shorter than 75 mins
k
2nd M1 where 44  k < 46
60
A1 awrt 0.758 allow 120 91
(o.e.)
NB Any use of the normal distribution is M0M0A0
Question
Scheme Marks
Number
4.(a) 0.13 B1
(1)
(b) P( A) P(C )  P( A  C )
0.05 0.05
0.2 (0.08  p )  0.05 or P(C ) = or or 0.25 M1
0.10 + 0.05 + 0.01 + 0.04 0.2
p  0.17 A1
P(no faults) = 1 (0.1  0.05  0.01  0.04  0.08  0.03  "0.17") M1
or 1 – [“P(C)” + 0.10 + 0.05 + 0.08]
q = 0.52 A1
Ans only They can get q without finding p so a correct answer to q scores 4/4
(4)
0.05
(c) P(Fault B but not fault C | Has fault A) = M1
0.2
= 0.25 A1
(2)
(d) P(exactly 2 defects) = 0.12 or 253 B1
P(both have 2 defects) = 0.122 M1
= 0.0144 or 9
625 A1
(3)
Total 10
Notes
(a) B1 0.13 only

(b) 1st M1 using P( A) P(C )  P( A  C ) allow one addition error in P(A) e.g. P(A) = 0.11
1st A1 0.17 only
2nd M1 1 (0.10  0.05  0.01  0.04  0.08  0.03  "their 0.17") allow letter p for 0.17
or 1 – [“P(C)” + 0.10 + 0.05 + 0.08] but need a value for P(C) [M0A0M1A0 possible]
2nd A1 0.52 only (correct answer of 0.52 with no incorrect working is 4/4)

0.06 0.05
(c) M1 for attempt at P ( B ∩ C ′ | A ) allow for or allow ft of their P(A) used in part(b)
0.2 0.2
A1 0.25

(d) B1 sight of 0.12 or (0.05 + 0.03 + 0.04) only NB e.g. 0.12 × 2 is B1M0A0
2
M1 ( "0.12" ) where 0.1  "0.12"  0.2
May see attempt at (0.05 + 0.03 + 0.04)2 multiplied out but must have  4 correct products
A1 0.0144 (o.e.) (correct answer only scores 3/3)
Question
Scheme Marks
Number
2
5. (a) k B1
35
x 1 2 3 4 5
3 7 1 9 11 M1
5 1
P(X = x) or or A1
35 35 7 35 5 35 35 (3)
P(X = x) 0.08571.. 0.14285.. 0.2 0.25714.. 0.31428..
5 7 12
(b)   M1 A1ft
35 35 35
(2)
3 5 7 9 11  25 
(c) E  X   1  2  3  4  5 =  M1
35 35 35 35 35  7 
3 5 7 9 11 101
E X2    1  4  9  16  25
35 35 35 35 35
=  
 7 
M1
2
101  25  82
Var (X) =    ; = (allow 1.67~1.674) M1; A1
7  7  49
2 82
Var(12 – 7X) = 7  ; = 82 M1; A1
49
(6)
(d) 4X ≤ |Y| when X = 1, 4 or 5, so probability = " 3 "+ " 9 "+ " 11 " M1;A1ft
35 35 35
23
= A1 (3)
35
Notes Total 14
(a) B1 may be implied by a correct probability
M1 need x values each with a prob and at least one correct prob.(Allow probs in terms of k)
A1 all values correct – accept decimals 3sf or better
(b) M1 “their P(X =2)” + “their P(X =3)”
A1ft ft providing <1 Allow answer in [0.3428, 0.343] or 6k

(c) 1st M1 using  xP( X  x) or 25

7
or 125
2 k or  yP(Y  y ) or – 13 (  4 correct terms or ft)
nd 2
2 M1 using  x P( X  x) or 1017
or 505
2 k or  y 2 P(Y  y ) (  4 correct terms or ft)
3rd M1 2
using Var(X) = E(X ) –[ E(X)] 2
or Var(Y) = E(Y ) –[ E(Y)]2
2

1st A1 for a correct answer (allow 3sf ) or for E(Y2) = 251

4th M1 49 Var( X ) or correct distribution for Y (ft probs from X)
2nd A1 for 82 only
(d) M1 for X = 1, 4 or 5 [ or Y = 5, – 16, – 23] and at least one correct ft probability.
A1ft their " 3 "; + their " 9 "+ their " 11 " providing sum is <1 (allow in terms of k)
35 35 35
A1 cao (allow 2 k )
23

y2 25 4 81 256 529
Dist of Y y 5 –2 –9 – 16 – 23
3 7 1 9 11
P(X = x) 35
5
35 or 1
7 35
or 5 35 35

F(x) = f(x) Get k = Can award: (a) 0/3 (b) M1A1ft (c) M4A0 (d) M1A1ftA0
2
85
All in k Can award: (a) B0M1A0 (b) 2/2 in (c) M4A0 (d) M1A1ftA1
Reverse Y May see Y = 12 – 7(6 – X) used: in (c) can score M3 A0 probably zero in (d)
Question
Scheme Marks
Number
 4.3 − 4.1 
6. (a) P(L > 4.3) = P  Z >  M1
 0.125 
= P ( Z > 1.6 ) or 1 – P(Z < 1.6) or 1 – 0.9452 M1
= 0.0548 A1 (3)

(b) P(3.9  L  4.3) = P ( Z < 1.6 ) − P ( Z < −1.6 ) or 2(P ( Z < 1.6 ) − 0.5)
= 0.9452– 0.0548 = 2(0.9452 − 0.5)
B1cso
= 0.8904 = 0.8904
(1)
Number of unusable bolts Alternative
(c) = 1 0.89 500 [= 55] M1oe
  E(value of a bolt) = 0.89 × 9 + 0.11×1
Value of bolts = "445"9  "55"1 E(profit per bolt)= 0.89 × 9 + 0.11×1 − 5 M1oe
profit = "445"9  "55"1 −500 × 5 Profit = "3.12"× 500 M1oe
Profit from bolts = 1560 pence Profit from bolts = 1560 pence A1
(4)
4.198  
(d)  1.96 or 4.198    1.96 oe M1A1

4.065  
 0.7 or 4.065    0.7 oe A1

0.133  2.66 M1
  0.05 ( or awrt 0.0500) A1
  4.1 (or awrt 4.10) A1 (6)
(e) The mean the same but the st. dev. decreased or P(3.9  L  4.3) increased. B1ft
dB1ft
So the profit will increase
(2)
NB Use of + 0.7 in (c) →= µ 3.99,= σ 0.106, prob ≈ 0.80 → profit down Total 16
Notes
(a) 1st M1 standardising. Allow use of 0.1252
2nd M1 1– p p > 0.8
A1 awrt 0.0548
(b) B1cso sight of 0.8904 or better (calc: 0.8904014212…) or a correct subtraction

(c) 1st M1 1 "0.89"500 or 0.89 × 9 + 0.11×1 SC think 55 scrap loses 1p

st
1 M1 for sight of 55
2nd M1 "445"9  "55" or 0.89 × 9 + 0.11×1 − 5
B1 for answer of awrt 1450 p
3rd M1 method for the profit or their "3.12"× 500 Score as: M1M0M0A1
A1 for awrt £15.60 or 1560 pence(p) [need units]

(d) 1st M1 Forming either equation – must have z value but allow + z where |z| > 0.6
1st A1 correct equation 4.198    1.96 - any form (or allow z = awrt 1.960)
2nd A1 correct equation 4.065    0.7 - any form (or allow z = awrt – 0.700)
2nd M1 eliminating  or  (method seen leading to equation in 1 variable)
3rd A1 0.05 (or awrt 0.0500) 4th A1 4.1 (or awrt 4.10 dep on 1st or 2nd A1)
NB Candidate who assumes   4.1 can get M1 A0 A0M1A0A1
(e) 1st B1ft if µ = 4.1 then ft σ ; if µ < 3.9 (allow any σ) otherwise need to see P(3.9L4.3) calc
If they have µ = 4.1 in part (d) then don’t need to state “mean the same” in part (e)
nd
2 dB1ft therefore profit will increase (o.e.) [ σ < 0 is B0B0]
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