Foreign Exchange Risk Management - International Financial Environment, International Business B Com Notes - EduRev
Foreign Exchange Risk Management - International Financial Environment, International Business B Com Notes - EduRev
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Many firms are exposed to foreign exchange risk - i.e. their wealth is affected
by movements in exchange rates - and will seek to manage their risk
exposure. This page looks at the different types of foreign exchange risk and
introduces methods for hedging that risk.
Transaction risk
This us the risk of an exchange rate changing between the transaction date
and the subsequent settlement date, i.e. it is the gain or loss arising on
conversion.
(b) The hedge period, the time period before the expected cash flows occurs.
(c) The anticipated volatility of the exchange rates during the hedge period.
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Economic risk
If your firm's home currency strengthens then foreign competitors are able to
gain sales at your expense because your products have become more
expensive (or you have reduced your margins) in the eyes of customers both
abroad and at home.
Indirectly: Even if your home currency does not move vis-a -vis your
customer's currency you may lose competitive position. For example suppose
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a South African firm is selling into Hong Kong and its main competitor is a
New Zealand firm. If the New Zealand dollar weakens against the Hong Kong
dollar the South African firm has lost some competitive position.
Even if your home currency does not move vis-a -vis your customer's
currency you may lose competitive position. For example suppose a South
African firm is selling into Hong Kong and its main competitor is a New
Zealand firm. If the New Zealand dollar weakens against the Hong Kong
dollar the South African firm has lost some competitive position.
Translation risk
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Unless managers believe that the company's share price will fall as a result of
showing a translation exposure loss in the company's accounts, translation
exposure will not normally be hedged. The company's share price, in an
efficient market, should only react to exposure that is likely to have an impact
on cash flows.
One easy way is to insist that all foreign customers pay in your home
currency and that your company pays for all imports in your home currency.
However the exchange-rate risk has not gone away, it has just been passed
onto the customer. Your customer may not be too happy with your strategy
and simply look for an alternative supplier.
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The problem lies in guessing which way the exchange rate will move.
Matching
When a company has receipts and payments in the same foreign currency
due at the same time, it can simply match them against each other.
It is then only necessary to deal on the forex markets for the unmatched
portion of the total transactions.
Decide to do nothing?
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Theory suggests that, in the long run, gains and losses net off to leave a
similar result to that if hedged.
Forward contracts
The forward market is where you can buy and sell a currency, at a fixed future
date for a predetermined rate, i.e. the forward rate of exchange. This
effectively fixes the future rate.
The basic idea is to avoid future exchange rate uncertainty by making the
exchange at today's spot rate instead. This is achieved by
depositing/borrowing the foreign currency until the actual commercial
transaction cash flows occur. This effectively fixes the future rate.
Futures contracts
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Options
A call option gives the holder the right to buy the underlying currency.
A put option gives the holder the right to sell the underlying currency.
Options are more expensive than the forward contracts and futures but result
in an asymmetric risk exposure.
Forex swaps
In a forex swap, the parties agree to swap equivalent amounts of currency for
a period and then re-swap them at the end of the period at an agreed swap
rate. The swap rate and amount of currency is agreed between the parties in
advance. Thus it is called a fixed rate/fixed rate swap.
To hedge against forex risk, possibly for a longer period than is possible on
the forward market.
Forex swaps are especially useful when dealing with countries that have
exchange controls and/or volatile exchange rates.
Currency swaps
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A currency swap allows the two counter parties to swap interest rate
commitments on borrowings in different currencies.
The swap of interest rates could be fixed for fixed or fixed for variable.
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