Math On Networking

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Networking

Problem:

A project consists of 12 activities and their time estimates are shown below:

Time Duration (weeks)


Activity
to tm tp
1-2 4 6 10
1-3 3 7 12
1-4 5 6 9
1-7 2 4 6
2-4 6 10 20
2-6 3 4 7
2-7 5 9 15
3-4 3 7 12
4-5 2 4 5
5-6 1 3 6
3-7 2 5 8
6-7 1 2 6

Requirements:

a. Draw a network diagram


b. Show critical path
c. Find Slack
d. Calculate standard deviation of Critical Path
e. Calculate the probability of completing the project in 30 weeks

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Solution:

a. Network Diagram
Here, Optimistic time, a = to
Pessimistic time, b = tp
Most likely time, m = tm
Expected time, te = [(a+4m+b)/6] = [(to+4tm+tp)/6]

Time Duration (weeks)


Activity
to tm tp te
1-2 4 6 10 6.3
1-3 3 7 12 7.2
1-4 5 6 9 6.3
1-7 2 4 6 4
2-4 6 10 20 11
2-6 3 4 7 4.3
2-7 5 9 15 9.3
3-4 3 7 12 7.2
4-5 2 4 5 3.8
5-6 1 3 6 3.2
3-7 2 5 8 5
6-7 1 2 6 2.5

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b. Critical Path

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c. Calculating Event Slack

Event EOT LOT Slack (LOT-EOT)


1 0 0 0
2 6.3 6.3 0
3 7.2 10.1 2.9
4 17.3 17.3 0
5 21.1 21.1 0
6 24.3 24.3 0
7 26.8 26.8 0

Calculating Activity Floats:

Time Duration (weeks) Floats


Activity Total Float Free Float Independent Float
to tm tp (LOT-EOT-Duration) (EOT-EOT-Duration) (EOT-LOT-Duration)
1-2 4 6 10 0 0 0
1-3 3 7 12 0 2.9 2.9
1-4 5 6 9 11 11 11
1-7 2 4 6 22.8 22.8 22.8
2-4 6 10 20 0 0 0
2-6 3 4 7 13.7 13.7 13.7
2-7 5 9 15 11.2 11.2 11.2
3-4 3 7 12 0 0 2.9
4-5 2 4 5 0 0 0
5-6 1 3 6 0 0 0
3-7 2 5 8 11.7 11.7 14.6
6-7 1 2 6 0 0 0

d. Calculating Standard Deviation of Critical Path

Time Duration
V
Activity
to tp
1-2 4 10 1 1
2-4 6 20 2.3 5.4
4-5 2 5 0.5 0.25
5-6 1 6 0.83 0.69
6-7 1 6 0.83 0.69
Total 8.03
Standard deviation

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e. Calculating the probability of completing the project in 30 weeks

Here,

So, probability would be =

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