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Université Toulouse 1 Capitole Ecole D'économie de Toulouse

(1) The document is the final exam for a Mathematical Statistics course consisting of 3 questions and 3 exercises worth various points totaling 20 points. (2) The first exercise asks students to find cumulative distribution functions for random variables derived from an exponential distribution and show that a sequence converges in distribution. (3) The second exercise involves computing risk functions for decision rules in a binomial setting and identifying the minimax and Bayesian decision rules. (4) The third exercise asks about the asymptotic distributions of sample means and variances from an exponential distribution.
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
20 views

Université Toulouse 1 Capitole Ecole D'économie de Toulouse

(1) The document is the final exam for a Mathematical Statistics course consisting of 3 questions and 3 exercises worth various points totaling 20 points. (2) The first exercise asks students to find cumulative distribution functions for random variables derived from an exponential distribution and show that a sequence converges in distribution. (3) The second exercise involves computing risk functions for decision rules in a binomial setting and identifying the minimax and Bayesian decision rules. (4) The third exercise asks about the asymptotic distributions of sample means and variances from an exponential distribution.
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Université Toulouse 1 Capitole

Ecole d’économie de Toulouse

Année universitaire 2020-2021


Session 1
Semestre 1

Master 1 Econometrics, Statistics

Epreuve : Mathematical Statistics 1

Date de l’épreuve : 17 décembre 2020

Durée de l’épreuve : 2h

Liste des documents autorisés : Aucun

Liste des matériels autorisés : Dictionnaire, calculatrice

Nombre de pages (y compris page de garde) : 3


M1 ECO-STAT 1

MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS
2020-2021
Final exam
WITHOUT document

Justifications of the results are at least as important as the results themselves


in the grading. Scoring scale indicated between brackets.

Questions on the project.[4.5 points]


(Q1) [1.5 points] Give one formula for the population Gini coefficient of a posi-
tive random variable and its corresponding empirical version.
(Q2) [1.5 points] What is the principle of stochastic regression imputation and
its advantage over ordinary regression imputation.
(Q3) [1.5 points] Explain the principle of the return level plot for a series of
maxima over a time period.

Exercise 1.[5.5 points]


Let (Xn )n≥1 be a sequence of i.i.d. real-valued random variables having the
common density
ex
f (x) = , for any x ∈ R.
(1 + ex )2
For n ∈ N∗ , we set Yn = max(X1 , . . . , Xn ) and Zn = Yn − ln(n).
(1.1) [1.5 points] Find the c.d.f. of X1 .
(1.2) [1.5 points] Compute the c.d.f. of Yn .
(1.3) [1 point] Deduce the c.d.f. of Zn .
(1.4) [1.5 points] Show that (Zn ) converges in distribution to Z whose c.d.f. is
to be determined.

Exercise 2. [6 points]
Let X have a Binomial distribution with parameters given by n = 2 and θ ∈
{θ1 = 1/100, θ2 = 1/10}. The decision set contains two elements {d1 , d2 }, and
d1 d2
the loss function is defined by θ1 1 4
θ2 3 2
The space of decision rules contains three rules defined by rα (x) = d1 if x =
0, . . . , α − 1 and rα (x) = d2 otherwise, for α ∈ {1, 2, 3}.
(2.1) [2 points] Compute the risk function of the three decision rules r1 , r2 , r3 .
(2.2) [2 points] Find the minimax decision rule in this set.
(2.3) [2 points] Find the bayesian decision rule for the prior distribution giving
a probability of 1/10 to the parameter θ = 1/100.
M1 ECO-STAT 2

Exercise 3. [4 points]
Let X1 , . . . , Xn be a sample from the exponential distribution with cumulative
distribution function  x
Fθ (x) = 1 − exp − .
θ
The uncentered moments of this distribution are given by E(X r ) = r! θr .
Pn Pn
(3.1) [2 points] Let Un = n1 i=1 Xi and Vn = n1 i=1 Xi2 . What is the asymp-
totic distribution of the couple (Un , Vn ) ?

(3.2) [2 points] What is the asymptotic distribution of Wn = Un + Vn ?

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