Fundamentals of Corporate Finance, 2/e: Robert Parrino, Ph.D. David S. Kidwell, Ph.D. Thomas W. Bates, PH.D
Fundamentals of Corporate Finance, 2/e: Robert Parrino, Ph.D. David S. Kidwell, Ph.D. Thomas W. Bates, PH.D
Fundamentals of Corporate Finance, 2/e: Robert Parrino, Ph.D. David S. Kidwell, Ph.D. Thomas W. Bates, PH.D
Finance, 2/e
NCF
n
t
(1 k)
t 0 t
Pocket Pizza Project Timeline and
Cash Flows
Self-Rising Pizza Dough Project
Timeline and Cash Flows
Net Present Value
o A FIVE-STEP APPROACH FOR CALCULATING
NPV
1. Estimate project cost
Identify and add the present value of expenses related
to the project.
There are projects whose entire cost occurs at the start
of the project, but many projects have costs occurring
beyond the first year.
The cash flow in year 0 (NCF0) on the timeline is
negative, indicating an outflow.
Net Present Value
o A FIVE-STEP APPROACH FOR CALCULATING
NPV
2. Estimate project net cash flows
Both cash inflows (CIF) and cash outflows (COF) are
likely in each year of the project. Estimate the net cash
flow (NCFn) = CIFn – COFn for each year.
Include salvage value of the project in its terminal year.
Net Present Value
o A FIVE-STEP APPROACH FOR CALCULATING
NPV
3. Determine project risk and estimate cost of
capital
The cost of capital is the discount rate used to
determine the present value of expected net cash
flows.
The riskier a project, the higher its cost of capital.
Net Present Value
o A FIVE-STEP APPROACH FOR CALCULATING
NPV
4. Compute the project’s NPV
Determine the difference between the present values
of the expected net cash flows from the project and the
expected cost of the project.
5. Make a decision
Accept a project if it has a positive NPV, reject it if the
NPV is negative.
Net Present Value
o NPV EXAMPLE
• Find the net present value of the example in
Exhibit 10.3
$80 $80 $80 $80 $80 $30
P $300
B
(1.15 ) (1.15 ) (1.15 ) (1.15 )
1 2 3 4
(1.15 ) 5
$16.91
NPV Example – Excel Solution
Net Present Value
Payback Period
o THE PAYBACK PERIOD
• Is the amount of time it takes for the sum of the net
cash flows from a project to equal the project’s
initial investment
• Says an acceptable project has a payback period
shorter than a certain amount of time
• Can serve as a risk indicator – the quicker a
project’s cost is recovered, the less risky the project
• Is one of the most widely used tools for evaluating
capital projects
Payback Period
o COMPUTING THE PAYBACK PERIOD
• To compute the payback period, estimate a
project’s cost and its future net cash flows
Equation 10.2 shows how to compute the payback
period.
PB
Remaining cost to recover
Years before cost recovery (10.2)
Cash flow during the year
Payback Period Cash Flows and
Calculations
Payback Period
o COMPUTING THE PAYBACK PERIOD
• Projects with shorter payback periods are more
desirable. Cash flows occurring after the
payback period are not considered.
• There is no economic rationale that makes the
payback method consistent with shareholder
wealth maximization.
Payback Period with Various Cash
Flow Patterns
Payback Period
o DISCOUNTED PAYBACK PERIOD
• Future cash flows are discounted by the firm’s
cost of capital
• The major advantage of the discounted payback
is that it tells management how long it takes a
project to reach a positive NPV
Discounted Payback Period Cash
Flows and Calculations
Payback Period
o EVALUATING THE PAYBACK RULE
• The ordinary payback period is widely used in
business
It provides a simple measure of an investment’s
liquidity risk.
It provides a simple measure of an investment’s
liquidity risk.
It ignores the time value of money.
Payback Period
o EVALUATING THE PAYBACK RULE
• Payback period does not account for differences
in the overall risk of projects
• The biggest weakness of the ordinary and
discounted payback methods is their failure to
consider cash flows after the payback period
Payback Period
Internal Rate of Return
o INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN
• The IRR technique compares a firm’s cost of
capital to the rate-of-return that makes the net
cash flows from a project equal to the project’s
cost
• A project is acceptable if its IRR is greater than
the firm’s cost-of-capital
• The IRR is the discount rate that makes a
project have an NPV equal to zero
Internal Rate of Return
o INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN
• The NPV and IRR techniques are similar in
that both utilize discounted cash flows
• The IRR is an important and legitimate
alternative to the NPV method
Internal Rate of Return
o INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN
• The IRR is much like the yield-to-maturity on a
bond
Time Line and Expected Net Cash
Flows for the Ford Project
Using Excel - Internal Rate of Return
Internal Rate of Return
o WHEN IRR AND NPV METHODS AGREE
• The methods will always agree when projects
are independent and the cash flows are
conventional
A conventional project has an initial outflow to begin
and net inflows each year thereafter.
NPV Profile for the Ford Project
Internal Rate of Return
o WHEN IRR AND NPV METHODS DISAGREE
• The IRR and NPV methods can produce
different accept/reject decisions if a project has
unconventional cash flows or projects are
mutually exclusive
Internal Rate of Return
o UNCONVENTIONAL CASH FLOWS
• Unconventional cash flows may exhibit many
patterns
Positive initial cash flow followed by negative net cash
flows.
Positive and negative net cash flows.
Conventional except for a negative net cash flow at the
end of a project’s life.
Internal Rate of Return
o UNCONVENTIONAL CASH FLOWS
• With unconventional cash flows, the IRR
technique may provide more than one rate of
return. This makes the calculation unreliable
and it should not be used to determine whether
a project should be accepted or rejected
NPV Profile for Gold-Mining
Operation
Internal Rate of Return
o MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE PROJECTS
• There is a discount rate at which the NPVS of
two mutually exclusive projects will be equal.
That rate is the crossover point.
• Depending on whether the required rate of
return is higher or lower than the crossover rate,
the ranking of the projects will be different.
• It is easy to identify the superior project based
on NPV, but it cannot be done using IRR.
Thus, ranking conflicts can arise.
Internal Rate of Return
o MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE PROJECTS
• When projects differ in scale, the IRR technique
may suggest choosing a small project that
generates a net cash flow of $10,000 over a larger
one that has $50,000 in net cash flow.
• The larger cash flow project should be chosen
because of its greater contribution to
shareholder wealth. Using NPV would lead to
its selection.
NPV Profiles for Two Mutually
Exclusive Projects
Modified Internal Rate of Return
o MODIFIED INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN (MIRR)
• A major weakness of the IRR compared to the
NPV method is the reinvestment rate
assumption
IRR assumes that cash flows from a project are
reinvested to earn the IRR while NPV assumes that they
are reinvested and earn the firm’s cost of capital.
This optimistic assumption in the IRR method leads to
some projects being accepted when they should not.
– The reinvested cash flows cannot earn the IRR.
Modified Internal Rate of Return
o MODIFIED INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN (MIRR)
• In the modified internal rate of return (MIRR)
technique, cash flow is assumed to be
reinvested at the firm’s cost of capital
• The compounded values are summed to get a
project’s terminal value (TV) at the end of its
life
• The MIRR is the rate which equates a project’s
cost to its terminal value
Modified Internal Rate of Return
o MIRR EQUATION
TV
PV (10.5)
(1 MIRR )
Pr oject Cost n
Modified Internal Rate of Return
o MIRR EXAMPLE
• A project costs $1,200.00 and will generate net
cash inflows of $400 for four years. Calculate
the MIRR of the project.
continued on next slide
Modified Internal Rate of Return
o MIRR EXAMPLE
TV $400(1 .08 ) $400(1 .08 ) $400(1 .08 ) $400(1 .08 )
n
3 2 1 0
$1,802.44
$1,802.44
$1,200.00
(1 MIRR ) 4
$1,802.44
(1 MIRR ) 4
$1,200.00
4
1.5020 1 MIRR 1.1071