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CPE 2 2 Time Scaled Event Network Exercises Macalinao

The document provides information about two time scaled event network problems. For the first problem, it provides a network diagram and asks to draw the unscaled activity bar type based on early start and late start. For the second problem, it provides a table of activities with optimistic, most likely and pessimistic times and asks to draw the precedence diagram and calculate the probability of completing the project within 24 and 21 days.

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Joshua Macalinao
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1K views6 pages

CPE 2 2 Time Scaled Event Network Exercises Macalinao

The document provides information about two time scaled event network problems. For the first problem, it provides a network diagram and asks to draw the unscaled activity bar type based on early start and late start. For the second problem, it provides a table of activities with optimistic, most likely and pessimistic times and asks to draw the precedence diagram and calculate the probability of completing the project within 24 and 21 days.

Uploaded by

Joshua Macalinao
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 6

Macalinao, Joshua M.

BSCPE 2-2 ENGS32 A- Engineering Management

TIME SCALED EVENT NETWORK

For items 1 and 2:


From the following network diagram, draw the unscaled activity Bar Type based on
A. Early Start
B. Late Start

PROBLEM 7-1
(PROBLEM1) 9 19
12 17
5 2 8 27
2 4 6
4
4 17
19
8
7 17
1 7
4
10 15
13
7 9 9 22
7 6
0 3 5 18

Critical path: 1 – 3 – 4 – 6

ACTIVITY TIME ES EF LS LF
1-2 4 0 4 8 12

1-3 7 0 7 0 7
2-4 5 4 9 12 17

3-4 10 7 17 7 17
3-5 6 7 13 9 15

4-6 2 17 19 17 19

5-6 4 13 17 15 19
5-7 9 13 22 18 27

6-7 8 19 27 19 27
Macalinao, Joshua M.
BSCPE 2-2 ENGS32 A- Engineering Management

PROBLEM 7-2
9
(PROBLEM2)
7 18
5 E-4 G-9 days
2 5 11
5 days

C-2 days
20 6
7
1 13 13

J-0 days
6
5 19
20
3
I-6 days
5
3 D-5 days 4 6
8 19
8 14

Critical path: 1 – 2 – 4 – 7

ACTIVITY TIME ES EF LS LF
1-2 5 0 5 0 5
1-3 3 0 3 5 8
2-3 2 5 7 6 8
2-4 8 5 13 5 13
2-5 4 5 9 7 11
3-4 5 3 8 8 13
4-6 6 13 19 14 20
4-7 7 13 20 13 20
5-7 9 9 18 11 20
6-7 0 19 19 20 20
Macalinao, Joshua M.
BSCPE 2-2 ENGS32 A- Engineering Management

For items 3-4:


From the following two table of information;
a. Draw the precedence diagram;
b. What is the probability that the project can be completed in 24 days or less? In 21 days or less?

3. Solution:

ACTIVITY PRECEDES TIME IN DAYS

OPTIMISTIC MOST LIKELY PESSOMISTIC


TIME TIME TIME

A C 5 6 7

B H 8 9 11

C E 6 9 11
D F 9 12 15

E end 5 7 10

F G 5 6 7

G end 3 4 7

H I 4 4 5

I end 5 7 8

𝑇𝑜 + 4𝑇𝑚 + 𝑇𝑝
𝑇𝐸 =
6

𝑇0 = optimistic time; 𝑇𝑀 = most likely time; 𝑇𝑃 = pessimistic time; 𝑇𝐸 = exp duration


Tm = most likely time
Tp = pessimistic time

ACTIVITY PRECEDES TIME IN EXPECTED SD VARIANCE


DAYS DURATION
Optimistic Most Pessimistic
Time Likely Time
Time
A C 5 6 7 6 0.33 0.11
B H 8 9 11 9.17 0.5 0.25
C E 6 9 11 8.83 0.83 0.69
D F 9 12 15 12 1 1
E end 5 7 10 7.17 0.83 0.69
F G 5 6 7 6 0.33 0.11
G end 3 4 7 4.33 0.66 0.44
H I 4 4 5 4.17 0.17 0.03
Macalinao, Joshua M.
BSCPE 2-2 ENGS32 A- Engineering Management
I end 5 7 8 6.83 0.5 0.25

PATH PROJECT DURATION (IN DAYS)


G-F-D 4.33 + 6.0 + 12.0 22.33
E-C-A 7.17 + 8.83 + 6.0 22
I-H-B 6.83 + 4.17 + 9.17 1.66

∴ Critical Path is G-F-D

a. Draw the precedence diagram:

G F D

E C A

I H B

b. What is the probability that the project can be completed in 24 days or less? In 21 days or less?

Formula: z = x-µ
σ
σ = standard deviation
where: =√Total Variance of Critical Path x
= expected duration = √0.44+0.11+1
µ = project duration = 22.33 σ = 1.24

Probability for 24 days or less: Probability for 21 days or less:


z= = 1.35 = 0.9115 = 91.15% z= = -1.07 = 0.1423 = 14.23%

4. Solution:

ACTIVITY PRECEDES TIME IN DAYS


OPTIMISTIC MOST LIKELY PESSOMISTIC
TIME TIME TIME
A D,F 2 4 6
D E 6 8 10
E H 7 9 11
H end 2 3 5
F G 3 4 8
G end 5 7 9
B I 2 2 3
Macalinao, Joshua M.
BSCPE 2-2 ENGS32 A- Engineering Management
I J 2 3 6
J K 3 4 5
K end 4 5 8
C M 5 8 12
M N 1 1 1
N O 6 7 11
O end 8 9 13

6
where: To = optimistic time
Tm = most likely time
Tp = pessimistic time

ACTIVITY PRECEDES TIME IN EXPECTED SD VARIANCE


WEEKS DURATION
Optimistic Most Pessimistic
Time Likely Time
Time
A D, F 2 4 6 4 0.66 0.44
D E 6 8 10 8 0.66 0.44
E H 7 9 11 9 0.66 0.44
H end 2 3 5 3.17 0.5 0.25
F G 3 4 8 4.5 0.83 0.69
G end 5 7 9 7 0.66 0.44
B I 2 2 3 2.17 0.17 0.03
I J 2 3 6 3.33 0.66 0.44
J K 3 4 5 4 0.33 0.11
K end 4 5 8 5.33 0.66 0.44
C M 5 8 12 8.17 1.17 1.36
M N 1 1 1 1 0 0
N O 6 7 11 7.5 0.83 0.69
O end 8 9 13 9.5 0.83 0.69

PATH PROJECT DURATION (IN


WEEKS)
A-D-E-H 4 + 8 + 9 + 3.17 24.17
A-F-G 4 + 4.5 + 7 15.5
B-I-J-K 2.17 + 3.33 + 4 + 5.33 14.83
C-M-N-O 8.17 + 1 + 7.5 + 9.5 26.17

∴ Critical Path is C-M-N-O

c. Draw the precedence diagram;

D E H

F G
Macalinao, Joshua M.
BSCPE 2-2 ENGS32 A- Engineering Management

B I J K

C M N O

d. What is the probability that the project can be completed in 24 weeks or less? In 21 weeks or less?

Formula: z = x-µ
σ

where: σ = standard deviation


x = expected duration
µ = project duration = 26.17 weeks
1.36 + 0 + 0.69 + 0.69 σ = 1.66

Probability for 24 weeks or less: Probability for 21 weeks or less: z


= = -1.31 = 0.0951 = 9.51% z= = -3.11 = 0.00094 = 0.094 %

5. From the table of information of problem 4, the project manager will receive a bonus P20 000; and
if the project is finished within 28 weeks of its start, the bonus is only P10 000. Find the probability
of each bonus.

Bonus: P20 000 Bonus P10 000

In problem 4, x = 24: If x = 28:

z=x -µ
z = x-µ

= =
z = -1.31 = 0.0951 = 9.51% z = 1.10 = 0.8643 = 86.43%

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