Providing Loans To Businesses and Consumers: Peter Rose, Chapter 16, 17, 18
Providing Loans To Businesses and Consumers: Peter Rose, Chapter 16, 17, 18
Providing loans to
businesses and
consumers
1
Part 1
• Regulation of Lending
4
Loans
Outstanding for
U.S. Banks
(2007)
5
Factors Determining the Mix of
Bank Loans
01 02 03 04 05
Characteristics Lender Size Experience Expected Yield Regulations
of Market Area and Expertise of Each Type
of of Loan
Management
6
Regulation of Lending
CAMELS Rating System
• Capital Adequacy
• Asset Quality
• Management Quality
• Earnings Record
• Liquidity Position
• Sensitivity to Market Risk
7
Asset Quality
• Criticized Loans
• Scheduled Loans
• Adversely Classified Loans
• Substandard Loans
• Doubtful Loans
• Loss Loans
8
Regulators’ Use of Market Forces
9
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10
QUI ĐỊNH
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HẠN CẤP
TÍN
DỤNG
11
Establishing a Good Written Loan Policy
12
Bank’s Written Loan Policy (cont.)
13
Quick Quiz
14
Steps in the Lending Process
15
The Six Basic C’s of Lending
1 2 3 4 5 6
16
The Six Basic C’s of Lending
17
Common Types of Loan Collateral
18
Information About Consumers
19
Information About Businesses
01 02 03 04
Financial Reports Copies of Board Credit Ratings – The World Wide
Supplied by the of Director’s Dun & Bradstreet, Web
Borrowing Firm Resolutions or Moody’s,
Partnership Standard &
Agreements Poor’s
20
Information About Governments
21
Parts of a Typical Loan Agreement
• The Promissory Note
• Loan Commitment Agreement
• Collateral
• Covenants
• Affirmative
• Negative
• Borrower Guaranties and Warranties
• Events of Default
22
• Examination of Outstanding
Loans to Make Sure
Borrowers are Adhering to
Their Credit Agreements Loan
and the Bank is Following
Its Own Loan Policies
Review
23
Reviewing Conducting Accelerating
26
Loan Workout Process
1. Goal is to Maximize Full Recovery of Funds
2. Rapid Detection and Reporting of Problems is Essential
3. Loan Workout Should Be Separate From Lending Function
4. Should Consult With Customer Quickly on Possible
Options
5. Estimate Resources Available to Collect on Loan
6. Conduct Tax and Litigation Search
7. Evaluate Quality and Competence of Management
8. Consider All Reasonable Alternatives
27
Quick Quiz
• What are the typical steps followed in receiving a loan
request from a customer?
• What three major questions or issues must a lender
consider in evaluating nearly all loan requests?
• Explain the following terms: character, capacity, cash,
conditions, and control.
• What are the principal parts of a loan agreement? What is
each part designed to do?
• What are some warning signs to management that a
problem loan may be developing?
28
Content
• Types of Business Loans: Short-Term and Long-Term
• Analyzing Business Loan Requests
• Collateral and Contingent Liabilities
• Sources and Uses of Business Funds
• Lending to SMEs
• Pricing Business Loans
• Customer Profitability Analysis (CPA)
29
Short Term Business Loans
• Self-Liquidating Inventory Loans
• Working Capital Loans
• Interim Construction Loans
• Security Dealer Financing
• Retailer and Equipment Financing
• Asset-Based Financing
• Syndicated Loans
30
Long Term Business Loans
1. Term Loans
2. Revolving Credit Lines
3. Project Loans
4. Loans to Support Acquisitions of Other Business Firms
31
Sources of Repayment for Business Loans
32
Analyzing Business Loan Applications
• Common Size Ratios of Customer Over Time
• Financial Ratio Analysis of Customer’s Financial Statements
• Current and Pro Forma Sources and Uses of Funds
Statement
33
Financial Ratio Analysis
1. Control Over Expenses
2. Operating Efficiency
3. Marketability of Product or Service
4. Coverage Ratios: Measuring Adequacy of Earnings
5. Liquidity Indicators for Business Customers
6. Profitability Indicators
7. The Financial Leverage Factor as a Barometer of a
Business Firm’s Capital Structure
34
Expense Control Measures
1. Cost of Goods Sold/Net Sales
2. Selling, Administrative and Other Expenses/Net Sales
3. Depreciation Expenses/Net Sales
4. Interest Expenses on Borrowed Funds/Net Sales
5. Taxes/Net Sales
35
Operating Efficiency
1. Annual Costs of Goods Sold/Average Inventory
2. Average Receivables Collection Period
3. Net Sales/Net Fixed Assets
4. Net Sales/Total Assets
5. Net Sales/Accounts Receivables
36
Marketability of Product or Service
37
Coverage Measures
1. Interest Coverage
2. Coverage of Interest and Principal
Payments
38
Liquidity Measures
1. Current Assets/Current Liabilities
2. Acid Test Ratio
3. Working Capital
4. Net Liquid Assets
39
Profitability Measures
1. Before Tax Net Income/Total Assets
2. After Tax Net Income/Total Assets
3. Before Tax Net Income/Net Worth
4. After Tax Net Income/Net Worth
40
Leverage or Capital Structure Measures
1. Leverage Ratio
2. Total Liabilities/Net Worth
3. Capitalization Ratio
4. Debt to Sales Ratio
41
Types of Contingent Liabilities
1. Guarantees or Warrantees Behind Products
2. Litigation or Pending Lawsuits
3. Unfunded Pension Liabilities
4. Taxes Owed But Unpaid
5. Limiting Regulations
42
Component of Sources and Uses of Funds
Statement
1. Cash Flows from Operations
2. Cash Flows from Investing Activities
3. Cash Flows from Financing Activities
43
Traditional (Direct) Operating Cash Flows
44
Indirect Operating Cash Flows
• Net Income + Non Cash Expenses + Losses from the Sale
of Assets – Gains from the Sale of Assets – Increases in
Assets Associated with Operations + Increases in Current
Liabilities Associated with Operations – Decreases in
Current Liabilities Associated with Operations + Decreases
in Current Assets Associated with Operations
45
Analysis of a Business Borrower’s
Financial Statements
46
Analysis of a Business Borrower’s
Financial Statements
47
Financial Ratio Analysis of a Customer’s
Financial Statements
48
Financial Ratio Analysis of a Customer’s Financial Statements
49
Financial Ratio Analysis of a Customer’s
Financial Statements
• A. The Business Customer's Control over Expenses
• B. Operating Efficiency: Measure of a Business Firm's
Performance Effectiveness
• C. Marketability of the Customer's Product or Service
• D. Coverage Ratios: Measuring the Adequacy of Earnings
• E. Liquidity Indicators for Business Customers
• F. Profitability Indicators
• G. The Financial Leverage Factor as a Barometer of a
Business Firm's Capital Structure
50
Loan pricing model
• Target rate of return
• Customer credit risk, quantified as a “probability of default”
and credit rating: The higher the default probability, the
higher the loan interest rate will be;
• Loss-given-default (LGD), also known as recovery rate
(RR): This is the amount of the loan value that will be
recovered after customer default. The higher the LGD (that
is, the lower the RR) the higher the loan rate will be;
• Collateral: If the loan is provided unsecured (“clean”), it will
be priced at a higher rate than if it is secured.
• Funds transfer “price” (FTP): There is an additional pricing
factor in all but the simplest banks, and that is an internal
pricing input that in theory will be seeking to cover the
bank’s term liquidity premium (TLP). This is the FTP rate
supplied by the Treasury department. 51
Methods Used to Price
Business Loans
52
Cost-Plus Loan Pricing
Marginal
Cost of Estimated
Nonfund Bank's
Loan Raising Margin to
Bank Desired
Interest = Loanable + + Compensate +
Operating Profit
Rate Funds to Bank for
Costs Margin
Lend to Default Risk
Borrower
Cost-plus-profit pricing requires the bank to estimate the total cost involved in making a
loan and then adds to that cost estimate a small margin for profit.
53
Cost-Plus Loan Pricing
• In order to help fund a loan request of $10 million for one year
from one of its best customers, Lone Star Bank sold negotiable
CDs to its business customers in the amount of $6 million at a
promised annual yield of 3.50 percent and borrowed $4 million in
the Federal funds market from other banks at today’s prevailing
interest rate of 3.25 percent.
• Credit investigation and recordkeeping costs to process this loan
application were an estimated $25,000. The Credit Analysis
Division recommends a minimal 1 percent risk premium on this
loan and a minimal profit margin of one-fourth of a percentage
point. The bank prefers using cost-plus loan pricing in this cases.
What loan rate would it charge?
54
Price Leadership Model
Default
Risk Term Risk
Loan
Base or Premium Premium for
Interest = + +
Prime Rate for Non- Longer
Rate
Prime Term Credit
Borrowers
56
LIBOR
57
Below-Prime Market Pricing
Interest Cost
Loan Markup
of Borrowing
Interest = + for Risk
in the Money
Rate and Profit
Market
58
Customer Profitability Analysis (CPA)
1. Estimate Total Revenues From Loans and Other Services
2. Estimate Total Expenses From Providing Net Loanable
Funds
3. Estimate Net Loanable Funds
4. Estimate Before Tax Rate of Return By Dividing Revenues
Less Expenses By Net Loanable Funds
59
Try it: #
60
Try it: #
61
Quick Quiz
1. What aspects of a business firm’s financial statements do
loan officers and credit analysts examine carefully?
2. What methods are used to price business loans?
3. Suppose a bank estimates that the marginal cost of
raising loanable funds to make a $10m loan to one of its
corporate customers is 4%, its nonfunds operating costs
to evaluate and offer this loan are 0.5%, the default-risk
premium on the loan is 0.375%, a term-risk premium of
0.625% is to be added, and the desired profit margin is
0.25%. What loan rate should be quoted this borrower?
How much interest will this borrower pay in a year?
62
PART 3
63
Content
1. Types of Loans for Individuals and Families
2. Unique Characteristics of Consumer Loans
3. Evaluating a Consumer Loan Request
4. Credit Cards and Credit Scoring
5. Disclosure Rules and Discrimination
6. Loan Pricing and Refinancing
64
Consumer Lending
1. Has been among the most popular financial services
offered in recent years
2. One of the most important sources of revenues and
deposits for banks and their competitors (credit unions,
savings associations, and finance and insurance
companies); a source of supplemental income
3. On the other hand, presents a special challenge due to
higher-than-average default rates.
65
Consumer Lending: Outstanding Balance by Category: Value 2011-2016
Source: Euromonitor International from official statistics, nov.2016
66
Forecast Consumer Credit:
Outstanding Balance by Category:
% Value Growth 2016-2021
Sourche: Euromonitor, 2016
67
Types of Consumer Loans
• Classify Consumer Loans by Purpose – What the Borrowed
Funds are Used For, or by Type – Whether the Borrower
Must Repay in Installments or in One Lump Sum
• Residential Mortgage Loans
• Nonresidential Loans
• Installment Loans
• Noninstallment Loans
• Credit Card Loans and Revolving Credit
68
Residential Mortgage Loans
• Credit to Finance the Purchase of Residential Property in
the Form of Houses and Multifamily Dwellings.
• This is Usually a Long-Term Loan (15-30 years) Which is
Secured By the Property Itself.
• Fixed or Variable Rate of Interest
69
Nonresidential Loans: Installment Loans
70
Noninstallment Loans
• Short-Term Loans By Individuals for Immediate Cash Needs
and Repayable in One Lump Sum When the Borrower’s
Note Matures (charge accounts, medical care, auto and
home repairs)
71
Credit Card Loans
• Credit Cards Offer Holders Access to Either Installment or
Noninstallment Credit.
• Banks Find That the Installment Users of Credit Cards are
the Most Profitable – Provide Higher Risk-Adjusted Returns
Than Other Types of Loans.
• Card issuers earn income from:
Cardholders’ annual fees
Interest on outstanding loan balances
Discounting the charges that merchants accept on purchases.
72
• Credit Cards: Number of
Cards in Circulation 2011-
2016
73
Try it:#
• Credit card companies allow customers with balances to
pay a minimum amount, instead of the full amount each
month. What remains unpaid accumulates interest at
sometimes quite high interest rates.
• Suppose you have charged $1,000 and choose to pay the
minimum balance of 2% at the end of each month. And
suppose your credit card company charges 30% APR
interest, with monthly compounding.
• How much will you owe after 12months if you implement the
strategy of paying the minimum?
74
Forecast Credit Cards Transactions
2016-2021
Source: Euromonitor International, Oct. 2016
75
Credit Card Regulations
• U.S. Regulators of Depository Institutions --
OCC, Fed, FDIC, and OTS -- in 2003, Moved to
Slow the Expansion of Card Offers to Customers
with Low Credit Ratings
• More recently, May 2009:
▫ Strict limits on marketing to college students and other
prospective cardholders under the age of 21
▫ Preventing cardholder accounts from being charged
beyond their limits
▫ Clearer disclosure of credit card interest rates and
repayment estimates, using standard text sizes and styles
▫ Tougher rules related to raising interest rates on
delinquent cardholders, with clear paths to rehabilitate 76
credit card accounts.
Debit Cards
• Debit Cards Can Be Used To Pay For Goods And Services,
But Not To Extend Credit. They Are A Convenient Vehicle
For Making Deposits Into And Withdrawals From ATMs And
They Facilitate Check Cashing.
77
• Debit Cards: Number of Cards in
Circulation 2011-2016
Debit cards
78
Characteristics of Consumer
Loans
• Cyclically Sensitive
• Interest Inelastic
79
Evaluating a Consumer Loan Application
80
Credit Bureaus
• Credit Reporting Agencies or Credit Bureaus Assemble and
Distribute to Lenders the Credit History of Millions of
Borrowers
• Information
• Personal Identifying Data
• Personal Credit Histories
• Public Information That May Have Bearing on Loan
81
Credit Scoring
• Credit Scoring Systems are Based on Sophisticated
Statistical Models in Which Several Variables are Joined to
Establish a Numerical Score to Separate Good Loans From
Bad Loans.
• The Most Famous of These is the FICO Scoring System
Developed by Fair Isaac.
82
Credit Scoring
83
PART 2
Lending to Business
Firms and Pricing
Business Loans
84
LENDING
TO SME
CREDIT SCORE
CARD
USED
85
LENDING
TO SME
CREDIT SCORE
CARD
USED
86
LENDING
TO SME
CREDIT SCORE
CARD
USED
87
• LENDING
TO SME
CREDIT SCORE
CARD
USED
88
LENDING
TO SME
CREDIT SCORE
CARD
USED
89
Real Estate Loans
• Among the Riskiest Loans Banks Can Make
90
Factors Used in Evaluating Real Estate
Loans
• Size of Down Payment Relative to Purchase Price of
Property
• Should Be Evaluated in Terms of Total Relationship
• Need to Pay Attention to Particular Aspects of Credit
Application:
• Amount and Stability of Income (Gross Debt Service)
• Available Savings and Source of Down Payment
• Track Record in Maintaining Property
• Outlook for Real Estate Market in Local Area
• Outlook for Interest Rates If Variable Rate Loan
91
Interest Only Mortgages: The Most
Controversial of Home Mortgage Loans
• Many of these are Adjustable Rate Mortgages
• Home Owner Can Pay the Interest Only for an Initial Period
• Mortgage Payments Can be Much Higher When Principal
Payments are Due Because of the Shorter Period to Repay
the Loan
• Especially Problematic When House Prices Stop Climbing
Upward
• During the Recent Crisis, the Fed Moved to Tighten the
Rules on Mortgage Lending to Promote Greater
Transparency in Loan Terms
92
Quick Quiz
1. How do credit-scoring systems work? What are the
principal advantages to a lending institution of using a
credit-scoring system?
2. In what ways is a real estate loan unique compared to
other kinds of bank loans?
3. What factors should a lender consider in evaluating real
estate loan applications?
4. What legal protections are available today to protect
borrowers against discrimination? Against predatory
lending?
5. What forces are reshaping household lending today?
93
Cost-Plus Model of Pricing Loans
Risk Risk
Lender's
Loan Rate Nonfunding Premium Premium Desired
Cost of
Paid by = + Operating + for + for Time + Profit
Raising
Consumer Costs Customer to Margin
Funds
Default Maturity
94
Annual Percentage Rate (APR)
• The APR is the Internal Rate of Return that Equates Total
Payments With the Amount of the Loan.
• The Truth in Lending Act Requires That This Rate Be
Disclosed to Consumers On All Loans
95
Add-On Loan Rate Method
96
Interest Rates on Home Mortgages
• Fixed Rate Mortgage (FRM) – 1930s to 1970s Most
Mortgages Were Fixed-Rate Mortgages. They Had a Fixed
Interest Rate That Did Not Change Over the Life of the
Loan
• Adjustable Rate Mortgage (ARM) – in the Early 1970s
Adjustable Rate Mortgages Were Allowed. These
Mortgages Have an Interest Rate That Changes Over the
Life of the Mortgage. The Yields are More Responsive to
Interest Rate Movements – an Advantage for the Lender.
97
Mortgage Points
98
Quick Quiz
99