I. Objectives: C. Discussion
I. Objectives: C. Discussion
Objectives
At the end of the lesson the student should be able to:
a. Understand the rules of probability;
b. compute the probability of an event.
III. Procedure
A. Daily Routine
1. Prayer
2. Greetings
3. Classroom management
4. Checking of attendance
B. Review/Motivation
Experimental and Theoretical Probability
C. Discussion
Probability of Events
The probability of an event, P (event), is a number from 0 to 1 which tells how likely the event is to
happen. Take a closer look at the probability line below. Never to To happen about Sure to happen half
the time happen 0 1 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Probability Rules
1. The probability of any event is a number (either a fraction, a decimal or a percent) from 0 to 1.
Example: The weather forecast shows a 70% rain P (rain) = 70%
2. If an event will never happen, then its probability is 0. Example: When a single die is rolled, find the
probability of getting an 8. Since the sample space consists of 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6, it is impossible to get
an 8. Hence, P(9) = 0 9 = 0.
3. If an event is sure to happen, then the probability is 1. Example: When a single die is rolled, what is
the probability of getting a number less than 7? Since all the outcomes {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6} are less than 7, P
(number less than 7) = 6/ 6 = 1
4. The sum of the probabilities of all the outcomes in the sample space is 1.
Example:
In rolling a fair die, each outcome in the sample space has a probability of 1/ 6 . Hence, the sum of the
probabilities of the outcomes is 1.
If you flipped the coin ten times and got the following outcomes: H, H. H, T, H, T, T, H, H, what is the
probability that the last outcome will also be a Head (H)? How did you arrive at your answer?
Examples:
1. What is the probability of getting a HEART from a deck of cards? P (heart) = 13 /52 = 1/ 4
2. There are 25 marbles in a container: 4 are red, 5 are blue and 11 are yellow. What is the probability
that a blue marble will be picked? P (blue marble) = 5 /20 = 1 /4
Sometimes, getting an event affects the outcome of another event. Take a look at these examples:
Getting the next candy is affected by the result of the first attempt. Every time you get a piece of
candy from a bag, the chance of getting a red one will change. These are called dependent events.
D. Generalization
E. Application
IV. Evaluation
Match the following with a letter on the probability scale.
V. Assignment
None.