iFAST UOB
iFAST UOB
iFAST UOB
3.50 350
3.00 300
KEY FINANCIALS 2.50 250
Year to 31 Dec (S$m) 2018 2019 2020F 2021F 2022F
2.00 200
Net turnover 121 125 175 196 213
EBITDA 15 22 32 37 40 1.50 150
Contents
Investment Highlights .................................................................................................................. 3
Valuation ...................................................................................................................................... 6
Investment Highlights
Beneficiary of broader market trends. A collaborative report by Morgan Stanley and High growth in total AUM to be captured.
Oliver Wyman dated Jun 20 shows that high net worth (HNW) AUM as a proportion of total Underlying trend of greater financial literacy
for the next generation.
assets in the Asia-Pacific (APAC) region continues to remain lowest globally at 1-5%1. Total
AUM (including retail and institutional) in Asia’s wealth management industry remain below
20%. Separately, PwC projects a 10% CAGR for AUM through to 20252. This growth will
likely continue into 2030 and beyond as more investors seek professional wealth
management advisory and wealth management tools. More specifically, there are vast
amounts of unmanaged wealth in the Chinese markets due to the stellar economic growth
in the past decade which is likely to continue. Although iFAST’s losses in China since its
entry in 2014 have been widening, we believe this is a product of the company’s focus on
capturing a larger customer base and will eventually result in scalability in the future.
Additionally, financial literacy is a growing trend among young adults and teenagers. With
the advent of easy online brokerages, iFAST is likely to capture a lion’s share of this
demand. This is due to the wide array of investment products and tools available for retail
investors, sustaining growth in the medium-to-long term.
Captive customer base provides support for recurrent sales. iFAST’s B2B clientele Stable recurring revenue from long-standing
comprises large financial institutions such as Financial Alliance, Great Eastern, Manulife, relationships with blue-chip clients.
Bank of China and CIMB, among others. It provides a full suite of services such as back-
end processes for financial institutions and tax-effective employee solutions to multinational
corporations. iFAST also maintains a captive customer base that relies on its services.
Additionally, these large clients are more resilient to market downturns and ensure that
>80% of revenue for iFAST is considerably recurring. The company has gone through the
bear markets and SARS in 2001-03, as well as the global financial crisis in 2008. We
believe that these experiences also stand testament to management’s ability to navigate
tough conditions and emerge stronger.
Strong corporate governance and management quality. iFAST is among the 95 SGX- Recent entry into SGX Fast Track list is a
listed companies recently included in the 2019 SGX Fast Track list, which will be given testament to high corporate governance
standards.
prioritised response on selected corporate action submissions. While the benefits are not
entirely tangible, the stringent admission criteria to the list are a strong testament to the
high corporate governance standards and good compliance track record of the company.
Strong dividend growth may present upside surprise. We believe iFAST’s earnings The 3-year DPS CAGR stands at 28%,
growth is beginning to accelerate, supporting a sustainable rise in dividends. Historically, reflecting the broader industry trends and
iFAST’s acceleration in growth.
iFAST has kept dividend growth steady, pegged to 76-88% of 2017-19 net profit. Based on
our estimates, we expect DPS of S$0.059 and S$0.064 for 2020-21, representing 76% and
75% of earnings, respectively. This is 26% and 21% higher than Bloomberg consensus
estimates of S$0.047 and S$0.053 for 2020-21 respectively.
Multiple possible catalysts ahead. iFAST is currently engaged in bids for initiatives that Current estimates exclude these bids.
would expand its revenue stream. In Hong Kong, iFAST is among minorities in a
consortium led by PCCW, which is up against another group led by Ping An Insurance’s
OneConnect Financial Technology, in a bid to digitalise the country’s retirement fund
system. The deal is expected to generate S$6.54b in revenue for the winning consortium, of
which the net profit is estimated to be in the range of 2-2.5% (S$130.8m-S$163.5m).
In Singapore, iFAST is among nine applicants short-listed for the three digital banking
licences that MAS seeks to issue. We expect operating expenses to grow by 9-11% if
iFAST secures the licence. But we believe operations will be accretive to shareholders
within three years of commencement.
1 https://www.oliverwyman.com/content/dam/oliver-wyman/v2/publications/2020/jun/Global-Wealth-Management-Report-2020.pdf
2 https://www.pwc.com/sg/en/asset-management/assets/asset-management-2025-asia-pacific.pdf
Earnings Outlook
Top-line expansion expected due to growing value of AUA. iFAST has consistently FIGURE 1: AUA BREAKDOWN BY MARKETS
captured the demand for wealth management as the percentage of managed wealth in Asia (S$'000)
grows. AUA grew 11.5% in 1H20 alone, as digitalisation was hastened by the lockdown 20,000
18,000
measures in the region. This trend is set in motion and we believe it will continue as Asian 16,000
economies recover from pandemic-related measures. Top-line growth has been adjusted 14,000
downwards marginally to account for fee compression. Overall, our 5-year AUA and total 12,000
revenue CAGR estimates are at 13% and 16% respectively (revenue CAGR is higher due 10,000
8,000
to 1H19’s poor performance as financial market sold off in 4Q18).
6,000
Gross and operating margins to improve. The cost of sales that iFAST incurs are the 4,000
2,000
commissions and fees paid to third-party financial advisers. The same fee compression that 0
is occurring to iFAST’s commission and fee income will similarly affect the fees paid to 2016A 2017A 2018A 2019A 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F 2024F
Singapore Malaysia Hong Kong China India (implied)
third-party financial advisers, resulting in lower cost of sales. Additionally, as iFAST
continues to scale and achieve higher AUAs, we believe they will be able to gain scalability, Source: iFAST, UOB Kay Hian
400,000 51.0%
140,000 14.0%
50.5%
350,000
50.0% 120,000 12.0%
300,000
49.5% 100,000 10.0%
250,000 49.0%
80,000 8.0%
200,000 48.5%
48.0% 60,000 6.0%
150,000
47.5%
100,000 40,000 4.0%
47.0%
50,000 20,000 2.0%
46.5%
0 46.0% 0 0.0%
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F 2024F 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F 2024F
Total Revenue Net Revenue Cost of sales (%) RHS Total OpEx Operating Profit (EBIT) Operating Margin (RHS)
Source: iFAST, UOB Kay Hian Source: iFAST, UOB Kay Hian
FIGURE 4: NET INCOME AND MARGIN FIGURE 5: DPS AND PAYOUT RATIO
(S$'000) (S$ cents)
30,000 120.0%
10.0% 10.0
25,000 100.0%
8.0% 8.0
20,000 80.0%
6.0% 6.0
15,000 60.0%
4.0% 4.0
10,000 40.0%
Source: iFAST, UOB Kay Hian Source: iFAST, UOB Kay Hian
(S$ '000)
(S$' cents)
70000.0
One-time loan taken in
3.0 100%
60000.0 2018 to finance initial
capital for HK virtual 2.5 80%
50000.0 banking business.
2.0
40000.0
60%
1.5
30000.0 40%
1.0
20000.0
0.5 20%
10000.0
0.0 0%
0.0 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020F 2021F 2022F
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F 2024F
DPS (LHS) Payout ratio (RHS)
Net cash Total debt Cash at hand
Source: iFAST, UOB Kay Hian Source: iFAST, UOB Kay Hian
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
-10,000
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F 2024F
Net cash from operating activities Free Cash Flow To Firm
Valuation
BUY with target price of S$3.34/share. The valuation is pegged to 40.3x 2021F PE, or 2
SD above its 5-year mean. We believe the elevated valuation is justified, given that: a)
Asia’s wealth management industry is undergoing a sustainable record growth phase; and
b) earnings for iFAST are beginning to scale up from operating leverage on higher
revenues and a slower growth in expenses.
iFAST has been able to deliver consistent top- and bottom-line growth, and is set to expand
current operations in Singapore, Hong Kong and Malaysia. China remains a strong
potential upside for iFAST to continue double-digit growth in AUA in the future. The
management’s ability to source for deals and potential revenue streams boosts our
confidence in iFAST’s ability to grow exponentially.
On the back of higher operating cash flow, an estimated DPS of S$0.059/S$0.064 is
expected for 2020/21F respectively. It is also expected to grow through to 2024. At the
current price, this translates to an indicative yield of 2.0/2.2%.
iFAST currently trades at 33.9x 2021F PE.
(x) (x)
50 8
45 +2SD:. 40.3x 7
40 +1SD:. 34.9x 6
35 +1SD:. 4.6x
Average 29.6x
5
30
Average 3.7x
25 4
-1SD:. 24.2x
20 3
-2SD:. 18.9x -1SD:. 2.7x
15
2
10
1
5
0 0
2015 2015 2015 2016 2016 2016 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2018 2019 2019 2019 2020 2020 2015 2015 2015 2016 2016 2016 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2018 2019 2019 2019 2020 2020 2020
Source: Bloomberg, UOB Kay Hian Source: Bloomberg, UOB Kay Hian
Profitability
EBITDA margin 12.7 17.8 18.5 18.7 18.7
EBIT margin 8.1 7.3 10.9 11.4 11.3
Gross margin 49.2 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0
Pre-tax margin 10.2 8.8 13.7 13.4 13.3
Net margin 9.0 7.6 11.9 11.6 11.6
ROE 13.1 10.8 22.5 23.3 23.7
ROA 7.9 6.0 12.7 13.0 13.3
ROIC 8.4 7.1 19.3 19.5 19.6
RONTA 12.6 19.0 27.6 28.4 29.8
Leverage
Interest cover (x) n.a. 349.1 422.7 n.a. n.a.
Debt to total capital 30.4 4.1 0.2 0.2 0.2
Debt to equity 43.7 4.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Net debt/(cash) to equity (28.0) (23.3) (11.9) (9.4) (10.5)
Current ratio (x) 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.7
Source: UOB Kay Hian
Source: iFAST
3 https://home.kpmg/xx/en/blogs/home/posts/2020/07/asset-management-in-asia-pacific.html
4 https://www.mckinsey.com/~/media/McKinsey/Industries/Financial%20Services/Our%20Insights/Will%20the%20good%20times%20keep%20rolling%20for%20Asias%20asset%20managers/Will-the-good-
times-keep-rolling-for-Asia-asset-managers-web-final.pdf
5 https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/pages/consulting/articles/ten-disruptive-trends-in-wealth-management.html#
6 https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/financial-services/our-insights/asian-asset-management-protecting-and-creating-value-in-disruptive-times
TD Ameritrade and E*TRADE are relatively low commission brokerages that have led the
fee compression trend in the industry for the past decade. However, both firms have
continued to grow rapidly in recent years despite the bulk of their operations being
conducted within the mature US financial market. This shows the growth potential of the
online brokerage business despite the fee compression. TD Ameritrade has been able to
outpace E*TRADE in growth due to its larger international presence. We see this as an
encouraging sign for iFAST, given the growth outlook in the Asia-Pacific region. As a
homegrown brand, iFAST claims a home ground advantage in Southeast Asia, and the new
offices in China will allow for greater penetration and growth in the future.
Mr Lim is the Chairman and CEO. He co-founded the company with the launch of its B2C division Fundsupermart.com in
Singapore in 2000. The B2B division, iFAST Financial, was launched in 2001. Mr Lim subsequently led the company’s
regional expansion efforts, extending iFAST’s presence to Hong Kong, Malaysia, China and India, building a well-established
fintech ecosystem across the five markets. Mr Lim also led the company to its successful listing on the SGX-ST Mainboard in
Mr Lim Chung Chun CEO and Chairman Dec 14.
Before setting up the company, Mr Lim was the Head of Research at ING Barings Securities. He graduated with a Bachelor
of Engineering (Electrical) from the National University of Singapore in 1991, and obtained a Diploma in Investment from The
Institute of Banking and Finance in 1993.
Mr Yao was previously the Minister of State at the Ministry of Defence, the Minister of State and the Senior Minister of State
at the Prime Minister’s Office. He was the Mayor of South East District from 2004-11, Deputy Speaker of Parliament from
2006-11, and Member of Parliament for the MacPherson Single Member Constituency from 1991 to 2011. From 2009-18, Mr
Mr Yao Chih Matthias Lead Independent Director
Yao was a member of the Housing & Development Board. He is also currently the Managing Director of Agmonton. He was
awarded the Overseas Merit Scholarship in 1975 and holds a Bachelor of Commerce (Honours) from the University of
Birmingham in the UK in 1978.
Mr Wong is responsible for the day-to-day management as the Group COO. He is also the Group Chief Risk Officer. Prior to
joining the company, Mr Wong was with a well-known fund management company as a manager responsible for the
marketing, product development, as well as sales administration and sales in respect of funds from 1994 to 2000. From
Mr Wong Soon Shyan COO
1989-91, he worked briefly as an external auditor before joining a foreign bank as a credit analyst and worked as an
accountant at an undisclosed firm from 1992-94. Mr Wong graduated with a Bachelor of Accountancy degree from the
National University of Singapore in 1989. He is also a Chartered Financial Analyst.
Mr Leung joined the company in Aug 06 and is responsible for its financial and accounting matters. He has more than 20
years of experience in auditing, accounting, taxation and financial management. Prior to joining the company, Mr Leung
worked as an auditor in the Hong Kong and Singapore offices of an international accounting firm from 1991-98 and was
promoted to assistant manager in 1996. From 1999 to 2006, he held various financial and accounting positions in companies
in different industries. This includes companies in the business of machinery and equipment manufacturing, the provision of
Mr Leung Fung Yat David CFO e-commerce services, investment holdings, electronics and semiconductors, retail and the manufacture and trading of health
food products.
Mr Leung graduated with a Bachelor of Arts in Accountancy with Honours degree from The Hong Kong Polytechnic
University in 1991 and obtained a Master of Business Administration from the Imperial College London in the UK. In 2019,
he was named Best CFO for listed companies with less than $300m in market capitalisation at the Singapore Corporate
Awards.
Source: iFAST
Release of 3Q20 results End-Oct 20 Expectations: S$11.6b in AUA (+4% QoQ, 16% ytd), 9M20 earnings expected to exceed that of 2019
net profit range between S$5.5m-6m.
Expected 3Q20 dividend Early-Nov 20 Estimated DPS of S$0.02 3Q19 interim DPS of S$0.0075
Digitalise HK retirement fund system 2H 2020 Create an electronic platform to centralise data for 4.3m - Estimated revenue of HK$37b (S$6.48b) over 10 years
members by 2022, in a bid to consolidate multiple
- Up against other finalist led by Ping An’s OneConnect
accounts, switch between plans and lower fees.
Financial Technology
Digital banking license 2H 2020 Specific to the digital wholesale bank (DWB) license that - iFAST short-listed among nine other candidates, bidding
iFAST is bidding for: for three available DWB licences
- A DWB will be allowed to take deposits from and - As at Jun 20, short-listed candidates will present their:
provide banking services to SMEs and other non-retail a) value proposition and business model; b) ability to
customer segments manage a prudent and sustainable digital banking
business; and c) growth prospects and other
contributions to Singapore’s financial centre
Release of 4Q20 results Mid-Feb 21 Expectations: S$12b in AUA (+3.4% QoQ, +20% ytd), net 2020 earnings expected to be S$20.8m (+118.5%)
profit range between S$6.1m-7.1m.
Expected 4Q20 dividend End-Apr/ Early-May 21 Estimated final DPS of S$0.024, taking full-year DPS to 4Q19 final DPS of S$0.009
S$0.059
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