Scribd
Upload
26 views

Forecasting

This document contains quarterly sales data from 1991 to 1995 for an unnamed company. It shows sales per quarter in dollars over this five year period, with sales ranging from $9 million to $26 million. Various calculations are performed on the raw sales data, including 4-quarter moving totals and averages, as well as seasonal and trend adjustments.

Uploaded by

Venkatesh m
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
26 views

Forecasting

This document contains quarterly sales data from 1991 to 1995 for an unnamed company. It shows sales per quarter in dollars over this five year period, with sales ranging from $9 million to $26 million. Various calculations are performed on the raw sales data, including 4-quarter moving totals and averages, as well as seasonal and trend adjustments.

Uploaded by

Venkatesh m
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 7

year Sales per quarter (x $ 10,000)

I II III IV
1991 16 21 9 18
Quarterly
Sales 1992 15 20 10 18
1993 17 24 13 22
1994 17 25 11 21
1995 18 26 14 25
Year Quarter Actual 4-quarter 4-quarter moving 4-quarter Percentage of
sales moving total average centered moving actual to moving
1991 I

II

III

IV

1992 I

II

III

IV

1993 I

II

III

IV

1994 I

II

III

IV
1995 I

II

III

IV
Total of Adjusting
modified factor
mean
Quarter
Year I II III IV
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
Modified sum
Modified mean 0 #DIV/0!

Adjusting Seasonal
Quarter Indices factor indices
I
II
III
IV
Actual Seasonal
Year Quarter sales index/100 Deseasonalized sales
1991 I
II
III
IV
1992 I
II
III
IV
1993 I
II
III
IV
1994 I
II
III
IV
1995 I
II
III
IV
Year Quarter Deseasonalized Coding the time x xY x2
sales (Y) variable (1/2*x)
1991 I
II
III
IV
1992 I
II
III
IV
1993 I
II
III
IV
1994 I
II
III
IV
1995 I
II
III
IV
Percent of
Year Quarter Deseasonalized sales x Y=a+bx trend
(Y)
1991 I
II
III
IV
1992 I
II
III
IV
1993 I
II
III
IV
1994 I
II
III
IV
1995 I
II
III
IV

You might also like