Rossari Biotech
Rossari Biotech
Rossari Biotech
Swarnabha Mukherjee
Research Analyst
[email protected]
Date: 16th November 2020
This page is intentionally left blank
Long Term Recommendation
Rossari Biotech Ltd A Perfect Formulation in the Making
Rossari Biotech (Rossari) is a key specialty chemicals manufacturer operating in Swarnabha Mukherjee
Research Analyst
home and personal care, textiles, and animal health and nutrition segments in [email protected]
India. Its R&D driven product development business model addresses customer-
specific application requirements. This is a source of competitive advantage for CMP INR: 777
the company and has helped it create a sticky base of marquee customers.
Rating: BUY
Continued momentum in the higher margin home and personal care business
would aid in margin expansion going forward. We expect a Target price INR: 912
revenue/EBITDA/PAT CAGR of 22%/27%/29% over FY20-23E. We initiate Upside: 17%
coverage with a BUY rating and a target price of INR 912 per share.
also improve as contribution from higher margin products rise. Promoter holding (%) 72.69
Structure ........................................................................................................................................... 3
Focus Charts ...................................................................................................................................... 4
I. A play on the domestic consumption story ................................................................................... 7
II. HPPC: Strong execution in home care; personal care to foster future growth ............................ 8
III. High margin HPPC/AHN to aid margin expansion as contribution increases ............................ 17
IV. Industry leading asset turns results in best-in class return ratios ............................................. 19
V. Doubling of capacity to ensure growth momentum continues .................................................. 21
VI. R&D driven company with focus on four chemistries ............................................................... 23
VII. Largest yet differentiated player in the Indian textile chemicals space ................................... 28
VIII. AHN: A higher margin business which can scale up ................................................................ 31
IX. Strategic focus: Exports and inorganic growth .......................................................................... 33
X. Perfect formulation of growth, balance sheet strength and cash generation ............................ 34
Outlook and Valuation .................................................................................................................... 36
Management Profile ....................................................................................................................... 39
Timeline .......................................................................................................................................... 40
Financials ........................................................................................................................................ 41
We expect Rossari Biotech to clock 22% CAGR in Revenue over FY20-23E driven by
a) strong growth emanating from its Home, Personal and Performance Chemicals (HPPC) segment, which caters to home
care (detergents and disinfectants), and is currently focusing on seeding personal care business
b) tailwinds in the sub-segment due to increased focus towards health and hygiene in the pandemic scenario,
c) capacity constraint faced in FY20 would not be a challenge post commercialization of its Dahej facility in Q4FY21. This
would provide growth headroom for not only the focus segment HPPC, but also its textile specialty chemicals segment,
d) a larger contribution from high margin HPPC and Animal Health and Nutrition (AHN) segment would help expand the
margins, along with better cost absorption as the new capacity gets ramped-up,
e) Exports and acquisitions can be further levers of growth in the future.
Consequently, EBITDA and PAT are expected to grow at 27% and 29% CAGR over FY20-23E.
We initiate coverage on Rossari Biotech with a BUY recommendation and a target price of INR 912, valuing the company at
33x its FY23E earnings.
Revenue is expected to grow at 22% CAGR Return ratios to remain strong with a We value the company at 33x its
over FY20-23E due to strong growth in debt free balance sheet FY23E earnings
segments, particularly HPPC
FY23E CMP/
(INR Cr) FY20 FY21E FY22E FY23E FY20 FY21E FY22E FY23E
EPS Target
33x
Revenue 600 713 880 1102 RoACE 36% 30% 33% 34% 27.3 771/912
(CMP 27x)
Net Debt-
EBITDA 105 134 166 213 to-equity -0.2 -0.2 -0.4 -0.5
ratio
EBITDA margin 17.4% 18.7% 18.8% 19.3%
Upside of 17%
Rossari is into the manufacturing of specialty chemical ingredients and formulations that find end-
Nature of the
use in the textile, home personal care and performance chemicals, animal health and nutrition
industry
industries. The segments are largely unorganised in India.
Opportunity size remains significant in the home personal care and performance chemicals, which
Opportunity size
is a key revenue contributor (47% in FY20 revenue mix).
Prudent capital allocation undertaken in its core business, with fungibility of capacities, is helping
the management focus on high growth areas. Rossari’s ROCE has seen continuous uptrend from
Capital allocation FY17 onwards as it focused on the HPPC segment (a segment with better margins, high asset
turnover and short working capital cycle). Continued focus on this segment, along with scale-up of
new sub-segments is expected to generate incrementally higher ROCE.
Long and mature customer relationships and track record of providing solution-oriented products
Predictability
will aid revenue predictability.
Defensive and growing end-industry segment, along with focus on customer servicing and ability to
Sustainability
develop tailor-made products, will sustain revenues.
Near-term visibility remains strong due to heightened focus on health and hygiene, a segment
Near-term visibility where Rossari has significant exposure, aided by new capacity slated to be commissioned in
Q4FY21.
In the long-term, growth will accrue from business development in new segments, particularly
Long-term visibility
personal care, and will be aided by ramp-up in the expanded capacities.
Story in a nutshell
Exhibit 1: Expect revenue to grow at 22% Exhibit 2: …driven by robust growth in the HPPC segment…
CAGR over FY20-23E…
In INR cr In INR cr
1102
682
880
524
713
600 411
516
281
299 195
258
38 55
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E FY23E FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E FY23E
Exhibit 3: Expect rise in the contribution of HPPC,… Exhibit 4: …which is a high gross margin business…
7% 10% 10% 10% 8% 8% 9% 50%
50 5%
0 0%
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E FY23E
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E FY23E
EBITDA (INR cr) - LHS EBITDA Margin - RHS
FY22E
FY23E
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
Exhibit 11: … would lead to strong return ratios… Exhibit 12: … and benefit cash generation
(ROACE in %) 140 2.0
120
53.7 1.5
100
40.5 80
35.8 1.0
32.5 33.9 60
30.1
26.7 40 0.5
20
0 0.0
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E FY23E
Operating cash flow (INR cr) - LHS
OCF/EBITDA - RHS
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E FY23E OCF/PAT - RHS
Revenue: FY20
(INR cr) 281 262 57
Revenue mix:
FY20 47% 44% 10%
FY23E
62% 29% 9%
General gross
margin trends TSC < HPPC < AHN
No of Customers
(approx.) 284 335 150
II. HPPC: Strong execution in home care; personal care to foster future growth
The HPPC segment has been one of the strongest growth drivers for Rossari over FY17-20,
particularly in FY19 where it recorded tremendous growth (we highlight this in Exhibit 14). Revenue
growth clocked 95% CAGR over FY17-20, coming in at INR 281 cr in FY20 versus INR 38 cr in FY17.
Being a high margin segment, larger share in the revenue mix is expected to provide further fillip
to the earnings growth. We expect this segment to continue its growth momentum driven by:
Revenue from this segment is expected to grow by 34% CAGR over FY20-23E as shown in Exhibit 14.
Exhibit 14: Expect HPPC's momentum to continue during FY21-23E (INR cr)
682
34%
524
411
95% 281
195
38 55
HPPC has 300 products that finds application in soaps, detergents, paints, inks and coatings,
ceramics and tiles, water treatment chemicals, and pulp and paper industries, and are based on
acrylic chemistry.
HPPC
Private Label
Ingredients Contract
ODM* Buzil Rossari
Manufacturing
Note: * ODM: Original Design Manufacturing; Source: Company, Edelweiss Professional Investor Research
The company follows a B2B model. It does not sell these ingredients directly but undertakes value
addition by focussing on specific application requirements of customers. This helps it differentiate
from other ingredient manufacturers in the domestic market like BASF, The Dow Chemical
Company, SNF Group, etc.
Apart from operating in the B2B space, Rossari has also entered the e-commerce marketplace via
Amazon India. The management plans to further strengthen its position in this area through tie ups
other e-commerce websites.
In Exhibit 17, we highlight a few products that Rossari manufactures through ODM and contract
manufacturing, for several large clients and well-known brands in the domestic market.
Source: Company
Exhibit 18: Expect double-digit growth in the domestic home care ingredients
market (USDbn)
2.6
10%
11% 1.6
1.2
Note: Growth rates are on an annual basis. Source: Company, Edelweiss Professional Investor Research
Within this, contributions from household and industrial and institutional segments stands at 81%
and 19%, respectively. The household segment is expected to grow at 11% p.a. over 2018-23 (refer
Exhibit 19), constituting ~85% of the industry by 2023. Rossari has tasted considerable success in
this segment, though production of ingredients, ODM and contract manufacturing for key FMCG
players.
Exhibit 19: Segmentation in the domestic home care market by value
19% 15%
81% 85%
2018 2023F
Household Industrial and Institutional
Additionally, the institutional and industrial segment will grow by mid to high single-digits during
the same period and will constitute around 15% of the industry by 2023. Rossari’s subsidiary Buzil
Rossari Pvt Ltd is expected to take advantage of growth in this segment (Refer Buzil-Rossari: The
industrial and institutional cleaning business section in the report). Despite mid single digit growth
rate, we believe that the increase in market size over the next few years will create substantial
opportunity for players of Buzil Rossari’s size.
1.3
6%
0.3 0.4
Note: Growth rates are on an annual basis. Source: Company, Edelweiss Professional Investor Research
Laundry care constitutes around 72% of this segment (as shown in Exhibit 21), followed by
ingredients for dish washing and surface cleaners. Rossari has a significant exposure to the laundry
care segment. Some products manufactured for well-known domestic brands include Love & Care
of HUL, IFB essentials and Amazon Presto. It also manufactures dish care and surface cleaning
products, like Vim and Cif.
BRPL was earlier a JV with Germany’s BUZIL-WERK Wagner GmbH & Co (Buzil), whose stake has
been acquired by Rossari in Q2FY21, along with ten-year exclusivity in India and SAARC countries.
The management has inked a technology licence agreement for manufacturing these products.
Management remains bullish on the opportunity in India and SAARC countries, which led to the
acquisition of the stake, to capture the growth opportunity faster.
These industrial products are used by customers in hospitality and allied areas, commercial laundry,
facility management services, hotels, airports, corporates, malls, hospitals and educational
institutions etc. Product demonstrations of BRPL: Link 1, Link 2 and Link 3.
Though the contribution of personal care products remains small at present, Rossari expects this
business to be a future growth driver. Given the large opportunity size for personal care in India,
driven by rising disposable income levels, we concur with this growth possibility.
Products Products are used in cosmetics, hair care, fragrance, skin care and wellness.
Rossari will manufacture the products at its Silvassa facility and supply to the subsidiary
Manufacturing at an arm’s length basis.
Given the opportunity size (highlighted next), we believe that this segment can clock similar growth
rates post the seeding phase, as seen in the home care segment over the last few years.
Active ingredients provide key properties to products like anti-aging, exfoliation and sun protection
as shown in Exhibit 23. Inactive ingredients provide physical and processable properties to a
formulation to be a carrier of active ingredients to the skin, besides adding shelf life and look and
feel to the product.
f. Personal care ingredients market to clock faster growth than home care
The domestic personal care ingredients market is expected to clock 12.9% CAGR between 2018 and
2023 as against 14.5% CAGR over 2015-18. Growth in future is expected to be driven by various
product types like cosmetics, skincare, shampoo and hair care, and body and hand wash (refer
Exhibit 25).
Exhibit 23: Active and inactive ingredients in the personal care space
Exhibit 24: Indian personal care ingredients market forecast, value (USD bn)
12.9% 2.2
14.5%
1.2
0.8
Note: Growth rates are on an annual basis. Source: Company, Edelweiss Professional Investor Research
21.2
8.2%
3.6
7.8% 14.3
4.6
11.4 2.4
1.9 3.1 6.0
2.5
4.0
3.2 4.2
2.3 2.9
1.5 1.9 2.8
Note: Growth rates are on an annual basis. Source: Company, Edelweiss Professional Investor Research
Exhibit 26: Historical and expected growth rates of various personal care
categories
8.4% 8.4%
8.2% 8.2%
8.1% 8.1%
8%
7.7% 7.7%
7.4%
Exhibit 28: Expect new entry segments to clock strong growth over 2019-25
after growing at 15% CAGR over the last 5 years (USD bn)
3.1
14%
16% 1.9
15%
1.4
15%
0.8 0.7
0.4
Note: Growth rates are on an annual basis. Source: Industry Reports, Edelweiss Professional Investor Research
Exhibit 29: AHN is highest margin business followed by HPPC and then TSC
(Gross margin)
50%
45%
40% 38%
35%
30%
TSC HPPC AHN Rossari FY20
Note: Company indicates highest margin for AHN followed by HPPC and then TSC.
Source: Company, Edelweiss Professional Investor Research
We believe gross profit margins will mirror the product mix going forward. As share of the HPPC
segment improves over FY21-23E, gross margin levels seen in FY20 will sustain and possibly
improve. Exhibits 30 and 31 highlights that over FY17 to FY20, increasing contribution from the HPPC
segment was a key driver of Rossari’s gross margin expanding to 38% from 29%.
Exhibit 30: With a further increase in share, HPPC segment will continue to be
the largest revenue contributor
7% 10% 10% 10% 9% 8% 9%
The management seemed confident of maintaining margins at this level and had highlighted that
the Q1FY21 gross margin of ~42% was on the higher side, considering the large share of HPPC (~76%)
in the mix in the lockdown and ensuing period, where health and hygiene related products saw
strong demand.
34.3%
32.7%
29.2%
As profitability improves and operating leverage kicks in with the commissioning of new capacities,
we expect Rossari’s EBITDA to clock 27% CAGR over FY20-23E. Expansion of EBITDA margin to 19.3%
is expected in FY23E, with further benefits arising from better fixed cost absorption.
Exhibit 32: Expect EBITDA to grow by 27% over FY20-23E, margin to expand
over this period
250 25%
19.3%
18.7% 18.8%
200 17.4% 20%
15.3% 15%
150 15%
10.5%
100 10%
50 5%
45 78 105 134 166 213
0 25 0%
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E FY23E
IV. Industry leading asset turns results in best-in class return ratios
Requirement of working capital has also been low for the company, particularly with higher
contribution from the high-asset-turnover HPPC business. As seen in Exhibit 33, the working capital
cycle reduced to under 30 days in FY19-20 from ~60 days during FY17-18 as inventory days
improved. For FY21E-23E, we expect that working capital cycle to be around 35 days.
Exhibit 33: Working capital management remains top notch (in days)
65
59
35 35 35
27
19
Rossari’s products are not manufacturing intensive and generally have a short reaction time
(mostly under 24 hours). The same for formulations is even lower. This is primarily the reason why
Rossari’s fixed asset turnover ratios are high, and we highlight this in Exhibit 34.
Exhibit 34: Given the increasing share of formulation type businesses, fixed
asset turns (in times) improved considerably
6.1 6.3
5.8
4.8 5.0
4.3
3.7
A similar product mix over FY21-23E will help maintain the working capital cycle and fixed asset
turns. As capacity utilisation improves at new facilities, we expect Return on Average Capital
Employed (ROACE) and Return on Average Equity (ROAE) profiles to remain robust over this period
(refer Exhibit 35 and 36), with high returns on incremental capital employed.
40.5
35.8 33.9
32.5
30.1
26.7
93.9%
82.5%
74.2%
61.9%
Silvassa capacity was augmented by 20,000 MTPA in FY19, taking its total capacity to 120,000 MTPA.
Another 132,500 MTPA will be added in Dahej in FY21 (expected to come on stream in Q4FY21),
which would take Rossari’s total installed capacity to 252,500 MTPA. We have highlighted Rossari’s
capacities available historically as well as in future expectations in Exhibit 38.
The Dahej facility entailed a capex of INR 108 crore, and as per management, capacity is expected
to be optimally utilised over the next 3-4 years. Rossari’s high asset turnover is expected to be
maintained in its expanded capacity as well.
120
80
60 60
120 120 120 120
60 60 80
The Dahej facility will be utilised to manufacture surfactants, agriculture products, silicone oils and
others, and is designed for polymerisation, condensation, among other reactions. The facility will
be fungible across segments. With better technology, the Dahej facility will be cost efficient as per
the management. The 14-acre land parcel in Dahej will have space for further capacity addition.
Post commercialisation of the Dahej capacity, the management plans to use some of Silvassa
facility’s capacity to also manufacture products for its personal care subsidiary RPCPL, primarily
formulations, which is the focus area.
New capacity adds revenue potential significantly. As highlighted by management, total revenue
that can be generated from the 2,52,500 MTPA capacity is around INR 1,500 cr.
258 299
9.8
8.5
7.2 6.8
Product Applications
Water treatment, Textiles, Polyacrylates are detergent polymers used in washing powder
Detergents formulations.
The Global Acrylic Acid derivatives market is expected to see mid-to-high single digit growth as per
various industry reports. Out of this, acrylic polymers are expected to see strongest growth, and a
large part of this is expected to come from the Asia-Pacific region.
7.1% 104
69
2017 2023F
Note: Growth rates are on an annual basis. Source: Industry reports, Edelweiss Professional Investor Research
Used as solvent for foam stabilizer, wetting agent or emulsifying agent in skincare
Personal Care
products. Water resistant properties are used in sub screens, foundations etc.
Used in haircare products due to water resistance and repairing hair damages.
Cosmetics
Additionally, used in eyeshadows, lipsticks, eyeliners etc.
Asia Pacific markets are expected to be largest consumers of industrial enzymes, surpassing North
America by 2022, with a total market size (including industrial and specialty) of USD 2.77bn. India is
expected to contribute 10.1% of the Asia Pacific market with a total demand of USD 279m. We see
substantial growth headroom for enzymes in the domestic market.
4.7%
3310
9.7% 2770 2630
1745
10.0%
173 279
Going forward, developments in pharmaceutical and chemicals sectors and demand for specialty
enzymes are expected to boost market growth.
Domestic surfactant market is expected to grow at 6% CAGR between 2018 and 2024, with
strongest demand from the personal care segment (which is a focus area for Rossari). Growth
rates by various applications are shown in Exhibit 47, with further details in Exhibit 48.
6.3% 780
4.8%
650
7.8%
540
490 470
4.6% 5.8%
300
210
170 150
130
2018 2024F
Note: Growth rates are on an annual basis. Source: Galaxy Surfactants, Edelweiss Professional Investor Research
Product Applications
Detergent and Soaps – to remove oily and organic soiling
Detergent additives
Household Cleaning
Dishwashing products
Others – abrasive cleansers, specialty cleansers etc.
Industrial and
Used in commercial and industrial cleaning
Institutional Cleaning
Personal Care Used in haircare, skin care and cosmetics for cleansing and conditioning properties
Most of its raw materials are sourced from the domestic market, with ~10% being imported. Of this,
those from China account for is less than half of total imports. The management expects to source
higher quantities domestically as capacities in key chemicals come on stream.
For example, the management highlighted that while acrylic acid is imported from LG and BASF,
dependence on overseas sources will reduce with Bharat Petroleum Corporation (BPCL) setting up
production in India shortly.
There is a possibility of a volatility in raw material prices due to movement in crude oil. Key
chemicals like acrylic and acetic acid are derivatives of crude oil. As seen in Exhibits 49 to 50,
individual demand-supply also results in the price movements for these chemicals, which has
eliminated volatility related to crude to some extent. However, over the recent years, changes in
product mix has continuously driven gross margin expansion.
Exhibit 49: WTI Prices - USD/bbl & Acrylic Acid Prices (China) - USD/MT
4,000 120
3,500
100
3,000
80
2,500
2,000 60
1,500
40
1,000
20
500
0 0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Acrylic Acid (LHS) Crude WTI Spot Prices (RHS)
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
VII. Large yet differentiated player in the Indian textile chemicals space
Rossari is one of the largest domestic manufacturer in the textile specialty chemicals space, where
it provides specialty chemicals required for the entire value chain. TSC is the segment through which
the company started its operations, and which has now gained reasonable scale.
As seen above, the growth trajectory has moderated over the last few years after a period of strong
initial growth. This is partly due to capacity constraints and focus on the fast growing HPPC business.
We expect growth trajectory to recover over FY22-23E, aided by capacity availability at the Dahej
facility to be commissioned in Q4FY21. Focus on export markets like Bangladesh, Mauritius,
Vietnam and the US is expected to provide further headroom in a mature industry. Rossari’s R&D
centre at IIT Bombay is also focusing on textile chemicals.
FY21 is expected to be a lacklustre year for this segment due to impact of the COVID-19 pandemic
and consequent demand contraction in India at the start part of the year. However, Q2FY21 has
shown encouraging trends of revival in this business. Going forward, the management’s focus will
be on health, hygiene and wellness products, adding product lines in colouration and preparatory
segments like sizing, yarn lubricants, dyes and pigments, along with expansion of its existing green
product portfolio.
The management’s focus remains on products seeing increased demand, such as hydrophilic
softeners, anti-microbial finishes, micro encapsulated range, water repellents and UV protective
textile finishes, for which it has requisite global certifications.
Green chemicals being made from natural sources are also cost competitive when compared to
conventional products. This is partly due to the low-cost feedstock availability of these products.
We highlight Rossari’s product bouquet in Exhibit 52.
Industry growth is expected to drive growth in the textile chemical market by 13.3% CAGR over
2019-25, after growing by 10.4% CAGR during 2014-19, as per industry estimates. By 2025, this
segment is expected to grow to USD 3.8bn, of which the textile specialty chemicals is a sub-segment.
Exhibit 53: Indian Textile & Apparel Market Size (USD bn)
14
42
7 8
6 19 20 164
17
4
11 67 74 78
2
5
21 35
Exhibit 54: Textile chemicals expected to grow at double digits (USD bn)
3.8
13.3%
10.4%
1.8
1.1
Though on a smaller base, growth of this segment has been robust over FY18-19. However, the
same slowed down in FY20. Going forward, this business can scale up and clock around 19% CAGR
over FY21-23E.
73
57 56
52
29
18
Acquired in FY19 by Rossari, Lozalo is one of the brands under which it sells shampoo for cats, dogs
and horses. The company is also present in areas like poultry feed, supplements and additives, pet
grooming and pet treats. Most products are manufactured in-house with the exception of pet
treats. Feed products are transacted on a B2B model while pet grooming and pet treat products are
sold through retail shops via the distribution channel.
Rossari has over 100 products in this segment. Exhibit 56 highlights its key application areas.
Products under this segment include enzymes, probiotics, trace minerals and acidifiers.
Exhibit 56: Rossari’s presence in AHN sub segments and product range
32 41 72 66
258 299
As highlighted earlier, a shift in product mix is expected to tilt the margin profile of Rossari towards
the higher side. This coupled with operating leverage kicking in as Rossari’s new capacity gets ramp-
up will ensure a higher growth at the EBITDA and PAT level. PAT will also benefit from the reduction
in debt that Rossari has undertaken.
As shown in Exhibits 60 and 61, EBITDA and PAT are expected to increase by 27% and 29% CAGR
over this period.
213
27%
166
134
62% 105
78
45
25
Additionally, we expect solid operating cash generation to occur over this point of time. Over FY17-
20, Rossari’s operating cash flow generated is cumulatively at ~INR 120 cr, which is around 76% of
the cumulative PAT for this period. With increasing contribution from the HPPC business, which has
aided in reduction of working capital cycle, we expect the operating cash generation to improve
going ahead. We highlight this in Exhibit 62.
82
61% 65
46
29
16
80
1.0
60
40 0.5
20
0 0.0
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E FY23E
Operating cash flow (INR cr) - LHS OCF/EBITDA - RHS OCF/PAT - RHS
Source: Company, Edelweiss Professional Investor Research
Rossari turned debt free after paying off its debt (raised earlier for funding growth capex) using
proceeds from its initial public offering (IPO). The management has reiterated conservatism in terms
of borrowed capital during various interactions and debt (both net and gross) has been at
comfortable levels in the last few years (refer Exhibit 63).
Exhibit 64: Comparison of valuation parameters of Rossari Biotech and listed chemical stocks
Rev PAT FY22 FY23
FY22 FY23 FY22 FY20
Market Cap FY22 FY23 P/E PEG FY20-23E FY20-23E EBITDA EBITDA
Rating EV/EBITDA EV/EBITDA ROE Net
Company (INR cr) P/E (x) (x) (x) CAGR CAGR Margin Margin
(x) (x) (%) D/E
(%) (%) (%) (%)
Peerset
Aarti Industries Not Rated 19,174 27.5 21.3 16.4 13.4 1.9 18.0 18.9 23.4 23.5 18.4 0.7
Fine Organics Not Rated 7,908 37.5 30.4 25.1 21.2 2.9 15.6 16.5 22.1 22.7 25.5 -0.2
Galaxy Surfactants Not Rated 6,477 22.6 19.7 14.4 12.7 2.2 11.2 12.6 14.7 14.8 20.9 0.3
Navin Fluorine BUY 10,780 36.7 24.8 24.4 16.3 1.8 26.1 30.9 28.2 29.1 16.3 -0.2
PI Industries Not Rated 35,494 36.9 30.7 27.3 22.3 2.4 24.5 32.1 23.2 23.5 16.9 0.1
SRF BUY 28,459 21.9 19.1 13.9 12.1 2.1 13.9 13.4 23.8 23.9 19.8 0.8
Vinati Organics Not Rated 11,341 30.1 24.2 21.9 17.4 2.8 18.5 12.0 36.8 37.3 22.9 -0.2
Rossari Biotech BUY 4,038 36.2 27.1 21.8 16.4 2.0 22.4 29.1 18.8 19.3 25.0 -0.2
Peerset Average - - 30.5 24.3 20.5 16.5 2.3 - - - - - -
Consmn Average - - 30.1 25.0 19.7 17.0 2.6 - - - - - -
Note: Consumption focused peers are highlighted. Source: Bloomberg consensus, Edelweiss Professional Investor Research
As we can observe from Exhibit 64, on a PEG basis, Rossari’s listed peers are trading at an average
multiple of 2.3x, while consumption-focused peers are trading at a PEG multiple of 2.6x. Compared
to the peerset, Rossari’s FY20-23E growth expectations are higher, which coupled with a strong
balance sheet and return profile, should fetch Rossari similar market valuation multiple.
We initiate coverage on Rossari Biotech Ltd with a BUY recommendation and a target price of INR
912 (resulting in an upside of 17%), valuing the company at 32x its FY23E earnings. The multiple has
been arrived at factoring in the growth potential and strong operational and financial parameters
of the company. At this target price, the PEG multiple for Rossari would be at 2.5x, in line with its
peerset average and lower than its consumption focused peers.
We believe that Rossari’s valuation includes an option value of success in the personal care business
which could significantly speed up earnings growth. Rossari could be a long-term growth story
driven by the domestic consumption focussed business. Consequently, long-term investors could
potentially benefit from the earnings momentum, despite some time correction that may occur
given the stock’s recent strong performance.
600
750
900
1000
1500
2000
2500
1200
1600
2000
2400
500
800
1200
1500
1800
2100
900
Nov-19
Nov-19 Nov-19 Nov-19
Dec-19 Dec-19 Dec-19
Dec-19
Jan-20 Jan-20 Jan-20
Jan-20
Feb-20 Feb-20 Feb-20
Feb-20
Mar-20 Mar-20 Mar-20
Mar-20
Rossari Biotech Ltd
PI Industries
Jun-20 Jun-20 Jun-20
Vinati Organics
Jun-20
Aarti Industries
Galaxy Surfactants
Jul-20 Jul-20 Jul-20 Jul-20
650
700
750
800
850
2500
3300
4100
4900
5700
1100
1600
2100
2600
1400
1850
2300
2750
3200
600
Jul-20 Nov-19 Nov-19 Nov-19
SRF
Outlook and Valuation
Rossari Biotech
Fine Organic Industries
37
Source:Bloomberg, Edelweiss Professional Investor Research
Rossari Biotech Ltd
Outlook and Valuation
Valuation parameters
Year to March FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E FY23E
Diluted EPS (INR) 9.4 13.2 16.6 21.3 28.5
Y-o-Y growth (%) (28.2) 40.3 25.7 28.2 33.6
CEPS (INR) 12.0 16.7 21.5 27.1 34.3
Diluted P/E (x) 81.7 58.2 46.7 36.4 27.3
Price/BV(x) 30.4 13.4 10.4 8.1 6.2
EV/Sales (x) 7.3 6.3 5.3 4.1 3.2
EV/EBITDA (x) 48.5 36.1 28.0 22.0 16.5
Basic EPS 9.4 13.2 15.9 20.4 27.3
Basic PE (x) 81.7 58.2 48.4 37.8 28.3
Vinay Khattar
VINAY
Digitally signed by VINAY KHATTAR
DN: c=IN, o=Personal, postalCode=400072,
st=MAHARASHTRA,
Head Research serialNumber=cd5737057831c416d2a5f7064c
Rating Expected to
120
115
110
105
(Indexed)
100
95
90
85
80
Nov-20
Nov-20
Jul-20
Jul-20
Sep-20
Sep-20
Sep-20
Sep-20
Oct-20
Oct-20
Oct-20
Oct-20
Oct-20
Aug-20
Aug-20
Aug-20
Aug-20
Rossari Sensex
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