Evolving Producer-Packer-Customer Linkages
Evolving Producer-Packer-Customer Linkages
Evolving Producer-Packer-Customer Linkages
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23, Number2-Pages 370-385
Economics-Volume
Reviewof Agricultural
Evolving Producer-Packer-Customer
Linkages in the Beef and
Pork Industries
The U.S. pork and beef sectorsare rapidlymoving fromtraditionalcash marketsto formal
verticallinkages.In 1999,27%of hogs and 65%of cattle were traded in the cash market
and packersowned 18%of hogs and 5%of cattle;the rest were procuredvia marketing
contracts.Contraryto popularopinion that plant efficiencyis the impetus for the change,
packersclearly identified quality concernsas the dominantreason for using marketing
contractsor self-production.Qualitystandardsand procurementsystems to achievethem
will increasein importancewith the introductionof morebrandedporkand beef products.
he U.S. beef and pork industries are undergoing marked transitions in the
ways livestock and meat products are marketed and the way price discovery
occurs, stimulating reexamination of the coordination linkages selected by indus-
try participants, and intensive state and national policy concerns and debates.
Emphasis is shifting from the once dominant negotiated cash markets in cat-
tle and hogs to long-term contracts and marketing agreements, with the pork
industry rapidly becoming dominated by long-term contracts or vertical integra-
tion. A number of cattle producers have voiced concerns about "captive supplies"
(marketing contracts longer than 14 days or cattle feeding by packers) for years,
though the extent of contracting fed cattle is much less than in the pork industry.1
Economists have documented lower cash market fed cattle prices associated
with higher captive supplies, though the behavioral causes are still unclear
(Schroeter and Azzam). However, tradeoffs that may offset potential concerns
ProcurementMethod Percent
Cash marketpurchase,live basis 8
Cash marketpurchase,carcassbasis 19
Formula-pricedcontractbased on 32
cash market
Fixed price contractbased on futures 8
Fixed agreementbased on feed price 6
Formulacontractwith window 8
Otherpurchasemethods 1
Self production 18
Total 100
72% of cattle slaughter and 11 of the 13 pork packers accounting for 77% of total
hog slaughter.
The American Meat Institute initially contacted the packers and encouraged
them to cooperate in the project. Next, the authors contacted the processors,
explained the research, invited them to participate in the study, and faxed them a
survey form. Two separate surveys were sent to each firm. One survey addressed
cattle or hog procurement, and the second survey dealt with product marketing.
We asked that the most knowledgeable individual(s) in each firm complete each
survey form. Firms that were slow to respond were reminded by telephone to
complete the survey. Firms that did not respond to the survey indicated that they
would not do so.
PackerUse of
Marketing PackerHog
Incentive Agreement Production
Reduceplant operatingcosts by
improvingplant scheduling 3.5 4.0
Securehigher qualityof hogs 4.0 4.4
Securemore consistentqualityof hogs 4.3 4.6
Assure food safety 3.8 4.3
Long-runprice risk management 3.0 3.3
Week-to-weeksupply/price management 3.5 3.1
Reducecosts of searchingfor hogs 3.5 3.6
Able to purchasehogs for lower price 2.3 1.9
Captureprofitsfromhog production 3.2
owned packing plant, are operated as separate profit centers making indepen-
dent marketing decisions, or are operating under preexisting contracts with other
packers.
Motivations for the use of long-term marketing agreements were ranked by
packers on a 5-point scale, with 1 being not important to 5 being very important
(table 2). The highest ranked factors were the need to secure a consistent supply
of quality hogs (4.3) and desire to secure higher quality of hogs (4.0). The ability
to assure food safety was rated next most important, receiving a ranking of 3.8
out of 5. Reducing plant operating expenses, the cost of searching for hogs, and
week-to-week supply or price risk all rated 3.5. Long-run price risk management
(3.0) and the ability to purchase hogs at lower prices (2.3) rated considerably
below quality issues. All motivations for contracting except buying hogs at lower
prices were expected by survey respondents to become more important by 2004.
Self-production of hogs by packers had slightly different motivations. In gen-
eral, ensuring pork quality (4.0, 4.4) and food safety (4.6), plant scheduling (4.0),
and long-run price risk management (3.3) were higher-ranked reasons for self-
production than for marketing contracts. In contrast, week-to-week supply man-
agement (3.1) and lower price of hogs (1.9) were lower-ranked for self-production
than marketing contracts. Packers admit that they do not lower the cost of hogs
processed by producing them, and place only moderate importance on profits
that can be captured by producing hogs. The ability to secure consistently safe,
high quality hogs is more important to packers than are hog production efficiency
and price considerations.
In an open-ended question about the driving forces toward tighter coordina-
tion, packers added another important element to the quality, consistency, and
food safety list; over half of the respondents identified demand for contracts by
producers as the impetus for their offering and entering into more long-term con-
tracts. They also noted that prior knowledge of where their supplies were com-
ing from and their expected quality allowed for them to enter into agreements
EvolvingBeefandPorkIndustryProducer-Packer-Customer
Linkages 375
with customers who were requesting longer-term arrangements for higher quality
products. They asserted that cash market suppliers could not be relied upon to
change fast enough to meet their needs.
Packers' perception of producers' reasons for wanting an ongoing relationship
were reportedly to assure market access, to share information about consumer
concerns and to secure financing (table 3). Access to capital was seen as the great-
est benefit to producers of marketing agreements (rating 4.6 out of 5). Reduced
price risk (3.9), securing a market outlet (3.8), ability to sell hogs at a higher
price (3.6), and the ability to secure a quality matrix3 (3.4) were the next most
important benefits to producers. These are generally consistent with recent pro-
ducer survey results, though increased price received a slightly higher ranking by
medium-sized producers than access to capital, allowed staying in the hog busi-
ness, or allowed expansion as reasons for being involved in marketing contracts.
An earlier producer survey found assured shackle space to be especially impor-
tant to very large hog producers, especially in the Southeast (Lawrence, Grimes
and Hayenga).
Production contract benefits perceived for producers were identified as increas-
ing access to capital (4.7) and reducing financial risk (4.7), followed by increased
producer income (4.5). In comparison, medium-sized producers reported addi-
tional expansion, reduced risk, and access to capital as the leading rationale for
contracting when they were surveyed in 1998 (Lawrence et al.).
Pork Merchandising
In 1999, the packers responding (with slightly less than half of U.S. slaughter4)
sold 72% of their pork on the cash market for delivery within 21 days (table 4).
Approximately 22.5% of sales were on a forward or formula price contract for
delivery in the future, and 6% represented long-term agreements not tied to the
cash market. This degree of reliance on contract sales has not changed much over
the last 20 years.
These relative shares are expected to change dramatically by 2004, although
fewer packer responses to these questions allow only an indication of the direction
of change, but not a precise indication of magnitude. Several packers already
have or are beginning to establish their own branded fresh pork merchandising
376 Reviewof Agricultural
Economics
MarketingMethod Percent
Cash marketdeliverywithin 21 days 72
Forwardfixed price agreementfor delivery 10
beyond 21 days
Forwardformulaprice agreementbased on 12
currentcash market
Long-runagreementbasis not on cash market 6
Total 100
EvolvingBeefandPorkIndustryProducer-Packer-Customer
Linkages 377
Coordination Advantages
Packershad a difficulttime quantifyingthe cost and returnadvantagesfrom
hog productionor marketingcontracts.However, half of the respondentsnoted
that buying stationsand procurementstaffhad been reducedas the level of coor-
dination increased.In some cases, associated cost savings have been dramatic,
reducingthe numberof buyers 10-20%and the numberof buying stationsby as
much as 50%.At the same time, the qualityof hogs increased.Severalnoted that
lean percentageof hogs increased(in the range of 1.8 to 2.6 percentagepoints),
and cutting and processingyields improved significantly.These results are con-
sistentwith theirresponsesthat the value of coordinationwas in productquality,
consistency,and safety more than in plant efficiencyor lower priced hogs.
Packerswere asked their opinion of the likely impact of abolishing packer
ownershipor contractsallowing packercontrolof hogs. They indicatedsuch con-
straintswould eliminatecustomerand producerbenefits describedearlier.Pack-
ers would encounter increased difficulty in enforcing food safety and quality
control measures implementedvia managing their own productionor by con-
tract supply agreements.One packer suggested coordinatedsystems that have
evolved in the United Statesin responseto customerrequestswould emerge off-
shoreif banneddomestically.Otherscommentedslaughtercapacitywould decline
because of packer unwillingness to maintaintheir large investmentswithout a
reliablesupply of hogs. Two firms said they could not continuein business with-
out their currentarrangements.Most were uncertainabout the price impact of
ending such practices,but added that revokingexistingagreementswould penal-
ize many progressiveproducerswho have aligned themselveswith a processor.
Conclusions
Hog procurementpracticesare expected to continue to evolve toward tighter
coordinationsystems in order to satisfy strongercustomerdemands for consis-
tently high quality,safe pork products.More demandingconsumersare encour-
aging morebrandedretailand food serviceproductsclearlyassociatedwith their
firm,where productquality problemscan generategreaterlosses. Packersreport
greatersuccess in acquiringleaner,higheryielding hogs throughcoordinatedsys-
tems than are generallyavailablethroughtraditionalcash marketchannels.
Packersindicate that packer-producedhogs address concernsof quality,con-
sistency,and safety as well or better than marketcontracthogs. While capturing
profits or losses in the productionsector,packersadmit that their own hogs are
not lower cost than hogs purchased from producers.Increasedquality control
affordedthe integratedpackerappearssufficientto offset possible higher costs of
producingtheir own hogs.
At the other end of the pork chain, producersare asking for marketingagree-
ments in orderto securefinancingto continueor expandhog production,and for
purchasingprogramsthat rewardleaner,higher yielding hogs. Many producers
are reluctantto adopt new technology and invest in new facilities and genetics
without a formalarrangementto marketoutput. In an increasinglyrisky agricul-
tural marketplace where packercapacitylimits were reachedin 1994 and 1998,
long-termmarketingagreementsalso are a private sector responseto a potential
problem-producing without a place to sell.
378 Reviewof Agricultural
Economics
ProcurementMethod Percent
Cash marketpurchaseson live weight basis 36
Cash marketpurchaseson a carcassweight or grid basis 29
Formula-pricedcontractpurchasesbased on a reported 20
live cash market,reporteddressedprice,plant
average,CMEcattlefuturesprice, quotedboxed beef,
or retailbeef price
Packer-fedcattle 5
Fixedprice or basis contractpurchasesbased on 4
CMEfutures
Risk-sharingcontractpurchases 3
Otherpurchases 4
Total 100
2004
1999 Expected
Importanceto Packers Average Average
Reduceplant operatingcosts due to 2.9 3.5
improvedslaughterplant capacityutilization
Securehigher qualitycattle 4.0 4.2
Securemore consistentqualityof cattle 4.0 4.2
Assure food safety 3.0 3.7
Improvelong-runprice risk management 2.8 3.1
Improveweek-to-weeksupply/price management 2.2 2.9
Reducecosts of searchingfor cattleto procure 2.3 2.4
Able to purchasecattlefor lower price 1.8 1.8
consistent quality cattle (4.0) (table 7). These were also expected to be more
important (4.2) in 2004. Improving price risk management (2.8), reducing plant
operating costs by improving slaughter plant capacity utilization rates (2.9), and
assuring food safety (3.0) were the next most important reasons. All three also
are expected to increase in importance, with 2004 ratings for food safety at 3.7
and plant operating efficiency at 3.5. The low importance attached to the asser-
tion that contracts enabled packers to purchase cattle for a lower price (1.8)
may be because contracts and agreements do not enable packers to procure
cattle at lower prices, as shown in recent USDA-sponsored studies (Schroeter
and Azzam).
Packers perceived that producers' primary incentives to enter into contracts and
marketing agreements were to secure a quality premium (4.0) and obtain a higher
price for cattle (3.8) (table 7). Providing detailed carcass data (3.4), reducing price
risk (3.3), and making it easier to get loans (3.1) were the next greatest perceived
advantages to producers. Securing a buyer for the cattle (2.6) and reduced search
cost to find a buyer (2.4) rated even less important. Packers felt that in the next
five years, producers would benefit from marketing agreements primarily due to
these same reasons.
Beef Merchandising
Packers' largest customers for beef are retail grocery chains, wholesalers, and
domestic processors. These three groups accounted for 71% of survey respon-
dents' 1999 beef sales, whereas export and food service customers each accounted
for approximately 10% of sales (table 8). Only 4% of packer sales were branded
beef products, well below their pork competitors (18%from table 5). Cash market-
ing dominated beef sales with 70% sold in the 1999 cash market (table 9), some-
what higher than 20 years earlier (Hayenga and Schrader). Forward contracting
and marketing agreements represented 20% of respondent beef sales during the
same period.
380 Reviewof Agricultural
Economics
2004
1999 Expected
Importancefor Producers Average Average
Securea buyer for cattle 2.6 2.8
Securea qualitypremium/discount 4.0 4.0
Reduceprice risk 3.3 3.3
Reducecosts of searchingfor a cattlebuyer 2.4 2.8
Able to sell cattlefor higherprice 3.8 3.8
Easy to get loans 3.1 3.4
Providedetailedcarcassdata 3.4 3.6
Not all survey responses were complete regarding future trends in merchan-
dising. Nonetheless, available responses and other public information combine
to suggest there will be substantial growth in branded merchandising programs
in all major market segments, with much greater reliance on long-term contracts
with customers. Price list, formula, and fixed price arrangements will likely grow,
while cash market links will decline substantially in importance.
Conclusions
Results of the beef packer survey indicate that cash market arrangements are
dominant, though slowly declining in the fed cattle market. Although cash mar-
kets for beef products have increased in importance over the last 20 years, this
is reversing. Value-added, branded grocery and food service beef products are
expected to represent an increasing percentage of volume. Packers will probably
the pork industry. This finding runs contrary to popular opinion that plant effi-
ciency through better capacity utilization has been the impetus for increased use
of captive supply arrangements by packers. Quality standards, and a procure-
ment system to achieve them, will increase in importance with the introduction
of more branded pork and beef products.
Pork has more branded value-added products than beef (tables 4 and 9), with
most bacon, sausage, and ham products being differentiated and branded prod-
ucts. Twice the percentage of pork (38%) is sold for further processing compared
to beef (19%). Beef sells twice as much product (22%) through brokers as does
pork (11%).Compared to beef, there is a preponderance of pork that is branded
by packers and/or further processed and branded by processors, with associated
advertising and promotion programs. This suggests the pork industry has been
and is in a position to enhance pork demand at the expense of beef.
These industries are most similar in their sales methods (tables 5 and 10), not
surprising since they are attempting to secure the same customers-retailers, food
service, and export-include several of the same leading firms, and are competing
against each other for shelf space. For both commodities, 70-72% of the product
is sold as a cash sale for delivery within 21 days; an additional 9-10% is forward
priced. Pork tends to have more formula-priced and long-term contract sales than
does beef.
demand for contractassurancesfor high quality cattle and hog supplies in the
future.
The packers'willingness to enter into long-termmarketingcontractswith pro-
ducers,or invest in productionfacilities,implies that packerscannotachievetheir
product quality goals relying solely on existing cash markets.This suggests that
informationidentifying quality problems was not effectively reaching produc-
ers, marketincentivesprovided are not sufficientto triggerneeded improvement
in quality,or producers'adoption time is too slow relative to customer needs.
Thus, direct communicationto producers on quality attributesin the form of
a marketingcontractmay be more effective than the spot market information
and premium/discount systems in stimulatingchanges in producers'manage-
ment decisions. Quality assessment technology continues to evolve and will be
importanteven in closely coordinatedsupply chains. However,some consumer-
demandedqualityattributessuch as how the animalwas raised,what it was fed,
or its geneticscannotbe measuredat the plant.These emergingconsumermarket
niches probablywill requireformallinkages to assure the product specifications
are met.
With such a small percentageof hogs traded in the cash market,and such a
largepercentageformula-pricedoff of this small volume, concernsregardingcash
marketliquidity and price accuracyhave arisen.This trend is not as pronounced
in fed cattle markets,where more cash tradingoccurs.However,little tradingof
cattle occurs on many days during the week. If this patterncontinues,concerns
about fed cattle cash marketprice reportsbased on low trade volumes will con-
tinue to escalate.
Thinlytraded or thinly reportedcash marketsare a concern,as long-termcon-
tractlinkages displace short-termcontractsinvolved in cash markettransactions.
But little is known abouthow many transactionsor reportingfirmsare too few to
accuratelyreflectthe market.Yet,in the transitionand, perhapspermanently,both
cash and contractmarkets coexist. Theoretically,the marginalbuyer and seller
determine the cash market price or the contractterms, including price. Tomek
argued that price variabilityincreases as the number of reported transactions
decreases.Buyers and sellers alike are less confident that representativeprices
arebeing discoveredfrom a price reporters'or reportingfirms'samplingprocess.
This underlyinguncertaintymight lead to inaccurateprices paid under formula
pricing contracts,and may contributeto inefficientresourceallocationdecisions.
Policies that are intended to eliminate or slow the growth of marketingcon-
tractsor self-productionwill jeopardizethe mutuallybeneficialcontractrelation-
ships between packersand producers.The developmentof innovativeconsumer
products or merchandisingarrangementswill face greaterrisks or may not be
possible without tighter coordinationthroughoutthe productionand processing
chain. There may be a correspondingimpact on the pork and beef industries'
efficiency,demand, and competitivenessrelative to that of poultry or pork and
beef fromcompetingcountries.Concernsthathave been raisedregardingpossible
negative impacts of "captivesupplies" and "thin markets"need to be weighed
against benefits of these arrangementsas policy makers and industry members
debate policies for the livestock and meat sector.
384 Review of AgriculturalEconomics
Acknowledgments
JournalPaper No. J-18974of the Iowa Agriculturaland Home EconomicsExperimentStation,
Ames, Iowa, ProjectNo. 3358,and supportedby HatchAct and Stateof Iowa funds.
Theauthorswould like to thankotherteammembersinvolvedin reviewingthe surveydesign and
analysisof the results:DermotHayes, TomislavVukina,ClementWard,WaynePurcell,and Phillip
Kaus.This study was supportedfinanciallyby the AmericanMeatInstituteand the Agriculturaland
Home EconomicsExperimentStationsin the authors'universities.
Endnotes
1The pork and beef product marketsinvolved substantialcontractuallinks much earlierthan
livestockprocurement-for example,25%of pork sales and 40%of beef sales by packersin 1978
(Hayengaand Schrader),thoughthe extentand the natureof the arrangementshas changedover the
years.
2Grimesand Meyer reportedslightly lower cash marketreliance(26%)based on a smallerset
of respondents,adding theirestimatesof threenonrespondents'purchasingpractices,and including
some transferpricesystemsfromhog-producingsubsidiariesin theircalculations.In our survey,some
packersalso may have reportedthe transferpricemethodfor hogs producedwithin the companyor
by a3 subsidiary,and reportedthem as self-produced.
A qualitymatrixdescribesa two dimensionalpremiumand discountschedulebased on leanness
and carcassweight in pork and USDAqualityand yield gradesin beef.
4 Fewer
packers(seven)respondedto questionsregardingcurrentand futuremerchandisingmeth-
ods and motivations.
5 Basiscontracts,or fixed
price contractsbased on futuresmarketprices,with deliveriestypically
severalmonthsin the future.
6Risk and profit-sharingmarketingcontractsare relativelynew in cattle feeding. They include
splittingprofitsor losses relativeto an agreedupon cost of productionbetween the buyer and seller
on a particulargroup of cattleand joint ventureswhere the packertakes partialownershipof cattle
in the feedlot and shares cattle finishingand slaughter-processingprofits or losses with the cattle
producer.
7 Some packersdid not breakthat out in theirresponses.
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Evolving Beefand Pork Industry Producer-Packer-Customer
Linkages 385