International Journal of Technology (2018) 7: 1469-1479

ISSN 2086-9614 © IJTech 2018

ANALYSIS OF LIFE CYCLE COST AND PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIP IN

THE DEVELOPMENT OF WALINI CITY AS TECHNOLOGY PARK

Mohammed Ali Berawi1*, Asifa Nabila1, Gunawan1, Perdana Miraj2, Hamzah Abdul Rahman3,
Abdur Rohim Boy Berawi1
1
Department Civil Engineering Department, Faculty of Engineering, Universitas Indonesia, Kampus
UI Depok, Depok 16424, Indonesia
2
Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Universitas Pancasila, DKI Jakarta
12640, Indonesia
3
Department of Quantity Surveying, Faculty of Built Environment, University of Malaya, 50603
Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia

(Received: July 2018 / Revised: August 2018 / Accepted: December 2018)

ABSTRACT
Walini is an area with potential for development into a technology park based on its population
and economic growth. This paper aims to analyse the investment feasibility of the development
of Walini Technology Park and its optimum funding scheme. The life-cycle analysis approach
is used to evaluate operation and maintenance (OM) costs and the system dynamics technique
to generate revenue. The study will focus on examining scenario alternatives to determine an
optimum public-private partnership (PPP) scheme. The results show that development of
Walini would require an investment cost of 151 trillion rupiahs (US$ 9.97 billion) and OM
costs of 353 trillion rupiahs (US$ 23.3 billion). The development would generate a revenue of
75 billion dollars, with a 35-year concession period. 42 scenarios were considered in order to
obtain that with optimal Internal Rate of Return (IRR) values. The optimal IRR score is
15.57%, with a private share of around 49.89% of the initial costs, 60.08% of operational and
maintenance costs, and 80.06% of revenue.

Keywords: Feasibility analysis; Investment cost; PPP scheme; Technology park

1. INTRODUCTION
Infrastructure and regional development correlate highly with each other in the increasing
economic growth of a nation (Berawi & Susantono, 2012; Komarova et al., 2014). They
improve connectivity and provide mobility for people in conducting their economic activities.
The Indonesian government is attempting to develop a high speed train connecting the capital
city with Bandung. The project is expected to increase economic activities and in the long term
significantly contribute to the nation’s competitiveness on a global scale.
Previous research has generated the conceptual design of New City Walini. It recommends the
adoption of a technology park similar to Silicon Valley in the United States (Berawi et al.,
2017a). This concept aligns with the government’s attempt to encourage greater use of
technology and industry for the future of Indonesia.
According to Presidential Regulation of the Republic of Indonesia No. 2 year 2015 on the
Regional Development Plan (RDP) 2015-2019, the technology park has the potential for

*Corresponding author’s email: [email protected], Tel. +62-21-7270029, Fax. +62-21-7270028

Permalink/DOI: https://doi.org/10.14716/ijtech.v9i7.2588
1470 Analysis of Life Cycle Cost and Public-Private Partnership in the Development
of Walini City as Technology Park

development and to increase Indonesian competitiveness as a center for science, technology and
innovation on a global scale. The development of technology is a correlation between industrial
growth along with technological development by the university. Universities, R&D institutions
and industry should be integrated into the region for instance Walini (Berawi et al., 2017a).
Walini’s development requires a fund of 151 trillion rupiahs (Taris, 2016). As such huge
amount will heavily burden the state budget, a cooperation scheme between the government and
private financing, known as a Public Private Partnership is required to minimize government
subsidy into the project. However, its implementation faces several issues, such as the budget,
overlapping regulations, resistance from the public, private party guarantees that have not been
obtained from the government, and the fact that the proposed projects have not been well
prepared (Wibowo et al., 2012).
Moreover, the large funds involved in the development of Walini city will cause a delay in
capital return if only a few areas are developed (Taris, 2016). Considering such obstacles, there
is a need to re-plan the financing cooperation scheme. Therefore, it is necessary to calculate the
life-cycle cost to elaborate the financial feasibility of the proposal.

2. METHODS
In the study, life cycle costs, comprising initial costs, operational and maintenance costs and
revenue, and the PPP scheme were used to evaluate the project feasibility (Rahman & Berawi,
2002; Berawi et al., 2016). The operational and maintenance costs were derived from the
benchmarking process from countries that have similar technology parks. For the analysis of the
revenue results, the capacity analysis and price per unit of each regional function were
formulated based on a causal loop diagram and simulated into a dynamic system using
Powersim software. The results of the operational and maintenance costs and revenue results
became the basis for generating IRR value, financing schemes and institutional schemes
between the government and the private sector.
2.1. Life Cycle Cost Analysis
Life Cycle Cost (LCC) is a method to assess the total cost of ownership of a facility and its
design with the lowest overall costs, while maintaining its quality and function. The method
takes into account all costs, starting from construction costs and operational costs, and
including the cost of capital return (Fuller, 2010; Berawi et al., 2017b).
LCC calculates capital and funding costs and operational and maintenance costs, as well as the
end-of-life costs associated with certain assets or projects. LCC considers uncertainty, risk and
other elements, including the environment. The method can produce an accurate cost
comparison when conducted properly (Woodward, 1997). In Value Engineering study, LCC is
needed to evaluate several alternative solutions in order to achieve the optimal value of the total
costs (Kirk & Dell'isola, 1995).
LCC comprises initial cost, operation and maintenance cost, and revenue. Initial cost in
infrastructure projects can be in the form of land acquisition, construction or renovation costs,
or procurement of equipment for project operations. Operation and maintenance (OM) cost is
usually issued per specified period, expressed in monthly or yearly terms. This cost varies
between projects due to different operational schedule and maintenance standards. The costs of
taxes, insurance, electricity, gas, utilities, personnel salaries, maintenance, marketing,
administration and general costs are commonly included in the scope of OM fees (Fuller, 2010).
Revenue is the total income generated by the sale of products or services from an infrastructure.
Berawi et al. 1471

The calculation of life-cycle cost analysis considers the time value of money based on the NPV
value (de Blas, 2006). NPV is the calculation of the cost invested by estimating the value in a
particular period. The formula can be expressed as follows:

(1)
Two main variables, Internal Rate of Return (IRR) and Minimum Attractive Rate of Return
(MARR), are used to determine the accuracy of the above formula (Karim et al., 2007; Morgan,
1999). IRR is a method commonly used by private parties to determine the feasibility of an
investment; the IRR value is one of the considerations of the private sector in predicting project
sustainability and risk. MARR is the minimum value from IRR offered by the party providing
the project to an individual/company/agency. It can also be defined as the minimum value of
the rate of return of the average company for all aspects of a project. The following comparison
of IRR and MARR is used as the basis for selection of the PPP scenario.

Table 1 Comparison between IRR and MARR

Condition Explanation Conclusion
IRR>MARR Investments provide benefits to the The project is recommended for
investor implementation
IRR< MARR Investments do not provide benefits The project is not recommended for
to the investor implementation
IRR = MARR Investments do not see any profit or The project implementation decision
loss depends on the investor's policy

One way to determine MARR is to calculate the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of
the sector associated with the project investment (Ye & Tiong, 2000); in this case, the
construction sector. For Indonesia, the WACC value of the construction sector is 11.1%
(Finance 3.1, 2017). Furthermore, the assumed discount rate is 4.75%, with a general inflation
rate of 4.33% and property sector inflation of 5.91% (Bank Indonesia, 2017).
2.2. PPP Scheme
PPP is a legally binding contract to manage responsibilities between the government and a
private entity in the infrastructure sector. The concept of PPP regulates the resources, risks,
responsibilities and rewards planned for implementation by the government in cooperation with
the private sector (Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation, 2014). Several types of PPP might be
used; for instance, Design-Build-Finance-Operate (DBFO), Design-Build-Operate (DBO),
Design-Build-Maintain (DBM) and Build-Operate-Transfer (BOT), depending on condition of
the state condition, readiness regulations and other related factors (Asian Development Bank,
2007).
DBFO is the most common form of PPP, integrating all four functions, namely design, build,
finance and operate. In this method, the private sector is paid according to the performance
standards for the development carried out; this is done so that capital resources can be used
optimally. This approach will also transfer financial risk to the private sector. In the DBO
model, the public sector provides funding for the planning and development phase, while the
operational phase involves the private sector. This model is appropriate for an extended type of
project which the private sector cannot finance. Unlike DBM, this model requires the private
sector to design, build and carry out maintenance within a certain period of project completion.
In BOT, the private sector must bear all development and operational costs and is responsible
for project maintenance. As compensation, the private party has the right to receive project
1472 Analysis of Life Cycle Cost and Public-Private Partnership in the Development
of Walini City as Technology Park

revenue within a particular time according to the contract, and subsequently return it to the
public/government at a cost or no cost at all, according to the agreement that has been
previously agreed (Levy, 2008).
2.3. System Dynamics Model
The revenue calculation for the Walini technology park uses the system dynamics model. This
model is used because of its superiority, being flexible, closer to the real dynamic world and
providing more extensive problem space information (Husin & Berawi, 2015). In the model, a
system must be translated into a map of the problem that describes the causal relationship
between variables, which is called the causal loop diagram (CLD).
The causal loop diagram of Walini Technology Park representing each function in the area is
shown in Figure 1.

Figure 1 Causal loop diagram of Walini technology park

The CLD illustrates the relationship between the cause and effect variables on the income of the
Walini Technology Park area. An arrow symbolizes visualization of the relationship between
the variables. The cause variable is located at the beginning of the arrow, and the effect one lies
at the end of it. Furthermore, a positive (+) sign on the arrow indicates a relationship that is
directly proportional, while a negative (-) sign is inversely proportional.
There are six functions in the CLD model above. The first is a mixed-use area, with the
variables being land area, rental and selling prices. The second function is the university area,
the forming variables being the number of students, land area, building capacity, entrance fees,
and tuition fees. The third function is the research and development area, with the forming
variable being the type of technology park to be developed. The fourth function is the industrial
area, with production capacity as its forming variable. The fifth function is the supporting
infrastructure, with land area and production capacity as the forming variables. The sixth
function is the mini airport with the aeronautical, non-aeronautical and cargo sectors as the
Berawi et al. 1473

forming variables.

3. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

3.1. Life Cycle Cost Analysis
3.1.1. Initial Costs
Based on calculations from previous research activities (Luthfia, 2016), the total initial cost of
building Walini Technology Park is 151 trillion rupiahs, equal to US$ 9.97 billion dollars. This
cost was obtained from the results of a benchmarking process with similar projects in
Bangladesh and India, adjusted to the unit price of Indonesian materials. The details of the
initial cost in developing the city of Walini as a technology park are shown in Table 2.

Table 2 Total initial cost of development of Walini as a technology park

Industry Region $2,425,670,994.62
Residential Region $1,686,177,671.56
Education Region $1,045,742,589.52
Commercial Region $3,369,251,841.28
Research and Development Region $960,393,283.80
Supporting Infrastructure $483,703,401.83
Total $ 9,970,939,782.61

The cost of land acquisition is the main component of the initial cost, while other costs are
adjusted to the functions of each region; for instance, industrial estates including factory
buildings and offices, mobile phone industry equipment, component industry, semiconductor
industry, software industry, and infrastructure and supporting facilities. In terms of the
residential area, this will include low rise and high rise building settlements. The education
region will consist of the cost of campus buildings, and academic and public facilities. The
commercial area will include office buildings, malls, hospitals, schools, sports buildings,
mosques, community centers, entertainment, a railway station and mini airport. The research
and development area will consist of office building costs, garden techno-science equipment,
bio technoparks, a geopark, art technopark, and industrial park. Finally, the initial cost of the
supporting infrastructure includes roads, public parking, power plants, water treatment plants,
and wastewater treatment plants.
3.1.2. Operation and maintenance costs
The operation and maintenance costs were ascertained by a benchmarking process that involved
each component of the compiler function of each region. Three stages of development will be
implemented. In the first stage, the components that will be built consist of roads, clean water
treatment, dirty water treatment, power plants, residential areas, education areas, health
facilities, worship facilities, public facilities, train stations, science tech parks, and geo-tech
parks. The second stage includes the development of a mobile phone industry, semiconductor
industry, parking space, medium-rise offices, a mall, and bio technopark. In the final stage, the
components industry, software industry, sports facilities, community centers, entertainment and
art centers, and an industrial technopark will be developed (Taris, 2016).
The calculation of the operational and maintenance costs was made following the stages of
development. The operational and maintenance costs of the mobile phone industry and mini
airport area are based on Korean industry equivalents (Samsung, 2013; Zakariah, 2015), while
those of the component and software industry are in line with similar industries in Japan
(Hanby, 2016; Sharp, 2017). For Research and Development, the countries used for
benchmarking were India for the science technopark; Switzerland for the bio technopark; Dubai
1474 Analysis of Life Cycle Cost and Public-Private Partnership in the Development
of Walini City as Technology Park

for the geo technopark; Hamburg for art technopark, and Morocco for the industrial park. The
residential areas and education and commercial zones were benchmarked on the existing
surrounding areas. From the benchmarking process, the total cost required is around US$ 23.3
billion, as detailed in Table 3.

Table 3 Total OM cost of development of Walini as a technology park

Industry Region $ 10,207,824,324.31
Residential Region $ 1,822,847,194.82
Education Region $ 239,175,213.23
Commercial Region $ 4,097,858,031.10
Research and Development Region $ 5,261,658,776.82
Supporting Infrastructure $ 1,670,151,521.32
Total $ 23,299,515,061.60
3.1.3. Revenue
Revenue was calculated based on the projections of goods/services produced, selling prices, and
market share for each production/service area. Income was then formulated using a causal loop
diagram (CLD), and simulated through system dynamics using Powersim software (Sterman,
2000). Based on the simulation, a revenue of US$ 75.491 billion was generated. The details of
the revenue for each area development are shown in Table 4.

Table 4 Revenue from development of Walini as a technology park

Industry Region $ 30,722,096,013.06
Residential Region $ 12,431,098,729.98
Education Region $ 299,719,149.76
Commercial Region $ 22,814,281,283.43
Research and Development Region $ 8,941,100,283.98
Supporting Infrastructure $ 283,407,315.71
Total $ 75,491,702,775.92

The assumptions of the selling prices of products and services in calculating the revenue were
determined based on the results of the benchmarking approach from various countries and
companies. For instance, the selling price of cell phones was obtained from international
cellphone brands, at about US$ 132 per unit, and that of semiconductors at US$ 79 per unit. On
the other hand, the selling prices of products from the component industries refer to the Taiwan
Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), estimated at about US$177 per unit, and
those of the software industry at US$113 per unit.
The residential area was forecast to sell 85% of its total capacity, with the remaining 15%
leased. Selling and leasing prices refer to property prices in West Bandung regency. Low rise
building rental prices are US$ 16 per square meter per month, high rise building about US$ 24
per square meter per month, low rise building sales prices are US$ 274 per square meter, and
high rise building sales are US$ 413 per square meter.
The revenues from education are from entry fees and tuition fees and refer to similar fees
implemented in West Java province. Entrance fees for master’s and doctoral students are US$
40, while tuition fees for each semester for undergraduate, master and doctoral students are US$
660, US$ 890 and US$990 respectively.
Commercial income is obtained from leasing the office buildings, mall stores, and commercial
land. In determining the prices, benchmarking was conducted on the average cost of rental of
Berawi et al. 1475

commercial and contract buildings in Bandung and were based on data from Colliers
International for the fourth quarter of 2016 (Colliers International, 2016). From the
benchmarking process, the cost of office building rental is US$ 430 per square meter, and the
rental price of commercial land is US$ 485 per square meter. For mall store rentals, the cost is
US$ 1,676 per square meter, which includes security and cleaning costs.
Research and Development revenue is derived from the costs of research management company
and leasing business incubator services. The details of the research management fees and
business incubator rental are explained as follows. The science technopark adopts a similar
concept to that used in Pune, India, which cost US$ 71,774 per unit of service and US$ 598 per
square meter. On the other hand, the bio technopark refers to a similar project in Schlieren,
Zürich, Switzerland, at US$ 78,697 per unit of service and US$ 656 per square meter. In
addition, the geo technopark refers to the concept in Dubai, at about US$ 73,322 per unit of
service and US$ 611 per square meter. The art technopark is based on a project in Hamburg,
Hit-Art, equal to US$ 79,860 per unit of service and US$ 590 per square meter. Finally, the
industrial technopark refers to Casablanca, Morocco, at US$ 71,745 per unit of service and US$
598 per square meter.
Supporting infrastructure income is obtained from clean water supply services, wastewater
management, electricity and public parking. The price for providing the services is based on the
JABABEKA Indonesia industrial area for clean water and wastewater, at US$ 0.36 per cubic
meter and US$ 0.42 per cubic meter respectively. Electricity refers to the price charged by the
State Electricity Company (PLN) of US$ 0.16 per kilowatt hour, while public parking refers to
prices in West Bandung Regency of US$ 0.07 per hour for motorcycles and US$ 0.14 per hour
for cars.
3.2. Financing Scheme
The simulation to generate optimum IRR values was conducted through four types of financing
schemes between the government and the private sector:
 The initial cost-sharing scenario.
 The operation and maintenance cost-sharing scenario.
 The initial cost and operation & maintenance cost-sharing scenario.
 The initial cost, operational & maintenance cost and revenue sharing cost-sharing scenario.

The distribution scenario of investment costs between the government and private sector
follows three subsidy scenarios: 40%, 50% and 60%. The assumption is analyzed using logic by
considering the ability of private and government involvement to bear the initial investment
cost, with figures of 40% and 60% obtained. The private sector will subsidize 40% if the
government bears an initial investment cost of 60% of the Walini city development plan, and
vice versa: the private sector will subsidize 60% if the government bears an initial investment
cost of 40%. The percentage assumption using a combination of 40%, 50% and 60% is used in
determining the share of operational costs and maintenance of the construction.
The revenue scenario between the government and private sector uses a range of 60%, 70% and
80%. The four schemes therefore produced 42 scenarios. In the first scheme, the government
and private sector only share the initial costs, while the operations and maintenance costs and
income are in the hands of the private sector. In the second scheme, the government and the
private sector share operation and maintenance costs, meaning the initial costs and revenues are
in the private sector.
In the third scheme, the government and the private sector share the initial costs and operating
and maintenance costs, but overall project revenue is retained by the private sector, whereas in
1476 Analysis of Life Cycle Cost and Public-Private Partnership in the Development
of Walini City as Technology Park

the fourth scheme, the government and the private sector share the initial costs, operating and
maintenance costs and income. The percentage of initial cost and operating and maintenance
costs ranges from 40% to 60%, based on Minister of Finance Regulation Number
223/PMK.01/2012, while the percentage of revenue sharing ranges from 60% to 80% for the
private sector, based on an analysis of private investment interest in development projects.
Table 5 shows the advantages and disadvantages of each scheme.

Table 5 Advantages and disadvantages of the four schemes

Advantages Disadvantages
Scheme 1  The government only participates in the initial  No revenue for the government.
investment cost sharing, so no further processing  Minimum involvement from the
system is required, such as area revenue. government in Walini city
 Generates a maximum Net Present Value (NPV) of development; no control from the
15.5%. government that allows for a
monopoly.
Scheme 2  The government only participates in operational  No revenue for the government.
and maintenance costs, so no further processing  Lack of interest from private parties
system is required. due to minimum IRR value.
 Generates a maximum NPV of 11.52%.
Scheme 3  The government participates more systematically  The government needs to develop a
in the development of the city. further processing system for the
 Generates a maximum NPV of 18.30%. operational and maintenance costs that
will be incurred.
 No revenue for the government.
Scheme 4  The government participates more systematically  The government needs to develop a
in the development of the city. further processing system for the
 The government obtains revenue from the operational and maintenance costs that
development. will be incurred.
 Generates a maximum NPV of 18.30%.

Based on Table 5, the fourth scheme is the optimal one. Its advantage is the optimal IRR value,
with the more systematic involvement of the government in the development of the city of
Walini. The fourth scheme, used with the optimal IRR value and the distribution of the private
sector, amounts to 50.29% of the initial cost of the investment, 59.80% of operational and
maintenance costs, and 80.06% of revenue. The use of the scheme results in an IRR of 14.63%.
The resulting NPV derives from each life cycle cost component. In this scheme, the private
sector will be involved in a particular area; the investment is summarized in Table 6.

Table 6 Private financing

IC Private OM Private R Private
RnD Area
 Construction of science  O&M of science techno park.  Revenue from science
technopark.  O&M bio techno park. technopark.
 Construction of bio techno park.  Revenue from bio
technopark.
Industry Area
 Develop of semi-conductor  O&M of semi-conductor  Revenue from semi-
industry. industry. conductor industry.
 Construction of mobile phone  O&M of mobile phone industry.  Revenue from mobile phone
industry.  O&M of software industry. industry.
 Construction of software  Revenue from software
industry. industry.
Mixed-Use Area
Berawi et al. 1477

IC Private OM Private R Private

 Construction of high rise  O&M of high rise buildings.  Revenue from high rise
buildings.  O&M of medium rise buildings. buildings.
 Construction of medium rise  O&M of mall.  Revenue from medium rise
buildings.  O&M of community center. buildings.
 Construction of mall.  O&M of entertainment centers.  Revenue from mall.
 Construction of community  O&M of mini airport.  Revenue from community
center. center.
 Construction of entertainment  Revenue from entertainment
centers. centers.
 Construction of mini airport.  Revenue from mini airport.

From the above financing scheme, the research has produced an institutional scheme for the
development of Walini city. The proposed scheme involves five main parties, namely the
planners, the providers of capital, the service providers, the government and the service users.
The planners consist of planning consultants; the providers of capital consist of PT SMI,
investors and bank; and the third party service providers consist of contractors, operational and
project maintenance providers. The study proposes a special purpose vehicle (SPV) to manage
the development, from the initial stage up to operation and maintenance. The institutional
scheme is shown in Figure 2.

DESIGN CONSTRUCTION OPERATION

PT. SMI & IIGF
As Financial support Education and R&D
for goverment Regioan
10.25%
Universities
Supporting
Infrastructure State-owned
5.05%
company in the field
SILICON VALLEY IC GOVERMENT
Semiconductor of electricity, clean
CONSULTANT Consultant scope Industry water and waste 19.94%
19.94%
Determine ready to offer is feasibility 15.84% GOVERNMENT
of project status study Developer of
Mix-use Area Industry Revenue of
50.11% Goverment
6.35%
State-owned
BAPPENAS PT. WALINI
company in the field
CSID, CONSULTANT of DESIGN Determine ready PT. WALINI As coordinator of
of Property
JICA, Design Walini as to offer of project As Controller and investation and area
UsAID Technology Park status Developer development of
WALINI

Moile Phone and

49.89% Components
Industry 24.10%
Developer of
Industry
CONSULTANT INDUSTRY PT. SMI IC PRIVATE Research Region
Determine ready 15.7% 80.06%
80.06%
Determine ready to offer of
project status to offer of project Contractor PRIVATE
status Mix-use Area
Revenue of Private
LENDER 20.28%
As Financial Developer
Support for
Private

Construction Period (Five Years) Operational Period (Thirty-five Years)

2020
2020 2025
2025 2060
2060
GOVERNMENT
GOVERNMENT PRIVATE
PRIVATE

Figure 2 Optimum PPP scheme for development of Walini as a Technology Park

4. CONCLUSION
The development of Walini as a technopark is expected to contribute 25% of revenue to the
operator, which consists of two level of tax on construction development amounting to US $
451 million and Rp. 7 trillion of tax value if the area is operational. Five main areas will be
developed in the City of Walini, namely industrial zones, residential areas, education zones,
commercial zones and research and development zones. The development of the city will
1478 Analysis of Life Cycle Cost and Public-Private Partnership in the Development
of Walini City as Technology Park

require an investment of US $ 9.97 billion, with OM costs of US $ 23.3 billion, and will
generate revenues of US $ 75 billion over 35 years.
Walini city development is planned to use PPP for its financial scheme, with four main schemes
possible. The fourth scheme was chosen, as it can produce an optimal IRR value, with more
systematic government involvement in the development of the city. The optimal IRR value in
the development of Walini city as a technology park, based on the government scheme and
private cooperation, is 15.57%. The scheme uses the division of IC + OM Cost + R Sharing. In
the scheme, the private sector accounts for 49.89% of the initial investment costs, and 60.08%
of the operational and maintenance costs.

5. ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
This research is supported by a grant from the Ministry of Research and Higher Education,
Republic of Indonesia, No 413/UN2.R3.1/HKP05.00/2018.

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