Assignment 2 Flood Peak Estimation
Assignment 2 Flood Peak Estimation
Part A
Statistical Method
The objective of this assignment is for students to apply the statistical method to estimate flood
flow of required return period.
Task
The annual flow values for a given river are available for a period of 80 years. From this record,
the 22 highest annual maxima values are as shown in table below. Assume data has log-normal
distribution, estimate 100- and 1000-year recurrence interval flows using Blom method.
Note:
To interpret a topographic map with contours, note that each contour line represents a ground
elevation or vertical distance above a reference point such as sea level. All points along any
one contour line are at the same elevation.
The difference in elevation between two adjacent contours is called the contour interval. It
represents the vertical distance from one contour elevation to the next.
To identify the river flow path, note that water always flows downhill perpendicular to contour
lines. A general rule of thumb is that topographic lines in a river always point upstream. With
that in mind, it is not difficult to make out drainage patterns and the direction of flow on the
landscape even when there is no stream depicted on the map. In the figure below, the direction
of streamflow is from point A - headwater to point B - outlet.
Task 1: Select any location on the topographic map with contours provided and sketch out the
river from headwaters to outlet (see example in the Figure 1)
00
2 00 270 2
27
0
26
1
3 1
3
300
00
4 4
0
0
230 2900
5 5
24
00
19
00
6 6
29
21
00
00
7 7
0
190 28
27
2
8 00 2
8
00
20
00 19
9 29 00 9
25
00
10 10
00
1800
00
11 11
2400
00
18
22
27
27
270 17
12 12
00
00
0 00
13
3 13
3
14 14
15 15
16 2700 16
0
260
17 17
00
18
19 00
18
18
4 00 18
4
00
19 26 190
19
2600
0
1900
20 190
0 20
2600
21 21
2600
22 22
0
270
23
5 23
5
27 2000
24 00 24
26
00
25 25
26 180 26
0
27 27
2900
28
6 28
6
29 29
00
30 160 30
28
0
31 31
32 2200 18 32
0 00
33
7 290 33
7
00
23
2800
34 2300 34
00
35 28 1700 35
2700
2900
36 36
37 37
21
26 160
00
00 0 160
00
38
8 0 38
8
26
39 1900 39
240
0
40 2500 40
280
41 19 41
00
0
2800
42 42
1700
43
9 18
00 43
9
180
44 0 44
1700
280
45 0 1700 1700 0 45
170
26
2900
46 00 46
00
27
47 1700 47
0
150
10
48 2400 10
48
49 49
50 50
A B C
A D E F G H
B I J K L M
C N O P Q D
R S T U V W
E X Y Z AA AB
F AC AD AE AF AG
G AH AI AJ AK AL
H AM AN AO AP AQ
I AR AS AT AU AV
J AW AX
Kilometers Legend
0 0.5 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Contours at 100 m interval
Part C - Rational Method
Objective
The objective of this assignment is for students to apply the Rational Method to estimate
flood flow of required return period. In this task, you will apply the rational method on the
catchment delineated in the earlier task of ‘Catchment delineation by hand’ to estimate peak
flow of 100 years return period.
Description of catchment
River detail
Calculated by Date
Physical characteristics
Size of catchment (A) km² Rainfall region
Longest watercourse (L) km Area distribution factors
Average slope (Sav) m/m Rural (α) Urban (β) Lakes (γ)
Dolomite area (D%) %
Mean annual rainfall (MAR)0# mm
Rural1 Urban2
Surface slope % Factor Cs Description % Factor C2
Vleis and pans Lawns
Flat areas Sandy, flat (<2%)
Hilly Sandy, steep (>7%)
Steep areas Heavy soil, flat (<2%)
Total 100 - Heavy soil, steep (>7%)
Permeability % Factor Cp Residential areas
Very permeable Houses
Permeable Flats
Semi-permeable Industry
Impermeable Light industry
Total 100 - Heavy industry
Vegetation % Factor Cv Business
Thick bush and plantation City centre
Light bush and farm-lands Suburban
Grasslands Streets
No vegetation Maximum flood
Total 100 - Total (C2) 100 -
Time of concentration (TC) Notes:
Overland flow3 Defined watercourse
0,467 0,385
⎛ rL ⎞ ⎛ 0,87L2 ⎞
TC = 0,604⎜ ⎟ TC = ⎜⎜ ⎟⎟
⎜ S ⎟ ⎝ 1000Sav ⎠
⎝ av ⎠
hours hours
Run-off coefficient
Return period (years), T 2 5 10 20 50 100 Max
Run-off coefficient, C1
(C1 = CS + CP + CV)
Adjusted for dolomitic areas, C1D
(= C1(1 - D%)+C1D%(∑(Dfactor x CS%))4
Adjustment factor for initial saturation,
Ft5
Adjusted run-off coefficient, C1T
(= C1D x Ft)
Combined run-off coefficient CT
(= αC1T + βC2 + γC3)
Rainfall
Return period (years), T 2 5 10 20 50 100 Max
Point rainfall (mm), PT6
Point intensity (mm/hour), PiT (= PT/TC)
Area reduction factor (%), ARFT7
Average intensity (mm/hour), IT
(= PiT x ARFT)
Return period (years), T 2 5 10 20 50 100 Max
CT IT A
Peak flow (m³/s), Q T =
3,6
Note: # Reference to the appropriate figures and tables is made in the legend table of this method. R - Page 1/2
Table 3C.5
Return period (years) 2 5 10 20 50 100
Adjustment factor (Ft) for
steep and impermeable 0,75 0,80 0,85 0,90 0,95 1,00
catchments
Adjustment factor (Ft) for
flat and permeable 0,50 0,55 0,60 0,67 0,83 1,00
catchments
R - Page 2/2