Managerial Economics: PV FV I
Managerial Economics: PV FV I
PRELIMS
MARKET INTERACTIONS:
MANAGER CONSUMER-PRODUCER RIVALRY
- A person who directs resources to achieve a stated goal. Consumers attempt to locate low prices, while producers
ECONOMICS attempt to charge high prices.
- the science of making decisions in the presence of scare
resources. CONSUMER-CONSUMER RIVALRY
MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS Scarcity of goods reduces the negotiating power of
- the study of how to direct scarce resources in the way that consumers as they compete for the right to those goods.
most efficiently achieves a managerial goal.
PRODUCER-PRODUCER RIVALRY
GOAL Scarcity of consumers causes producers to compete with one
- Sound decision making involves having well-defined goals. another for the right to service customers.
- Leads to making the “right” decisions.
THE ROLE OF GOVERNMENT
CONSTRAINTS Disciplines the market process.
- In striking to achieve a goal, we often face constraints.
- Constraints are an artifact of scarcity. TIME VALUE OF MONEY
Present value (PV) of a future value (FV) lump-sum amount to
ACCOUNTING PROFITS be received at the end of “n” periods in the future when the
- Total revenue (sales) minus dollar cost of producing goods per-period interest rate is “i”:
or services.
- Reported on the firm’s income statement. FV
PV
ECONOMIC PROFITS 1 i n
- Total revenue minus total opportunity cost.
The present value (PV) reflects the difference between the
ACCOUNTING COSTS future value and the opportunity cost of waiting (OCW).
- The explicit costs of the resources needed to produce goods Succinctly,
or services. PV = FV – OCW
- Reported on the firm’s income statement. If i = 0, note PV = FV.
As i increases, the higher is the OCW and the lower the PV.
OPPORTUNITY COSTS
- The cost of the explicit and implicit resources that are PRESENT VALUE OF A SERIES
foregone when a decision is made. Present value of a stream of future amounts (FVt) received at
the end of each period for “n” periods:
ECONOMIC PROFITS
FV 1 FV 2 FV n
- Total revenue minus total opportunity cost.
PV . . .
PROFIT SIGNAL
1 i 1
1 i 2
1 i n
n
- Profits signal to resource holders where resources are most FV t
highly valued by society. PV =∑
- Resources will flow into industries that are most highly
t =1 ( 1+ i )t
valued by society.
NET PRESENT VALUE
FIVE FORCES BY MICHAEL PORTER
Suppose a manager can purchase a stream of future receipts
1. Suppliers
(FVt ) by spending “C0” dollars today. The NPV of such a
2. Substitutes & Complements
decision is
3. New Entrants
FV 1 FV 2 FV n
4. Buyers NPV . . . C
5. Industry / Rivalry 1 i 1
1 i 2
1 i n 0
INCENTIVES play an important role within the firm. PRESENT VALUE OF A PERPETUITY
Incentives determine: An asset that perpetually generates a stream of cash flows
- How resources are utilized. (CFi) at the end of each period is called a perpetuity.
- How hard individuals work. The present value (PV) of a perpetuity of cash flows paying
- Managers must understand the role incentives play in the the same amount (CF = CF1 = CF2 = …) at the end of each
organization. period is
- Constructing proper incentives will enhance productivity
and profitability.
CF CF CF To maximize net benefits, the managerial control variable
PV Perpetuity = + + +. . .
( 1+i ) ( 1+i )2 ( 1+i )3 should be increased up to the point where MB = MC.
CF - MB > MC means the last unit of the control variable
=
i increased benefits more than it increased costs.
- MB < MC means the last unit of the control variable
increased costs more than it increased benefits.
FIRM VALUATION AND PROFIT MAXIMATION
The value of a firm equals the present value of current and SUPPLY AND DEMAND ANALYSIS
future profits (cash flows). - Tool that managers can use to visualize the “big picture.
π1 π2 ∞ πt - Advantage of having this tool
PV Firm =π 0 + + +.. .=∑
( 1+i ) ( 1+i ) t=1 ( 1+i )t MARKET DEMAND CURVE
- A common assumption among economist is that it is the Shows the amount of a good that will be purchased at
firm’s goal to maximization profits. alternative prices, holding other factors constant.
- This means the present value of current and future profits, Law of Demand
so the firm is maximizing its value. The demand curve is downward sloping.
If profits grow at a constant rate (g < i) and current period LAW OF DEMAND
profits are po, before and after dividends are: As the price of a good rises (falls) and all other things remain
1 i constant, the quantity demanded of the good falls (rises
PVFirm 0 before current profits have been paid out as dividends;
ig
1 g
Ex Dividend
PVFirm 0 immediately after current profits are paid out as dividends. PRICE AND DEMAND
ig
Price and quantity demanded are inversely related
Provided that g < i.
That is, the growth rate in profits is less than the interest rate
MARKET DEMAND CURVE
and both remain constant.
The straight line connecting those points, called the market
demand curve, interpolates the quantities consumers would
MARGINAL (INCREMENTAL) ANALYSIS
be willing and able to purchase at prices not explicitly dealt
- Control Variable Examples:
with in the market research
- Output
- Price
- Product Quality
- Advertising
- R&D
NET BENEFITS
Net Benefits = Total Benefits - Total Costs
Profits = Revenue - Costs DETERMINANTS OF DEMAND:
Income
MARGINAL BENEFIT - Normal good
Change in total benefits arising from a change in the control - Inferior good
variable, Q: Prices of Related Goods
ΔB
- Prices of substitutes
- Prices of complements
MB= Advertising and consumer tastes
ΔQ Population
Consumer expectations
Slope (calculus derivative) of the total benefit curve.
DEMAND SHIFTERS
MARGINAL COST Variables other than the price of a good that influence
Change in total costs arising from a change in the control demand are known as demand shifters.
variable, Q:
CHANGE IN QUANTITY DEMANDED
ΔC changes in the price of a good lead to a change in the
ΔQ
movement along a given demand curve.
CHANGE IN DEMAND
Slope (calculus derivative) of the total cost curve changes in variables other than the price of a good, such as
income or the price of another good, lead to a change in
demand. This corresponds to a shift of the entire demand
curve.
MARGINAL PRINCIPLE
INCOME Price as a function of quantity demanded.
Because income affects the ability of consumers to purchase
a good, changes in income affect how much consumers will Example:
buy at any price. Demand Function
Qxd = 10 – 2Px
NORMAL GOOD Inverse Demand Function:
A good whose demand increases (shifts to the right) when 2Px = 10 – Qxd
consumer incomes rise Px = 5 – 0.5Qxd
PRODUCER SURPLUS
The amount producers receive in excess of the amount
necessary to induce them to produce the good.
MARKET EQUILIBRIUM
The Price (P) that Balances supply and demand
QxS = Qxd
No shortage or surplus
Steady-state
PRICE RESTRICTIONS:
PRICE CEILINGS
The maximum legal price that can be charged.
Examples:
Gasoline prices in the 1970s.
Housing in New York City.
Proposed restrictions on ATM fees.
PRICE FLOORS
- The minimum legal price that can be charged.
- Individuals may lobby for the government to legislate a
minimum legal price for a good.
Examples:
Minimum wage.
Agricultural price supports.
%ΔQ X d
EQ , P =
X Y %ΔP Y
PREDICTING REVENUE CHANGES FROM TWO PRODUCTS
Suppose that a firm sells to related goods. If the price of X
changes, then total revenue will change by:
ΔR= R X ( 1+ EQ
( )+ RY E Q ) ¿ %ΔP
X, PX Y , PX X
INCOME ELASTICITY
%ΔQ X d
EQ ,M=
X %ΔM
USES OF ELASTICITIES:
- Pricing.
- Managing cash flows.
- Impact of changes in competitors’ prices.
- Impact of economic booms and recessions.
- Impact of advertising campaigns.
SHORT-RUN
- the time frame in which there are fixed factors
of production
MARGINAL UTILITY
- total cost / output
- total cost per unit
- >>> AC = TC / q
FIXED COST
- costs that do not change with the amount
produced
- costs that incurred even if the firm is producing
nothing
- no fixed cost in long run
- sunk cost is a type of fixed cost (but not
recoverable)
- Fixed costs are not permanently fixed; they will
change over time, but are fixed, by contractual
obligation, in relation to the quantity of PRODUCTION FUNCTION – CONCEPTS
production for the relevant period. - Whether or not the quantity of an input is fixed
- there are no fixed costs in the long run, because depends on the time
the long run is a sufficient period of time for all
short-run fixed inputs to become variable. Short run – time period in which at least one input is
Investments in facilities, equipment, and the fixed
basic organization that cannot be significantly Long run – time period in which all inputs can be
reduced in a short period of time are referred changed
to as committed fixed costs. - There are no fixed inputs in the long run
- Discretionary fixed costs usually arise from - The long run is defined as the horizon over
annual decisions by management to spend on which the manager can adjust all factors of
certain fixed cost items. production. If it takes a company three years to
acquire additional capital machines, the long
run for its management is three years, and the
VARIABLE COST short run is less than three years.
- costs that do change with the amount
produced MEASURE OF PRODUCTIVITY
TOTAL PRODUCT
- depend on production
- is simply the maximum level of output that can
- VC=VC (q)
be produced with a given amount of inputs
TOTAL COST
AVERAGE PRODUCT
- fixed costs plus variable costs
- A measure of the output produced per unit of
- sum of fixed and variable costs input.
- TC = TFC + TVC - The average product (AP) of an input is defined
as total product divided by the quantity used of
MARGINAL COST
the input.
- additional cost of one additional output
- MC = ΔTC /Δq
- Additional cost of producing one more unit of
output
AVERAGE COST
- Costs that vary with output.
Fixed Cost
- Costs that do not vary with output.
MARGINAL PRODUCT
- The change in total output attributable to the
last unit of an input.
FIXED AND SUNK COST
Fixed Cost
- Costs that do not change as output changes.
Sunk Cost
- A cost that is forever lost after it has been paid.
- Decision makers should ignore sunk costs to
INCREASING, DIMINISHING AND NEGATIVE MARGINAL
maximize profit or minimize losses
RETURNS
Average Total Cost
ATC = AVC + AFC
ATC = C(Q)/Q
COST ANALYSIS
• Types of Costs
VARIABLE COST
Short-Run
Fixed costs (FC)
Sunk costs
Short-run variable costs (VC)
Short-run total costs (TC)
Long-Run
All costs are variable
No fixed costs
Opportunity Cost
- The value of the next best alternative that
you had to forego when you made a choice
Market Value
Budget Constraints
- Restricts consumer behavior by forcing the Personal Valuation
consumer to select a bundle of goods that
is affordable.
Factors
Tangent
- In geometry, the tangent line to a plane
curve at a given point is the straight line
that "just touches" the curve at that point.
Intersects
- When two or more lines cross each other in
a plane, they are called intersecting lines.
The intersecting lines share a common
point, which exists on all the intersecting
lines, and is called the point of intersection
Budget Set
- The bundles of goods a consumer can
afford