DISCOVERING
STATISTICS
USING
SPSS
Chapter 5: The beast of bias
Smart Alex’s Solutions
Task 1
Using
the
[Link]
data
from
Chapter
4,
check
the
assumptions
of
normality
and
homogeneity
of
variance
for
the
two
films
(ignore
gender):
are
the
assumptions
met?
The
output
you
should
get
is
reproduced
below
(I
used
the
explore
function
described
in
Chapter
5).
The
skewness
statistics
gives
rise
to
a
z-‐score
of
−0.378/0.512
=
–0.74
for
Bridget
Jones’s
Diary,
and
0.04/0.512
=
0.08
for
Memento.
These
show
no
significant
skewness.
For
kurtosis
these
values
are
−0.254/0.992
=
–0.26
for
Bridget
Jones’s
Diary,
and
–1.024/0.992
=
–1.03,
which
again
are
both
non-‐
significant.
The
Q-‐Q
plots
confirm
these
findings:
for
both
films
the
expected
quantile
points
are
close
to
those
that
would
be
expected
from
a
normal
distribution
(i.e.
the
dots
fall
close
to
the
diagonal
line).
The
K-‐S
tests
show
no
significant
deviation
from
normality
for
both
films.
We
could
report
that
arousal
scores
for
Bridget
Jones’s
Diary,
D(20)
=
0.13,
ns,
and
Memento,
D(20)
=
0.10,
ns,
were
both
not
significantly
different
from
a
normal
distribution.
Therefore
we
can
assume
normality
in
the
sample
data.
In
terms
of
homogeneity
of
variance,
Levene’s
test
shows
that
the
variances
of
arousal
for
the
two
films
were
not
significantly
different,
F(1,
38)
=
1.90.
PROFESSOR
ANDY
P
FIELD
1
DISCOVERING
STATISTICS
USING
SPSS
PROFESSOR
ANDY
P
FIELD
2
DISCOVERING
STATISTICS
USING
SPSS
Task 2
The
file
[Link]
contains
data
regarding
students’
performance
on
an
SPSS
exam.
Four
variables
were
measured:
exam
(first-‐year
SPSS
exam
scores
as
a
percentage),
computer
(measure
of
computer
literacy
in
percent),
lecture
(percentage
of
SPSS
lectures
attended)
and
numeracy
(a
measure
of
numerical
ability
out
of
15).
There
is
a
variable
called
uni
indicating
whether
the
student
attended
Sussex
University
(where
I
work)
or
Duncetown
University.
Compute
and
interpret
descriptive
statistics
for
exam,
computer,
lecture,
and
numeracy
for
the
sample
as
a
whole.
To
see
the
distribution
of
the
variables,
we
can
use
the
frequencies
command,
which
we
came
across
in
the
previous
section
(see
Section
5.3.2).
Use
this
dialog
box
and
place
all
four
variables
(exam,
computer,
lecture
and
numeracy)
in
the
Variable(s)
box.
Then
click
on
to
select
the
Statistics
dialog
box
and
select
some
measures
of
central
tendency
(mean,
mode,
median),
measures
of
variability
(range,
standard
deviation,
variance,
quartile
splits)
and
measures
of
shape
(kurtosis
and
skewness).
Also
click
on
to
access
the
Charts
dialog
box
and
select
a
frequency
distribution
of
scores
with
a
normal
curve.
Return
to
the
main
dialog
box
by
clicking
on
and
once
in
the
main
dialog
box,
click
on
to
run
the
analysis.
The
output
shows
the
table
of
descriptive
statistics
for
the
four
variables
in
this
example.
From
this
table,
we
can
see
that,
on
average,
students
attended
nearly
60%
of
lectures,
obtained
58%
in
their
SPSS
exam,
scored
only
51%
on
the
computer
literacy
test,
and
only
5
out
of
15
on
the
numeracy
test.
In
addition,
the
standard
deviation
for
computer
literacy
was
relatively
small
compared
to
that
of
the
percentage
of
lectures
attended
and
exam
scores.
These
latter
two
variables
had
several
modes
(multimodal).
The
output
provides
tabulated
frequency
distributions
of
each
variable
(not
reproduced
here).
These
tables
list
each
score
and
the
number
of
times
that
it
is
found
within
the
data
set.
In
addition,
each
frequency
value
is
expressed
as
a
percentage
of
the
sample
(in
this
case
the
frequencies
and
percentages
are
the
same
because
the
sample
size
was
100).
Also,
the
cumulative
percentage
is
given,
which
tells
us
how
many
cases
(as
a
percentage)
fell
below
a
certain
score.
So,
for
example,
we
can
PROFESSOR
ANDY
P
FIELD
3
DISCOVERING
STATISTICS
USING
SPSS
see
that
66%
of
numeracy
scores
were
5
or
less,
74%
were
6
or
less,
and
so
on.
Looking
in
the
other
direction,
we
can
work
out
that
only
8%
(100
− 92%)
got
scores
greater
than
8.
Output
Finally,
we
are
given
histograms
of
each
variable
with
the
normal
distribution
overlaid.
These
graphs
show
us
several
things.
The
exam
scores
are
very
interesting
because
this
distribution
is
quite
clearly
not
normal;
in
fact,
it
looks
suspiciously
bimodal
(there
are
two
peaks,
indicative
of
two
modes).
This
observation
corresponds
with
the
earlier
information
from
the
table
of
descriptive
statistics.
It
looks
as
though
computer
literacy
is
fairly
normally
distributed
(a
few
people
are
very
good
with
computers
and
a
few
are
very
bad,
but
the
majority
of
people
have
a
similar
degree
of
knowledge)
as
is
the
lecture
attendance.
Finally,
the
numeracy
test
has
produced
very
positively
skewed
data
(the
majority
of
people
did
very
badly
on
this
test
and
only
a
few
did
well).
This
corresponds
to
what
the
skewness
statistic
indicated.
Descriptive
statistics
and
histograms
are
a
good
way
of
getting
an
instant
picture
of
the
distribution
of
your
data.
This
snapshot
can
be
very
useful:
for
example,
the
bimodal
distribution
of
SPSS
exam
scores
instantly
indicates
a
trend
that
students
are
typically
either
very
good
at
statistics
or
struggle
with
it
(there
are
relatively
few
who
fall
in
between
these
extremes).
Intuitively,
this
finding
fits
with
the
nature
of
the
subject:
statistics
is
very
easy
once
everything
falls
into
place,
but
before
that
enlightenment
occurs
it
all
seems
hopelessly
difficult!
PROFESSOR
ANDY
P
FIELD
4
DISCOVERING
STATISTICS
USING
SPSS
Figure:
Histograms
of
the
SPSS
exam
data
Task 3
Calculate
and
interpret
the
z-‐scores
for
skewness
for
all
variables.
For
the
SPSS
exam
scores,
the
z-‐score
of
skewness
is
−0.107/0.241
=
−0.44.
For
numeracy,
the
z-‐score
of
skewness
is
0.961/0.241
=
3.99.
For
computer
literacy,
the
z-‐score
of
skewness
is
−0.174/0.241
=
−0.72.
For
lectures
attended,
the
z-‐score
of
skewness
is
−0.422/0.241
=
−1.75.
It
is
pretty
clear
then
that
the
numeracy
scores
are
significantly
positively
skewed
(p
<
.05)
because
the
z-‐score
is
greater
than
1.96,
indicating
a
pile-‐up
of
scores
on
the
left
of
the
distribution
(so
most
students
got
low
scores).
For
the
other
three
variables,
the
skewness
is
non-‐significant,
p
<
.05,
because
the
values
lie
between
−1.96
and
1.96.
Task 4
Calculate
and
interpret
the
z-‐scores
for
kurtosis
for
all
variables.
For
SPSS
exam
scores,
the
z-‐score
of
kurtosis
is
−1.105/0.478
=
−2.31,
which
is
significant,
p
<
.05,
because
it
lies
outside
−1.96
and
1.96.
For
computer
literacy,
the
z-‐score
of
kurtosis
is
0.364/0.478
=
0.76,
which
is
non-‐significant,
p
<
.05,
because
it
lies
between
−1.96
and
1.96.
For
lectures
attended,
the
z-‐score
of
kurtosis
is
−0.179/0.478
=
−0.37,
which
is
non-‐significant,
p
<
.05,
because
it
lies
between
−1.96
and
1.96.
For
numeracy,
the
z-‐score
of
kurtosis
is
0.946/0.478
=
1.98,
which
is
significant,
p
<
.05,
because
it
lies
outside
−1.96
and
1.96.
Task 5
Use
the
split
file
command
to
look
at
and
interpret
the
descriptive
statistics
for
numeracy
and
exam.
If
we
want
to
obtain
separate
descriptive
statistics
for
each
of
the
universities,
we
can
split
the
file,
and
then
proceed
using
the
frequencies
command.
To
split
the
file,
select
or
click
on
.
In
the
resulting
dialog
box
select
the
option
Organize
output
by
groups.
Once
this
option
is
selected,
the
Groups
Based
on
box
will
activate.
Select
the
variable
containing
the
group
codes
by
PROFESSOR
ANDY
P
FIELD
5
DISCOVERING
STATISTICS
USING
SPSS
which
you
wish
to
repeat
the
analysis
(in
this
example
select
Uni),
and
drag
it
to
the
box
or
click
on
.
By
default,
SPSS
will
sort
the
file
by
these
groups
(i.e.
it
will
list
one
category
followed
by
the
other
in
the
data
editor
window).
Once
you
have
split
the
file,
use
the
frequencies
command.
Let’s
request
statistics
for
only
numeracy
and
exam
scores
for
the
time
being.
Dialog
box
for
the
split
file
command
Duncetown
University
Sussex
University
SPSS
output
The
SPSS
output
is
split
into
two
sections:
first
the
results
for
students
at
Duncetown
University,
then
the
results
for
those
attending
Sussex
University.
The
output
shows
the
two
main
summary
tables.
From
these
tables
it
is
clear
that
Sussex
students
scored
higher
on
both
their
SPSS
exam
and
the
numeracy
test
than
their
Duncetown
counterparts.
In
fact,
looking
at
the
means
reveals
that,
on
average,
Sussex
students
scored
an
amazing
36%
more
on
the
SPSS
exam
than
Duncetown
students,
and
had
higher
numeracy
scores
too
(what
can
I
say,
my
students
are
the
best).
PROFESSOR
ANDY
P
FIELD
6
DISCOVERING
STATISTICS
USING
SPSS
SPSS
Exam
Mark
Numeracy
Distributions
of
exam
and
numeracy
scores
for
Duncetown
University
and
Sussex
University
students
The
figure
shows
the
histograms
of
these
variables
split
according
to
the
university
attended.
The
first
interesting
thing
to
note
is
that
for
exam
marks,
the
distributions
are
both
fairly
normal.
This
seems
odd
because
the
overall
distribution
was
bimodal.
However,
it
starts
to
make
sense
when
you
consider
that
for
Duncetown
the
distribution
is
centred
around
a
mark
of
about
40%,
but
for
Sussex
the
distribution
is
centred
around
a
mark
of
about
76%.
This
illustrates
how
important
it
is
to
look
at
distributions
within
groups.
If
we
were
interested
in
comparing
Duncetown
to
Sussex
it
wouldn’t
matter
that
overall
the
distribution
of
scores
was
bimodal;
all
that’s
important
is
that
each
group
comes
from
a
normal
distribution,
and
in
this
case
it
appears
to
be
true.
When
the
two
samples
are
combined,
these
two
normal
distributions
create
a
bimodal
one
(one
of
the
modes
being
around
the
centre
of
the
Duncetown
distribution,
and
the
other
being
around
the
centre
of
the
Sussex
data!).
For
numeracy
scores,
the
distribution
is
slightly
positively
skewed
(there
is
a
larger
concentration
at
the
lower
end
of
scores)
in
both
the
Duncetown
and
Sussex
groups.
Therefore,
the
overall
positive
skew
observed
before
is
due
to
the
mixture
of
universities.
When
you
have
finished
with
the
split
file
command,
remember
to
switch
it
off
(otherwise
SPSS
will
carry
on
doing
every
analysis
on
each
group
separately).
To
switch
this
function
off,
return
to
the
Split
File
dialog
box
and
select
Analyze
all
cases,
do
not
create
groups.
Task 6
Repeat
Task
5
but
for
the
computer
literacy
and
percentage
of
lectures
attended.
PROFESSOR
ANDY
P
FIELD
7
DISCOVERING
STATISTICS
USING
SPSS
The
SPSS
output
is
split
into
two
sections:
first,
the
results
for
students
at
Duncetown
University,
then
the
results
for
those
attending
Sussex
University.
From
these
tables
it
is
clear
that
Sussex
and
Duncetown
students
scored
similarly
on
computer
literacy
(both
means
are
very
similar).
Sussex
students
attended
slightly
more
lectures
(63.27%)
than
their
Duncetown
counterparts
(56.26%).
The
histograms
are
also
split
according
to
the
university
attended.
All
of
the
distributions
look
fairly
normal.
The
only
exception
is
the
computer
literacy
scores
for
the
Sussex
students.
This
is
a
fairly
flat
distribution
apart
from
a
huge
peak
between
50
and
60%.
It’s
slightly
heavy-‐tailed
(right
at
the
very
ends
of
the
curve
the
bars
come
above
the
line)
and
very
pointy.
This
suggests
positive
kurtosis.
If
you
examine
the
values
of
kurtosis
you
will
find
that
there
is
significant
(p
<
.05)
positive
kurtosis:
1.38/0.662
=
2.08,
which
falls
outside
of
−1.96
and
1.96.
Duncetown
University
Sussex
University
Computer
Literacy
Percentage
of
Lectures
Attended
PROFESSOR
ANDY
P
FIELD
8
DISCOVERING
STATISTICS
USING
SPSS
Task 7
Conduct
and
interpret
a
K-‐S
test
for
numeracy
and
exam.
The
Kolmogorov–Smirnov
(K-‐S)
test
can
be
accessed
through
the
explore
command
(
).
First,
enter
any
variables
of
interest
in
the
box
labelled
Dependent
List
by
highlighting
them
on
the
left-‐hand
side
and
transferring
them
by
clicking
on
.
For
this
example,
just
select
the
exam
scores
and
numeracy
scores.
It
is
also
possible
to
select
a
factor
(or
grouping
variable)
by
which
to
split
the
output
(so
if
you
select
Uni
and
transfer
it
to
the
box
labelled
Factor
List,
SPSS
will
produce
exploratory
analysis
for
each
group
—
a
bit
like
the
split
file
command).
If
you
click
on
a
dialog
box
appears,
but
the
default
option
is
fine
(it
will
produce
means,
standard
deviations
and
so
on).
The
more
interesting
option
for
our
current
purposes
is
accessed
by
clicking
on
.
In
this
dialog
box
select
the
option
,
and
this
will
produce
both
the
K-‐S
test
and
some
graphs
called
normal
Q-‐Q
plots.
Click
on
to
return
to
the
main
dialog
box
and
then
click
on
to
run
the
analysis.
PROFESSOR
ANDY
P
FIELD
9
DISCOVERING
STATISTICS
USING
SPSS
Dialog
boxes
for
the
explore
command
The
first
table
produced
by
SPSS
contains
descriptive
statistics
(mean,
etc.)
and
should
have
the
same
values
as
the
tables
obtained
using
the
frequencies
procedure.
The
important
table
is
that
of
the
K-‐S
test,
which
includes
the
test
statistic
itself,
the
degrees
of
freedom
(which
should
equal
the
sample
size)
and
the
significance
value
of
this
test.
Remember
that
a
significant
value
(Sig.
less
than
.05)
indicates
a
deviation
from
normality.
For
both
numeracy
and
SPSS
exam
scores,
the
K-‐S
test
is
highly
significant,
indicating
that
both
distributions
are
not
normal.
This
result
is
likely
to
reflect
the
bimodal
distribution
found
for
exam
scores,
and
the
positively
skewed
distribution
observed
in
the
numeracy
scores.
However,
these
tests
confirm
that
these
deviations
were
significant.
(But
bear
in
mind
that
the
sample
is
fairly
big.)
SPSS
Output
We
can
report
the
results
in
the
SPSS
output
in
the
following
way:
• The
percentages
on
the
SPSS
exam,
D(100)
=
0.10,
p
<
.05,
and
the
numeracy
scores,
D(100)
=
0.15,
p
<
.001,
were
both
significantly
non-‐normal.
PROFESSOR
ANDY
P
FIELD
10
DISCOVERING
STATISTICS
USING
SPSS
As
a
final
point,
bear
in
mind
that
when
we
looked
at
the
exam
scores
for
separate
groups,
the
distributions
seemed
quite
normal;
now
if
we’d
asked
for
separate
tests
for
the
two
universities
(by
placing
Uni
in
the
box
labelled
Factor
List)
the
K-‐S
test
might
not
have
been
significant.
In
fact
if
you
try
this
out,
you’ll
find
that
the
percentages
on
the
SPSS
exam
are
indeed
normal
within
the
two
groups
(the
values
in
the
Sig.
column
are
greater
than
.05).
This
is
important
because
if
our
analysis
involves
comparing
groups,
then
what’s
important
is
not
the
overall
distribution
but
the
distribution
in
each
group.
Tests of Normality
a
Kolmogorov-Smirnov Shapiro-Wilk
University Statistic df Sig. Statistic df Sig.
Percentage on Duncetown University .106 50 .200* .972 50 .283
SPSS exam Sussex University .073 50 .200* .984 50 .715
Numeracy Duncetown University .183 50 .000 .941 50 .015
Sussex University .155 50 .004 .932 50 .007
*. This is a lower bound of the true significance.
a. Lilliefors Significance Correction
SPSS
0utput
Normal Q-Q Plot of SPSS Exam Scores Normal Q-Q Plot of Numeracy
3
3
2 2
1
1
0
Expected Normal
Expected Normal
-1
-2 -1
-3
-2
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
-2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16
Observed Value
Observed Value
Normal
Q-‐Q
plots
of
numeracy
and
SPSS
exam
scores
SPSS
also
produces
a
normal
Q-‐Q
plots.
In
both
of
the
variables
analysed
we
already
know
that
the
data
are
not
normal,
and
these
plots
confirm
this
observation
because
the
dots
deviate
substantially
from
the
line.
It
is
noteworthy
that
the
deviation
is
greater
for
the
numeracy
scores,
and
this
is
consistent
with
the
higher
significance
value
of
this
variable
on
the
K-‐S
test.
Task 8
Conduct
and
interpret
a
Levene’s
test
for
numeracy
and
exam.
We
can
get
Levene’s
test
using
the
Explore
menu:
.
Transfer
the
SPSS
exam
scores
and
the
numeracy
scores
from
the
list
on
the
left-‐hand
side
to
the
box
labelled
Dependent
List
by
clicking
on
the
next
to
this
box,
and
because
we
want
to
split
the
output
by
the
grouping
variable
to
compare
the
variances,
select
the
variable
Uni
and
transfer
it
to
the
box
labelled
Factor
List
by
clicking
on
the
appropriate
.
Then
click
on
to
open
another
dialog
box.
To
get
Levene’s
test
we
need
to
select
one
of
the
options
where
it
says
Spread
vs.
level
with
Levene’s
test.
If
you
select
Levene’s
test
is
carried
out
on
the
raw
data
(a
good
place
to
start).
When
you’ve
finished
with
this
dialog
box
click
on
to
return
to
the
main
Explore
dialog
box
and
then
click
on
to
run
the
analysis.
PROFESSOR
ANDY
P
FIELD
11
DISCOVERING
STATISTICS
USING
SPSS
Exploring
groups
of
data
and
obtaining
Levene’s
test
Levene’s
test
is
non-‐significant
for
the
SPSS
exam
scores
(values
in
the
[Link]
are
more
than
.05),
indicating
that
the
variances
are
not
significantly
different
(i.e.
they
are
similar
and
the
homogeneity
of
variance
assumption
is
tenable).
However,
for
the
numeracy
scores,
Levene’s
test
is
significant
(values
in
the
Sig.
column
are
less
than
.05),
indicating
that
the
variances
are
significantly
different
(i.e.,
they
are
not
the
same
and
the
homogeneity
of
variance
assumption
has
been
violated).
We
can
also
calculate
the
variance
ratio.
For
SPSS
exam
scores
the
variance
ratio
is
158.48/104.14
=
1.52
and
for
numeracy
scores
the
value
is
9.43/4.27
=
2.21.
Our
group
sizes
are
50
and
we’re
comparing
two
variances
so
the
critical
value
is
(from
the
table
in
the
additional
material)
approximately
1.67.
These
ratios
concur
with
Levene’s
test:
variances
are
significantly
different
for
numeracy
scores
(2.21
is
bigger
than
1.67)
but
not
for
SPSS
exam
scores
(1.52
is
smaller
than
1.67).
We
could
report
these
findings
as
follows:
• For
the
percentage
on
the
SPSS
exam,
the
variances
were
equal
for
Duncetown
and
Sussex
University
students,
F(1,
98)
=
2.58,
ns,
but
for
numeracy
scores
the
variances
were
significantly
different
in
the
two
groups,
F(1,
98)
=
7.37,
p
<
.01.
SPSS
output
Task 9
Transform
the
numeracy
scores
(which
are
positively
skewed)
using
one
of
the
transformations
described
in
this
chapter.
Do
the
data
become
normal?
PROFESSOR
ANDY
P
FIELD
12
DISCOVERING
STATISTICS
USING
SPSS
These
are
the
original
histogram
and
those
of
the
transformed
scores
(I’ve
included
all
three
transformations
discussed
in
the
chapter):
None
of
these
histograms
appear
to
be
normal.
Below
is
the
table
of
results
from
the
K–S
test,
all
of
which
are
significant.
The
only
conclusion
is
that
although
the
square
root
transformation
does
the
best
job
of
normalizing
the
data,
none
of
these
transformations
actually
works!
PROFESSOR
ANDY
P
FIELD
13
DISCOVERING
STATISTICS
USING
SPSS
Task 10
Use
the
explore
command
to
see
what
effect
a
natural
log
transformation
would
have
on
the
four
variables
measured
in
[Link].
The
completed
dialog
boxes
should
look
like
this:
The
SPSS
output
below
shows
Levene’s
test
on
the
log-‐transformed
scores.
Compare
this
table
to
the
one
in
the
book
(which
was
conducted
on
the
untransformed
SPSS
exam
scores
and
numeracy).
To
recap
the
book
chapter,
for
the
untransformed
scores
Levene’s
test
was
non-‐significant
for
the
SPSS
exam
scores
(the
value
in
the
column
labelled
Sig.
was
.111,
more
than
.05)
indicating
that
the
PROFESSOR
ANDY
P
FIELD
14
DISCOVERING
STATISTICS
USING
SPSS
variances
were
not
significantly
different
(i.e.,
the
homogeneity
of
variance
assumption
is
tenable).
However,
for
the
numeracy
scores,
Levene’s
test
was
significant
(the
value
in
the
column
labelled
Sig.
was
.008,
less
than
.05)
indicating
that
the
variances
were
significantly
different
(i.e.
the
homogeneity
of
variance
assumption
was
violated).
For
the
log-‐transformed
scores
(below),
the
problem
has
been
reversed:
Levene’s
test
is
now
significant
for
the
SPSS
exam
scores
(values
in
the
column
labelled
Sig.
are
less
than
.05)
but
is
no
longer
significant
for
the
numeracy
scores
(values
in
the
column
labelled
Sig.
are
more
than
.05).
This
reiterates
my
point
from
the
book
chapter
that
transformations
are
often
not
a
magic
solution
to
problems
in
the
data!
PROFESSOR
ANDY
P
FIELD
15