Operation Management Assignment 2
Operation Management Assignment 2
QUESTION 1
B E
A K
A
C G J
A A
F
L
D H
A
b. Which activities form the critical path?
Answer: 32 week
QUESTION 2
A PERT problem is detailed in the table below. Times are given in weeks.
Probable
Optimistic Time/ Most likely Pessimistic
Activity Preceding Time time Time
A -- 7 9 14
B A 2 2 8
C A 8 12 16
D A 3 5 10
E B 4 6 8
F B 6 8 10
G C, F 2 3 4
H D 2 2 8
I H 6 8 16
J G, I 4 6 14
K E, J 2 2 5
a. Calculate the expected time and ES, EF, LF, and LS of each activity.
Answer:
Expected time Early Early Late Start Late finish
Start Finish
A ( ) 0 9.5 0 9.5
= 9.5
B ( ) 9.5 12.5 23 26
=3
C ( ) 9.5 21.5 12 24
=12
D ( )
= 5.5 9.5 15 9.5 15
E ( )
=6 12.5 18.5 28 34
F ( )
=8 12.5 20.5 26 24
G ( )
=3 21.5 24.5 24 27
H ( ) 15 18 15 18
I ( )
=9 18 27 18 27
J ( )
=7 27 34 27 34
K ( )
=2.5 34 36.5 34 36.5
b. Draw diagram network for this project. E
K
B
F
Start A G J
C
I
D H
c. What are the project variance and the project standard deviation?
Variance ( ) 1.361+1.361+1+2.778+0.25=9.528
Z= X-Critical Path
Standard Deviation
=40-36.5
3.087
=1.1326
= Probability of completion of the project before week 40=0.8708 or 87.08%