Draft Concept Design Report For Lot 1 PDF
Draft Concept Design Report For Lot 1 PDF
Draft Concept Design Report For Lot 1 PDF
Executive Summary
This report contains an illustrative presentation of the detailed site
investigation carried out by the consultant from February
8, 2020 to February 17, 2020 vis-a vis a detailed analysis of the initial findings
in consideration of ERA 2002 & 2013,
AASHTO Geometric Design Manual 2001&2004, NCHRP, FHWA and ASTM standards and the
surfacing situation of the
proposed route.
Prior to commencing the design, all the design criteria had been organized.
Accordingly, a Traffic count was conducted.
The road`s functional classification was set to be Link Road. For the same,
considering 20 years period of Design Life the
future traffic was projected resulting AADT for section one (0Km to 23km) 2732, and
for section two (km23 to 72.724km) is
1161. The AADT for PCU is less than 300, implying that there is no need for
adjustment. The Design speed and criteria
was set to be DC6 standard for the first section (0km-23km) and road DC5 standard
for the second section (km23 to
72.724km).
In consideration of the field study results and the data provided by the standards
mentioned vide supra in paragraph one
with vaunt courier usage of ERAGDM,2013 manual, a typical section sketch showing
the proposed geometric section, such
as finished subgrade width, ditch dimensions, crown and super elevation, cut and
fill slope sections was contained within
chapter 8 of this report.
Accordingly, A median width of 2.0m and 2.5m are provided for developing town and
town sections. Climbing lane was
totally cancelled by the employer for this project. Due considerations had been
taken to avoid mis phasing of vertical and
horizontal curves. Further, it was designated that the profile grade roll with the
terrain avoiding high fills and cuts providing
smooth grades as viably as possible.
Three towns, one developing town and fifteen villages are crossed by the proposed
road alignment. Due to the close
proximity of the towns and villages along the existing road and also during
consultation all the three Weredas; preferred the
existing route except in town sections in which the alignment shall follow new
routes as per the master plan of the city.
Special attention shall be given to the geometric design and ROW cost minimization
of the project road sections from
35+000 to Km 42+000, which are characterized which are covered with extensive long
plantations including coffee
plantations.
A soil profile sample of the proposed route was also taken and the engineering
characteristics was determined in laboratory
as per the requirements of the TOR and standard procedures. Based on the sub grade
condition investigation the sub grade
class was set to be S3 and the traffic loading was T6 for stretch from 0+000 to
23+000 considering 15-years design period
and T5 for the road stretch from 23+000 to 72+724 considering 20-years design
period. Here of, the AC thickness for
sections 0+000 to 23+000 is 50mm, CRB 200mm and Sub-base 350mm; for the remaining
sections AC thickness of 50mm,
CRB 175mm and Sub-base 325 mm is recommended. Moreover, a DBST shoulder with the
pavement layers extended up
to the edge of the shoulder is recommended.
Locations of possible source of materials had been indicated. Thus, three rock
sources for asphalt and base course at LHS
of 0+000 more than 200,000 cubic meter estimated quantity, at 25+400 more than
200,000 cubic meter estimated quantity
and at 79+400 more than 200,000 cubic meter estimated quantity are obtainable for
construction purpose. Eleven spots of
borrow material had been identified. Construction water sources which are located
at 13+900 and 43+000 had been
The geotechnical aspects had been considered and mitigative measures had been
proposed for problematic soils. Safety
aspects of the proposed route had also been considered. Finally, the consultant put
uttermost effort to provide
environmentally friendly, economically viable and practicable design.
This document “Concept Design Report” is a crude guide that is prepared based on
the consultants detailed site
investigation and initial findings. The Design-Builder shall develop the Project
design so as to meet all the requirements of
the Contract Documents. If the Design-Builder adopts the Conceptual Design as the
basis from which it will design the
Project, the Design-Builder is responsible for:
LIST OF
TABLES ............................................................................
.......................................... IX
LIST OF
FIGURES ...........................................................................
......................................... XI
LIST OF
PHOTOS ............................................................................
...................................... XIII
LISTS OF
APPENDICES ........................................................................
............................... XIV
LIST OF
ABBREVIATION.......................................................................
.............................. XV
1.
INTRODUCTION ......................................................................
................... 1
1.4 Project
Description .......................................................................
........................................ 6
2. TRAFFIC
STUDY .............................................................................
................ 10
2.1
General............................................................................
...................................................... 10
2.2 Traffic
Count .............................................................................
............................................ 10
2.3 Classified Traffic Volume
Counts.............................................................................
........ 10
2.3.1 Estimation of Average Daily Traffic
(ADT) ...................................................................11
2.5 Generated
Traffic ...........................................................................
.................................... 18
2.5.1 Travel Time to Determine Generated
Traffic ................................................................20
2.7.2 Project
Schedule ..........................................................................
.....................................24
2.9.3 Fuel
Consumption .......................................................................
.....................................33
2.9.5
Projections........................................................................
.................................................35
3. ROUTE
SELECTION..........................................................................
.............. 37
4.5.3 Coordinate
System ............................................................................
...............................45
4.5.4 Verification of
Positioning .......................................................................
........................45
4.6 Benchmark
Setup .............................................................................
.................................. 46
4.6.1 Control Traverse-
Line ..............................................................................
.......................46
5.1
General ...........................................................................
..................................................... 48
5.2 Traffic Loading and Traffic
Class .............................................................................
....... 48
5.2.2 Equivalency
Factor.............................................................................
..............................48
Plasticity 60
Grading 62
Moisture –Density
Relationship ......................................................................
...................................63
California bearing
ratio .............................................................................
.........................................65
5.5.2 Design of
Shoulder ..........................................................................
..................................72
6.1
General............................................................................
...................................................... 87
6.2 Review of Existing Data and
Maps ..............................................................................
..... 87
6.2.1 Hydrologic Soil
type ..............................................................................
...........................87
6.2.3
Topography ........................................................................
...............................................89
6.5 Hydrological
Analysis ..........................................................................
.............................. 96
Pure Consulting Engineers PLC in Sub-Consultancy with Sound Engineering Solutions
PLC v
Consultancy services for the Route Selection and Survey, Feasibility and
Environmental Impact, Ethiopian Roads Authority
Assessment (EIA) Studies, Concept Engineering Design, Resettlement Action Plan
(RAP) and
Tender Document Preparation for Bule Hora-Shakiso –Kibremengist Road Project.
Lot 1: Kibremengist- Bule Kero
Draft Concept Design
April 2020
6.5.1
General ...........................................................................
...................................................96
6.6 Hydraulic
Analysis ..........................................................................
................................. 105
6.6.1
General ...........................................................................
.................................................105
6.6.5 Ditches-longitudinal
Drainage ..........................................................................
.............106
7. GEOTECHNICAL CONCEPT
DESIGN ............................................................ 112
7.2 Finishing of
slopes ............................................................................
................................ 112
7.2.1 Cut
slope .............................................................................
.............................................112
7.3 Slopes
design ............................................................................
......................................... 113
7.3.1 Cut slope
design ............................................................................
..................................113
7.4.2 Embankment
settlement ........................................................................
........................114
7.4.3 Embankment
stability .........................................................................
...........................114
8. GEOMETRIC
DESIGN ............................................................................
....... 118
8.1
Introduction ......................................................................
................................................ 118
8.2 Design Control and
Criteria ..........................................................................
.................. 120
8.2.1 Functional
Classification.....................................................................
...........................120
8.2.2 Design
Standards .........................................................................
...................................120
8.2.5 ROW
obstructions ......................................................................
....................................130
8.2.6 Geotechnical
considerations ....................................................................
......................131
8.3.4 Climbing
lanes .............................................................................
...................................140
8.3.7 At Grade
Intersections .....................................................................
..............................141
9. STRUCTURES
DESIGN .........................................................................
145
9.1
General ...........................................................................
................................................... 145
9.2 Design
Methodology .......................................................................
.................................. 145
9.3
Loading............................................................................
.................................................. 145
9.4
Materials .........................................................................
.................................................. 145
9.5 Structure Type
Selection .........................................................................
........................ 146
9.6 Structural Evaluation of Existing
structures ................................................................. 147
9.6.1 Detail
Design ............................................................................
.......................................148
10. ROAD
SAFETY ............................................................................
............ 154
List of Tables
Table1- 1: Contract
Data ..............................................................................
................................................. 3
Table1- 2: Payment
schedule ..........................................................................
.............................................. 4
Table1- 3: Project
Description .......................................................................
................................................ 6
Table 2- 1: Seasonal Conversion
factors ...........................................................................
.......................... 11
Table 2- 2 AADT and Traffic count at
Kibremengist.......................................................................
.............. 12
Table 2- 3: AADT and Traffic count at Kenticho
Junction ..........................................................................
.. 13
Table 2- 4: AADT and Traffic count at Megado
Junction ..........................................................................
... 14
Table 2- 5: AADT and Traffic count at Heye Dima
Junction ........................................................................
15
Table 2- 6: AADT and Traffic count at Kibremengist
(23km) ...................................................................... 16
Table 2- 7: AADT and Traffic count at Kenticho Junction
(62km) ............................................................... 16
Table 2- 8: Non Motorable Traffic on the project
Road ..............................................................................
. 17
Table 2- 9: Converted NMT to Motorable
Traffic............................................................................
.............. 18
Table 2- 10: Result of Travel Time Survey along the Project Road
Section ................................................ 20
Table 2- 11: Generated Traffic Factor for the project Road
Section ............................................................ 21
Table 2- 12: OD Survey at
Kibremengist ......................................................................
............................... 22
Table 2- 13: OD Survey at Bule
Hora ..............................................................................
............................ 22
Table 2- 14: Project
Schedule ..........................................................................
........................................... 24
Table 2- 15: Historical ERA’s AADT (2007-2018) Volumes and Trends in Dilla Wondo
Road.................... 25
Table 2- 16: Projected Traffic of the Road Section
One ..............................................................................
27
Table 2- 17: Projected Traffic of the Road Section
Two ..............................................................................
27
Table 2- 18:Vehicle Kilometer of Travel in Ethiopia (2001 –
2016) .............................................................. 30
Table 2- 19: Growth rate of Vehicle
Kilometers ........................................................................
................... 31
Table 2- 20: Percentage Growth rate of Real GDP and GDP by
Sectors ................................................... 32
Table 2- 21: Expected GDP Growth in Ethiopia (2010 –
2030) ................................................................... 32
Table 2- 22: Fuel Import of the
Country ...........................................................................
............................ 33
Table 2- 23: Traffic Growth rate based on Population, Income and GDP (Medium
Scenario) ..................... 35
Table 2- 24: Comparison of Derived Traffic Growth
Rates .......................................................................... 36
Table 4- 1: List of Survey
instruments .......................................................................
.................................. 42
Table 4- 2: List personnel’s (team 1: GPS
team) .............................................................................
............ 43
The Ethiopian Roads Authority (ERA) of the Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia
(the Employer) signed an
Agreement with Pure Consulting Engineers PLC in Sub-Consultancy with Sound
Engineering Solutions PLC for
Consultancy Service for the Concept Design, Feasibility, EIA, RAP, Risk Assessment
and Tender Document
Preparation & Engineering Cost Estimate of Bule Hora – Kibremengist – Shakiso road
projects Lot I: Kibremengist –
Bule Kero.
The Ethiopian Roads Authority (ERA) has been entrusted the responsibility of
implementing this road project. ERA, on
the behalf of the Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia, intends to utilize part
of its budgetary allocation to finance
the Consultancy services for the project under reference. The provision of this
service is procured through National
Competitive Bidding (NCB).
The preparation of Works tender documents on Design and Build basis dictates the
application of the highest possible
Engineering and Contract standard so that the implementation of the construction
project can be realized without undue
imbalance of risk between the contracting parties. Therefore, based on this premise
the Consultant carries out such
services with utmost care, diligence and expertise.
The Consultant shall perform all necessary services and activities to fulfill the
stated objectives whether or not a specific
activity is stated in the Scope of Services in the Terms of Reference.
Consultancy Contract
Percentage of
Item
Amount to be
Type of Deliverables
payment to be
No.
released (Birr)
released
Similarly, the specific scope the EIA work of this Concept Design Project includes
but not limited to:
✓ Determine the extent of adverse impacts of the project on landslide, soil
erosion associated with excessive
earthworks and extent of deforestation;
✓ Identify the impact of drainage channels on the surrounding resources and
propose appropriate scour and
erosion control measures;
The rural Wereda are Adola, Odoshakiso and Harawayou Wereda Administrations while
the town administrations,
which have Wereda Status, are Adolawayu and Shakiso Towns Administration. As per
the TOR of the project, the
project start is Kibremengist (Adolawayu) Town while the project end is Bule Kero,
located within the Harawayou
Wereda Administration. However, the administrative boundary between Guji and West
Guji Zone as well as between
the Harawayou and Melaka Soda Wereda is Dawa River located at about km85. As a
result, it seems reasonable to
extend the concept design work up to Dawa River rather than limiting the cut-off
point at km70 that will split Harawayou
Wereda in to two phases of the project.
The project can be accessed from both start and end, from end, Bule hora town,
470Km on the road from Addis Ababa
–Hawasa- Moyale-Kenya and from start, Kibremengist (Adolawayu), which is 460Km for
Addis Ababa – Hawasa-
Negele road.
The surveys on the project road were conducted for seven consecutive days, for 12-
hour day counts from 6.00 a.m. to
6.00 p.m. and during the period two 4-hour night counts were taken due to
insecurity to count at night in the project
area.
Vehicle counts were summarized on hourly intervals and were recorded in each
direction at each site.
The vehicle classification system used for traffic programs has been in line with
the ERA system consisting of eight
vehicle types.
Based on the reconnaissance survey and observation of the project road and its
expected traffic movement, these
traffic survey locations were selected, as given below:
Classified Count conducted at:
➢ Staion1) Kibremengist Town: at out skirt of the town
➢ Station 2) Shakiso (Kenticho Junction) at out outskirt of the town
➢ Station 3) Magado Town
➢ Station 4) Haya Dima Town
OD Survey conducted at:
➢ OD 1) Bule Hora (at the outskirt of the town)
➢ OD2) Adola town (at the outskirt of the town)
2.3 Classified Traffic Volume Counts
Classified traffic volume counts were conducted seven days between, February 15 –
2020 to February 21, 2020. The
traffic counts were normally carried out for 12 hours (6:00 am-6:00 pm) each day
and 4 hours’ night count for two days.
The vehicles were classified into eight categories following the ERA’s practice as
indicated below:
.Truck
2015 1st Cycle 6 84 148 50 132
97 69 44 630
2nd Cycle 1 97 149 48 118
66 68 42 589
3rd Cycle 6 78 156 61 143
97 83 37 661
Annual Mean 4.3 86 151 53 131
87 73 41 627
2016 1st Cycle 4 52 67 56 73
51 57 18 378
2nd Cycle 4 52 67 56 73
51 57 18 378
3rd Cycle 4 52 67 56 73
51 57 18 378
Annual Mean 4 52 67 56 73
51 57 18 378
2017 1st Cycle 3 47 36 27 62
64 26 15 280
2nd Cycle 0 56 83 52 89
70 74 61 485
3rd Cycle 2 43 48 53 63
112 110 24 455
Annual Mean 2 49 56 44 71
82 70 33 407
2018 1st Cycle 6 89 147 171 129
160 146 46 894
2nd Cycle
0
3rd Cycle 0 30 86 54 82
105 90 62 509
Annual Mean 3.0 60 117 113 106
133 118 54 468
Seasonal 1st Cycle 0.68 0.91 0.98 0.87 0.96
0.95 1.07 1.19 0.92
Factors 2nd Cycle 2.60 1.20 1.30 1.70 1.36
1.88 1.60 1.21 1.38
3rd Cycle 1.08 1.21 1.09 1.19 1.05
0.96 0.94 1.04 1.00
Seasonal Average 1.46 1.11 1.13 1.25 1.13
1.26 1.20 1.15 1.10
Source: Computed ERA Traffic Count by Cycles, 2017
Three SCFs were developed for each type of vehicle. The average SCF was thus
computed from the three conversion
factors and this average SCF was used to estimate the AADT. Error! Reference source
not found.Table 2-1 above s
hows the SCFs by vehicle type for all stations and the next tables shows the
estimated AADTs at four stations.
2.3.4 Estimation of Average Annual Daily Traffic
Table 2- 2 AADT and Traffic count at Kibremengist
Date Car 4W Smal Large Smal Mediu
Heav Truc Othe Tota
s D l bus bus l m
y k r l
15/6/12 Normal 15 245 173 79 134
truc 96
truck
46
truck 16
tailor 0 804
16/6/12 Normal
Day 20 327 177 132 115 78
89 14 13 965
k
17/6/12 Market
Day 21 225 210 122 113 56
114 13 4 878
18/6/12 Normal
Day 22 228 146 71 134 82
140 11 8 842
19/6/12 Normal
Day 27 130 171 94 136 71
133 15 9 786
20/6/12 Normal
Day 21 229 120 68 90 88
86 14 12 728
21/6/12 Market
Day 17 187 171 112 104 69
83 14 5 762
Day
Motorable Night Count
1. Market day
Date Car 4W Smal large Smal Mediu
Heav Truc Othe Tota
s D l bus bus l m
y k r l
21/6/12 Market 0 60 40 16 45
truc 22
truck
31
truck 4tailor 1
2.Normal day Day k
truck 29
truck 3tailor 0
Night Factor Day k
Market day 1 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.4 1.3
1.4 1.3 1.2
Non Market 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.3 1.6
1.2 1.2 1
ADT
day
15/6/12 Normal 18 345 212 88 177 150
56 19 0 1067
16/6/12 Normal
Day 24 460 217 147 152 122
108 17 13 1262
17/6/12 Market
Day 21 297 259 139 162 74
157 17 5 1131
18/6/12 Normal
Day 27 321 179 79 177 128
171 13 8 1104
19/6/12 Normal
Day 33 183 210 105 180 111
162 18 9 1011
20/6/12 Normal
Day 26 322 147 76 119 138
105 17 12 962
21/6/12 Market
Day 17 247 211 128 149 91
114 18 6 981
Average ADT Day 24 311 205 109 160 116
125 17 8 1074
AADT
Seasonal Correction Factor ( SCF )
0.68 0.91 0.98 0.87 0.96 0.95
1.07 1.19 0.92
AADT MT 16 282 201 95 153 110
133 20 7 1018
Converted 26 1 0 1
0 0 28
NMT
AADT, 2020 16 282 227 96 154 111
133 20 35 1073
Table 2- 3: AADT and Traffic count at Kenticho Junction
Car 4W Sma large Sma
Mediu Hea Truc Oth Tot
Date s D ll bus ll
m vy k er al
15/6/12 Normal 48 35 bus 51
50 truc
36
truck
13 truc
11 2tailo 0 246
16/6/12 Normal
Day 71 62 62 122 28
k
30 9k 4r 13 401
17/6/12 Market
Day 97 82 75 138 44
30 18 7 4 495
18/6/12 Normal
Day 87 74 65 148 54
49 31 13 8 529
19/6/12 Normal
Day 59 83 58 86 47
21 16 15 9 394
20/6/12 Normal
Day 52 52 58 122 15
57 13 0 12 381
21/6/12 Market
Day 26 37 42 65 20
16 6 2 5 219
Day Motorable Night Count
1. Market day
Car 4W Sma large Sma
Mediu Hea Truc Oth Tot
Date s D ll bus ll
m vy k er al
21/6/12 Market 3 10 bus 14
12 truc
15
truck
31 truc
19 tailo
23 2
2.Normal day Day k
k r
car 4W Sma large Sma
Mediu Hea Truc Oth Tot
Date s D ll bus ll
m vy k er al
19/6/12 Normal 0 12 bus
6 11 truc
49
truck
14 truc
32 tailo
3 0
Night Factor Day k
k r
Night Factor Market 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.8
2.9 4.2 12.5 1.4
Night
day Factor Non 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 2.0
1.7 3.0 1.2 1.0
ADT
Market day
15/6/12 Normal 48 40 55 58 74
22 33 2 0 331
16/6/12 Normal
Day 71 71 68 138 57
50 27 5 13 500
Day
Pure Consulting Engineers PLC in Sub-Consultancy with Sound Engineering Solutions
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Consultancy services for the Route Selection and Survey, Feasibility and
Environmental Impact, Ethiopian Roads
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Assessment (EIA) Studies, Concept Engineering Design, Resettlement Action Plan
(RAP) and
Tender Document Preparation for Bule Hora-Shakiso –Kibremengist Road Project.
Lot 1: Kibremengist- Bule Kero
Draft Concept Design
April 2020
17/6/12 Market 108 104 96 168 77 88
75 88 6 810
18/6/12 Normal
Day 100 82 73 302 90 147
37 13 0 844
19/6/12 Normal
Day 59 95 64 97 96 35
48 18 9 521
20/6/12 Normal
Day 52 60 64 138 31 95
39 0 12 490
21/6/12 Market
Day 29 47 54 79 35 47
25 25 7 348
AVERGE ADT Day 67 71 68 140 66 69
41 22 7 549
AADT
Seasonal Correction Factor ( SCF ), Jan -Apr
SCF Kibremengist 0.6 0.9 0.98 0.87 0.96 0.95
1.07 1.19 0.92
AADT MT
Shakiso ) 46
8 65
1 67 122 63 65
43 26 6 502
NMT Converted 6 0 0 2
0 0
AADT, 2020 46 65 73 122 63 67
44 26 6 511
13 tailo
7 2 82
2.Normal day Day k
k r
Car 4W Sm Large Sm
Mediu Hea Tru Oth Tota
Date s D all bus all m
vy ck er l
21/6/12 Normal 0 6 bus
10 5 truc
11
truck
17
truc
12 tailo
4 0 65
Night Factor Day k
k r
Night Factor Market 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.8 1.5
1.8 1.0 2.0
Night
day Factor Non 1.0 1.4 1.2 1.5 1.3 1.3
1.5 2.3 1.0
ADT
Market day
15/6/12 Normal 0 41 49 17 69 39
11 14 0 240
16/6/12 Normal
Day 0 27 42 11 8 78
11 2 0 178
17/6/12 Market
Day 1 41 135 32 63 183
62 25 96 638
18/6/12 Normal
Day 0 61 42 16 31 86
70 4 0 310
19/6/12 Normal
Day 0 20 59 15 44 67
36 7 4 252
20/6/12 Normal
Day 6 43 34 18 19 59
32 5 11 225
21/6/12 Market
Day 0 35 53 21 36 50
30 0 4 229
Average ADT Day 1 38 59 18 39 80
36 8 16 296
AADT
Seasonal Correction Factor ( SCF )
Pure Consulting Engineers PLC in Sub-Consultancy with Sound Engineering Solutions
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Consultancy services for the Route Selection and Survey, Feasibility and
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Assessment (EIA) Studies, Concept Engineering Design, Resettlement Action Plan
(RAP) and
Tender Document Preparation for Bule Hora-Shakiso –Kibremengist Road Project.
Lot 1: Kibremengist- Bule Kero
Draft Concept Design
April 2020
SCF Kibremengist 0.68 0.9 0.98 0.87 0.96
0.95 1.07 1.19 0.92
AADT MT)
Shakiso 1 135 58 16 37
76 38 10 15 286
NMT Converted 7 0 0
0 0 0 8
AADT, 2020 1 35 65 16 37
76 38 10 23 301
bus 28
all 21
um 0
vy 0
k
Day NIGHT
Cyc FACTOR
D bus
truc truck truc tail
Night Factor Market day 1.0 1.1 1.1
1.0 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.0
le
k k er
Night Factor Non 1.0 1.1 1.3
1.2 1.4 1.6 1.0 1.0
Market day ADT
Normal 3 41 0 46 70 54
118 113 24 9
16/6/12 Normal
Day 3 49 0 18 31 18
47 42 7 1
17/6/12 Market
Day 3 63 0 23 70 28
88 50 53 15
18/6/12 Normal
Day 3 72 0 12 21 27
82 31 28 5
19/6/12 Normal
Day 3 43 1 39 31 23
92 59 11 5
20/6/12 Normal
Day 3 45 0 33 32 28
85 53 4 0
21/6/12 Market
Day 3 49 0 42 70 51
154 122 25 0
AVERGE ADT Day 0 30 46 33
95 67 22 5
AADT
Seasonal Correction Factor ( SCF ), Jan -Apr
SCF (Kibremengist Shakiso 0.6 0.9 0.9
0.87 0.9 0.95 1.0 1.1
) 8 1 8
6 7 9
AADT MT 0 27 45 29 92 64
23 6
NMT 6 0
0 1 0 0
2.3.5 Recommended Road Section and Estimation of Average Annual Daily Traffic
As we have seen from section 2.3.1 the AADT estimation we have Four stations and
AADT is estimated separately for
each station. However, the design team critically investigate the stations and
recommended that the four station should
be grouped into homogenous sections of the road segment (please see the detail in
Pavement section). Accordingly,
the first 23 km section is categorized as section one and the remaining 62km as
section two. Hence, AADT is regrouped
into two and presented as Table 2-6 below.
ADT
Average ADT 23 46 58 64 67 72
33 12 8 382
AADT
NMT 0 0 6 0 0 1
0 0 5
Converted
AADT, 2020 15 42 63 55 64 69
35 14 13 359
The construction of the proposed road will play a significant role in the socio-
economic development of the community
in the wereda and around the wereda by creating a great potential for the use of
local resources, creating decent jobs,
support the local economy and strengthening local commerce and have therefore
important implications for poverty
reduction. Furthermore, the construction of the proposed road will reduce travel
time and burdens related to it and
reduce transportation cost. Hence, it will encourage & enhance the demand to travel
more frequently. In addition, there
The proposed upgrading of the roads leading to widen and surfaced with asphalt.
This will have significantly improved
access to the project road and will have increased the traffic levels through
generated and induced traffic during the
period.
The present condition is fair for the first section with an estimated roughness of
11-13 IRI (2017) and driving speeds of
around 50km/hr. for light vehicles while it is bad with an estimated roughness of
20-22 IRI (2017) for the second section
of and driving speed of 25km. An upgrade to asphalt will undoubtedly improve the
roughness and increase the driving
speed on the road and will result in generated and induced traffic.
At 2020 the observed existing traffic must be considered as normal traffic as this
is what exists now and the growth
rates observed will reflect the effect of diversion, generated and induced traffic
in addition to the normal traffic growth
due to increased numbers of vehicles.
Generated traffic benefits are estimated as half the benefits of normal traffic
benefits (Rule of Half). Rule of half” in
economic theory suggests that when consumers change their travel in response to a
financial incentive, the net
consumer surplus is half of their price change so the economic appraisal is
influenced by the assumptions made.
The other category of generated traffic which occurs in response to the provision
or improvement of a road relates to
the reduction in travel time is discussed and estimated below.
Currently, agricultural activities and passenger mobility are depressed due to bad
condition of the existing road. Thus,
generated traffic is the induced traffic, which will use the road following road
construction or improvement that would
not occur without the project road. These changes may lead to new or increased
economic activity or higher volumes
of consumption or marketed products, or increased frequency or new patterns of
personal trip making, leading to
increased passenger traffic.
In other words, some new vehicles start to travel along the constructed road as
operating cost decreases and vehicles
that are currently travelling on the existing road make some more trips as the
riding quality of the existing road improves
(and VOC decreases). The existing gravel road will be upgraded to higher standard
roads. In the project area crop
production including cash crop, livestock and livestock products are available in
the area of influence of the road. There
is an initiative to change the area by the potential private investors and
governmental agencies. Intensive and extensive
agricultural and agro-industry could be developed by local society and investors
that would contribute to the Regional
and National economic growth.
The amount of traffic that is generated will depend on the size of the unit cost
reduction and on the ability of the
consumer to take advantage of this cost reduction; the greater the cost reduction,
the more trips that will be generated.
In other words, generated traffic will be materialized for the project under
reference mainly because of reduction in
vehicle operating cost (VOC) due to better service traceable to improved road
conditions. When this reduction in VOC
results in lower transport costs (i.e. reduced tariffs for passenger and goods
traffic) the benefits of additional investment
on road improvement will reach the ultimate beneficiaries. Such reduction in
transport cost creates a situation of
Table 2- 10: Result of Travel Time Survey along the Project Road Section
Length Without Project
With project
(km) Speed Travel
Speed Travel
Road Segment
(km/hr.) Time
(km/hr. ) Time
(min)
(min)
Kibremengist Section(23km) 23 50 28
70 20
Kentich Section (62km) 62 25 149
70 53
Source: Consultant`s Assessment: 2020
The average speeds observed on the road section provides an indication of the
riding condition of the road. In principle
areas with lower speed implies bad surface condition and /or town section with
limited speed and sections with higher
speed implies better surface condition to ride freely. Concerning the area under
reference, implies the gravel surfacing
material of rural road at bad to fair condition. Generally, both on rural and towns
sections of the road, bad to fair road
condition reveals low speed and improvement of the road condition improves the
riding speed. From Table 2-10 shown
above, it had been observed that measured travel time for the first 23km is
stipulated to be 50km/hr. on average and
for the second Kenticho section (62km) 25 km/hr. on average at existing condition
and 70- 80km/hr. after the
construction of the proposed project.
The existing road on the proposed route is deteriorated and of lower standards that
requires upgrading. The upgrading
of the proposed road scheme, involving geometric improvements and provisioning of
better ride quality is expected to
significantly contribute to transport cost reduction, which in turn encourages
additional trips by the existing users,
together with likelihood of induced economic development as well. The proposed
improvement is expected to greatly
improve the existing damaged road, with roughness to a reasonable level of quality
following upgrading the road. Upon
completion of the up-gradation works, it is assumed that the road quality enhances
significantly, featuring lower
roughness and increase in carriage way width. Upgrading the road implies a
substantial decline in travel time. From
this, travel time of the road is reduced from about 28 minutes on the existing road
to about 20 minutes after construction
of the proposed road in the first section and from 149 minutes to 53 minutes in the
second section.
In line with reduction of travel time, elasticity of the demand for transport is
used for estimating generated traffic of the
project. The estimation of generated traffic is based on estimating the shape of
the demand function, which is expressed
as an elasticity of demand. This shows the responsiveness of quantity demanded to a
change in cost. In the case of
generated traffic, the demand for trip making is related to expected reductions in
journey costs and travel time. In this,
savings in journey time have been used. This is expressed as a travel cost function
time. The generated traffic factor
is used the simplified model (RAFU, 2006) of the form:
Generated Traffic Factor = β [(Cijp / Cijb) – 1];
Where;
β is the elasticity;
Cijp is the with project travel cost
Cijb is the base case, without project travel cost
Table 2- 11: Generated Traffic Factor for the project Road Section
Parameter Low
Medium High
First Section 23km
β (elasticity) -0.6 -1
-2
Cijp (time in minutes) 23 23
23
Cijb (time in minutes) 28 28
28
Generated Traffic Factor 0.17
0.29 0.57
Second Section 62 km
β (elasticity) -0.6 -1
-2
Cijp (time in minutes) 53 53
53
Cijb (time in minutes) 149
149 149
Generated Traffic Factor 0.39
0.64 1.29
Improvement of project road section will improve the existing deteriorated rural
road. For overall impact of the
improvement, medium elasticity is used for the section. Hence, the generated
traffic factor of 0.29 is derived (about 29
%) as shown in Table 2-11 above that is applied to normal traffic for the first
section of the road and 64% for the second
section of the road. The saving resulting from VOC passes onto users through
decreased transport fare (public
transport) and freight rate (cargo transport), and passage of the benefit through
lower retail prices of goods and services
again governed by the competitive environments under which the different industries
(including the transport sector)
operate. Based on this 29% and 64% of the current traffic is assumed to be taken as
generated traffic.
The Diverted Traffic, expected to diverted from other routes to the proposed
project as a result of the project
commencement is very limited as the OD survey in the two sites of Kibremengist and
Bule Hora exhibited. Tables 2-
12 &2-13 below presents the OD Matrix indicates the places and magnitude of the
diversion in the two places
Kibremengist and Bule Hora.
Table 2- OD
Table 11: 12:survey
OD Survey at Kibremengist
at Kibremengist
Destination
Nagale Borona
Shashamane
Medawelabo
Addis ababa
Arsi Nagale
marihame
Hayesuftu
Anasoraa
Bule hora
Harergea
Hawassa
Buanbua
Anferare
Genallea
Meboco
Melema
Shakiso
Hagare
Adama
Melaka
Harba
Yorba
Adola
Maro
Dollo
Gulie
Balle
Bore
Dilla
Origin
Total
Adama 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
0 1 1 0 2 0 0 0
0 0 0 5
Addis ababa 0 0 2 0 0 1 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
4 0 0 9
Adola 0 1 0 1 4 4 1
11 1 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 1
4 0 0 2 0 1 1 0
0 2 2 39
Agwaye 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 1
Anferare 0 0 3 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 3
Arsi Nagale 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 3
Arso 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 0 0 3
Balle 0 0 1 0 0 1 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 2
Bore 0 0 8 0 0 1 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 0 0 11
Buanbua 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 1
Dawaa 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 1
Filtu 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 1
Hawassa 0 0 3 0 0 1 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
4 0 0 9
Madera 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 1
Meboco 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 1
Medawelabo 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 2
Melaka 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 1
Nagale 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 1
Sebeta 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 1
Shakiso 0 3 0 0 1 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 7
Shashamane 0 0 1 0 0 2 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 0 0 4
Shikie 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 1
Tero 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 1
Yabello 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 0 0 1
Yirgalem 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 0 0 1
Yobeko 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 1
Yorba 0 0 4 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 4
Zeway 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 1
Total 4 7 27 1 5 11 1
12 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
7 1 1 2 3 1 1 2
16 2 2 116
Table 2-12 above shows that, the dominant origin and destination areas are Adola,
Bore, Shakiso and Arsi Negle. It
can be seen that about 57% of the traffic goes from these areas while about 43%
goes from other areas. In terms
destination similar pattern is observed.
Destination
Shashamane
Addis ababa
Aleta wondo
Arsi Nagale
Finch weha
Dagosoda
Bule hora
Hawassa
Burjsiya
Cheleltu
Yabello
Djibouti
Chorso
Kercha
Harero
Gedeb
Gerba
Gimtu
Guchi
Moyle
Adola
Balle
Dilla
Origin
Total
Adama 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 3 0 0 0 4 0 0 7
Addis ababa 0 0 0 0 0 5
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 2 0 5 12
Aleta wondo 0 0 0 0 0 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Amaro 0 0 0 0 0 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Bedessa 0 0 0 0 0 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Bule hora 2 1 3 1 0 0
0 0 1 1 22 0 0 6 11
2 0 0 2 10 0 4 0 66
Chafee 0 0 0 0 0 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Chorso 0 0 0 0 0 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Dilla 0 0 0 0 0 16
0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17
Djibouti 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Finch weha 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6
Gedeb 0 0 0 0 0 10
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
Gerba 0 0 0 0 0 12
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12
Gimtu 0 0 0 0 0 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Hawassa 0 0 0 0 0 2
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 5
Mero 0 0 0 0 0 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2
Moyle 2 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Shashamane 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 5
Toriea 0 0 0 0 0 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Yabello 1 0 0 0 1 0
0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0
0 0 0 1 0 0 3 0 8
Total 5 1 3 1 1 57
1 1 1 1 22 2 2 8 14
2 3 1 3 10 8 7 10 164
Table 2-13 above shows that the dominant origin and destination areas are Bulehora,
Dilla, Gerba, Kercha and Yabelo.
It can be seen that about 69% of the traffic goes from these areas while about 21%
goes from other areas. In terms
destination similar pattern is observed.
Regarding the diverted traffic, overall, the diverted traffic based on the above OD
matrix gives us not more than 5% of
the respondents are likely to divert on the future constructed road. Hence 5% of
the AADT use estimated to be
converted to diverted traffic.
The traffic surveys and analysis have been discussed in the above section, which
has established the base year traffic
in terms of AADT on the project road. Whereas the sections below present the
traffic demand forecast model, and
estimating the future traffic on the project road with the help of primary and
secondary data.
The results of this exercise will form the basis for the traffic projection on the
project road. To carry out the above
exercises, the data base, methods and surveys undertaken by the Consultants are
illustrated in the following sections
along with the different functional activities involved in the entire process of
the traffic projections.
2.7 Traffic Projection
2.7.1 General
The traffic surveys and analysis have been discussed in the previous sections,
which had established the base year
traffic in terms of AADT on the project road. Whereas the present sub section aims
at carrying out the traffic demand
forecast model, and estimating the future traffic on the project road with the help
of primary and secondary data.
The historical ERA traffic count is analyzed vis-a-vis the consultant counts for
the year 2020, resulting AADT of 1039
and 359 for section one (23km) and section two (62km) respectively. In his respect,
ERA’s 19 years’ average count for
the years (2002-2020) is much higher than the consultant`s count. However, for the
year 2020, ERA`s AADT of 359 (is
less compared to consultant`s AADT of 1039.
When we analyzed ERA’s count, the traffic count at 2012 which is 1372 is highest
over the years and more than triple
compared to the next year of 2013. The count at 2013, shows a substantial
decrement. The count since 2002 up to
2026 shows fluctuation & the decrement reached to AADT of 637. The fluctuation is
thus, obvious.
The details are presented in Error! Reference source not found.2-15 which provides
a perspective of the level and p
ace of traffic development in the project road area. The traffic growth trend
indicates as fluctuating from year-to-year
(both increasing and decreasing). However, in the long-term, the traffic growth is
expected as positive and fairly high.
Even though, the available ERA`s historic data is up to 2016, the Transport
Economist projected the trends up to 2020
and accordingly a trend analysis has been analyzed for the years 2017-2020.The
importance of the trend analysis is
to understand the future traffic trend of the area based on the available trend
data of ERA.
It is clear from the Table 2-15 that, medium and small trucks are dominant traffic
compositions. Accordingly, small
truck reached peak in 2012 and declined then after. The number of medium trucks
fluctuates between the years 2002-
2016 while slowly growing since then. Overall, the Traffic trend shows growth over
the years.
The annual growth rates based on the historical data (Table 2-15) on AADTs shows
that it is very fluctuating. On
average all vehicles growth rate is estimated to be 9% per annum. Figures 2-1,2-2 &
2-3. Trends of traffic in the project
area (Dilla–Wondo ERA 2002-2016) and 2017-2020 Trend Estimate)
Table 2- 15: Historical ERA’s AADT (2007-2018) Volumes and Trends in Dilla Wondo
Road
Year Cars Land Small Large Small Medium Heavy
Truck Total
Rover Bus Bus Truck Truck Truck
&
Trailer
2002 0 41 6 16 53 7 16
2 141
2003 0 24 3 18 21 41 19
11 137
2004 0 42 12 17 70 56 55
26 278
2005 0 17 2 28 20 69 29
13 178
2006 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0
2007 0 40 54 12 61 152 50
37 406
Growth Rate
Cars 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 5.8 5.8 5.8
5.8 5.8 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0
3.4 3.4 3.4
4wheel 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 5.8 5.8 5.8
5.8 5.8 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0
4.0 3.4 3.4
S/Bus 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.8 5.8 5.8
5.8 5.8 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0
4.0 3.4 3.4
L/Bus 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.8 5.8 5.8
5.8 5.8 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0
4.0 3.4 3.4
S/Truck 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.8 5.8 5.8
0.0 0.0 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0
4.0 3.4 3.4
M/Truck 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.8 5.8 5.8
5.8 5.8 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0
4.0 3.4 3.4
L/Truck 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.8 5.8 5.8
5.8 5.8 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0
4.0 3.4 3.4
Articulated (T&T) 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.8 5.8 5.8
5.8 5.8 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0
4.0 3.4 3.4
Projections
Cars 16 17 18 19 27 29 31 32 34
36 38 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 54 56 58
60 62 64
4wheel 282 299 318 337 473 502 531 562 595
629 665 695 727 760 795 831 863 898 933 970 1008
1048 1083 1120
S/Bus 227 240 255 270 406 430 455 481 509
538 570 595 622 651 680 711 739 768 799 830 863
897 927 959
L/Buses 96 102 108 115 164 174 184 194 205
217 230 240 251 263 275 287 298 310 322 335 348
362 374 387
S/Truck 154 163 172 183 256 271 271 271 271
271 271 283 296 309 324 338 352 365 380 395 410
427 441 456
M/Truck 111 117 124 132 184 195 206 218 231
244 259 270 283 295 309 323 336 349 363 377 392
407 421 435
H/Truck 133 141 150 158 222 235 249 263 278
294 311 325 340 356 372 389 404 420 436 454 472
490 507 524
Articulated (T&T) 20 21 23 24 34 36 38 40 42
45 47 49 52 54 56 59 61 64 66 69 71
74 77 79
Total 1039 1101 1168 1238 1765 1872 1964 2062 2166 2275 2391 2499
2613 2732 2856 2985 3103 3226 3353 3486 3623 3766 3893 4023
Table 2- 17: Projected Traffic of the Road Section Two
Years 2020.0 2021.0 2022.0 2023.0 2024.0 2025.0 2026.0 2027.0 2028.0
2029.0 2030.0 2031.0 2032.0 2033.0 2034.0 2035.0 2036.0 2037.0 2038.0 2039.0 2040.0
2041.0 2042.0 2043.0
Growth Rate
Cars 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 5.8 5.8 5.8
5.8 5.8 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0
3.4 3.4 3.4
4wheel 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 5.8 5.8 5.8
5.8 5.8 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0
4.0 3.4 3.4
S/Bus 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.8 5.8 5.8
5.8 5.8 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0
4.0 3.4 3.4
L/Bus 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.8 5.8 5.8
5.8 5.8 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0
4.0 3.4 3.4
S/Truck 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.8 5.8 5.8
0.0 0.0 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0
4.0 3.4 3.4
M/Truck 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.8 5.8 5.8
5.8 5.8 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0
4.0 3.4 3.4
L/Truck 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.8 5.8 5.8
5.8 5.8 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0
4.0 3.4 3.4
Articulated (T&T) 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.8 5.8 5.8
5.8 5.8 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0
4.0 3.4 3.4
Projections
Cars 15 16 17 19 31 33 35 37 39
42 44 46 48 50 53 55 57 59 62 64 67
69 71 74
4wheel 42 45 48 51 86 91 96 102 108
114 121 126 132 138 144 150 156 163 169 176 183
190 196 203
S/Bus 63 67 71 75 154 163 172 182 193
204 216 225 236 246 257 269 280 291 302 314 327
340 351 363
L/Buses 56 59 63 67 118 125 132 140 148
157 166 173 181 189 198 207 215 224 232 242 251
261 270 279
S/Truck 64 68 72 76 129 137 137 137 137
137 137 143 149 156 163 170 177 184 191 199 207
215 222 230
M/Truck 69 74 78 83 140 149 157 166 176
186 197 206 215 225 235 246 256 266 276 287 299
310 321 332
H/Truck 35 37 39 42 71 75 79 84 89
94 99 104 108 113 118 124 129 134 139 145 150
156 161 167
Articulated (T&T) 14 15 15 16 28 29 31 33 35
37 39 41 42 44 46 48 50 52 54 57 59
61 63 65
Total 359 380 403 427 756 802 840 881 924
969 1017 1064 1112 1162 1215 1270 1320 1373 1427 1483 1542 1602 1656 1712
900
Large Bus Medium
Truck
800 Cars Linear
(Large Bus)
Linear (Medium Truck) Linear
(Medium Truck)
700
Linear (Cars) Linear
(Cars)
600
500
400
300
y = 14.132x -
23.689
y = 3.706x - 3.2632
200
100
y = 0.2596x - 1.3333
0
0 5 10 15
20 25
Figure 2- 1: Trends of traffic in the project area (Dilla – Wondo ERA 2002-2016)
and 2017-2020 Trend Estimate)
900
Truck & Trailer Small Bus
800
Linear (Truck & Trailer) Linear
(Truck & Trailer)
700 Linear (Small Bus) Linear
(Small Bus)
600
500
400
300
y = 14.295x -
58.453
200
100
y = 5.7376x - 13.195
0
0 5 10 15
20 25
Figure 2- 2: Trends of traffic in the project area (Dilla – Wondo ERA 2002-2016)
and 2017-2020 Trend Estimate)
900
600
500
400
300
200 y = 11.629x
- 21
100
y = 10.426x - 15.668
0
0 5 10 15
20 25
Figure 2- 3: Trends of traffic in the project area (Dilla – Wondo ERA 2002-2016)
and 2017-2020 Trend Estimate)
A time series data of the national vehicle Kilometer of travel and vehicles number
was collected from the Ethiopian
Roads Authority (ERA) from 2001 – 2015/2016. The total vehicles kilometer of travel
by the end of 2016 was
24,017,568, which shows vehicles Kilometer of travel over the given period in terms
of different categories of vehicle
type.
The total vehicle kilometer in the country in 2016 was estimated at 24,017,568. The
vehicle kilometer of travel of the
country is composed of Cars and Utilities 17%, Buses 28%, Trucks 41%, Truck and
Trailer 14%. The average annual
growth rate estimates for all vehicles during 2001-2016 period was 12 percent. The
trends in vehicle kilometer of travel
growth in Ethiopia between 2001 and 2016 have been used to derive the annual growth
rates as shown in Table 2-19.
Buses 28%
Trucks 41%
Average 14%
The growth rates for normal traffic obtained from this approach take account of the
following factors, which affect future
traffic levels:
• The prospective growth in the economy,
• The estimated elasticity of demand for transport, and
• Change in the structure of the vehicle fleet, if any.
•
It must be noted that the growth in agriculture and manufacturing sectors affect
the growth of freight vehicles, while
growth in population and income level affects growth of passenger vehicles. This
method thus incorporates the
perspective growth envisaged in the state of economy and the changes in transport
demand elasticity over a period of
time as the basic data input.
The growth rate of agriculture has declined to about -10.5 % in 2001/2002 compared
to the previous year that was
caused by the draught prevailed, while increase again to 16.9% in 2004/05.
Industry and service sectors have also registered 15% and 12.5 per cent annual
growth rate, respectively in 2012/13
Table 2-20 below presents the percentage growth rate by sectors between 2001/02 and
2012/13.
Table 2- 20: Percentage Growth rate of Real GDP and GDP by Sectors
2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/ 2016
2016/17
A study carried out for ERA, estimate income elasticity of demand for transport.
Some general forms of estimates,
which may be taken indicative, are suggested however; drawn from traffic flow and
GDP growth rate. Network Analysis
Study provides estimate of elasticity for different vehicles categories, which in
fact has been based on works by NAS,
but with minor adjustment. Estimates of elasticity considered to apply on forecast
per capita income growth with the
view to provide traffic growth rates eventually, corresponding to assumed two
traffic growth periods, are given in the
table below.
In specifying the forecast traffic growth rate for the projection of stream of
traffic using the road in the future, a simple
model has been used that combines the effect on travel demand of population growth
and changes in per capita
incomes. A model of the following form is, therefore, applied:
Gt = Gp+ e(Gc)
Where;
Gt is the change in passenger / freight transport
Gp is the change in population
Gc is the change in per capita income
e is the income elasticity for passenger travel
Other things being equal, travel demand can be expected to grow in line with growth
in population. As per capita income
rise (i.e, when national economic growth exceeds population growth) travel demand
will be further stimulated. Income
elasticity is a measure responsiveness of this demand: generally, a given rise in
per capita income can be expected to
result in a more than proportionate increase in demand for travel, since demand is
usually found to be income elastic.
Demand for freight transport is normally found to directly relate to growth in
national income.
The Country level data is moderated to reflect conditions in the road influence
area by comparison with region-wise
factors, thereby accounting for the impact of the following:
• Macro-economic scenario growth rate (s) and composition of GDP
• Road influence area economy, sectoral production and potential
• Spatial distribution of economic activities along the corridor
• Road influence area population size
• Shift in personalized travel modes over time
• Changes in the inter-modal share of passenger and freight demand
In light of suggested model relationship and taking into account the above-
mentioned factors at national as well as
project area levels, coupled with the experience in other developing countries, the
Consultants propose the values of
elasticity of traffic growth with respect to Population, GDP and Income for the
Project Road which is presented in Table
2-23Error! Reference source not found. below, corresponding to the forecast traffic
growth period.
Table 2- 23: Traffic Growth rate based on Population, Income and GDP (Medium
Scenario)
Variables Income Elasticities Growth Rate
Freight Traffic
It may be noted that growth rates given as medium in Table 2-23 above are in
conformity with the threshold limit of
GDP growth at 11% pa, which is considered as an essential pre-condition for
achieving the GTP II.
2.9.5 Projections
Traffic projection exercise for the project road for the years 2024 -2043, consists
of projecting the current AADT (2020)
to future years by using year-to-year normal growth rates including generated and
divertible traffic.
The three kinds of traffic growth rates mentioned above are compared in Table 2-24
below.
Table 2- 24: Comparison of Derived Traffic Growth Rates
Vehicle Group Based on past Based on Vehicle Traffic growth trend
related to
traffic data for Population data GDP growth
(medium)
project area for Ethiopia
Period
Growth rate
Range
% pa % pa Years
% pa
2032-2042
7.2 – 7.8
Buses 8 28 2020-32
8.4 -12
2032-2042
7.2 – 7.8
Trucks 12 41 2020-32
8.4 -11.3
2032-2043
6.0
It can be observed from Table 2-24 that the traffic growth rates developed by the
three different approaches on the
project road are giving different growth rates. The growth rate based on ERA
historic traffic is high, but it can be
observed on some roads section on Ethiopia. In general, it is low, but still in
order, which has been experienced on
some roads in Ethiopia whose improvements were carried out. High traffic growth
rates could be expected in the context
of low base traffic, as also for the project road, and possibly as a manifestation
of suppressed transportation demand
finding expression under favorable conditions, such as the removal of
transportation constraints through road
improvements. Being improvement to standard Asphalt new road, traffic growth rate
will be quite high for first 5 – 10
years and then traffic tends to reach near saturation level, thereby traffic in
quantities terms increase but growth rate
will decrease. It is also mentioned here that the elasticity technique takes
account of many of the socio-economic
factors, which influence traffic growth, which may serve to reduce the uncertainty
of the results. Hence the traffic
volumes computed for the most probable scenario based on Elasticity Coefficient
have therefore been adopted for
design and economic analysis.
Considering the AADT for the road, and the proposed growth rates, generated and
diverted traffic, if any, the traffic
projections exercise has been carried for entire project appraisal period. The
results of the traffic projections for all the
motorized modes on the project road, is presented in Sub-section 2.7.4 Table 2-16
and 2-17 for road section one and
two respectively.
Based on our observations and consultations with the various Wereda and zone,
upgrading of the existing route is
found as the most feasible option. The existing road is well located connecting 18
villages, Kebele seats and towns of
which 3 are Wereda seats and with independent municipality and master plan. The
consultant has observed that the
existing route is socially and technically feasible due to the close proximity of
the towns and villages along the existing
road and all the three Wereda have also preferred the existing route except in town
sections in which the alignment
shall follow new routes as per the master plan of the city.
During the joint meeting held with Adola- Wayu Town and Adola- Rede woreda
representatives at Adola-Rede Woreda
Administration has selected the alignment to follow the existing road, but later
on, the government bodies has requested
based on their minutes of meeting held at 03/06/2012, to change the alignment which
starts from Mission
(Mekaneyesus Church) on the town section as per the master plan of the city. On the
contrary, after the minutes of
meeting is finalized some government bodies has unofficially requested to change
the entire alignment from Adola
town to Shakiso road, though it is not finally decided and minted by all the
cabinet members. Thus, at this time of
inception report, the Cabinet members doesn’t duly finalize the route corridor as
the town Administrator’s need to follow
the route already minted, while the Wereda members need to follow a new route from
Adola to Shakiso.
During the discussion held at Shakiso Oda Wereda, the Wereda administrative opinion
is to follow the existing road
since there are settlements along the route, while the Shakiso town Administration
has requested to follow a new route
as per the master plan of the city apart from the already constructed Surface
treatment route.
Cabinet members from Haga wayu Wereda clarified that, the existing road thoroughly
by passes Bore-Shet town and
shall pass through the center of the town, in addition to this, the alignment on
Haya Dima town shall follow the new
master plan route up to Hawaryat church then back to the existing road to cater the
existing settlements along the
existing road. Apart from this, the cabinet members have requested to follow the
existing road alignment until the
project end.
All the consulted local government body requested the road to majorly follow the
existing road with minor modifications
to fulfil geometric and other requirements except at town administrations which may
follow a new route as per the
master plan of the city.
The field reconnaissance team has also conducted meeting with Guji Zone
administration. The purpose of the meeting
is to create awareness about the project, gather the zone level opinions and
suggestions about the project and to jointly
evaluate the Wereda level minutes of meetings and create consensuses.
The minutes of meetings of all the meetings at woreda and zone level are included
as Annex 3-1 of this report for your
reference.
3.3 Route assessment of the existing road
The road alignment in the first 14kms until Aweta River is administratively located
in Adola- Rede Wereda. The road
alignment starts at Adola-Wayu town to Shakiso and is currently being constructed
by ERCC as a surface treatment,
which is on the verge of completion. The alignment for the 3km distance is bounded
with in the Adola- wayu town
administration and has an independent Municipality and mayor; the terrain in this
section is categorized as flat to rolling
alignment and Gentle Grades. The section from km 3+000 to 12+000 is characterized
with generally Gentle curves
with some steep ascent and descents in some sections of the road.
There are sharp curves and steep descents towards Aweta River from km 12+000 to
14+000. This section of the
alignment, general characterized by sharp horizontal curves and steep grade, in
balance with the mountainous
topography. At few spot locations of mountainous terrain, it is difficult to attain
the minimum geometric parameters and
relaxation from the standard is expected.
The last section of the project road alignment from Km 46+500 to End is
administratively located in Haga-Wayu
Woreda. The road alignment from km 46+500 to km 66+000 follows a foot of mountain
with rolling and Mountainous
terrain. The remaining section of the project (from km 66+000 town to end of
project) alignment mostly follows ridge
top alignment. Some section of the project is characterized by sharp curves and
steep grades in balance with the
mountainous and Escarpment topography. In some section of the road, it is difficult
to attain the minimum geometric
parameters and relaxation from the standard is expected.
The topographic survey is basic pre - requisite to capture all the physical futures
along the project corridor to enable
the selection of feasible and most useful alignment and later to design and to
facilitate the establishment of final center
line of the project road and land acquisition requirements. The topographic survey
work methodology consists of
following main tasks.
For carrying the survey work the consultant approached EMA (Ethiopian Mapping
Authority) and collected EMA control
points within the Project Corridor and deployed high and precision instruments like
GPS, Total station, and Auto level
in compliance to the TOR.
In order to achieve the required output within time the limit, the consultant
deployed three teams.
leader
2 Getachew Akalu S. Surveyor
S. Surveyor
Traversing)
2 Efrem M. A/Surveyor A/Surveyor
1 RAKO
The result of the collected and analyzed data is presents at the end of this report
as Annexes 4-1, 4-2 4-3 and 4-4
The established GPS points are couple and inter visible to each other at a minimum
distance of 100m and were tied
with national coordinates system found within the vicinity of the project road.
The GPS points are painted yellow and the description is marked in red.
= √ (N+1) * 30”
Allowable Linear accuracy
1:10,000
The angle and distance measurements are reduced into Easting and Northing
coordinates using standard traverse
computations procedures.
Specific programs are used to transfer and process field data into computers.
Computer programs such as AutoCAD
are used for preparation of drawings and graphics, using software modules that
operate inside AutoCAD that are
specifically designed for maps and for road projects.
The electronic field books and other topographic data are placed in ASCII and / or
DXF formats or MS Excel files.
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Consultancy services for the Route Selection and Survey, Feasibility and
Environmental Impact, Ethiopian Roads
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Assessment (EIA) Studies, Concept Engineering Design, Resettlement Action Plan
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Tender Document Preparation for Bule Hora-Shakiso –Kibremengist Road Project.
Lot 1: Kibremengist- Bule Kero
Draft Concept Design
April 2020
5. Soil and Material Investigation and Pavement Design
5.1 General
In order to design road pavement structure, to locate suitable construction
material for the pavement work and to
minimize geotechnical problems along the road stretch, preliminary material
investigation was carried out along
Kebremengest – Bule Kero road project route. This report is prepared based up on
investigations, surveys and
laboratory test result analysis undertaken along the proposed alignment.
Road pavements are designed to limit the stress created at the subgrade level by
the traffic travelling on the pavement
surface so that the subgrade is not subject to significant deformations. The
pavement spreads the concentrated loads
of the vehicle wheels over a sufficiently large area at subgrade level. At the same
time, the pavement materials
themselves should not deteriorate to any serious extent within a specified period
of time. So, the design method aims
at producing a pavement which will reach a relatively low level of deterioration at
the end of the design period, assuming
that routine and periodic maintenance are performed during that period.
Since majority section of the existing project route road is a low standard one
with less diversified type of vehicles
category, axle loads recommended for different vehicle classes in ERA 2013 pavement
design manual in conjunction
with the truck factors recommended in different road projects have been used in
order to estimate vehicle damage
factor (VDF) which will be used in the design of flexible pavements. The selection
of road projects is based on diversity
2 4-wheel drive 2
3 minibus 2 0.3
0.15 0.225
4 bus/coach 2 2
1 1.5
6 medium truck 2 5
2.5 3.75
8 3-axled truck 3 12
3.5 7.75
9 4-axled truck 4 15
7.5 11.25
10 5-axled truck 5 17
8.5 12.75
11 6-axled truck 6 17
8.5 12.75
12 2-axled trailer 2 10
5 7.5
The final forecasted traffic of Kebremengest – Bule Kero was provided by the
traffic engineer and is changed into
ESAL.
The table below shows truck factor and cumulative equivalent standard axle loading
along the project route corridor for
10, 15 and 20-year traffic loadings respectively.
Table 5- 4: - Truck Factors of the Road Project
Based upon the analysis result, the ESAL obtained will be used as final traffic
loading for pavement design purpose of
the respective sections. Axle load analysis is attached in annex of this report as
a standalone document
5.3 Existing Road Condition
Kebremengest – Bule kero road project route connects East and West Guji zones of
Oromia national regional state.
The project route connects the Negele Borona main asphalt road with that of Yabelo
– Yergachefe main asphalt road.
Upgrading the existing road standard is very important to facilitate the socio-
economic activity of the area. The existing
road from Kebremengest to Bule kero can be classified into three sections: -
1. Residential access road: from station 0+000 to 3+500 and 14+500 to 17+500
the route corridor traverses
through low standard residential access earth road. In this subdivision,
the road is not constructed in due
consideration of engineering parameters.
2. New double surface treatment road segment: from station 3+500 to 14+500 the
existing road is a newly
constructed double surface treatment road. Riding quality and comfort
level of this road segment is good. The
consultant during condition survey stage didn’t encounter any distresses
in this section of the route.
3. The highly distresses section of the road: from station 17+500 to 70+000 the
existing road is gravel surface.
The riding quality and comfort level is very poor. Due to high severity
level distresses, it is uncomfortable and
difficult to ride upon it.
From station 0+000 to 3+500 and from station 14+500 to 70+000, the existing
pavement structure is low standard with
high severity level distresses. Therefore, construction shall commences starting
from roadbed preparation.
(PR1r) Mormora Group: Blotite Schist, genesis, Marble and graphitic Schist
0+000 25+500
(PR2a)
25+500 31+000
Adola Group: Amphibolite, quartzite and Graphitic Phyllite
35+500 47+000
51+500 54+500
57+500 70+000
gb
31+000 35+500
Gabbro
47+500 51+500
54+500 57+500
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Assessment (EIA) Studies, Concept Engineering Design, Resettlement Action Plan
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Tender Document Preparation for Bule Hora-Shakiso –Kibremengist Road Project.
Lot 1: Kibremengist- Bule Kero
Draft Concept Design
April 2020
The fresh rocks are good sources for masonry rock and crushed aggregate, while
weathered ones are good natural
gravel and borrow material sources. To sum up the geological formation of the
project area is composed of rocks that
are good and suitable for construction of different pavement layers, cement
concrete as well as masonry works.
The lithological soil formations were properly logged. Bulk sample of about 60kg
was taken for all quality tests stated
below.
➢ Wet Sieve analysis (AASHTO T27).
➢ Liquid limit (AASHTO T 89);
➢ Plastic limit (AASHTO T 90);
➢ Modified Proctor test (AASHTO T180) and
➢ CBR test and CBR-swell (AASHTO T193) after 4 days soaking
Finally, after completing the logging and sampling, the test pits were backfilled,
compacted and levelled off to their
original level.
Laboratory tests are conduct so that the adequacy of the foundation material for
the pavement and/or embankment is
checked. The soil samples are subjected to the following tests: - particle size
distribution (AASTO T-27), liquid limit
(AASHTO T89), plastic limit, plasticity index (AASHTO T-90), moisture density
relation and 3 point CBR test.
The sub grade material test results obtained from samples taken from sites are
presented in Annex 5-1 and 5-2 of this
report as a standalone document for further reference. The laboratory test result
of each samples are analyzed as
follows: -
I. Sub grade classification
Plasticity
The plasticity of a soil is its ability to undergo deformation without cracking or
fracturing. A plastic soil can be molded
into various shapes when it is wet. Plasticity in soils is due to presence of clay
minerals. The clay particles carry a
negative charge on their surface. In contact with water clay particles are
separated by layers of adsorbed water which
allow them to slip over one another. When the soil is subjected to deformations,
the particles do not return to their
original positions, with the result that the deformations are plastic
(irreversible).
Plasticity
Distribution of Sub Grade Samples
70
60
UL PI
Plasticity value (%)
50
40
UL LL
30
LL
20
PI
10
0
0 5 10 15 20 25
30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70
Chainage in km
A-7-5, 20%
A-7-6, 23%
A-6, 46%
Details of laboratory tests performed on the subgrade samples are given in Annex 5-
1 of this report as standalone
document.
Grading
Grading and/ particle size distribution represents, the distribution of particles
of different size in the soil mass. The
behavior of coarse grained soils is extremely dependent on the particle size
distribution and behavior of fine grained
soils (minus 75µ) depends upon plasticity characteristics. The Plasticity behavior
of a soil is influenced by the type and
proportion of clay particles present within the material.
Particle Size Distribution (Grading) tests have been carried out on samples
recovered from the trial pits. The results
are summarized on the Figure below in terms of the percentage of silt and clay
(<0.075 mm), the percentage of fine
and medium sand (0.075-0.425 mm), percentage coarse sand (2-0.425) and gravel (2-
75).
From the particle size distribution curve along kebremengest – Bule Kero road
project route, majority of the soil along
the project route corridor is dominated by silt and clay fractions (i.e. more than
65% fraction is silty/clay and 35% sand
& coarse particle fraction). Thus, it can be concluded that, majority of the sub
grade soil mass of kebremengest – Bule
Kero road project is classified as fine grained in both AASHTO and USC soil
classification system.
Variation of
particle size with station
100
coarse
80
sand and
% of material passing
gravel
>0.425
60
Fine and
Medium
sand
40
0.075-
0.425
Silt and
20
Clay
<0.075
0
0 10 20
30 40 50 60 70
Station in km
Figure 5- 4: Particle Size Distribution of Sub
Grade Soils Along the Road Alignment
2.0
MDD g/cm3 (maximum dry density)
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
0 10 20 30 40 50
60 70
Chainage in km
As seen from the chart above the sub grade along route corridor have MDD value
between 1.40 and 1.88g/cm3. As
seen from the chart above majority section of kebremengest –Bule Kero sub grade
have got MDD value >1.56g/cm3.
This will have a direct impact on the CBR values obtained on the sub grade test
results.
As expressed in ERA and other manuals the relationship of density and moisture
content is specific to the nature of
the subgrade soil. As the moisture content increases at constant density the CBR
decreases quite quickly. If the soil
becomes saturated, i.e. the air voids become filled with water and decrease to
zero, the soil becomes very weak indeed.
The moisture content is adjusted during construction in order to make it easier to
achieve a high level of compaction.
Upon completion of the construction operations, the density of the compacted
subgrade soil will remain approximately
the same except for some residual compaction under traffic and possible volume
variations of certain moisture sensitive
soils. However, the moisture content of the subgrade will change, depending on
climate, soil properties, depth of water
table, rainfall and drainage. It is knowledge of this condition of the subgrade
that is required in the design process. As
we can see from the analysis chart below majority sections of kebremengest –Bule
Kero sub grade soil have OMC
>19%. In majority sections, it can be traced that medium to lower optimum moisture
content values in the sub grade is
related to the medium to low plasticity/liquid limit values of the sub grade.
37.00
OMC % (optimum moisture content)
33.00
29.00
25.00
21.00
17.00
13.00
9.00
0 10 20 30 40
50 60 70
Chainage in km
CBR-swell values are determined on disturbed samples of soil recovered from trial
pits along the road corridor to
evaluate potential to heave of the material. As seen on the chart below, dominant
section of Kebremengest – BuleKero
road project have CBR swell value less than 3%. However, the sub grade soil
existing from km4.5 – km7.5 and km67.5
– km70 is characterized by CBR swell value of ≥3%. This stations sub grade material
should have to be excavated
and replaced with selected material.
6
CBR swell avg.
0
0 10 20 30
40 50 60 70
Chainage in km
40
30
CBR at 95% MDD
20
10
0
0 10 20 30 40
50 60 70
Chainage in km
Figure 5- 8: Variation of CBR along the Alignment
From To
0+000 2+500 2.5
4+500 7+500 3
14+500 15+500 1
23+500 25+500 2
28+500 34+500 6
43+500 44+500 1
58+500 59+500 1
67+500 70+000 2.5
While designing pavement structure, the entire length of the road was divided into
some sections which have
homogenous strength and design CBR values were determined for each homogenous
section. For this project the
consultant adopted the methodology recommended by AASHTO Pavement design manual
guide “Analysis Unit
Delineation by Cumulative Differences” to determine fairly homogeneous sections
with respect to the bearing strength
of the sub-grade soil.
Whether laboratory or in situ testes are used to obtain subgrade strength each
sample or each test will usually give
different results and these can sometimes cover a considerable range. For design
purposes it is important that the
strength of the subgrade is not seriously underestimated for large areas of
pavement or overestimated to such an
extent that there is a risk of local failures. For this project road design to
determine the design CBR value the consultant
have used the lower ten percentile value. I.e. the value which is exceeded by 90
percent of the readings.
Based upon the similarity of adjacent homogenous sections CBR value/ (sub grade
class), the consultant tried to
increase the interval and obtained new homogenous sections and design CBR values.
And also merging short distance
homogenous sections will eliminate complications resulting from frequent change in
pavement thicknesses. Using the
laboratory test result data and analyzing for each uniform section the design CBR
value shown below is found:
20
10
Station km
0
Cummulative Difference Value
0 20
40 60
-10
homogenous 2
homogenous 3
homogenous
1
homogenous 4
-20
-30
-40
-50
-60
S3
3 Km39 – Km60 5.6
S3
Table 5-11 below Summarizes Pavement layer thicknesses design found by this method
of design for Kebremengest
– Bule Kero road project.
CESAL (ESAL)*106
Pavement thickness (millimeter)
Sub
Chain age grade 10
years 15 years 20 years
20 class
10 years 15 years
years AC BC
SB CL AC BC SB CL AC BC SB CL
0+000 to 175
200 350 200
5.146 8.752 13.117 50 (GB1)
325 50 (GB1) 125 (GB2) 275
23+000 (T5) (T6) (T7)
CL CL CL
DBST BC
SB DBST BC SB AC BBRB SB
200
200
200 200 225 200 90 150 150 150
(GB1)
(GB1)
S3
CL CL CL
AC BC
SB AC BC SB AC BC SB
23+000 to
CL CL CL
DBST BC
SB DBST BC SB DBST BC SB
200
175 200 200 200 200 200 200 200
(GB2)
(GB1) (GB1)
As seen on many roads, shoulders that have structurally adequate designs for the
expected traffic generally perform
satisfactorily, particularly if the pavement-shoulder joint is properly sealed,
and/or if adequate drainage is provided.
Factors which affect the design of shoulders are mainline pavement (and shoulder)
type, Traffic, Environment, Safety,
Planned maintenance strategy and Thickness design concepts. Longitudinal joints
between flexible shoulders and
flexible mainline pavements generally do not experience serious deterioration
problems if the foundation material under
the shoulder is designed for traffic encroachments and is properly compacted during
construction.
Traffic has generally not been considered in shoulder design, primarily on the
assumption that shoulders see very little
traffic. As seen from the reality in our country it indicates that when there is a
paved shoulder and no lateral obstructions,
trucks using the outer lane tend to encroach on the shoulder by as much as 30cm and
sometimes more. Thus, different
Both desk top study (i.e. geological formation of the project area) and detailed
field investigation reveals that, there are
rock sources along the road alignment for crushed aggregate and masonry works.
The strength of available rock materials at the potential quarry sites was roughly
evaluated in terms of the number of
blows and blow intensity to break a rock sample with a geological hammer. In
addition, joint spacing of the rock mass
was also noted as it’s an indication of workability and potential weathering.
Finally, the quantity of available material
has been estimated. Ease of mining and development of quarry faces and suitability
to erect a crusher plant have been
also considered as additional factors. The details of each of the sites proposed as
potential sources are shown in the
Table 5-13 below: -
• Fresh columnar
basaltic rock formation
• Previously used
site for construction of Adola -
Negele road
asphalt layer and belongs to the
government
0.5m reddish For crushed Accessible
Q1 37+0483404 0+000 23km RHS • Ideal for asphalt
and base course construction
0665343
clayey silt aggregate >200,000
• The upper 0.5m is
reddish clayey silt
• Ideal site for
crushing and installation of crusher
• Requires
blasting/jack hammer to reduce the
size of the rock
37+0483731
0632593 25+400 • Basaltic rock
formation For crushed
• Newly identified
source
• Gabbro rock
formation
9.4km from
• Requires
blasting/jack hammer for processing
km70 • Can be used as
crushed aggregate for base 1m light brown For crushed Accessible
37+0477707 79+400
Q3 Alongside of
clayey silt aggregate >200,000
0593457 course, asphalt and
concrete material
the road • Newly identified
source
• Ideal for
installation of crusher
Comparison of the test result with ERA technical specification and pavement design
manual 2013 shows, the tested quarry
rock qualifies specification requirement set for crushed base course and asphalt
aggregate. Summary of the laboratory test
results on the rock quarry source sample is presented in the Table 5-14 below.
(AASHTO T-85-85)
(AASHTO T104-96)
(AASHTO T96-83)
Linear Shrinkage
Sr. Source Material
Plastic Limit
Wet/dry %
No. type
Apparent Specific
Water Absorption
wet
Dry
Specific gravity
gravity (SSD)
Bulk Specific
gravity
(dry)
%
0+000 RHS Offset
204.3 202.7 99.2 17.9
Above 95 NP
2.70 2.72
1 17
0.26
2.74 0.55
23km
Quarry Rock
25+400 Offset
197.0 195.0 99.0 22.0
Above 95 NP
2.70
2 27
0.80 2.71
2.71 0.32
1.5km
>110
- NP
ERA specification for crushed base
-
- - -
- -
course aggregate
ERA specification for asphalt aggregate <30
>160 >75
Above 95 <10 <4 <2
- - <2
Natural granular materials that comply with specification requirements for use as
sub base layers without further processing
are often rare. This is due to thick overburden, variability in degree of
weathering and fracturing of rock mass within an
outcrop and the difficulty to comprehensively prove their quality and quantity
through manual excavation and sampling. The
detail summary of the natural gravel sources is presented in the Table 5-15 below.
formation
• Can
be excavated by excavator/dozer Existing borrow material
37+0496860
BP1 5+300 50m RHS
Accessible
0645810 •
Previously used site Qty: > 100,000
• Can
be used for the construction of
GPS Offset/
Ref. No. Chain age
Type of Material Status and assessed quantity
Coordinates Distance
•
Reddish clayey silt mixed with gravel size
marble
37+0490792 • The
upper 1m reddish clayey silt Existing material source Accessible
BP5 29+800 5.3km LHS
0626161 • Can
be excavated by excavator/dozer Qty: >80,000
• Ideal
for sub base and fill
•
Previously used site
• brown
clayey silt mixed with gravel size marble
37+ 0483813 • can
be excavated by excavator/dozer
BP6 34+800 0.6km RHS
Existing borrow material Accessible
0628533 • ideal
for fill material source
Qty: >40,000
•
previously used site
•
weathered rock formation
• Can
be excavated by excavator/dozer New borrow material
37+0477837 Alongside of
BP7 55+100
Accessible
0615715 the road • Ideal
for sub base and fill
Qty: >40,000
• New
borrow source
•
Marble size gravel mixed with silty sand
• Can
be excavated by excavator/dozer Existing material source
37+ 0483579
BP8 59+300 4.5km LHS
Accessible
0611002 • Ideal
for sub base and fill
Qty: >80,000
•
Previously used site
•
Gravel size rock mixed with reddish silty sand Existing borrow source
• Can
be excavated by excavator/dozer Accessible
37+ 0479334
BP9 63+000 0.3km LHS
Qty: >100,000
0609085 • Ideal
for sub base and fill
•
Previously used site
GPS Offset/
Ref. No. Chain age
Type of Material Status and assessed quantity
Coordinates Distance
•
Gravel size marble mixed with reddish clayey
silt
37+ 0479850 Alongside of • Can
be excavated by dozer/excavator Existing borrow material Accessible
BP10 68+540
0603851 the road
Qty: >40,000
• Ideal
for fill material source
•
Previously used site
•
Reddish clayey silt mixed with gravel size
As per ERA specification manual 2013 granular sub base material should have a
smooth continuous grading within the
limits for grading envelope of Table 5104/1. The table is used as a reference
grading for assessing the conformity of the
borrow area to ERA grading specification requirements.
The grain size distribution of majority borrow sources are finer than ERA
specification. This grain size distribution will be
adjusted during production period or during construction compaction so as to
satisfy the required specification. However,
grading of material has not been considered as a major factor in assessing
conformance with specification requirements
during design stage. The key factor that largely dictates during the design stage
is strength and other relevant material
properties such as PI, CBR and others.
The minimum soaked Californian Bearing Ratio (CBR) of granular sub base materials
which will be used in Kebremengest
– Bule Kero road project shall be 30% and CBR-swell <2% when determined in
accordance with the requirements of
AASHTO T-193. As it shown from the test result, station 10+700, 11+700, 29+800,
59+300 and 63+000 borrow sources
satisfy specification requirement of sub base material for CBR and CBR swell value
requirement. Furthermore, the
maximum Dry density (MDD) of these sources is generally higher, this is due to
granular/rocky nature of borrow materials
In addition to the above recommendations, crushed and breakdown of fresh rock mixed
with granular material is required
to improve the CBR/grading and also re-processing is required by mixing and
blending with crushed material to reduce
the plasticity index.
Shrinkage (%)
Atterberg
% Passing Sieve (mm)
AASHTO
Linear
Class
Station (Km)
70 50 30 11
5 <6
specification of Sub base
<45 <12
>30
100 100 100 56
25
However, it is recommended that use of crusher run sand (material passing the
4.75mm sieve from the crusher site) shall
be the most likely solution to avoid facing such problems for all concrete and
masonry works.
5.6.5 Water Sources for Construction
As per ERA manual the water source should have to be clean and free from
detrimental concentration of acids, alkalis,
urine, salts, sugar, and other organic or chemical substances. The PH value of all
tested samples shows that they are
within ERA’s specification limits for concrete works. The results of the chemical
analysis also revealed that the amount of
the total dissolved solids (TDS), the Sulfate content and the Chloride content are
much lower than the maximum limit sated
in ERA’s specification requirements.
As seen during the site investigation stage, rivers along the route are: - clean,
free from industrial wastes and can also be
used for the construction activity. The test result of water samples, along with
the corresponding specification requirements
are given in Table 5-17 below.
Total Dissolved
sulfate Content Chloride Content
Sr. No. Source & Station PH Value
Solids (TDS)
(mg/L) (mg/L)
This study will make assessment of the project road with respect to the
hydrological and hydraulic conditions and the
structural requirements at crossing sites. The following section is in short
explain how the concept study, site and desktop
study is takes place and shows below with sections.
A. Maps, aerial photos and satellite imagery: The followings were used:
• Topographic maps scales 1:250,000 and 1: 50,000 along all road alignment,
major and minor rivers catchments
crossing the road - Ethiopian Mapping Agency (EMA). The list of 1:50,000
Topographic Maps used are:
• Soil Map and Land use/land cover map scale 1:1,000,000 of Ethiopia -
Ministry of Agriculture
• Digital elevation model (DEM) 90x90m and 30x30m - (SRTM)- Shuttle Radar
Topographic Mission.
• ERA DDM-2002 and 2013, other Standard Manuals and Reference.
6.2.1 Hydrologic Soil type
The soil types of the project watershed area have determined from soil map of the
Ethiopia map, The Hydrologic Soil
Group of the watershed area has been extracted from the digitized soil map of
Ethiopia, as shown below in the Figure 6-
1. The project watershed area is dominated with Chromic Vertisols, Chromic Luvisols
and Chromic Cambisols with
Hydrologic soil group -B, and D.
:-
The SCS uses a combination of soil conditions and land-use (ground cover) to assign
a runoff factor to an area. These
runoff factors, called runoff curve numbers (CN), indicate the runoff potential of
an area. The higher the CN, the higher is
the runoff potential.
Figure 6- 2:- Land use and Land Cover of the Project Watershed Area
6.2.3 Topography
Topographic data shall be acquired at sites requiring hydraulic studies. These data
are needed to analyze existing flow
conditions, and those created by various design alternatives. Significant physical
and cultural features near the project
shall be located and documented in order to obtain their elevation. Features such
as residences, commercial buildings,
schools, churches, mosque, farms, other roadways and bridges, and utilities can
affect, as well as be affected by, the
design of any new hydraulic structure. Often, recent topographic surveys will not
be available at this early stage of project
development. Aerial photographs, photogrammetric maps, Ethiopian Mapping Authority
topographic maps, and even old
highway plans may be utilized during the planning and location phases. When better
survey data become available, usually
during the design phase, these early estimates will need to be revised to
correspond with the most recent field information.
Design Check
Design Check
The rainfall and stream flow data were collected and analyzed. Also, topographic
maps, aerial photographs, land uses/land
cover, soil maps and field inspection data were analyzed and investigated under
hydrological study.
The design discharges were computed using appropriate rainfall-runoff model. Of ERA
DDM-2013, and the Waterway
area of drainage facilities (cross and longitudinal drainage structures) were
determined by hydraulic computation. The
hydraulic dimensions/opening area should pass safely the design flood. The ERA
Drainage Design Manual 2013 has been
used as a guide line.
The catchment areas of each watershed on the whole route corridor were delineated
from DEM data of 30mx30m
resolution. The sizes of each catchment area were determined using Arc GIS
software; the delineated catchment areas
and mainstream were properly correlated with the current condition by using goggle
earth images.
Catchments area, stream length and stream slope are determined from Digital
Elevation Model (DEM) using Global
mapper v 15 package. The road routes have been delineated from 30*30m resolution
digital elevation model through ARC
GIS hydrologic modelling tool. As shown in Figure.6-3 below.
• SCS dimensionless hydrograph for catchment areas greater than 0.5 km2
• Rational method for catchment areas less than 0.5 km2
The design standard of the project road is DC-5 and thus, according to ERA DDM the
recommended design flood returns
period for the subject project.
Q = 0.278CCf I A
Where:
Q = Maximum rate of runoff, m3/s
C = Runoff coefficient representing a ratio of runoff to rainfall (Table 6-3,
below)
Factor Description
Runoff coefficient
<3.5% Flat
0.05
3.5% - 10% Soft to moderate
0.10
Cs Average slope of catchment 10% - 25% Rolling
0.15
25%-45% Hilly
0.2
>45% Mountainous
0.25
Well drained soil e.g. sand and gravel
0.05
Fair drained soil e.g sand and gravel
with fines 0.10
Cp Permeability of Soil Poorly drained soil e.g silt
0.15
Impervious soil e.g clay, organic silts
and clay 0.25
Water-logged black cotton soil Rock
0.50
C = Cs + Cp + Cv
II. Design Rainfall Data and Rainfall Intensity.
The ERADDM divides the country into different rainfall regions and for each
provides Intensity - Duration - Frequency IDF
curves, and the Road project lies on rainfall region B2. We have used the rainfall
depth value and IDF curve of the
respective region as per ERA DDM.
5 1.0
10 1.0
25 1.1
50 1.2
100 1.25
(P − Ia)2
𝑄=
(P − Ia) + S
Where:
Q = accumulated direct runoff, mm
P = accumulated rainfall (potential maximum runoff), mm
Ia= initial abstraction including surface storage, interception, and infiltration
prior to runoff, mm
S = potential maximum retention, mm
The relationship between Ia and S was developed from experimental catchment area
data. It removes the necessity for
estimating Ia for common usage.
Runoff Curve Numbers (CN): - Based on the above land use, land cover and
Hydrological soil group and also type of AMC
of the project area Found in rainfall region of B1 which is Wet Rainfall region,
due to this the average CN of the project
has CN=78 adopted for hydrological analysis.
0.1 2.55323
-0.61512 -0.16403
0.3 2.46532
-0.62257 -0.11657
0.35 2.41896
-0.61594 -0.0882
II
0.4 2.36409
-0.59857 -0.05621
0.45 2.29238
-0.57005 -0.02281
0.5 2.20282
-0.51599 -0.01259
The result of hydrological design / peak flood computation using SCS method and
Rational is presented in Appendix -6-1
A&B Rational and SCS Method
Where:
Q = Discharge in [m3/sec]
R = Hydraulic mean depth [m] = A/P
A = Cross-sectional flow area [m2]
P = Wetted perimeter [m]
Design Floods: For purposes of the evaluation of backwater (afflux), clearance, and
overtopping, design floods has been
established.
Backwater: Backwater and/or increases over existing condition up to 0.5 m during
the passage of the 100-year flood, if
practicable. Further, backwater shall not significantly increase flood damage to
property upstream of the crossing.
Clearance: A minimum clearance conforming to the requirements of the Bridge Design
manual shall be provided between
the design approach water surface elevation and the low chord (soffit) of the
bridge to allow for passage of debris.
Clearance (free board) will be according to ERA’s Bridge Design Manual 2013.
The types of culverts considered in this concept design are reinforced concrete
pipes and slab culverts shall be used.
The hydraulic computation of culverts & cross drainage schedules has been
presented in Appendix 6-2 and Appendix 6-
3 For Minor and Major Culverts respectively.
The Design discharges in the ditches were calculated using rational formula.
𝐴
𝑄 =𝑐∗𝐼∗
3.6
Where:
Q = Peak Discharge in m3/s for T years return period.
C = Runoff coefficient,
A = Area (km2) of the basin intercepted by the ditch
I = Rainfall intensity
The Manning formula was used for determination of ditch Size
1 2 1
𝑄= ∗ 𝐴 ∗ 𝑅3 ∗ 𝑆 2
𝑛
Where:
Q = Capacity of ditch for 10 years return period flood [m3/sec]
A = Cross sectional area of the ditch [m2]
V = Velocity of flow [m/sec]
R = Hydraulic radius A/P
P = wetted perimeter in m
S = Average longitudinal slope [m/m]
The design discharge (runoff) in the ditch is computed based on the following
assumptions.
No. Type of
Design
Design Design Design
No. of
Station No. of Cell Structur
Clear
Span Clear Depth Span
Cell
e
Depth Remark
2*20+4
14+180 Bridge
1 60.0 3.20 1 0
>5 1 KEEP
Paved and Unpaved trapezoidal side ditch shall be provided along road depending
upon geometric considerations
(longitudinal slope) is less than 4% and as the longitudinal slope exceeds 4%,
paved trapezoidal side ditch provided on
the project area. and Above 6%.
Interception channels also used to intercept the incoming water from the catchment
area or the runoff from the hillside
before it reaches the roadway and dispose it to the nearby drainage outlet safely
in conditions where it may not be possible
to pass the incoming water at the natural road crossing position due to deep cut
(geometric design output).
Bench drain also consider where the drainage found on the bench of cut section
specially soil formation strata.
The following Table6-10 shows summary of side drain Vs terrain classification and
road gradient
longitudinal
Terrain Type Depth width
Side slope material
slope
6.7.4 Recommendation
Thought detail desk study and site investigation, the following main point has been
concluded and recommended for
Adollawayu –Bule Kero Concept Design Road Project.
➢ For sections from km 3+300 to km 14+400, the road passes though the newly
constructed Road Alignment and
the Major and Minor crossing structures except at one location, all shall be
Retained, and if required widening
shall be done.
➢ Shakiso Town Section Drainage system shall be Synchronized with the Town
Development and Grid.
➢ A number of minor crossing pipe culvert with size of 30”, which have been
identified during detailed site
investigation; shall be replaced with the appropriate standard Pipe Culvert
size.
➢ Majorly the Road passes through rolling section and all Major and Minor
Crossing Structure had been easily
identified.
For side cut in the soil section of the re-alignment the steeper front slopes shall
be provided with back slope flat like
(1V:4H). But steeper and shorter back slope is recommended at the begging of the
slope with proper narrow benching
like(2m) and proper gutter to retain falling material from the slope and to guide
water from the side into proper drainage.
Side drains should be avoided in areas of expansive soils. Where this is not
possible, they should be placed a minimum
distance away from the toe of the side slope, as indicated in the ERA Geometric
Design Manual – 2013 and the side slope
should also be increase to a minimum of 1:6.
Fill material over the expansive soils shall be impermeable soils with a plasticity
index of greater than 15%.
1: 2 if h > 1 m
1: 2 if 1m < h < 3 m
For wet areas of Ethiopia, it recommends flatter slopes when the embankments are
silty or clayey. It also recommends a
steeper slope for urban sites in combination with reinforcement of the embankment
material. For cut section in a rock area
the manual recommends a vertical slope and with proper drainage in weathered rock.
Slope stability analysis is also
recommended.
Soil strata
Where substructure units will be supported on deep foundations, the depth of the
subsurface exploration shall extend a
minimum of 6 meters below the anticipated pile or shaft tip elevation. Where pile
or shaft groups will be used, the
subsurface exploration shall extend at least two times the maximum pile group
dimension below the anticipated tip
elevation, unless the foundations will be end bearing on or in rock. For piles
bearing on rock, a minimum of 3 meters of
rock core shall be obtained at each exploration location to ensure the exploration
has not been terminated on a boulder.
For shafts supported on or extending into rock, a minimum of 3 meters of rock core,
or a length of
rock core equal to at least three times the shaft diameter for isolated shafts or
two times the maximum shaft group
dimension for a shaft group, whichever is greater, shall be obtained to insure that
the exploration has not terminated on a
boulder and to determine the physical characteristics of rock within the zone of
foundation influence for the design
In terms of this concept, it is assumed that every project is unique which requires
designers to address the needed roadway
improvements while safely integrating the design into the unique surrounding
natural and built environment.
Thus, geometric design must aim at combining various geometric design elements to
produce a sound and harmonious
design which:
Geometric design standards often define parameters and limiting values considering
the following three main objectives:
-
➢ it shall ensure safety and comfort of drivers;
These geometric elements have important bearing on how the road will function, its
capacity, driver behavior and safety.
The traditional approach in geometric design considers the three views of layout
plan, longitudinal section and cross-
section. The road user sees the road as a constantly changing continuum as he
drives along, and the appearance of the
road influences the driver's behavior. It is therefore important to provide the
motorist with reasonable clues as which
provide guide and inform him as to what to expect as he drives along the road; such
clues should be clear messages,
which are unlikely to mislead him.
It is also good to note that standards usually give guidance whenever the terrain,
geology, environmental, ROW and other
associated factors are in favor of the selected geometric design standard. Nowadays
the name “manual” is being replaced
with “Guideline”. This manifest that “manuals” are sensed as more restricting to
the designer to use his judgment and
experience. The purpose of this replacement is thus to give the designer more space
and flexibility to arrive at balanced
design in reconciliation of the different contrasting objectives of road facilities
at selected localized sections. Therefore,
the geometric design standards summarized in ERA manual are intended to provide
guidance for designers rather than to
be considered as rigid minima.
Departures from standard used to optimize the design considering the contrasting
multi-objectives of highway facilities
including safety, stability, serviceability, economy, environmental and social
compatibility, and practicality of the design for
construction and maintenance are therefore often required especially in roadways
that traverse through difficult terrain
conditions, difficult geological and geotechnical conditions, and sensitive social
and environmental areas.
With these considerations in mind, the consultant team of experts has carried out
detailed assessment of the project road
corridor which is mostly the existing alignment and geometric design standards have
been established.
The designer has attempted to provide appropriate design standards that confirms to
the existing road terrain condition
and combinations of these elements are defined in relation to the following
controls factors:
➢ Trunk Roads (Class I): These roads usually have a design AADT ≥ 10,000,
although they can be as low as
AADT of 150.
➢ Link Roads (Class II): A typical link road has an AADT greater than 300
although values can range between 75
and 10,000 AADT.
➢ Main Access Roads (Class III): The AADTs are typically between 150 and 300
but can range from 25 -1000.
➢ Collector Road (Class IV): AADTs are between 25and 300.
➢ Feeder Roads (Class V): AADTs are less than 150.
From Appendix A, of ERA 2013 Geometric Design Manual we can note that the project
in its broader sense will provide
the shortest connection between Adolawayu-shakiso and shakiso to Reji and further
to Bule Kero and its surrounding. A
road connecting Class of Traffic Generating Areas (TGAs) of class II with each
other and with TGA of class III, the minimum
functional class is Link road. Accordingly, we have classified the project road as
Link Road.
8.2.2 Design Standards
The geometric design standard for the project road has been determined in
accordance with ERA Geometric design
manual, 2013 as outlined below.
Fluctuated
Years Cars 4wheel S/Bus L/Bus S/Truck M/Truck
H/Truck Total
(T&T)
69
2039 56 970 830 335 395 377
454 3486
Fluctuated
Years Cars 4wheel S/Bus L/Bus S/Truck M/Truck
H/Truck Total
(T&T)
Table 8- 2: Traffic forecast for Section two for the years 2021 - 2043
Fluctuated
Cars 4wheel S/Bus L/Bus S/Truck M/Truck
H/Truck Total
Years
(T&T)
2024 31 86 154 118 129 140
71 28 757
2025 33 91 163 125 137 149
75 29 802
2026 35 96 172 132 137 157
79 31 839
2027 37 102 182 140 137 166
84 33 881
2028 39 108 193 148 137 176
94 37 932
2029 42 114 204 157 137 186
94 37 971
2030 44 121 216 166 137 197
99 39 1019
2031 46 126 225 173 143 206
104 41 1064
2032 48 132 236 181 149 215
108 42 1111
2033 50 138 246 189 156 225
113 44 1161
2034 53 144 257 198 163 235
118 46 1214
2035 55 150 259 207 170 246
124 48 1259
2036 57 156 280 215 177 256
129 50 1320
2037 59 163 291 224 184 266
134 52 1373
2038 62 169 302 232 191 276
139 54 1425
2039 64 176 314 242 199 287
145 57 1484
2040 67 183 327 251 207 299
150 59 1543
2041 69 190 340 261 215 310
156 61 1602
2042 71 196 351 270 222 321
161 63 1655
2043 74 203 363 279 230 332
167 65 1713
From the traffic volume analysis, the AADT at the mid-life of the design period,
2033, is 2732 for section one and 1161 for
section two. In accordance with Table 2-1 of the ERA’s Geometric Design Manual,
2013, the design standards become
DC6 for the section from Km 0 to Km 23 (section one) and DC5 for the section two.
ERA Geometric Design Manual, 2013 has recommended the following terrain
classification.
Station
Length (m) Terrain
Type
From To
0+000 3+000 3000 Urban
3+000 7+840 4840 Rolling
7+840 9+200 1360 Village
9+200 10+920 1720 Rolling
10+920 11+260 340 Village
11+260 13+800 2540 Rolling
13+800 19+000 5200 Urban
19+000 21+300 2300 Rolling
21+300 22+800 1500 Village
22+800 25+720 2920 Rolling
25+720 26+360 640 Village
26+360 26+900 540 Rolling
26+900 27+900 1000
Mountainous
81.8
Rolling 64.0 69.2
18.2
Escarpment 0 0
As can observed in the table above, the project road is dominated by easy
topography (flat and rolling) which make up
about 81.8% of the project length. Relatively difficult mountainous terrain
comprises 18.2% while the most difficult
escarpment terrain is non-existent.
Rural footpaths are defined as rural areas where non- two axle motorized vehicle
and non-motorized vehicle transport are
observed to be very high having AADT in excess of 300 PCUs. In accordance with
Table 2-4 of ERA Geometric design
manual 2013, in such areas shoulders shall be widened up to 2.75m and 3.0m for DC5
and DC6 design standards
respectively. The station wise classification of the types of areas indicated in
the Table 8-6 below.
Station
No Length (m) Name
Type of Settlement
From To
It is recommended that the traffic count during Design stage shall include
Pedestrian, Bicycle, Motor Cycle, Bicycle with
trailer, Motor cycle taxi (Baja), Motor cycle with trailer, small animal drawn cart
and Bullock cart. The count shall be used
for PCU adjustment as presented in ERAGDM,2013 Table 2-4 &2-5, in case it deviates
from 250, which the AADT during
the Concept Design stage.
Fluctuated
Cars 4wheel S/Bus L/Bus S/Truck M/Truck
H/Truck (Truck Total
&Trailer)
Table 8-7 above indicates that the traffic in the project road is primarily
dominated by 4wheel and s/Bus, followed by
medium truck and S/truck, L/Bus and Heavy truck. Cars and T&T are negligible in the
traffic composition while heavy
trucks, medium & small truck constitutes 37% of the traffic composition and Large
bus, small bus and 4wheel constitute
58%. Generally, the traffic is not dominated by heavy trucks.
The selected design vehicle for DC5 and DC6 standards in accordance with ERAGDM,
2013, Table 5-2 and 5-3, which is
DV4 vehicle represents the most restrictive truck type identified by the traffic
study, which is truck trailer, which represents
3% of the project traffic composition.
Dimensions (m)
Overhang(m) Min.
Wheel
Design Vehicle Designation
Turning
Height Width Length Front
Rear base (m)
Radius(m)
Semi-Trailer
DV4 4.1 2.6 15.2 1.2
1.8 13.2 13.7
Combination
As it is presented in Table 8-8 above, the minimum turning radius of DV4 vehicle is
13.7m, which is the absolute minimum
internal radius used in the design of hair-pin bends. The minimum offset of the
rear wheel path is 0.5m as shown in ERA
Geometric standard. The design vehicle template is shown on Figure 8-1 below.
As observed in the above table, cycling is insignificant in the project area while
carts and animal packs are dominant
components of the NMT representing almost 7.8%. Pedestrians dominate the NMT
traffic composition representing almost
90.6% of the total NMT.
The non-vehicular traffic volume and activities are observed to be high in the
identified towns, developing towns and village
sections as well as identified rural footpath areas. In the rural areas, non-
vehicular traffic volumes and activities are
generally low. Accordingly, non-vehicular traffic as one of the major road users
are considered in towns, developing towns,
villages and rural footpath areas. Cycles are observed to be insignificant in the
project area.
The non-vehicular traffic has slower speed and lesser mass as compared to vehicular
traffic. Passengers and drivers of
the non-vehicular traffic including pedestrians themselves don’t have protections
against injury as compared to the body
of the vehicle for motorized traffic and often don’t wear protective helmets and
are thus the most vulnerable road users.
The space and safety requirements of these non-vehicular traffic are thus tried to
be well considered in the design of the
project road.
The available ROW widths clear of obstruction in most sections of most of these
towns and villages is not adequate and
a widening of the road section to attain the required standard width is inevitable,
and ROW compensation costs are
expected to be grander on those sections.
The ROW obstructions are serious along road sections from project start to about km
35 and km 42.5. Therefore, ROW
management at these sections will be critical and construction methods should be
conscious about at all cases and at
those critical sections in particular. In the rural sections, the ROW widths are
covered with extensive long plantations
including coffee plantations. In this section, the ROW obstructions are dominated
by well-developed long-standing
plantations including Coffee plantation with a variety of species, including Enset
which are planted as intercropping with
coffee. These plantations will result in high costs of ROW compensation costs.
Considering the foregoing, the geometric design of the project road in the section
from 35+000 to Km 42+000, which is
characterized with very dense coffee plantation, the Contractor shall give due
attention to minimize the negative impact
on the coffee plantations. Consequently, the Contractor shall clearly compare the
ROW impacts on different alternatives
and select & design the one with the lowest likely ROW impact among the
alternatives.
Stretch
Length (m)
From To
Remark
0+000 2+500 2500
Expansive Soil
4+500 7+500 3000
Expansive Soil
14+500 15+500 1000
Expansive Soil
23+500 25+500 2000
Expansive Soil
28+500 34+500 6000
Expansive Soil
43+500 44+500 1000
Expansive Soil
58+500 59+500 1000
Expansive Soil
67+500 70+000 2500
Expansive Soil
As can be observed from the above Table, the section from km 0 to km 7.5 (6kms),
from km 23.5 to km 34.5 are the major
stretches containing expansive soils. The expansive soils shall be treated as per
the typical drawings attached as Annex
8-1 at the end of this report.
The section from km 20+000 to the end of the project, is a potential mining area,
and local peoples do mine on and near,
the existing road sections. Thus, proper consultation shall be made with all
respected stakeholders before excavation is
commenced.
The design standard provided in the next sections is mostly derived from ERA
Geometric design standard, 2013 with a
few contextual modifications of some design element parameters to suit project
conditions and objectives.
8.3.1 Geometric Design Elements
Table 8-12 & 8-13 below summarizes all the pertaining geometric design elements,
parameters and limiting design values
(minimum or maximum) for design controls, horizontal alignment and vertical
alignment.
Design Vehicle
DV4
Rural
Terrain and land use
Village Town
Flat
Rolling Mountainous Escarpment
distance (m)
G=10% 285 205
140 105 75 75
Manual 2013)
distance)
0.5% (m)
Design Vehicle
DV4
Rural
Terrain and land use
Village Town
Flat Rolling
Mountainous Escarpment
distance (m)
G=10% 205 140
105 75 75 75
Manual 2013)
8
Alignment
4 6
8 8 8
(desirable)
distance)
0.5% (m)
Right of way(m) 50 50
50 50 50 50
The Contractor shall adopt slope ratios in cut and fills (Back and Side slopes) in
accordance with ERA`s 2013 Geometric
Design Manual unless the Contractor come up with other proposals supported by
adequate engineering analysis and
evidence for the Employer`s Representative review and approval.
In cuts, a berm having a minimum width of 3 m shall be provided when depth of cut
exceeds 7 m for soils and decomposed
rocks and 10 m for weathered and strong rocks in order to ensure the stability of
the slopes. Details of cut benching shall
be referred to the attached Typical Drawings.
A minimum median opening width of 22m and 44m for semi-circular nose for mid-block
median openings and for junction
median openings with near 90 degrees angle of turn shall be provided in accordance
with AASHTO – Geometric Design
of Highways and Streets, 2001. The effect of skew shall be considered as per the
same manual.
➢ Private access which include driveways to road side houses and facilities
➢ Minor junctions which are Intersections with Local/Feeder roads
➢ Moderate junctions which include Intersections with Collector roads
➢ Major junctions which include Intersections with Main Access/Link and Trunk
roads
The following table indicates the identified list of moderate and major at grade
intersections in the project road sections.
5 26+200 To Derme
LHS Major
6 30+100 To Finticho
LHS Major
7 37+500 To Cheketa
LHS Major
Private and minor at grade intersections can be designed based on typical at-grade
intersections layouts designed to
accommodate at least single unit truck.
Moderate and major junctions however require site specific detailed at grade
intersections based on ERA Geometric
Design Manual, 2013 and AASHTO – Geometric Design of Highways and Streets, 2001.
The following are major considerations in the design of moderate and major at grade
intersections:
The asphalt pavement work (with similar pavement structure as the main road) shall
extend 50m into the approach roads
for major, moderate and roundabout intersections while it shall extend to 20m for
minor intersections. For private access,
base course and asphalt surfacing shall extend to 10m and the extent of the
driveway whichever is lesser. If there is a
Based on the concept geometric design of the project road, the anticipated
departures from standard is departure from
Maximum gradient only.
The road section of the road project from Adola-Wayu to Bule Kero follows
relatively gentle horizontal curvatures with a
reasonable volume of earthwork. Hence, the Design-Builder shall not face a problem
in fulfilling the minimum requirements
for minimum Horizontal Radius of the Geometric Design Standard of DC-6 (Km 0+000 to
Km 23+000) and DC-5 (Km
23+000 to Km 72+724). Therefore, no departure is allowed for minimum horizontal
radius for this Contract.
The departure from the maximum gradient is elaborated in the sections here below
The following listed sections may be considered for departure based on the concept
design.
The above listed departure will be applicable if the Contractor is going to adopt
the centerline of the concept design
alignment. However, if the Contractor proposes a different alignment, the
Contractor is allowed to depart only at two
locations with a maximum length of 400m (I.e. a total of 800m for a maximum
gradient not greater than 10% with a relief
gradient of 6% for a minimum distance of 200m).
Grade
No. From To Length (m)
(%)
1 33+678 34+078 400 10.00%
2 35+273 35+663 390 9.41%
5 37+630 38+130 500 8.00%
7 39+310 39+665 355 -9.85%
8 39+835 40+286 451 -7.98%
9 40+615 40+917 301 -7.67%
10 41+233 41+633 400 -10.00%
11 41+844 42+039 195 -10.00%
12 42+239 42+619 380 -10.00%
13 42+819 43+219 400 -9.00%
In all other sections along the Section from Km 23+000 to End of Project, departure
from maximum gradient is not allowed.
The Contractor shall use ERA’s 2013 Standard Drawings, ERA’s 2013 Drainage Design
Manual and ERA’s 2013 Standard
Technical Specifications and Method of Measurement for Road works for the selection
of pipe class. The more
conservative (safe) detail prevails whenever there is discrepancy between the
different details of the standard drawings,
like discrepancy of diameter and/or spacing of reinforcing bars. The Contractor
shall not allow to use Type–A end wall and
Type-A inlet shown in ERA 2013 Standard drawings. If Type-A (drop inlet) inlet is
mandatory, use wider drop inlet size.
New Type-C end wall for pipe culverts design are attached in the ER.
9.2 Design Methodology
The bridges must be designed using the ULS and SLS methods set in ERA BDM 2013.
However, Bridge Superstructure
Design AASHTO LRFD Bridge Design Specifications, 4th Edition, 2007; using finite
element computer programs, together
with spreadsheets and specific software for concrete and pre-stressed structures,
all based on the ULS (Ultimate limit
state) & SLS (Service limit state) theory shall be adopted. Also, EBCS (Ethiopian
Building Code Standard - 1995) and
European Eurocodes could be considered in comparison with the code to achieve the
most probable seismic design loads
conditions applicable and the most severe conditions.
9.3 Loading
In general, structures shall be designed for the loads of loading conditions
specified at “Section 3 (SI): LOADS & LOAD
FACTORS” in ERA Bridge Design Manual 2013 and AASHTO LRFD Specification for
Bridges. The minimum standard
loading to be adopted shall be HL-93 and AML.
Seismic loads combinations must be checked according with Global Seismic Hazard
Assessment Program (GSHAP)” and
AASTHO 2007 4th Edition LRFD.
9.4 Materials
The following Construction material shall be used in the project
a. Steel Reinforcement:
The steel industries available in the country produce grade 60-reinforcement steel
for diameter of bar equal to and greater
than 20mm, and grade 40 steel for those less than 20mm diameter. The minimum yield
strength of grade 60 reinforcement
steel is 420Mpa, while that of grade 40 is 300Mpa. These and other strength
parameters are used in the design of
structures.
b. Concrete:
Design parameters of C-30/20 Concrete for RC Slab, RC Deck girder, RC box Girder
superstructure, RC abutment, RC
Pier, masonry abutment and wing wall footing pad, RC Slab culvert, RC Box culverts,
Curb stone, C-25/20 used for
masonry retaining wall footing pad, concrete ditch, ditch cover, kilometer post and
C-15/40 for Lean Concrete under footing
pad of bridges, culverts and retaining wall.
In addition to this C-35/20 Concrete is used for RC Pipe as per ERA Standard pipe
culvert drawings of 2013 edition.
These strength parameters are specified on design drawings and technical
specifications to be attained during construction
stage.
c. Masonry:
The unit weight of stone masonry used in the design of substructure components has
to be taken from Table 3.5.1-1: of
ERA bridge design manual 2013.
As per ERA's Standard Specification cement mortared stone masonry walls shall be
constructed with mortar of 3:1 cement
sand ratio. Therefore, sand cement ratio of 3:1 is recommended to be used for major
and minor drainage structures of the
subject project.
2) Acceptable Bridge
The bridge may be a one, two or three span structure. Minimum span length shall be
determined by carrying out detailed
Hydrological & Hydraulic analysis along with subsurface investigation and
considering on the geometry of the road. The
span combination of the bridge has to get acceptance in structural selection stage
before proceeding the detailed design
of the bridge superstructure components.
3) Substructure
The contractor has to prepare detailed design of substructure components of the
bridge such as abutments, wing walls
and pier for the selected and approved structure type. The designed computation
sheet and drawings has to be submitted
and get acceptance by the client representative and client to proceed construction
works.
The Contractor may propose and design different types of substructure in line with
standards provided in this section if
their proposal is accepted by the client representative and the client.
The proposed designed of the bridge substructure components has to be submitted to
the client representative consisting
of acceptable structural computation sheet, detailed design drawings, detailed
construction methods along with false and
form work design if formwork and false work required for its construction.
6) Structural drawings
The designed bridge superstructure and substructure components has to include the
followings.
a. Prepare structure drawing(s) that show all details necessary for
construction of the bridge.
b. The following (as a minimum) is an estimate of the contract plan sheets
required for typical structure:
Among the existing three bridges the first existing bridge recommended to be
retained with additional pedestrian bridges
beside the existing bridge while those two existing bridges along the project rout
alignment have to be replaced by new
bridge structure. Basing the findings of site reconnaissance survey and preliminary
hydrology/hydraulic recommendation,
provision of additional new bridges might be recommended by hydrologist during
detailed design period of the project.
9.6.1.2 Culverts
The Contractor shall provide a well-drained corridor and a safe environment for the
individuals who use and maintain the
road. The design and construction of all drainage structures and appurtenances
shall adequately address functionality,
durability, ease of maintenance, maintenance access, safety, aesthetic and
protection against vandalism according to
contract specifications and standards. In fulfilling the requirements for drainage,
the Contractor shall abide by and fulfil the
requirements related to drainage features while at the same time meeting
requirements of other required design elements
on the project.
Reinforced concrete shall be used for all pipe and box culverts crossing the
roadway. Reinforced concrete with Class C-
30/12.5 for pipe, C-30/20 for Slab and Box culverts and Class ‘B’ or Class ‘A’
stone masonry abutments and wing walls
shall be used for all slab culverts crossing the roadway. Class B masonry shall be
used for inlet/outlet and end wall
structures for pipe culverts. Cement-Sand ratio for mortar shall be 1:3.
During the project site assessment period it was found out that there are three
existing major drainage structures and there
are around 91 minor drainage structures along the project route corridor. The
preliminary conditions of major drainage
structures available along the subject road are as presented in the next sub-
section of this report.
According to ERA’s bridge design manual, drainage structures with 6m or above clear
span are defined as Major drainage
structures or Bridges, while those below 6m are considered as minor drainage
structures.
From our visual observation the existing three bridge structures located across the
major streams around km14+360,
km43+310 and Km60+800 within the project rout corridor.
Currently the old bridge was used for some vehicles that stays near the bridges for
longer periods, non motorized traffics
and also used for pedestrian crossing. While the new triple span bridge in the new
double surface treatment road (DBS)
road realignment currently used for traffic crossing.
The new bridge has 7.30m carriage way and 0.80m walkway including RC Railing width
at both left and right side of the
bridge having a total bridge width of 8.90m. The existing bridge with 8.90m bridge
width doesn’t satisfy the current 2013
ERA geometric requirement of the subject road alignment.
From visual observation the existing newly constructed bridge total opening span
and clear height seems adequate to
accommodate the incoming flood. Its opening size is further checked for its
hydraulic adequacy. The existing bridge is new
and recommended to be maintained to be part and parts of the new design and built
road.
The existing 24m single span superstructure has 7.30m carriage way width and 0.80m
walkway including RC Railing width
at both left and right side of the bridge having a total bridge width of 8.90m. The
existing bridge with 8.90m total bridge
width doesn’t satisfy the current 2013 ERA geometric requirement of the subject
road alignment.
From visual observation the existing newly constructed bridge total opening span
and clear height seems adequate.
Considering the existing total 8.90m superstructure width and age of the 24m
reinforced concrete deck girder bridge across
Mormora river, we proposed as an initial finding to replace this bridge by new
bridge structure that satisfy the current
geometric width requirement of the road as stated in ERA 2013 geometric design
manual.
The existing 24m RC Deck Girder Bridge at Mormora river crossing recommended to be
replaced by new bridge having a
total bridge width of 12m to fit the recommended total road width of the approach
roads in the geometric design parts of
the Employer requirement and concept design report.
The existing 10m single span RC slab superstructure has 7.30m carriage way width
and 0.80m walkway including RC
Railing width at both left and right side of the bridge having a total bridge width
of 8.90m. The existing bridge with 8.90m
bridge width doesn’t satisfy the current 2013 ERA geometric requirement of the
subject road alignment. Moreover, the
bridge crossing is located in Haya Dima wereda town section with proposed 21.50m
road typical section.
Considering the existing bridge total width of 8.90m superstructure, age of the
exiting bridge and 21.50m geometric width
requirement of Haya Dima wereda town section, this bridge is recommended to be
replaced by new bridge structure that
satisfy the current geometric width requirement of the road as stated in ERA 2013
geometric design manual. The opening
size of the bridge will be decided during detailed design period.
From our site observation, most of the newly constructed culverts including RC box
culverts within Adola –Shakisso section
of the road corridor show high siltation problems and need to be check for its
hydraulic adequacy.
The observed common defects on minor drainage structures during our inception phase
site reconnaissance period are
summarized below:
• Siltation of inlet and outlet channel of the structures.
• Scouring of upstream and downstream of some major culvert structure are
observed
• Displacement and erosion of road embankment near some culvert has been
noticed.
• The openings of some drainage structures are clogged with silt and
transported debris.
• Overtopping of road embankment at dwarf fill section of the road corridor
• Aging of RC pipe culvert end wall
• Total siltation/clogging and overtopping of existing structure is also
noticed
• Gully formation of side ditch due to inadequacy of some culverts
• Most of the existing pipe culverts consist of dia. 750mm RC pipes.
The above mentioned common damages are among the observed defects on minor drainage
structure along the road
corridor under consideration.
Based on our preliminary site inspection it is proposed to replace all slab and
pipe culvers structures within the project.
Those Culvert within the first fourteen kilometers (km0+000-Km14+0000) shall be
retained if it is confirmed for its hydraulic
adequacy by hydrologist while those culverts in the other section of the road
corridor has to be demolished and replaced
with new ones.
The Contractor shall not allow using ‘Type–A end wall and Type-A inlet shown in ERA
2013 Standard drawings for new
pipe culvert recommended to be furnished in the road corridor of this project. If
Type-A (drop inlet) inlet is mandatory, use
wider drop inlet size. New Type-C end wall for pipe culverts design are attached in
the ER.
Pure Consulting Engineers PLC in Sub-Consultancy with Sound Engineering Solutions
PLC 153
Consultancy services for the Route Selection and Survey, Feasibility and
Environmental Impact, Ethiopian Roads Authority
Assessment (EIA) Studies, Concept Engineering Design, Resettlement Action Plan
(RAP) and
Tender Document Preparation for Bule Hora-Shakiso –Kibremengist Road Project.
Lot 1: Kibremengist- Bule Kero
Draft Concept Design
April 2020
10. ROAD SAFETY
10.1 Review of Existing Accident Data
Since Ethiopia millennium the number of road traffic accident in Ethiopia was in
alarming state. In the past eleven years
the number of road traffic accident were estimated around 291577. From those
traffic accidents 36796, 54731, 58987 and
141063 road traffic accident were fatality, serious injuries, light injuries and
property damage respectively. The road
network development and motorized vehicles also in increasable way in the past
eleven year. Even if; the government
construct road and other infrastructure the severity of traffic accident in the
country still in distressing stage. In the past
eleven year the Ethiopia government also construct around 912,956km road network in
the country to reduce road traffic
accident in the country for having mobile and accessible road for the user. In
case; growth of motorized vehicle was
another issue that causes traffic accident in respect to road network coverage.
Similarly, in the past eleven year around
5,592,358 motorized vehicles were introduced in the country (Jima, 2019).
Another study conducted by WHO in 2018 the reported death shows an overall increase
through years 2008 to 2016. The
Following Figure 10-1 was excerpted from WHO report.
Figure 10- 1: Trends in Reported Road Traffic Death , Source ( (WHO, 2018)
The data presented below will show accident data of the previous year’s 2004-2008,
from different stakeholders.
Interstate and city roads accounted for 70.5% of fatal crashes for most of which
ERA is responsible. Most of these are
paved two-way two-lane roads.
Table 10- 2: Road Traffic Fatality Crashes by Road Type and Road Pavement July
2005-June 2011
Table 10- 3: Fatal and Injury Crashes in the Six Year Period by Lanes/Medians, Road
Alignment, Junction Type and
Illumination Conditions
Road Alignment
Fatal Crashes %
Injury crashes %
Lanes/Medians
One way 3020 24.88
6391 21.7
Undivided Two way 7278 59.95
16631 56.46
Double carriageway (median) 1482 12.21
5335 18.11
Two-way (divided with solid lines road marking) 236 1.94
727 2.47
Two-way (divided with broken lines road marking) 124 1.02
259 0.88
Total 12140 100.00
29454 100
Road Alignment
Tangent road with flat terrain 7,913 65.18
19832 67.33
Tangent road with mild grade and flat terrain 1,166 9.60
2797 9.50
Tangent road with mountainous terrain and 348 2.87
816 2.77
escarpments
Tangent road with rolling terrain 337 2.78
909 3.09
Gentle horizontal curve 587 4.84
1,325 4.50
Sharp reverse curve 525 4.32
1,069 3.63
Steep grade upward with mountainous terrain 515 4.24
990 3.36
There are also links between different land use types and the occurrence of
crashes. Analysis indicates that most fatal
and injury crashes occurred in and around cities, particularly in central business
districts and residential areas. Table below
shows that 27.7% fatalities and 33.4% of serious injuries occurred in central
business districts and residential areas in the
six ear period.
Pure Consulting Engineers PLC in Sub-Consultancy with Sound Engineering Solutions
PLC 157
Consultancy services for the Route Selection and Survey, Feasibility and
Environmental Impact, Ethiopian Roads Authority
Assessment (EIA) Studies, Concept Engineering Design, Resettlement Action Plan
(RAP) and
Tender Document Preparation for Bule Hora-Shakiso –Kibremengist Road Project.
Lot 1: Kibremengist- Bule Kero
Draft Concept Design
April 2020
Table 10- 4: Crashes by Land Use
Summing up all the data presented in this section as a table above, it is possible
to conclude that Design consistency is
the conformance of geometry of a highway with driver expectancy, and its importance
and significant contribution to road
safety is justified by understanding the driver–vehicle–roadway interaction. The
roadway geometry, traffic conditions, and
roadside environment are the primary inputs to the driving task that determine the
workload requirement of the driver. How
quickly and how well these inputs are handled depend on driver expectancy and other
human factors. Once these inputs
are processed, they are translated into vehicle operations. When an inconsistency
exists that violates driver’s expectation,
the driver may adopt an inappropriate speed or inappropriate maneuver, potentially
leading to accidents. In contrast, when
design consistency is ensured, all abrupt changes in geometric features for
contiguous highway elements are eliminated,
preventing critical driving maneuvers and minimizing accident risk.
In line with these principles, a road traffic system that is safe and sustainable
will have the following features:
➢ its infrastructure will have been adapted to take into account human
limitations, using proper road design;
➢ its vehicles will be equipped to make the task of driving easier and to
provide a high standard of protection in
crashes;
➢ Its road users will be provided with adequate information and education and,
where appropriate, will be deterred
from undesirable or dangerous behavior.
10.2.2.1 Speed
The speed of motor vehicles is at the core of the road injury problem. Speed
influences both crash risk and crash
consequence.
“Excess speed” is defined as a vehicle exceeding the relevant speed limit;
“inappropriate speed” refers to a vehicle
travelling at a speed unsuitable for the prevailing road and traffic conditions.
While speed limits only declare higher speeds
to be illegal it remains for each driver and rider to decide the appropriate speed
within the limit.
The speed drivers choose to travel at is influenced by many factors. Modern cars
have high rates of acceleration and can
easily reach very high speeds in short distances. The physical layout of the road
and its surroundings can both encourage
and discourage speed. Crash risk increases as speed increases, especially at road
junctions and while overtaking – as
road users underestimate the speed, and overestimate the distance, of an
approaching vehicle.
The speed limit in village sections in Ethiopia is 30kph; however, most drivers
operate on these road environments at a
higher speed as they approach from open and agricultural areas, and then do not
reduce their speed sufficiently (National
Road Safety Coordination Office, 2006). A probable contributor to this behaviour is
the lack of provision of transitional
speed zones. For instance, the speed limit on paved, rural, two-lane roads is
80kph, but villages and towns along the
roads have a speed limit of 30 kph without any transitional speed zones in between.
As a result of the lack of transition,
geometric parameters and roadside features can change abruptly and motorists may
encounter heavy workload (e.g.
pedestrian and animal traffic) which creates safety risks (Fitzpatrick et al.,
1999).
In terms of collision types in the six-year period from 2005 to 2011, pedestrian
crashes are the dominant types of collision,
as motorized traffic and pedestrians share the same facilities. Failing to observe
pedestrian priority and speeding are the
likely root causes for the high level of crashes in the country. As suggested
previously, the separation of non-motorized
traffic from highways—through both hard-scape and soft-scape measures--may
represent a viable solution for protecting
pedestrians.
For example, according to ERA design standard, the typical urban cross-section is
four lanes (the outer lanes for parking).
Commonly, this is provided without any physical means of delineating parking lanes
and sidewalks from the travelled
ways. Such wide cross-section without any types of self-enforcing physical means of
reducing speed encourages the
through traffic to pass urban areas with a speed higher than the speed limits. This
unsafe road environment creates
conflicts between the through and local traffic which coupled with unsafe attitude
and behavior of road users creates the
worst traffic safety situation in built -up areas.
Most crashes occurred on paved two-way two-lane roads (in cities and on interstate
highways), particularly in central
business districts; and residential areas. As a developing country, the
transportation systems in urban areas cater to mixed
traffic including high speed vehicles, pedestrians, animals, and animal drawn
carts. The speed can vary from 5km/hr to
80km/hr and these speed differentials have been recognized as risk factors for road
traffic crashes. Moreover, the
complexity of land use, lack of comprehensive transportation planning, and many
social activities along or on the roads in
urban areas may have contributed to the rise in road traffic crashes. The urban
road environment is not conducive to the
safety of road users and could be addressed by implementing sound transport
planning which in turn minimizes activities
in and along roads. The separation of non-motorized traffic from roadways could
assist in the reduction of road traffic
crashes. Inconsistencies of speed zoning could be addressed through the
implementation of a road safety audit process
during the planning, construction and operation stages of roads.
Midblock road sections had a considerable share of fatal and non-fatal crashes in
the six years, probably because much
pedestrian crossing takes place in these sections. Overall, 70.55% of fatalities
and 74.61% of non-fatal injury crashes
occurred on midblock road sections. By comparison, intersections were safer, which
is contrary to the findings usually
reported in the research literature (Tay & Rifaat, 2007). Marked and other crossing
facilities are rare in midblock areas,
which might result in increased fatal and non-fatal crashes.
Furthermore, 2.5m wide shoulders for identified rural footpath sections on both
sides are designed to accommodate
pedestrians that often travel between towns and villages in large numbers
especially on market days.