TowerXchange Journal Issue 1
TowerXchange Journal Issue 1
Jeffrey Eldredge Natasha Good Johan Smith TowerXchange was founded by Kieron
Partner Partner Head – Africa Telecoms Group Osmotherly, a TMT community host and events
Vinson & Elkins Freshfields KPMG organizer with 16 years’ experience, and is
governed with the support and advice of the
Torsten Esbjørn Ayman Al Adl Rajat Malhotra TowerXchange “Inner Circle” – an informal
Regional Director, Africa Associate Director – TMT CEO, Middle East & Africa network of advisors
Ramboll Standard Chartered Bank Hayat Communications
© 2012 Site Seven Media Ltd. All rights reserved. Neither the
Zouhair Khaliq Adeel Bajwa Ahjeeth JaiJai
whole nor any substantial part of this publication may be re-
Consultant, Executive Director Senior GM of Legal Affairs and Consultant produced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted by any
means without the prior permission of Site Seven Media Ltd.
Warid Telecom, Former CEO, Contracts Investec Short extracts may be quoted if TowerXchange is cited as the
Orascom Int’l Investment Warid Telecom source. TowerXchange is a trading name of Site Seven Media Ltd,
registered in the UK. Company number 8293930.
5 Analysis
Estimated number of towers owned or managed by
independent towercos in Africa
7 News
< IHS acquires 1758 towers from MTN
< Cameroon and Cote d’Ivoire market views
< Orange selling 600 towers in Kenya
13 Editorial
Welcome to TowerXchange
27 Introduction to
infrastructure sharing 40 Special feature:
Uganda case study
< Who’s who: the towercos bidding for African assets
< Are towercos paying a premium for first mover
advantage in Africa?
28 Why share Africa’s towers? 41 How Orange leverage infrastructure sharing
< Do the ‘Big 4’ towercos have the digestive capacity
48 How to structure a deal 43 An interview with the UCC to acquire all the towers that are coming to market
50 The criticality of tenancy ratios 45 How Eaton hit the ground running: in Africa?
52 When is the right time to share towers? An interview with Alan Harper, CEO
sharing market
ensure consistency.
2% 1%
5% 5%
12% 7%
12% Operators C-level
Sub-Saharan
TowerCos VP, Exec Director, Africa
34% Partner MENA
Equipment
Suppliers 46% Director-level/
13% Dept Head
24% 52% Europe
Advisers 27%
Senior Manager/ Asia
Investors Managing Exec
Americas
Others Middle & Junior
16% Manager Australasia
20% 11%
14%
To book your advertisement, contact: Kieron Osmotherly | [email protected] | M. +44 (0) 7771 148001
News
in the migration of assets and novation of leases,
here’s some quotes from IHS Africa’s press release
about the deal, just in case you haven’t seen them.
“
“
while IHS Africa have paid a justifiable premium advisers on the deal. The transactions are expected technological innovation.”
to cement their place among the most credible to close during the first quarter of 2013, subject to the
independent tower companies in Africa. Indeed, usual closing conditions.
this deal makes IHS Africa the largest independent This deal makes IHS Africa
tower company in West Africa with a presence in the TowerXchange have requested an interview with the largest independent tower
four largest economies in the region; Nigeria, Ghana, Issam Darwish, CEO of IHS Africa, but whilst he and
company in West Africa
Cameroon and Cote d’Ivoire. his team are currently doubtless deeply embedded
“In Cameroon and Cote d'Ivoire there hasn't been as much of a push for While a similar market in size, Cameroon is a very different market in terms of
infrastructure sharing from the regulatory side as in the other countries,” says competitive dynamics. With only two competing networks, MTN and Orange,
Paul Budde, CEO of leading analysts BuddeComm. “But Cote d'Ivoire with its 7 mobile penetration in Cameroon lags many other African countries at 49%. The
mobile networks is certainly a market that is ripe for it.” Ministry for Posts and Telecommunication called for expressions of interest in a
3G license in May 2012, and the market is poised to take off. Qualifying bids for the
There are currently five active mobile operators in Cote d’Ivoire. The market is license are understood to have been received from Airtel, Viettel (from Vietnam),
led by MTN, who have a 40% market share, and Orange. Moov (Etisalat), KoZ Maroc Telecom (Vivendi Group) and Technologie et Systeme d’information/Korea
(Comium) and Oricel Green Network (Lap Green Networks) also operate live Telecom.
networks. Further licenses are held by Warid and World Café (Aircomm), but
spectrum allocation problems have delayed launch. The benefits of such a fiercely Keith Boyd of Eaton Towers commented: “Cameroon has two established operators,
competitive market include soaring penetration, which has risen from less than but with as many as three or four new licensees potentially coming to market, it
10% in 2004 to over 80% today. The first 3G licence in Cote d’Ivoire was issued to could be a very interesting market. However, with new entrant OpCo funding and
MTN in March 2012. launch dates unknown, it’s impossible to forecast prospective tenancies.”
Eaton Towers’ Keith Boyd on Cote d’Ivoire: “Towercos need to move fast in the The investment banking arm of the pan-African bank- Ecobank Capital, recently
Ivory Coast – most operators are believed to be considering tower plays, and those announced the successfully raising of a $202m syndicated credit facility on behalf
late to market will be worth the least as there are only so many tenancies up for of IHS Africa, $102m of which is for projects in Cameroon, and $100m for Cote
grabs.” d’Ivoire
Sudan 720
Managed sites Eaton’s latest capital injection consists of a $30m
tranche from Standard Bank Group, acting
Cote d’Ivoire 931
through Stanbic Uganda, for a six-year term, plus
a $30m tranche with an 8.5 year maturity from
Cameroon 827
IFC. The investment in Eaton is IFC’s second foray
Total 2659 2951
into African towers, having made a $25m equity
investment in Helios Towers Africa in January 2011.
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000
(Source: Wendel Investment in IHS analyst call) "This latest round of debt funding is a further
validation of the Eaton Towers business model and
IHS Africa overview management team, and a clear demonstration of
< Operations in Nigeria, Ghana, Sudan and South Sudan our ability to efficiently leverage our assets across
< Services across full tower value chain: managed services, deployment and site ownership Africa”, said Eaton’s CFO Peter Lewis. “Eaton Towers
< 99.9% uptime on IHS co-location sites is now a leading tower company in Uganda and this
< FY2012 turnover was US$97m, of which US$38m came from co-location funding facility will allow us to further consolidate
< FY2012 EBITDA was US$11m, of which US$10m came from co-location our position there."
< Reported tenancy ratio: 1.67x
(Source: Wendel Investment in IHS analyst call)
Eaton Towers has recently established offices in
Kenya
Orange is considering selling 600 towers in Kenya. A Kenya market overview American Tower adds a further 236
senior executive at the operator admitted Orange had towers in South Africa
“launched a process looking at different scenarios to Mobile subscribers: 29.7m
optimise costs in Kenya.” Mobile penetration: 75.4% American Tower’s September 2012 Q3 report revealed
Internet / data subscribers: 7.7m the addition of a further 236 towers in South Africa,
A request for expressions of interest has been (of which 98.9% mobile, 9.4% broadband) taking their portfolio in the country to over 1,600
circulated, and 500 new builds would apparently (Source: CCK, June 2012) towers. The report also revealed that international
also be involved. Cell sites: 5,565, of which 4,988 on-grid (GSMA) rental and management segment revenue increased
Coverage: 89.1% (GSMA) 22% to $217.2 million, representing 31% of American
Orange currently owns or rents more than 900 sites Tower’s total revenue, while international rental
in Kenya, with just over 40% of them running 3G as tariff wars took hold in Kenya, but it now seems that and management segment pass-through revenues
well as 2G technologies. Over 30% of sites are already Telkom Kenya (Orange) are once again considering increased 6.5% to $57.2 million. International rental
shared, the majority being shared with Safaricom. substantial infrastructure sharing. and management segment Operating Profit increased
In June 2011, Telkom Kenya and Safaricom had 20.9% to $110.7 million.
announced that they were exploring the viability In December 2007, France Telecom acquired a 51%
of an Indus-style, independently managed tower stake in Kenya’s incumbent operator, Telkom Kenya, In Q2 American Tower’s international segment had
sharing firm to manage a pool of 4,000+ towers. Those through its holding company Orange East Africa, generated higher commenced new business than their
talks were believed to have been deprioritised as launching 3G services in 2011 domestic segment for the first time in their history
underserved and remote areas “As at the end of September 2012, the teledensity
figure was 89.8 percent (active sim cards and fixed
lines without factoring in multiple line ownership).
Given the current growth trends, we expect
teledensity to reach 100 percent by next year as
mobile services are extended to more under-served
rural areas,” added Marisa.
“ Sharing infrastructure
has been hampered by
old designs (especially
towers) which were not
designed to carry more
than one operator
“
The regulator has also strongly advocated the sharing
of infrastructure: “operators are already sharing
infrastructure. Sharing infrastructure has been
The Postal and Telecommunications Regulatory and three repeater sites while the second phase is hampered by old designs (especially towers) which
Authority of Zimbabwe (POTRAZ) plans to install targeting a total of 43 sites. Our target is to reach all were originally not designed to carry more than one
54 mobile phone base stations in under-served and under-served areas in Zimbabwe. The areas targeted operator and, in some cases, inadequate backhaul
remote areas across the country over the next two and prioritised are remote rural areas.” infrastructure,” concluded Mr Marisa.
years.
“Construction of towers at the 43 sites is likely to Previously, Zimbabwe’s leading operator Econet had
POTRAZ has already erected 11 sites for the stations, span over two years since the Universal Services called for the Universal Services Fund, a 2% levy on
and deputy director-general Mr Alfred Marisa said Fund cannot fund all of them in one year, given that all operator’s annual revenue, to be scrapped due
in an interview in local newspaper The Herald: “the the USF is also funding other projects such as the to a lack of meaningful development of telecoms in
first phase (of the) project had eight terminal sites Schools Connectivity project and some deserving underserved areas from the fund
Are three
towercos in
Ghana
too many?
With three major tower transactions
to date and five active independent
towercos, Ghana could be a glimpse
into a future for African telecoms
infrastructure that involves a
migration from operator-captive
towers to an independent tower
company-centric model.
In this feature:
15 Is infrastructure sharing working in
Ghana?
16 BuddeComm perspective on Ghana
17 Interview with Chuck Green, Helios
24 Interview with Tony Dolton, Vodafone
Is infrastructure sharing
read an in-depth interview with Dolton on page xx.
“
nationwide carriers serving a population of 25m,
high cost of new builds, ARPU falling below $5
forcing a reduction of opex, and a regulator strongly
in favour of sharing, network planners often have no
option but to co-locate. But infrastructure sharing is
not a necessary evil in Ghana – it’s been a successful
explored in the interview on page 17.
7%
MTN
Leading analysts BuddeComm say Ghana market overview
difficulties obtaining permits for 12% Vodafone
Chuck Green needs no introduction. The Chuck Green, CEO, Helios Towers Africa: As ever,
former Crown Castle CFO and now CEO of the opportunity in Ghana came about as a result of
Helios Towers Africa was the pioneer behind decisions made by a specific operator– the initial
the first sale and leaseback deal in Africa impetus to share infrastructure is not only driven
by the attractiveness of the market in every case.
between Helios and Millicom in Ghana. Chuck
One or more operators have to take the initiative.
looks back on the deal, shares valuable lessons
learned, and gives his verdict on whether
Ghana represented a clear opportunity for us in
three towercos is too many for one market. Africa. The country represents a big, relatively
sophisticated market with mobile penetration
at less than 60% (probably 40-45% adjusted for
Keywords: Structuring a JV, Rental Rates, Market
multiple SIM cards) and rising when we first
Evaluation, Towerco Valuations, Transfer of Assets,
assessed the opportunity in 2009-10. With five
Due Diligence, Cost Reduction, Power, Maintenance,
operators, reasonably high GDP per capita and
Deep Cycle Batteries, RMS, Urban vs Rural, 3G, 4G, personal disposable income, market conditions
Tenancy Ratios, Build vs Collocate, Infrastructure were favourable for infrastructure sharing. While
Sharing, Africa, Helios, Millicom, American Towers, there were, and are, other markets with similar
MTN, Eaton Towers, Vodafone Ghana characteristics on the continent, the first sale and
Chuck Green, CEO, Helios Towers Africa leaseback in Africa took place in Ghana because
Millicom took a decision to outsource tower assets
to create shareholder value.
Read this article to learn:
< How Millicom created over $400m of value by structuring a JV deal with Helios Millicom initiated a competitive process in 2009,
< How towercos bid for assets based on a balance of up front cash, rental rates and equity and we signed the deal in January 2010 making
< How to manage the integration and transfer of assets, including novation of leases Helios the first licensed independent tower
< How towercos buy from subcontractors, and how they invest to reduce opex company in the market. As is often the case, other
< The impact of five competing towercos all operating in Ghana operators quickly followed suit. MTN quickly
entered into a marketing agreement with American
“
TowerXchange: Can you help readers who are There are five potential operator priorities
new to infrastructure sharing transactions motivating any prospective infrastructure sharing
understand a little about what they can and Millicom prioritized driving deal.
can’t tell from the details of these transactions?
The Service Level Agreements between independent remediate sites to be structurally sound and stand
tower companies and their customers are tough. up to our Health & Safety requirements, to meet the
We’re required to deliver better quality of service, requirements of the SLA, and to be ready for co-
and that is our core business. locations. All those investments have to be built into
the capital economics of transition.
TowerXchange: As pioneers leading the way into
Africa’s first sale and leaseback transaction, While the towers we acquired in Ghana were a
what were the key lessons learned you took from pretty good portfolio and had been well maintained,
the experience in Ghana, particularly in terms of they weren’t all in the condition we would need to
the transfer of assets post-deal close? run for multiple operators.
Rental rate Chuck Green, CEO, Helios Towers Africa: My The transition of assets we’re talking about here
experience in tower acquisitions around the accounts for the period between the announcement
“
mitigating, or at least taking calculated, risks. generous termination clauses destroy value; a 90-
day cancellation clause turns it from a 10-12 year
Ultimately, the seller expects a fairly standard deal into a three month deal, which kills the value
I feel the biggest risk is not set of terms to be agreed, relatively few of which for the tower company, even if there are penalties
in the tower portfolio itself,
but in potential deviation in
transaction terms from the
proven independent tower
company business model that
“ are subject to significant negotiation. The auction
process gets prospective buyers to compete and
improve upon negotiable terms.
creates value for all parties terms from the proven independent tower company Chuck Green, CEO, Helios Towers Africa: Grid
business model that creates value for all parties. power is available for 18 to 20 hours per day on
Some of our competitors are more relaxed about average across Ghana, and is of variable quality.
“
means operators will need more in-fill sites for 2G, we’re achieving our objectives.
let alone 3G and, eventually, 4G LTE.
The proliferation of tower companies may not be
The larger markets can probably
The continuing growth of voice and data traffic puts sustainable over time. There are only so many
tolerate two tower companies a strain on networks, which needs to be improved tower companies can operate in any given market.
but three is not ideal. Having
said that… we have the market
share we targeted and we’ve
already had a reasonably decent
lease up experience but we never
expected to be the only player in
“ and expanded. Towercos are there to preserve
capital, expand networks and satisfy quality of
service requirements without burdening the
balance sheets of operators.
Having said that, demand in Ghana has been only occurs when an operator wants to locate on a a self-adjusting governance: if independent tower
significant enough to spread among three towercos site right next to another tower company’s tower. companies charge too much for the co-location lease
with different footprints. We have the market share Operators have a specific rollout plan, and generally rate, operators would build rather than co-locating.
we targeted and we’ve already had a reasonably whoever has the optimum site they need gets the
decent lease up experience but we never expected tenancy. TowerXchange: So having three towercos active
to be the only player in Ghana. in Ghana slightly moderates upside, lowering the
Rollout demand from Airtel, Vodafone and to glass ceiling on the achievable tenancy ratio?
The independent tower company model lends itself a certain extent MTN has been almost entirely
to a common set of terms and pricing assumptions. satisfied to date by sharing with tower companies Chuck Green, CEO, Helios Towers Africa: The
We don’t have that much flexibility on price, and we in Ghana. Over the last 30 months or so there have achievable tenancy ratio might be 0.1-0.2 lower, but
haven’t experienced predatory pricing despite three been very few builds, apart from Glo. Operators will it’s not of a huge magnitude, especially given the
towercos being in Ghana. There’s only a 30-40% generally favour the sharing or co-location option required densification needed by the data demand
overlap in footprints at outset, so direct competition before they build – furthermore, the market has associated with 3G, and subsequently LTE
Introduction to
infrastructure
sharing in
Africa
There are approximately 170,000 telecom
towers in Africa today. In order to meet
growing demand for capacity and coverage,
up to 300,000 towers may be needed.
Independent tower companies can meet
much of that requirement, attracting an
estimated $15bn of capital investment into
Africa’s communications infrastructure in
the process.
Publicly stated
Year Operator Country TowerCo Est. # of towers Deal structure
purchase price
2010 Millicom / Tigo Ghana Helios 750 $54m for 60% Joint venture
2010 Vodafone Ghana Eaton 750 Not applicable Operational lease
2010 Cell C South Africa American 1,400* $430m Sale and leaseback
2010 MTN Ghana American 1,876 $218.5m for 51% Joint venture
2010 Starcomms Nigeria SWAP 407 $81m Sale and leaseback
2010 Millicom / Tigo DRC Helios 729 $45m for 60% Joint venture
2011 Millicom / Tigo Tanzania Helios 1,020 $80m for 60% Joint venture
2011 MTN Uganda American 1,000 $89m for 51% Joint venture
2012 Orange Uganda Eaton 300 Unknown Sale and leaseback
2012 Warid Uganda Eaton 400 Unknown Sale and leaseback
2012 MTN Cameroon IHS Africa 827 $143m Sale and leaseback
2012 MTN Cote d’Ivoire IHS Africa 931 $141m Sale and leaseback
*Cell C deal included 1,400 existing towers plus up to a further 1,800 under construction
Shareability
TowerXchange pulls back the curtain
to reveal how tower portfolios are
evaluated from an engineering,
commercial and financial
perspective. Whether you’re buying,
selling or building towers, this
feature explains how to maximize the
capital value of your assets.
of multi-tenant towers
Bhaskar Babu, Marketing Head – Exports, Ganges
International: Operators should plan for 3 tenants
on each tower, although there are up to four or five
TowerXchange spoke to Ganges Internationale to get some advice tenants on some towers in some countries where
there are more operators and in big populated cities
how to build, buy and upgrade towers for multiple tenants. like Nairobi, Lagos or Dar es Salaam.
Ganges Internationale is a ‘Total Solutions A multi-tenant tower doesn’t have to cost much
Provider’, specialising in all the capex elements more than a single tenant tower. The land costs the
of telecoms infrastructure: from the design and same, maintenance and power costs don’t increase
supply of towers, to building foundations and much. Most of the equipment is the same. The tower
installing tower, antennas, shelter, electrical and might be slightly higher, but we’re talking about
other equipment. less than 20%; it’s just a modest increase in the
weight of steel and in the cost of the foundation. A
Ganges sold over 3,000 towers in Africa between forty to fifty metre tower can be shared, even lower
2007 and 2012 and have over 30,000 installed in heights. Height is rarely a problem for signalizing,
more than 14 countries on the continent. Clients unless you’re using microwave antennas for the
include Airtel, Vodafone, Huawei (MTN), Orange, backbone network, particularly in hilly terrain.
Keywords: Investing in Multi-Tenant Towers,
Helios, Eaton, Ramboll and Safaricom. In Africa Antenna brackets can sometimes accommodate
Loading, Strengthening, Tenancy Ratios, Cost
they work with partners such as Plessey, QTE and two or three antennas (Dual/Triple GSM brackets)
Reduction, Outdoor Equipment, Rental Rates, or even with circular platforms where up to 12
Reime to deliver towers and other equipment for
Shareability, Infrastructure Sharing, Africa, GSM antennas can be fixed at single height for four
Total construction.
Ganges, Airtel operators. Backhaul and the site network are bigger
considerations when it comes to shareability since
operators need to use bigger microwave antennas.
Read this article to learn: However, the lack of standards for loading in many
< How many tenants you should design new towers to accommodate African countries remains a challenge. There’s also
< The cost of single versus multi-tenant towers a lack of people with the technical skills to evaluate
< How to strengthen legacy towers for multiple tenants designs and the cost of offerings; network suppliers
< How Airtel rolled out towers costing 40% less than their competitors often don’t know the micro-level costs, although
< An insight into tenancy ratios and rental rates in Africa Vodafone and Airtel have excellent technical teams
to evaluate towers and foundations. For example,
“
TowerXchange: Is the transfer of tower make changes such as moving towers to new sites
ownership from operator to towerco good news
from your perspective?
Ramboll Group is the biggest consulting Previously, Torsten led Ramboll’s successful entry
engineering company in Northern Europe, with into the Indian tower market where Ramboll today
over 10,000 employees based in 200 offices across enjoy an estimated 70% market share. In addition
23 countries. Their expertise in designing and to Ramboll’s success in tower supplies, Ramboll
evaluating towers is unrivalled. has invaluable experience and references working
closely with customers like ATC and Indus, where
Torsten Esbjørn came to Johannesburg in 2011 to in 21 months more than 30,000 sites where audited
position and market Ramboll’s products and services and analysed and more than 8,300 strengthening
to the increasingly interesting African Telecom solutions given.
market. The change from an operator-owned to an
Torsten Esbjørn, Ramboll independent tower company based industry for TowerXchange: How do operators and towercos
balance investing in space for potential multi
tenancy with minimizing cost when ordering
Read this article to learn:
new tower designs?
< How to find hidden capacity in over-engineered towers
< How to conduct a thorough evaluation of tower foundations Torsten Esbjørn, Regional Director, Africa, Ramboll:
< When to reverse engineer lost data and drawings We find that people need help with evaluating the
< Why standardising your range of towers increases flexibility technical options when deciding on a design for
< A comparison of infrastructure sharing in India and Africa the rollout: do you invest in a tower that takes two,
three or four tenants, given that there can be no
Torsten Esbjørn, Regional Director, Africa, Ramboll: Pedro Rabacal, Network Officer, International at Vodacom succinctly summarises the investment
I’m not sure that infrastructure sharing will spread dilemma facing many operators as they consider whether to invest in shareability. “Do we
quite as swiftly in Africa as it did in India. There build cheaper, low capacity, single tenant towers, spreading our investment for a wider footprint?”
are so many borders, different regulations, and Asks Rabacal, “or do we invest two and a half to three times as much in multi-tenant sites with more
some countries have a low population density. expensive generators? And how do we balance that with the cost of installation in rural areas, areas
Some African countries will be very interesting for where we might need to be efficient enough to serve a $10 per week ARPU environment?”
infrastructure sharing, some not at all.
Should tower portfolios in Africa be built with sharing in mind? Warid’s network rollout was co-
However, the increasing number of infrastructure ordinated with Orange from the outset, yielding a solid tenancy ratio (and a good sale price) when the
sharing deals being agreed in Africa excites me. towers were sold to Eaton.
It’s great to see towers transition to specialists who
manage the towers as their core business. Ramboll But Uganda may be the exception rather than the rule. While operators may be building multi-tenant
are designers and engineers first and foremost, towers with a view to future capacity, particularly in urban areas with growing data traffic and higher
and our services are perfectly fitted to help with ARPUs, few network planners will commit additional capex without a clear indication of future
the transition of tower assets, from technical revenue streams. The revenue forecasts get increasingly difficult, and the installation and operational
evaluations and tower design, to software for asset costs increase, as one moves into rural areas increasingly beyond the reach of transport infrastructure.
management, rollouts and managed services
How the experts conduct due diligence on tower portfolios to TowerXchange: Thank you for your time
evaluate potential investments gentlemen. Please could you tell us about the
different models required to undertake the due
diligence for infrastructure sharing projects.
Mott MacDonald’s technology and communication
business has extensive experience of providing
Mott MacDonald: We have a set of models,
due diligence and consulting services on benchmarks and forecasts which we use to predict
infrastructure sharing strategies – just one part lease up rates, revenues and costs. These will
of a comprehensive range of advisory services. typically feed directly into a financial due diligence
The consultancy has worked with some of the process. The data is combined into an analysis
leading players in the African tower sharing presented to secure finance for tower transactions.
market such as Eaton Towers and American Tower,
either working directly for or appointed by their Let’s start with our typical demand-side models,
which look at the current market structure. We
investors on particular transactions.
consider what assets the operators have, where
their towers are located, the amount of tower
Keywords: Investing in Multi-Tenant Towers, Rental Rates, sharing that has taken place to date, and the
Financial Due Diligence, Subscriber & Traffic Forecasts, drivers for growth. Often we’re able to talk to the
PoS Forecasts, Shareability, Infrastructure Sharing, Africa,
operators about their feel for where the network is
Mott MacDonald, Eaton Towers, American Tower
going. We evaluate current and future subscriber
numbers, traffic growth, new technologies, coverage
extensions, capacity, infill in towns, and based on
Read this article to learn:
these we forecast the required network architecture
< How demand side models are used to evaluate tower portfolios
investment over the next ten to fifteen years.
< How to evaluate site attractiveness
< How to evaluate a tower company’s addressable market We find that our forecasts vary significantly from
< How to analyse site location data across multiple operators country to country. We could be talking about
< Is infrastructure sharing in Africa a good investment? driving 2G to 95% coverage in one country while
introducing 4G in another.
Mott MacDonald: We evaluate “site attractiveness” We also try to take a geographic information system TowerXchange: What can you tell us about the
in our due diligence process – matching operators’ view of the world – where the towers are located increasing demand for points of service across
current and future demand for sites, or indeed compared to locations of other operators. We Africa?
Mott MacDonald: Every market we’ve looked at has Mott MacDonald: We think operators would find Mott MacDonald: The maturity of the market
significant demand for additional towers and points it difficult to make a case to invest that capital in terms of mobile and, in particular, mobile
of service in general, driven by coverage extension expenditure now, but they’ll look at it on a case by broadband adoption is critical, and in the seven
and 3G. We would anticipate a further substantial case basis. Building a shareable site doesn’t have or eight markets we’ve looked at, I would say the
increase in demand for points of service with 4G, to cost that much more, but of course it depends infrastructure sharing model stands up well.
albeit that is quite a bit further down the line. how much space you share. In markets where little
sharing is taking place currently, an operator could We feel that the first or second towercos will find
In three out of four different country models we build shareable structures in unique locations, but a market, if they strike relatively quickly. Markets
last produced, there was a doubling of the tower there’s no guarantee you would get tenants. will continue to mature and delays may mean that
requirement in the next 10-15 years, and in the the greater opportunities are missed.
fourth market the growth was just less than double. Operators tend to look only as far as whether to
So you see why Africa is an attractive market for build a tower at a given site or not, they don’t tend With increasing data demands, network growth
towercos and investors. to see tower sharing as a potential revenue stream, and falling ARPUs, margins are pressurised. So we
which is of course why towercos’ focus on co- feel that increased infrastructure sharing, whether
TowerXchange: Given the increasing volume of locations adds so much value. through outsourcing or sale and leaseback to a
tower sharing deals in Africa, should operators towerco, or through joint ventures, is where many
invest in building more shareable towers to TowerXchange: Based on the models and African markets are heading. But operators and
boost valuation in a future sale? forecasts Mott MacDonald have built over the towercos alike should not delay!
Uganda
Case study
Infrastructure sharing continues to play
a growing role in Ugandan network
expansion. From the early days of tower
swaps, to the coordinated network rollout of
Warid and Orange, 2012 has now seen the
entry of American Tower and Eaton Towers
into the Ugandan market.
Don’t miss:
41 How Orange leveraged infrastructure
sharing to claim data market leadership
42 The BuddeComm Perspective on Uganda
43 Regulations to support infrastructure
sharing, an interview with the UCC
45 How Eaton Towers hit the ground running
with a high tenancy ratio in Uganda;
an interview with Alan Harper, CEO
Keywords: Market Entry, Due Diligence, Data, As in many African markets, the entry of Airtel
Network Rollout, Tenancy Ratios, Infrastructure has prompted tariff wars. With low and still falling
Sharing, Africa, Uganda, Orange, Uganda ARPU, there is pressure on operators’ cost structures.
Telecom, MTN, Warid, Airtel, American Tower, This provides motivation to work with independent
Eaton Towers tower companies and other outsourcing partners
Abela Rock, Katakwi, Uganda to stabilise and minimise operational expenditure,
with reductions of 30% reported already.
Read this article to learn: We asked Orange Uganda’s CTO Godfrey Kisekka to
< The evolution of tower sharing in Uganda explain the evolution of tower sharing in Uganda. “I
< The role of the CTO of Orange Uganda in preparing data to sell their towers was at UTL (Uganda Telecom) previously. UTL was
< How tenancy ratios were maximized BEFORE the sale the sole telecom company in Uganda until Airtel (then
Celtel) entered the market in 1995. MTN entered the
Keywords: Regulation, Licensing, Market Entry, < A fairly priced, transparent licensing regime for
Universal Access, Active and Passive Infrastructure network providers that keeps less reputable
players out of the market
Sharing, Africa, Uganda, UCC
< How operators and tower companies think infrastructure sharing should be regulated
The critical requirements seem to be transparency
< How the regulatory environment in Uganda supports infrastructure sharing
and speed of response. As ever, time to market is
< News of the UCC’s forthcoming new infrastructure sharing guidelines
critical, and having a responsive regulator able
the ground running with about the current state of the telecoms market in
Uganda.
a high tenancy ratio in Uganda Alan Harper, CEO, Eaton Towers: MTN are market
leaders, with Airtel second, Warid third, Orange
Keywords: Sale and Leaseback Deal Structure, Cost Reduction,
fourth, and UTL fifth. The sixth license was bought
Network Extension, Capacity Enhancements, Urban vs Rural, by Sure Telecom, recently acquired by Roshan, and
3G, Tenancy Ratios, Rental Rates, QoS, Infrastructure Sharing, they’ve not yet launched.
Africa, Uganda, Ghana, Eaton Towers, Orange, Warid, MTN,
American Tower, Airtel, Uganda Telecom We bought all the towers from Warid and Orange,
the third and fourth licensees, which combined give
us national coverage. Prior to this, tower sharing
Alan Harper, Co-founder and CEO of Eaton Towers,
had been relatively minimal between operators,
kindly consented to be interviewed concerning Eaton’s
with the exception of Orange and Warid who had
recent acquisition of 300 towers from Orange and 400
rolled out in a fairly co-ordinated way – co-locating
towers from Warid in Uganda.
on one another’s sites – while there had been quite
a bit of sharing with Airtel, who are on a reasonable
Alan has over 25 years of telecoms experience, including
number of Orange and Warid’s towers.
17 years in Africa. Most recently, he served as Group
Strategy and New Business Director for Vodafone Group
TowerXchange: Partnering with a towerco
PLC from 1995 to 2007, responsible for corporate and
enables more long-term network investments,
regulatory strategy, business development, R&D and
where will you invest first?
public policy. He was Managing Director of Vodafone UK
Alan Harper, CEO of Eaton Towers
from 1999 to 2000.
Alan Harper, CEO, Eaton Towers: We’ll provide
better mechanisms for refuelling; remote network
Read this article to learn: monitoring through the NOC to monitor passive
< How Eaton Towers plans to reduce opex in Uganda infrastructure, improving security on sites. We’ll
< The benefits of acquiring a portfolio with a high tenancy ratio also undertake some network extensions beyond
< Strategies to extend the network and enhance capacity the initial portfolio, for example in the West
< What happens when towercos compete for co-location tenancies of Uganda there are new mining and oil & gas
< Comparing Eaton’s sale and leaseback deal in Uganda with their operational lease deal in Ghana discoveries, so there are some new industrial areas
that need coverage. But the major driver is capacity
suit your market and objectives lower lease rate right now and the towerco keeps the
subsequent opex savings. It’s a matter of striking a
Striking a balance between lease rates and up-front cash balance between lease rates and up-front cash.”
measure success
rate and terms of the initial sale of the towers.
Experienced practitioners tend to agree that
a tenancy ratio above 1.5 is usually the first
The criticality of tenancy ratios target in most markets. If tenancy ratios exceed
2, it usually indicates a highly successful tower
venture.
It’s not just the initial deal structure that
defines the success of tower sharing The competitive sensitivity of tenancy ratios
transactions. Income from co-locations means we cannot publicly state how the different
infrastructure sharing deals are progressing, but
is the critical measure of success for we do know that towercos in some of Africa’s
towercos, and for their investors and most mature markets are on target to achieve
partners. tenancy ratios well above 1.5 by the end of 2012.
Tenancy ratios, also known as lease up rates, remain the Towercos can only do so much to attract new
critical measure for success. But beware of the different tenants. Ultimately the RF characteristics of the
means of presenting tenancy ratios – is an equipment tower are what they are. Towercos may not be
upgrade from an anchor tenant counted as an additional able to influence roll out plans, but they can
tenant? Sometimes bartering may also be counted in identify holes in coverage, and of course they
tenancy ratios. Ultimately the best measure of success all maintain relationships with RF Network
remains improvements to EBITDA margin. Planners.
Another critical consideration is the need to secure permission of all extensions that accelerate time to market.
shareholders. As we know, substantial stakes in many African operators are
retained by local market shareholders. Natasha Good, Partner at Freshfields It’s a common misconception that CFOs are universally in favour of
Bruckhaus Deringer explains: “every subsidiary of a global operator is infrastructure sharing, whilst CTOs remain protective of their network assets.
effectively a new OpCo in it’s own right when it comes to structuring As one senior executive at a tower company stated, “one of the principal
infrastructure sharing transactions – each local OpCo board needs to be challenges is convincing local CTOs and COOs that it’s a good idea – although
familiar with tower sharing. Previously network operators had been able to it’s becoming easier as more and more CTOs have experience dealing with
make changes with every moving part – employees, contractors, networks – so towercos.”
tower sharing requires the loss of control of what feels like a very core asset.”
The conclusion of TowerXchange’s ‘introduction to infrastructure sharing in
Operator CFOs can use tower transactions to achieve a variety of objectives. Africa’ is a simple one: there are an infinite variety of tower deal structures,
EBITDA might actually go down if you’re selling and leasing back towers at a defined by sliding scales of capital released, rental rates and stabilised opex
premium rate in order to maximise cash released – the increased lease costs and equity stakes, not to mention the term of the deal. All these variables mean
simply being the cost of that capital. But it might be necessary to free up cash infrastructure sharing can be tailored to meet different objectives in different
flow, which might be used to provide dividends, or to fund network rollout or market contexts
or not to share…
Many market leaders had feared that if they shared
their towers too soon, they might facilitate the
market entry of low tariff competitors who would
…When is the time right to share your towers? erode their market share and increase churn in the
short term. But if market leaders don’t share towers,
those same competitors might secure first mover
advantage. If leaders leave it too late, their towers
could be devalued as someone else has snapped up
Keywords: Market Maturity, the finite number of prospective tenants. Africa’s
First Mover Advantage, longest-established operators might have legacy
Shareholder Value, Tower towers, which would benefit from working with a
Valuation, QoS, Coverage, towerco to secure investment in power solutions and
“
tower strengthening to increase tenant capacity.
Network Rollout, 3G, 4G,
Urban vs Rural, Market
Evaluation, Tenancy Ratios,
Infrastructure Sharing,
Africa, Ghana, Uganda, DRC,
Tanzania, Cameroon, Cote
Many transactions in
Africa have yielded over
“
d’Ivoire, South Africa, Pyramid $150k per tower
Research, Helios, MTN,
Vodafone, Millicom, Orange,
Market leaders should accelerate progress toward
Warid, Etisalat, Airtel
infrastructure sharing, as they will currently find
themselves in a strong negotiating position. In some
markets, towercos are prepared to pay more than
Read this article to learn:
the replacement cost of towers – many transactions
< The business case for market leaders and new market entrants to share towers
in Africa have yielded over $150k per tower. Market
< The infrastructure sharing strategies of Africa’s leading operators leaders can release capital, stabilize opex AND
< The indicators that suggest it’s a good time to share towers realise an uplift in network performance at a time
< How to create shareholder value through infrastructure sharing when QoS is becoming a critical differentiator –
< How first movers create the greatest value by snapping up credit-worthy tenants especially critical to secure those all-important high
value customers.
market leaders if they can. There’s a backlog to secure lack sufficient credit-worthy tenants. Acquire too with the right market competitive
permits for new cell sites, if they are permitted at all, late and the there might be insufficient tenants still dynamics” – Khumo Shuenyane, MTN
so new entrants should deploy as few of their own available to achieve tenancy ratio and profitability
towers as possible. Leverage independent towercos targets. Towercos need to be well funded – many limit where they have to go out into more rural areas,
and existing operators’ network reach and try to tap have had to pay a premium for a substantial portfolio and this necessitates opex reductions.”
into volume discounts. Concentrate any new builds of African towers in order to be considered credible
in higher value locations – look for gaps in incumbent players. Get it right and valuation multiples in the This view is shared by Africa’s leading operators. “In
market leaders’ networks, particularly around data mid to high teens can be achieved. some markets there is still a degree of competitive
capacity in urban areas. advantage through coverage – so we’re in no rush to
Diagnosing market readiness share infrastructure there,” says Khumo Shuenyane,
Consider a coordinated roll-out with another 3rd, Group Chief Strategy Mergers and Acquisitions
4th or 5th ranked operator. For example, Warid and When it comes to timing a transaction, it’s important Officer at MTN. Even the towercos agree: “towers
Orange realized a good sale price when they sold a to consider the number of licenses in a market, are a strategic asset and therefore not sellable in
total of 700 towers to Eaton Towers in Uganda earlier including the regulator’s stance on licensing 3G and countries where one OpCo dominates,” asserts Chuck
this year because they already had a healthy tenancy future networks, and any restrictions on new builds, Green, CEO of Helios Towers Africa.
ratio having shared many towers from the outset. as all these factors affect the tenancy ratios that can
be achieved. Urban network expansions, with the However, when the time is right to share towers,
What’s in it for market leaders to share with new densification required to cope with increasing data you’ve got to move fast. MTN’s Shuenyane continues:
entrants? Enhance the valuation of towers before demands and upgrades to next generation networks, “There is a big advantage to being first movers – only
selling by sharing with new entrants and driving are considered to be a more favourable indicator so many towers will be shared. We’ve shared towers
tenancy ratios. Market leaders can further enhance than rural network expansion, where towers tend to where we’re number one in the market with the
their value proposition by offering attractive roaming have less healthy tenancy ratios. right market competitive dynamics.”
“
agreements.
Governments liberalise the market, prompting new market entrants and increased competition.
Every new entrant needs finance even to roll out by co-locating on incumbents’ towers
The market share of leaders erodes. Coverage is no longer king. QoS and network delivery becoming
key differentiators. Every time another tower goes up next to one of yours, value is being destroyed.
Incentive to protect your investment in the network by sharing as this monetizes stranded assets on
the balance sheet, stabilizes and can lower opex, and gets rid of O&M responsibilities
Tower sharing enables incumbents to compete with disruptive new entrants’ prices, while also
potentially lowering opex and improving EBITDA margin
A potential fifth phase of infrastructure sharing might see a progression to active infrastructure sharing.
We’ll have an in-depth article on active infrastructure sharing in issue 3 of the TowerXchange Journal.