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Decline Curve Analysis

This document provides a step-by-step analysis of decline curve parameters for an oil well based on production data over 19 months. It determines the initial rate, decline rate, and calculates cumulative production and remaining well life at economically limiting rates of 100 and 10 barrels per day.

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ikpesu emmanuel
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50 views14 pages

Decline Curve Analysis

This document provides a step-by-step analysis of decline curve parameters for an oil well based on production data over 19 months. It determines the initial rate, decline rate, and calculates cumulative production and remaining well life at economically limiting rates of 100 and 10 barrels per day.

Uploaded by

ikpesu emmanuel
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Decline Curve Analysis

Problem 5.1 - Well decline rate [DECLINE.mcd]


Months Oil Rate (STB/day)
0 3060
Problem 5.1 - Well decline rate [DECLINE.mcd] 1 2580
Given the following production history for a well. 2 2100
3 2090
Find: 4 1780
5 1860
(i) The decline curve parameters for the well. 6 1470
7 1510
(ii) cumulative production and remaining well 8 1250
life for an economically limiting rate of 100 9
10
1330
1220
STB/day. 11 1090
12 1150
(iii) cumulative production and remaining well 13 982
14 940
life for an economically limiting rate of 10 15 883
STB/day 16 850
17 713
18 700
19 743
Step 1: Plot qt verse t on a semi log scale
• The plot does 10000
Oil Rate (STB/day)

yield a straight
line, thus , the
decline isn’t
exponential.
1000

100
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
Step 2: Determine the initial flow rate qi
• If available on the table, it obtained directly from it
• But if not available on the table, the plot is extended to intercept at
the y-axis (t=0)
• qi = 3060 STB/day
Step 3: Select the coordinate at the end of
the smooth curve
• t2 = 19 months
• q2 = 743 STB/day
Step 4: Calculate q1
Oil Rate (STB/day)
10000

𝑞1 = 𝑞𝑖 𝑞2 =
3060 743 =
1507.84 𝑆𝑇𝐵/𝑑𝑎𝑦

The corresponding time t1 1000

(which is determined from


the plot):
t1 = 7 month
100
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
Step 5: Solve for n
• We solve for n numerically using Newton Raphson method
• Where;
𝑞𝑖 𝑛 𝑞𝑖 𝑛
•𝑓 𝑛 = 𝑡2 − 𝑡1 − 𝑡2 − 𝑡1
𝑞1 𝑞2
𝑞𝑖 𝑛 𝑞𝑖 𝑞𝑖 𝑛 𝑞𝑖
• 𝑓𝑖 𝑛 = 𝑡2 ln − 𝑡1 ln
𝑞1 𝑞1 𝑞2 𝑞2
• Newton Raphson method:
𝑓 𝑛𝑘
• 𝑛𝑘+1 = 𝑛𝑘 −
𝑓 𝑖 𝑛𝑘
• Note the initial assumption of n = 0.5
Step 5: Solve for n Cont…
s/n 𝑛𝑘 𝑓 𝑛 𝑓𝑖 𝑛 𝑛𝑘+1 𝑬𝒕
1 0.5 0.861034 -0.95171
2 1.404724 -11.7769 -36.0247 1.404724 64.40582
3 1.077811 -3.44431 -16.7239 1.077811 30.33117
4 0.871859 -0.83137 -9.1144 0.871859 23.62212
5 0.780645 -0.12025 -6.54971 0.780645 11.68456
6 0.762285 -0.0043 -6.08396 0.762285 2.408481

Therefore, n = 0.762
Step 6: Solve for 𝑎
𝑞𝑖 𝑛
𝑞2
−1
𝑎=
𝑛𝑡2
3060 0.762
743
−1
𝑎=
0.762 ∗19
𝑎 = 0.134 𝑚𝑜𝑛𝑡ℎ𝑠 −1
The decline curve parameters are
• 𝑎 = 0.134 𝑚𝑜𝑛𝑡ℎ𝑠 −1
• n = 0.762
Cumulative production and remaining well life for an
economically limiting rate of 100 STB/day.
1 −𝑛
𝑞𝑖 𝑞𝑡
• 𝑁𝑝(𝑡) = 1 −
𝑎 (1 −𝑛) 𝑞𝑖

3060 100 1 −0.762


• 𝑁𝑝(𝑡) = 1 −
0.134∗12/365 (1 −0.762) 3060
• 𝑁𝑝(𝑡) = 1.6 𝑀𝑀𝑆𝑇𝐵
Note: to calculated for cumulative production, a must be in day^-1
Cumulative production and remaining well life for
an economically limiting rate of 100 STB/day.
Cont… 𝑛
𝑞𝑖
𝑞2
−1
𝑡2 =
𝑛𝑎
3060 0.762
100
−1
𝑡2 =
0.762 ∗0.134
𝑡2 = 123 𝑚𝑜𝑛𝑡ℎ𝑠
Remaining life of well = 123 – 19 = 104 month
Cumulative production and remaining well life for
an economically limiting rate of 10 STB/day.
3060 10 1 −0.762
• 𝑁𝑝(𝑡) = 1 −
0.134∗12/365 (1 −0.762) 3060
• 𝑁𝑝(𝑡) = 2.17 𝑀𝑀𝑆𝑇𝐵

3060 0.762
10
−1
𝑡2 =
0.762 ∗0.134
𝑡2 = 743 𝑚𝑜𝑛𝑡ℎ𝑠
Remaining life of well = 758 – 19 = 743 month
Key Note
• This answers here are different from that of the textbook because of
the approximation of n as 0.7 instead of using its value of 0.762

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