Option Income Strategies Overview/Survey: Raleigh-Durham Traders Meetup 1/11/2017
Option Income Strategies Overview/Survey: Raleigh-Durham Traders Meetup 1/11/2017
Overview/Survey
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VX9qsths0pA&t=1333s
M3 Delta Adjustment Points
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VX9qsths0pA&t=1333s
LOCKE M3 RESULTS
Strategy M3
2016 48.60%
2015 65.30%
2014 89.20%
2013 22.20%
2012 51.60%
2011 (M9) N/A
https://www.lockeinyoursuccess.com/weekly-market-and-position-update/
Road Trip Trade
http://f1.capitaldiscussions.com/2/2016/11/20161110-Ryan-Road-Trip-Trade-Presentation.pdf
Road Trip Trade Adjustments(partial)
• Add Layers
Road Trip Trade
http://f1.capitaldiscussions.com/2/2016/11/20161110-Ryan-Road-Trip-Trade-Presentation.pdf
Road Trip Alert Service Results – SPX
• Mar 2016 0.63%
• Apr 2016 1.08%
• May 2016 2.09%
• Jun 2016 3.53%
• Jul 2016 0.58%
• Aug 2016 -0.46%
• Sep 2016 2.27%
• Oct 2016 1.27%
• Nov 2016 2.46%
• Dec 2016 0.86%
• Total for 10 Months 14.31% Average 1.43%
http://roadtriptrade.com/
Road Trip Ryan Simmen Results (SPX)
http://f1.capitaldiscussions.com/2/2016/11/20161110-Ryan-Road-Trip-Trade-Presentation.pdf
M3 vs the Road Trip Trade
https://www.lockeinyoursuccess.com/the-m3-vs-the-road-trip-trade/
Jim Riggio’s Kevlar
• Two Entry Modes:
• Mode 1: (for low vol. and steep put skew)
Symmetrical butterfly below the money
plus in the money call
• Mode 2: (for high vol. and normal or flat put
skew) Put BWB below the money
• Enter 40 to 80 DTE
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zk2ZlrbZso8
http://kevlartrade.com/
Jim Riggio’s Kevlar
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zk2ZlrbZso8
http://kevlartrade.com/
Jim Riggio’s Kevlar
Trade Yield on
Expiration Planned Capital
Dec-2015 7.58%
Jan-2016 9.07%
Feb-2016 5.68%
Mar-2016 7.53%
Apr-2016 1.19%
May-2016 5.89%
Jun-2016 11.00%
Jul-2016 10.10%
Aug-2016 1.11%
Sep-2016 5.15%
Oct-2016 11.20%
Nov-2016 10.49%
Total for 12 Trades 85.99%
Average 7.17%
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zk2ZlrbZso8
http://kevlartrade.com/
Weirdor Trade Results 23 Months
(Amy Meissner)
http://a.capitaldiscussions.com/amy-meissner-trade-alerts-weirdor-strategy/
Weirdor (aka Jeep) – Amy Meissner
http://a.capitaldiscussions.com/amy-meissner-trade-alerts-weirdor-strategy/
http://optionstribe.com/2015/07/
Weirdor – Amy Meissner
• Put Credit Spread (20 point spreads)
• Put Debit Spread
• Call Credit Spread
• Far OTM Put
• 40-50 DTE
• Add Put Debit Spread if moves down, using
conditional order
• Exit 14 DTE
• Use tranches
http://a.capitaldiscussions.com/amy-meissner-trade-alerts-weirdor-strategy/
http://optionstribe.com/2015/07/
Falde Net-Zero Delta (60-40-20)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ShHj1CgG0dI
Matt Williamson FruitFly Results
• 2012: 75.2%
• 2013: 67.2%
• 2014: (25.1%)
• 2015: 80.9%
• 2016: 87.6%
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ShHj1CgG0dI
Matt Williamson FruitFly Metrics
• Important Metrics:
• ● Underlying: SPX
• ● Trade Category: Butterfly
• ● Planned Capital: $4,000 per lot
• ● Profit Target: 5%
• ● Stop Loss Flexible (based on structure)
• ● Win/Loss Ratio 6:1
• ● Average win 4.3%
• ● Average loss 7.2%
• ● Per-Trade Expectancy 2.6%
• ● Annual Expectancy* 63.3% based on 15-day average
trade cycle
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ShHj1CgG0dI
FruitFly Entry
• ● Underlying: SPX
• ● DTE: 30-35 (can go down to 20-25 during higher vol)
• ● Conditions: None (always in the market)
• ● Action: Buy to Open a broken-wing butterfly, as follows:
• ○ Upper wing ATM (or 5 points ITM)
• ○ Overall wing width no less than 80 (100+ preferred)
• ○ Lower wing width - upper wing width = 20
• ○ Entry price less than $2.50 per fly
• Upon entering, note your starting theta value at the current price
(with a $0.00 P/L),
• rounded down to the nearest multiple of entry lot size (e.g. for a
starting lot size of 12
• and a theta value of 129, your theta trigger would be 120)
FruitFly Exits
• Exit at profit target ($200 per lot)
• Exit if T+0 is below the expiration line (not
break-even point) to the downside
• Exit if a needed adjustment would exceed
planned capital
FruitFly Adjustments (partial)
• If Theta falls below the rounded starting theta
value: ● Roll enough short strikes up by no
more than 10 points to bring current theta
back over threshold. (Rolling all shorts up 10
points will max out planned capital
• If Delta becomes “greater” than -5 per lot to
the upside: ● Roll enough short strikes up 5 or
10 points to bring delta back “below” -5 per
lot
Bruno Voisin Rhino Strategy
• Enter at about 70 days to expiration
• Uses a combination of BWB, Call Calendars,
and Call BWB’s
• Starts with 5 40/50 Put BWB’s with upper
long 5 to 15 points in the money
• Adds butterflies or Call Calendar Spreads to
maintain delta neutrality
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NBp8zzdrnXo
http://a.capitaldiscussions.com/rhino-trade-alerts/
Bruno Voisin Rhino Strategy
Bruno Voisin Rhino Strategy
Yield on Yield on Yield on Yield on
Trade Trade
Planned Maximum Planned Maximum
Expiration Expiration
Capital Capital Capital Capital
Jan-2016 3.05% 8.78%
May-2015 6.71% 7.34%
Feb-2016 0.55% 1.69%
Jun-2015 5.83% 5.37% Mar-2016 -3.78% -10.85%
Jun-2015 6.93% 6.66% Apr-2016 0.35% 0.73%
Jul-2015 5.79% 5.96% Apr-2016 0.14% 0.55%
Jul-2015 4.87% 5.54% May-2016 4.26% 11.43%
Aug-2015 1.04% 1.21% May-2016 5.62% 7.98%
Jun-2016 0.42% 0.32%
Aug-2015 3.64% 5.36%
Aug-2016 2.90% 2.72%
Sep-2015 3.19% 6.65%
Sep-2016 5.45% 5.12%
Oct-2015 1.58% 6.08% Oct-2016 11.22% 21.20%
Nov-2015 3.55% 4.02% Oct-2016 11.06% 12.75%
Dec-2015 3.55% 4.02% Nov-2016 6.57% 8.78%
Nov-2016 5.02% 7.30%
Average 3.98% 5.47%
LOCKE Super Simple Spreads RESULTS
Strategy SSS – V Condor
2016 6.00%
2015 41.40%
2014 23.30%
2013 75.60%
2012 N/A
2011 N/A
https://www.lockeinyoursuccess.com/weekly-market-and-position-update/
LOCKE Super Simple Spreads /
THE BULL
• Entry 65 DTE
• Exit 30-37 DTE
• Sell 30 pt Bull Put Vertical at 10 delta
• Stop Loss $250 – when occurs, exit and wait
for next month entry
https://www.lockeinyoursuccess.com/programs/super-simple-spreads/
LOCKE Super Simple Spreads /
THE BULL
• Entry 65 DTE
• Exit 30-37 DTE
• Sell 30 pt Bull Put Vertical at 10 delta
• Stop Loss $250 – when occurs, exit and wait
for next month entry
https://www.lockeinyoursuccess.com/programs/super-simple-spreads/
LOCKE Super Simple Spreads – The Bull
https://www.lockeinyoursuccess.com/programs/super-simple-spreads/
LOCKE Super Simple Spreads /
V CONDOR
https://www.lockeinyoursuccess.com/programs/super-simple-spreads/
LOCKE Super Simple Spreads /
V CONDOR
https://www.lockeinyoursuccess.com/programs/super-simple-spreads/
Risk
• Are these like traditional “Income Strategies”
in terms of Suitability
• Down 50% requires up 100% to get even
• Down 80% requires up 500% (Evan Rothschild)
• Black Swans
• Are you liable for Deficit after Loss?
Copyright 2015 Evan Rothschild
Copyright 2015 Evan Rothschild
Copyright 2015 Evan Rothschild
“Look for a 25 point wide put credit spread in SPX,
which will give you at least $1 credit (sell 10 of
these); typically at around -6 delta, using the
0/25/50/75/100 strikes”
“Go out to 1 std dev (around -16 delta) and buy a 25
point wide put debit spread in SPX (buy around 4 of
these), using the 0/25/50/75/100 strikes 4. “
“Confirm that your position deltas are slightly
negative (around -1 to -3 deltas per tranche), using
TOS volatility smile “
“Confirm that your T+0 crosses the zero line behind
the upmost long put”
“Upside risk should ideally be 2% to 3% of the max
RegT risk (max of 5%); trade starts with a small
debit”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LD9C0Fy4_hU