Biogas For Better Life Business Plan 2006 2020
Biogas For Better Life Business Plan 2006 2020
Biogas For Better Life Business Plan 2006 2020
An African Initiative
C6 M94 Y100 K35 C100 M25 Y100 K25 C60 M63 Y54 K0
August, 2007
Colofon
Contact details:
Biogas team, www.biogasafrica.net
Photographs:
SNV, AGAMA and Winrock International
Graphic design:
www.vormaat.nl
Useful websites:
www.snvworld.org (click ‘practise areas/ biogas’)
www.bspnepal.org.np (biogas programme in Nepal)
www.biogas.org.vn (biogas programme in Vietnam)
www.idcol.org (biogas project in Bangladesh – click ‘projects’)
www.biogasafrica.net
www.biogsafrica.org
Business Plan: 2006 - 2020
2
Contents
3. New approach 9
3.1 Introduction 9
3.2 Lessons learnt: from top-down technology push to bottom-up marketing 9
3.3 Partners in the Initiative 9
3.4 Branding, Promotion and Communication 10
3.4.2 Promotion 11
3.4.3 Communication 11
3.5 Capacity Building 13
3.5.1 Biogas Market Promotion Programme 13
3.5.2 Financial assessment of household credits 13
3.6 Gender: women in the driving seat 13
3.7 R&D programme 14
4. Project Cycle 15
4.1 The five phases 15
4.2 Guiding principles for national promotion programmes 16
6. Financing model 20
6.1 Introduction 20
6.2 Options for grant funding 20
6.3 Typical financing models 21
6.4 Loans private sector (entrepreneurs) 21
7. Planning 22
7.1 Technical Potential 22
7.2 Planning of the Initiative 22
7.3 Annual grant fund requirement for the Initiative (US$ millions) 24
3
4
1 Launching of the initiative
The initiative was prepared by a group of 22 develo- 1.2 Aims of the initiative
ping partners in 2006/2007 and further developed
and launched during a conference in Nairobi in May Specific achievements to be reached by 2020:
2007. • Two million fully functioning biogas plants.
The conference marked the first step in launching the • Clean cooking energy for at least 10 million
Biogas Initiative. At this conference, the rationale, Africans.
opportunities and a draft business plan for the initia- • Establishment of 800 private biogas companies and
tive were discussed. Further steps were discussed and 200 biogas appliance manufacturing workshops.
agreed with representatives from African countries. • Creation of at least 100,000 new jobs.
The conference was attended by 140 people from 37 • Development of comprehensive quality standards
countries out of which 27 were African. and quality control systems.
• An operational rate of more than 90% across all
constructed biogas plants.
1.1 Vision • One million toilets constructed and attached to
biogas plants.
The “Biogas for Better Life: an African Initiative” visi- • Eighty percent of the bio-slurry utilised as organic
on is to create a successful market-oriented partner- fertiliser.
ship with governments, private-sector organisations, • Agricultural production increased by up to 25%.
civil society agents and international development • Improved health and living conditions for women
partners in African countries. It aims to provide two and children, reducing women and children deaths
million households with biogas digesters by 2020, by 5,000 per year.
offer business opportunities and improve household • Reduced drudgery by saving 2 to 3 hours per day
livelihoods (good health, sanitation, food security, per household in fetching wood, cooking and
environment and new jobs). It offers households cleaning pots.
opportunities to own, control and operate sustainable • Reduced health costs of around 80 to 125 US$ per
energy for their own kitchens at affordable costs. The family per year.
technology is safe, reliable and manageable for every • Savings of 6,400 tons of fossil fuel per year.
household in Africa. • Savings of 3 to 4 million tons of wood per year.
• Reducing greenhouse gas emissions annually by 10
Women are at the core of the Initiative: it is about million tons of CO equivalent.
better lives for women - less health hazards associa-
ted with cooking, less time spent on collecting fuel-
wood. It is also about the dignity of women and the-
refore we intend to integrate women into the initia-
tive, for example Hauwa Ibrahim is nominated as an
ambassador (see Section 5.2) for the Initiative. In our
marketing drive, we will start from the needs of
women: this means carrying out feasibility studies
that ask women what they need and it means consul-
ting women on how to proceed when preparing mar-
keting programmes.
5
2 Present biogas situation in Africa
2.1 Introduction
Experience with biogas dissemination for domestic However, the household biogas digester, fed with
use worldwide has been limited, with successes being domestic animal excreta, remains by far the most
recorded in China, India and Nepal. In Africa, howe- widely attempted concept. The biogas produced from
ver, with the exception of Tanzania which has recor- these household systems has been used mostly for
ded modest success with biogas, most biogas projects cooking, with some lighting use.
have been disappointing, being marked by abando-
ned bio-digesters and failed units. Despite the gene- Biogas is particularly suited to meeting small-scale
rally high failure rate, it is important to note that energy needs, can contribute to sanitation and hygie-
there have been successful applications and adoptions ne improvements and is simple enough to avoid pro-
of the technology at the household level, and this duction limitations in rural Africa. Globally, biogas
adds credence to the potential effectiveness and sui- technology seems to have outpaced the diffusion of
tability of the technology for the African context. other decentralised energy technologies, with a repor-
ted 25 million units installed worldwide. The next
Some of the first biogas digesters in Africa were set most common technology is solar PV, with slightly
up in the 1950s in South Africa and Kenya. In other more than 2 million units installed worldwide. The
countries, such as Tanzania, biogas digesters were reverse is true for Africa: solar PV installations far out-
first introduced in 1975 and in other areas even more number biogas ones.
recently (South Sudan in 2001). To date, biogas dige-
sters have been installed in several sub-Saharan coun- The technical viability of small-scale biogas technology
tries*. Biogas digesters have been installed in various has been repeatedly demonstrated in many field tests
situations including commercial farms (such as in chic- and pilot projects, but mass dissemination has not
ken and dairy farms in Burundi), a public latrine block been achieved. Problems include the fact that animals
(in Kibera, Kenya), prisons (in Rwanda), health clinics must be penned for effective collection of animal
and mission hospitals (in Tanzania and Zimbabwe) dung, farmers must own a sufficient number of live-
and collective cooking houses in Addis Ababa. stock to fuel the digester, and the initial installation
* Including Burundi, Botswana, Burkina Faso, Cote d’Ivoire,
Ethiopia, Ghana, Guinea, Lesotho, Namibia, Nigeria, Rwanda,
6 Zimbabwe, South Africa and Uganda.
costs for many may be a deterrent. Linking to human 2.1.2 Implications for the Future
latrines has often failed due to cultural barriers.
Biogas Technology as local knowledge has not been
Although several variants of biogas technology have institutionalised in many parts of Africa. Therefore,
been tried in Africa, the most common approaches expectations should be realistic and modest in the ini-
are based on the Indian Floating Drum and the tial introductory phase of the new Initiative.
Chinese Fixed Dome types. Plastic digesters have also
been tried in a bid to reduce the unit cost and varying Convenience is the key to ensuring long-term opera-
degrees of success have been recorded with the vari- tion and functionality, and this has to be a key design
ous technological options. and installation feature. Key areas include slurry
handling and application in fields, and cow dung
Biogas extension attempts in Africa have mainly been mixing. The distances between cattle stable/pen and
through government programmes. The main actors plant and source of water are important factors in
tended to be governmental agricultural or energy running a successful biogas plant.
research institutions. Across the continent, there has
been a failure to develop deep-rooted operational Plant Size and Subsidy: The larger the plant the less
and managerial know-how and commitment. likely that it will operate under optimum conditions
and therefore consideration should be given to offe-
In most cases, biogas was introduced through a pilot ring most support to smaller plants.
or demonstration project for a few households. The
underlying logic was that once people were exposed Design Adaptation: There may be a need for minor
to the working and the advantages of biogas techno- design adaptations between Nepal and Africa becau-
logy they would take it up and it would grow organi- se of the different physical and cultural contexts:
cally into a market. This approach has proven ineffec- capacity, materials, family land area, etc.
tive.
From the foregoing experiences, the following box 2.2 Technology: how do biogas digesters work?
summarises the lessons that can be distilled from the
wide and varied biogas experiences in Africa: The process mainly involves feeding the installation
with a mixture of dung and water. Biogas digesters
can convert animal dung, human excrement and
LESSONS other organic materials into combustible biogas. The
biogas can then be used in simple gas stoves for coo-
• Despite the wide failure rate, there are cases that king and in lamps to provide illumination. The process
demonstrate the effectiveness of the technology also produces a bio-slurry which can be easily collec-
and its relevance to Africa. ted and then used as an effective organic fertiliser to
improve crop yields.
• The demonstration effect hoped for through one-
off pilot interventions has not materialised pointing Various types of biogas digesters have been develo-
to the need for a long and sustained market- ped including floating drum, fixed dome and plastic
oriented promotion effort. bag designs. Depending on the context, all types are
potentially applicable. Most of the plants so far disse-
• The technological option most widely adopted and minated worldwide are of the fixed dome type. These
recommended is the fixed dome type due to its are made of masonry and/or concrete and, generally,
ease-of-construction and its reliability. most of the plant is below ground level and built in a
family’s yard. Daily tasks include feeding the installati-
• Biogas projects in Africa require the intimate on with a mixture of dung and water; and for farmers
involvement of a project promoter to seed the early with livestock on site and access to water this should
successes. not take more than 20 to 30 minutes per day.
Generally, the fermented material (the bio-slurry) is
• A high quality of work and sticking to a regular and displaced automatically and discharged into a com-
rigorous operation and maintenance routine are key post pit or channel.
in protecting the image of the technology and
building the confidence of end-users. The robust design of fixed dome biogas plants ensu-
res a lifetime of over 15 years. Maintenance is limited
7
Biogas installations reduce the demand for fuelwood,
and so mitigate deforestation. Applying bio-slurry as
an organic fertiliser closes the nutrient cycle and
checks soil degradation and erosion. In addition, since
the biogas process is carbon neutral, switching to
digesters contributes to a global reduction in green-
house gas emissions.
Health
Sketch Biogas plant. Positive effects of biogas plant installations on health
have been widely reported. Biogas installations impro-
to occasional checking and, when necessary, repairs ve health by cooking taking place in a cleaner envi-
of pipes and fittings; the installation itself, provided it ronment. This avoids respiratory and eye diseases
is operated properly, needs little care. Investment caused by the black smoke inherent with traditional
costs range from less than US$ 300 in Asia to ways of cooking, with women being the most likely
US$ 800 - 1,000 in Africa. to suffer eye diseases.
Typically, a farmer with two cows, or seven pigs or Typically with a biogas plant, that manure is directly
170 poultry could generate sufficient gas to meet the fed into the plant. This results in a cleaner farmyard
family’s basic cooking and lighting needs. Using the and a further improvement is possible if latrines are
same basic design, different plant sizes can be con- connected to the digester. However, cultural taboos
structed to match the actual livestock holding and will play a key role here. In Nepal, very few house-
biogas requirements of a family. holds were initially interested in connecting their latri-
nes but today more than 60% of digesters are con-
Automatically feeding the manure from animal stalls nected to a working latrine.
into the digester avoids waste littering the farmyard
and instantly improves the hygiene situation for the Economy
family. Similarly, the family’s own toilet can be con- The Initiative has carried out a financial and economic
nected directly to the installation, significantly enhan- analysis of biogas digesters. The outcome is positive,
cing the poor sanitary arrangements. but strongly depends on the price of fuelwood. While
it is a very attractive option for national economies it
The obvious advantages of domestic biogas plants is less so for households. At the macro-level, biogas
that they provide clean energy for cooking and programmes can be profitable even taking into
lighting in households, and avoid many of the parasi- account all the overall programme costs. The EIRR is
tes found in unconnected latrines. Replacing the need estimated in the Rwandan situation to be more than
for conventional cooking materials, usually fuelwood, 20%. Additional financial benefits arise from impro-
briquettes or dung cakes, digesters not only save ved health, reduced labour in fuel collection, income
money, they also reduce the workload of women and from emission credits, workload reduction (especially
girls. Equally importantly, the indoor air pollution cau- women) and increased agricultural production.
sed by cooking on inefficient woodstoves is virtually
eliminated. The generally improved hygiene will also Potential market for biogas digesters
reduce waterborne diseases. An initial analysis of the market in Africa has been
made based on the availability of domestic cattle,
The bio-slurry discharge from the digester retains all presence of water, scarcity of fuelwood, population
the nutrients present in the original feed material and density and temperature. The study shows a technical
forms an excellent organic fertiliser. The bio-slurry can potential of some 18.5 million installations spread
either be used directly on the land or composted with over various regions in Africa (see also Section 7).
other organic farm residues. With correct application,
the slurry has been shown to provide higher yields
than comparable fertilisation with manure, and provi-
des a viable solution to the nutrient depletion seen in
many agricultural soils in developing countries.
8
3 New approach
9
by operating agents – dedicated local development 3.4 Branding, Promotion and Communication
organisations with experience in biogas and with a
proven performance orientation. Transparency will be A communication strategy is a key factor in
the main guiding principle in partnership building and successfully promoting and branding the overall
marketing operations. The operating agents can be Initiative. The national programmes will separately
assisted by external experts if required. Operating develop and implement their own communication
agents can carry out a range of tasks including provi- strategies to reach out to their national stakeholders.
ding institutional support, advising, delivering com- The overall communication strategy will pay special
plete marketing programmes including feasibility stu- attention to women since improving the living condi-
dies, capacity-building support, promotion, develop- tions of women is at the core of the initiative. Further,
ment of local businesses, liaison with donors and fun- in implementing the communication strategy, women
ders and liaison with microcredit agents, national and will play an important role.
local governments and civil society organisation
stakeholders. Markets respond to demands, especially to demands
that are expected to last over a long period. These
Governments will play the appropriate public role for trigger the private sector to invest not only for the
a market-oriented approach by creating an enabling demand of today but also for that of years to come.
environment for the market, providing grants and tax The biogas industry is an infant industry in most
breaks, drawing up standards and legitimising the countries and will therefore require public support
programme. Governments will not have a role at the until it becomes established. Market development
operational level. Special attention will be given to activities, particularly promotion, are expensive and
cross-sectoral issues with special reference to social usually require action at both local and national
and cultural issues, the role of women and family levels.
livelihoods since the initiative addresses such diverse
policy fields as health, employment, regional rural Promotional activities will create demand for the pro-
development, social welfare, job creation, attitude duct. Product availability and turnaround time is the-
change, livestock breeding, agricultural production refore critical. The ability to run promotional activities
and reducing greenhouse gas emissions. may be hindered by a lack of digesters or trained
masons, or the inability to explain the benefits of bio-
The public (national and international) contribution to gas to prospective users without proper
the Initiative amounts to US$ 800 million spread over marketing/promotion tools.
a period of 10-14 years. It is anticipated that these
financial resources will be made available by national
authorities and the international donor community. It
is also possible that some of the resources will be pro-
vided by the voluntary carbon market and/or CDM.
Local development banks, international credit provi-
ders and household cash contributions will finance
the investment component.
10
3.4.1 Branding the Initiative schools competition such as the “Best use of Slurry”.
Incentives
Encourage excellence by creating prizes in various
categories. Have annual bonuses and penalties for
contractors (masons). National school programmes
can help educate young people about the benefits of
biogas. National level promotions could include a
11
Communicating the positive aspects of biogas can help overcome the social taboos.
Key Messages:
Slurry Benefits
Promote the benefits and use of slurry upfront. If not, the opportunity can be lost and will be difficult to add
later.
Poverty Reduction
The Nepalese initiative shows that focussing on improved household livelihoods (good health, sanitation, jobs,
food security) is an effective way to address poverty issues.
Better Health
Less wood smoke in the house from cooking, leads to better health.
Reduced Drudgery
Cuts down the time consumed on cooking-associated tasks (fuelwood collection, cooking, cleaning) by women
empowering them to do other things with their time i.e. become more active in the community, adult educati-
on programmes, more time to herself.
Encourages Education
Biogas provides a safer, brighter light for children to do school work at night.
Communication Strategies
The following aspects will function as guidelines in drawing up communication strategies for Feasibility Studies
and National Promotion Plans.
Identify Capacities
• Define who best to partner at the national level when communicating Biogas for Better Life: An African
Initiative.
12
Identify credible information channels
• Civil Society Organisations & Community Based Organisations, NGOs
• Print (consider literacy rates)
• Religious Organisations and Churches
• Cultural and Traditional Organisations
• Youth Organisations
• Women’s Organisations
• Private Sector, Business and Trade Organisations
13
ture, a group has been formed, led by an African
woman who is an expert on both energy and gender,
to monitor and advise on gender issues, and the
Initiative’s research efforts will focus on the needs and
positions of women.
14
4 Project Cycle
The Initiative specifies five phases that are described start on the roles and responsibilities of those to be
below. Each phase may be tendered for using a set of involved in a regional/national programme. The
clear selection criteria. Success by a company or an document should also describe the role and position
organisation in completing one phase will not mean of women in the implementation and how this
that it will automatically be allotted the next phase. reflects their inputs during the previous phase. The
implementation document will clearly state the finan-
cial involvement of all partners. An implementation
4.1 The five phases document will cover a period of 4-5 years. The pre-
paration and negotiations for an implementation
1. Desk study document may take anything up to 12 months
This study will focus, in a given region or country, on depending on scale and complexity.
a limited number of key criteria such as the availabili-
ty of cattle and water, scarcity of wood fuel, accessi- 4. First phase of a Market/Sector programme
bility to credit programmes and the energy policy of The first phase of a Market/Sector programme will
the regional and/or national government. Each desk last four to five years and involve the construction of
study should take approximately two weeks to com- 15,000 – 25,000 biogas digesters. The first year will
plete provided the necessary data are available. have the characteristics of a pilot phase: training,
informing organisations, developing marketing mate-
2. Feasibility study rials, communication, consulting local development
The Terms of Reference established for a feasibility banks and see the installation of perhaps only 500-
study will be based on the outcome of the desk 1000 digesters.
study. The feasibility study will identify the physical
areas with high market potential (the easiest mar- 5. Second phase of a Market/Sector Programme
kets), how to develop the market, the partners to be The lessons from the first period will be taken into
involved in developing that market and in client pro- account in designing the second phase. This phase
motion and communication. In particular, the feasibili- has the objective to develop a mature and sustainable
ty study will focus on the needs of women and market. The target will be to construct a further
households and on the needs and positions of 30,000 to 50,000 digesters. An independent biogas
women. Furthermore, the study will calculate the development agency and a matured biogas private
Internal Rate of Return for the national economy sector will be fully established during this period as
(EIRR) as well as for the households (FIRR). The study part of the sustainability efforts.
will also indicate any need for a subsidy to trigger the
household market and create a substantial one that Summary
would interest business partners, and the level of sub- The proposed market and sector programme will last
sidy required. A feasibility study will take two to four approximately 10 years and consist of five phases.
months to complete. These phases have to amount to a continuous process
in order to keep the momentum going, generate
3. Implementation document for a market program- commitment and build confidence among partners. In
me (both demand and supply sides) all five phases, every effort should be made to ensure
Based on the outcome of the feasibility study, negoti- that women have leading, high profile roles as they
ations with interested partners and individuals will are at the heart of the business.
15
4.2 Guiding principles for national promotion Institutional Factors
programmes • (Good) rural extension system (government or
NGO)
A national promotion programme will clearly indicate • Good rural banking/credit system
the partners in the programme, their roles and res- • Established private sector rural masonry enterprises
ponsibilities, communication lines and decision- • Support by traditional and/or local institutions
making structures. A national promotion programme • Active participation of stakeholders
will be built upon the feasibility study. Such a pro-
gramme will address the following factors: Technical/Resource Factors
• Robust and tested biogas digester standard designs
Social Factors that meet local needs and conditions
• Ensuring the participation of women at all levels • Availability of biogas appliances (valves, stoves,
• Target will be established rural households with lamps) at low cost
some cash income • Availability of after-sales service
• Ownership/land rights linked to households
• Improving environment and health aspects Political Factors
• Favourable social/cultural conditions • Stable and secure rural areas
• Improved agricultural production • Transparency
• Job creation • Commitment by government and private sectors
• Gender differentiation in household expenditure • Initial programme subsidy supported by
decisions government and donors
• Linking up with existing policy frameworks in
Market Factors energy, health, agriculture and sanitation
• Scarcity and/or high fuelwood prices
• Cost of alternative cooking fuels Communication Factors
• Adequate demand density for cost effective • Structuring National Communications Policy
management of programme • Identify capacities
• Effective private sector • Monitoring and evaluation mechanisms
• Demand for services that can be delivered by the • Identify local champions (early adopters of Biogas)
technology • Identify credible information channels
• Develop a marketing and awareness strategy • Language and social factors
• Effective branding strategies
Financial/Economic Factors
• Transparent and direct subsidies lowering the costs All the above factors will be elaborated in the feasibi-
to the end-user and linked to quality control lity study. While a national promotion programme will
• Equity (contribution from own funds in cash and/or be based on the outcome of a feasibility study, it will
kind) - initial investment by households should be also address and further specify, through a participa-
about 20% tory process involving stakeholders, the roles, respon-
• Credit availability (at affordable rates, with or sibilities, decision-making processes and flow of
without collateral through MFI arrangements) resources.
16
5 Organisation of the initiative
The organisation at the national level will be mana- Africa Leadership Group
ged and coordinated by independent national imple- The Africa Leadership Group will consist of individuals
menting agencies. with high-level relevant skills and experience. They
will promote the Initiative on this basis rather than as
The proposed governing structure outlined below will representatives of organisations, national bodies or
be further discussed and possibly amended at the governments. The Advisory Committee and African
next workshop in West Africa in May 2008. Leadership Group will advise the Board on the orien-
tation of the Initiative at policy level and not at the
national operational level.
5.2 Organisational structure
Trust Fund Manager, Coordinator of the Initiative
In the long term the Organisation & Institutional The Trust Fund Manager will be responsible for finan-
Structure of the Initiative, to be located in Africa, will cing, accounts, providing support services, manage-
consist of: ment, procurement regulations, reporting, approving
feasibility studies and national implementing initiati-
Biogas Ambassador(s) for the Initiative ves. The Trust Fund Manager is the institutional,
The Ambassador(s) will embody the high-level sup- organisational and financing centre of the Initiative.
port and function as the figurehead of the Initiative. The Trust Fund Management may be incorporated
The Ambassador(s) will promote the Initiative. within an existing organisation or, alternatively, a new
organisation could be established for this specific task.
Independent Board
The Board will consist of three to five individuals, Quality control
selected for their knowledge, their experience, their Expert organisations will be appointed to screen desk
integrity and their wisdom. The Board will take decisi- studies, feasibility studies, implementation plans.
ons based on the Guidelines and Criteria for the
Initiative and provide guidance to the Fund manager.
Risk management
Final responsibility resides with the Board. The Board Rather than install a complex and bureaucratic risk
will: management structure, which would go against the
• Set the Policy Guidelines and Focus for the Initiative’s aim of having a lean management core,
Biogas Initiative some level of risk will be accepted. For example; a
• Supervise the Biogas Initiative Host Organisation feasibility study may fail; a country programme may
• Set the guiding principles for the Initiative achieve a somewhat smaller number of installations
• Approve all new country promotion programmes than anticipated.
17
Organisational & Fund Management Structure
BIOGAS BOARD
Policy guidelines, Funds Approval
operation agents
18
The Nairobi conference has asked for more time to • Implementation of Business Plan
work out the fund management structure. In the • Identifying potential participating countries and
short term, the Initiative will start on a pragmatic securing their agreement to participate.
basis with an account manager. • Business negotiations with operators of marketing
programmes: contracting, monitoring progress,
For the time being, the governing structure will be disbursement of funds.
that of a silent partnership amongst donors involving: • Formulating and implementing an information/best
practices dissemination plan.
• Two Biogas Ambassadors • Preparing for meetings of the Board, meetings of
• Biogas Team the Advisory Committee, and of Ambassadors.
• Biogas Technical Advisors • Preparing Annual Report.
• Web Manager • Launch annual calls for desk studies, feasibility
• Account Manager studies and market promotion programmes.
Criteria for selection of Trust Management • Broad acceptance by consumers, donors, business
Organisation community, NGOs, Governments
• Strong African focus, experience and mandate • Demonstrable experience in dealing with high-level
• Organisation with international experience representatives of governments and local/
• Sound organisational governance, accountability international financial institutions
and transparency • Minimum of 15 years of working in development
• Experience in fund management
19
6 Financing model
1 Market promotion and management costs 6.2 Options for grant funding
estimated at US$ 200 to 250 per installation - to be
met from the grant fund. • Foundations such as the Shell Foundation,
2 Initial down payment of US$ 150-250 per digester. HIVOS, etc.
This will be met from the grant fund to bring bio- • Gas distribution companies looking for
gas costs down to a level attractive to households. opportunities for ‘greening’ their operation.
3 Balance of digester costs of US$ 450-550 per • Voluntary carbon compensation schemes need
installation to be met by the end-user through further investigation
microcredit arrangements in combination with a • US Millennium Challenge Account
cash contribution. • Bilateral donors, EC, African Development Bank
A grant fund will cover the costs detailed under 1 and In order to allow the initiative to start and to achieve
2 above and amount to some $ 400 per installation/ some initial successes, some US$ 6.0 million has been
household. The individual contributions (mentioned estimated as the necessary budget to undertake desk
under 3) will come from existing financing mecha- and feasibility studies and to elaborate marketing
nisms with the possibility of additional loans from plans for promising markets. Implementation has
international credit providers. already started in Rwanda, in the second quarter of
2007. Feasibility studies are now ongoing in Ethiopia,
The grant contribution towards the digester costs is Senegal, Kenya, Sudan, Zambia, South Africa, Mali,
required to make biogas financially attractive at the Tanzania, Burkina Faso and Uganda. Desk studies are
household level. The Economic Internal Rate of now underway in Ghana, Malawi, Lesotho,
Return (EIRR) in Africa is typically of the order of Swaziland, Nigeria and the West Africa Region.
20% or more, while the Financial Internal Rate of Other countries are likely to be identified in the
Return (FIRR) for households is in the order of 10%. months to come.
20
6.3 Typical financing models
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Total
Domestic Digesters
(thousands) 1.0 2.5 3.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 70.5
Subsidy $200 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.4 9.3
$150 1.8 1.8 3.6
Promotion
International 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.6 8.5
National 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 4.2
Voluntary market
$40/household 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.8 2.3 7.8
Household
Loans $400 0.4 0.1 1.2 1.6 2.4 3.2 4.0 4.8 4.8 4.8 28.2
Households Cash $150 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.8 1.8 1.8 10.5
(amounts in million dollars)
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Total
Domestic Digesters
(thousands) 0.5 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 8.0 44.5
Subsidy $200 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 5.7
$150 1.2 1.2 2.4
Promotion
International 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 8.8
National 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 3.2
Voluntary market
$40/household 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.5 5.0
Household
Loans $400 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.2 17.8
Households Cash $150 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.2 6.7
(amounts in million dollars)
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7 Planning
Total 17,413
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In order to achieve the envisaged two million plants, the following numbers of studies and programmes will
have to be implemented:
Phase 3: Implementation document for a Market/Sector (demand plus supply side) programme
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7.2 Planning of the Initiative
Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2015 2017 2018 2019 2020 Total
Annual production of biogas plants 1 2 7 20 50 120 250 250 250 250 250 20 200 150
Accumulated production 1 3 10 30 80 200 450 700 950 1,200 1,450 1,650 1,850 2,000
Studies
7.3 Annual grant fund requirement for the Initiative (US$ millions) (not including investments from existing financing mechanisms)
Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2015 2017 2018 2019 2020 Total
Research 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 8
Knowledge Management 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.3 7
Model I country programmes (10x) 2.0 5.4 9.4 13.4 16.4 20.0 24.0 28.4 30.0 29.1 21.9 12.2 4.8 217
Model II country programmes (30x) 2.1 6.5 15.6 27.8 36.8 45.0 53.0 59.4 63.0 66.0 58.4 44.8 24.0 4.0 506
Fund Management / Board 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 8
Total 6.2 15.9 29.4 45.2 56.4 68.1 80.1 90.4 94.9 97.0 82.1 58.0 29.8 4.9 759
5% contingency 0.3 0.8 1.4 2.3 2.9 3.4 4.0 4.6 4.8 4.9 4.1 2.9 1.5 0.3 38
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25
26
C6 M94 Y100 K35 C100 M25 Y100 K25 C60 M63 Y54 K0