How To Avoid Stop Hunting While Other Traders Get Stopped Out
How To Avoid Stop Hunting While Other Traders Get Stopped Out
Have you ever taken a loss only to see the market reverse back to your
intended direction?
And you can’t help but feel that “someone” is stop hunting you.
It sucks.
Or did you put your stop loss at the worst possible level — which makes it
easy to get stop hunted?
You ready?
Well, it’s a term often used by losing traders who got get stopped out of their
trades, only to see the market reverse back in their intended direction.
Now…
Because only losing traders blame the market, their broker, the smart
money, and everything else — besides themselves.
If you don’t take 100% responsibility, you are giving up your power to
change.
If you give up the power to change, you’ll never improve for the better.
You don’t see winning traders complain they are getting stop hunted.
Why?
So…
The first step to avoid getting stop hunted is to take 100% responsibility —
and only then can you become a better trader.
Now, let’s move on and answer a burning question that’s on your mind…
Why?
If the word gets out that ABC broker hunts their client stops loss, it’s only a
matter of time before existing clients pull out of their account and join a new
broker.
If you are a broker, would you want to risk doing that over a few measly
pips?
I guess not.
Most brokers don’t hunt your stops as the risk far outweighs the reward.
A broker widens their spreads during major news release because the
futures market (which they hedge their positions in) has low liquidity during
this period.
If you look at the depth of market (aka the order flow), you’ll notice the bids
and offers are thin just before major news release (like NFP) because the
“players” in the market are pulling out their orders ahead of the news
release.
Thus, you get thin liquidity during such period which results in a wider
spread.
And because of this, the spreads in spot forex is widened (because if it isn’t,
there will be arbitraging opportunities).
So, it’s not that your broker is widening their spread for fun, but they are
doing it to protect themselves.
Most brokers don’t hunt your stop loss because it’s bad for business in the
long run. And they widen the spreads during major news release because
the futures market is thin during this period.
If you are a retail trader, liquidity is hardly an issue for you since your size is
small. But for an institution, liquidity becomes the main concern.
Imagine this:
You manage a hedge fund and you want to buy 1 million shares of ABC
stock. You know Support is at $100 and ABC stock is trading at $110. If you
were to enter the market you will likely push the price higher and get filled at
an average price of $115. That’s $5 higher than the current price.
So what do you do?
Well, you know $100 is an area of Support, and chances are, there will be a
cluster of stop-loss underneath (from traders who are long ABC stock).
So, if you can push price lower to trigger these stops, there will be a flood of
sell orders hitting the market (as traders who are long will exit their losing
position).
With the amount of selling pressure coming in, you could buy your 1 million
shares of ABC stock from these traders. This gives you a better entry price,
instead of hitting the market and suffer a slippage of $5.
This allows them to buy from traders cutting their losses, which offers them
a more favorable entry price. Go look at your charts and you’ll often see the
market taking out the lows of Support, only to trade higher subsequently.
An example:
There’s no way to avoid stop hunting completely because that’s like saying
“how do I avoid losses entirely?”
It’s impossible.
The market goes where it wants to go and all you can do is participate in the
move and cut your loss when you’re wrong.
Still…
You want to set a proper stop loss so you don’t get stopped out “too early”.
1. Don’t place your stop loss just below Support (or above Resistance)
2. Don’t place your stop loss at an arbitrary level
3. Set your stop loss at a level where it invalidates your trading setup
Let me explain…
Why?
And this incentivizes the smart money to push the price to that area as it
offers them better entries & exits on their trades.
You’re probably wondering:
You should set your stop loss a distance away from Support/Resistance.
For example: You can use the Average True Range (ATR) indicator to
decide how much “buffer” you want to give.
It can be 1 ATR, 2 ATR, or even 3 ATR away from Support & Resistance
area.
It’s funny.
Most traders are fixated with the perfect entry, trying to nail the absolute top
and bottom in the markets.
But when it comes to placing your stop loss… where do you put?
So you place your stop loss in the most convenient way possible. Perhaps
it’s 50pips, or maybe 100 pips, or even 200 pips.
The market doesn’t care where you put your stop loss. It moves from an
area of liquidity to the next area of liquidity, and if you place your stop loss at
a random level — it will get eaten alive.
Now you’re probably wondering:
You should set your stop loss at a level which invalidates your trading setup.
I’ll explain more in the next section.
Read on…
Whenever you enter a trade, it’s probably based on a technical pattern (like
breakout, pullbacks, and etc.).
So, it makes sense that your stop loss should be at a level that makes your
technical pattern invalidated.
This means…
If you’re trading a breakout, then your stop loss will be at a level where if the
price reaches it, the breakout has failed.
If you’re trading a pullback, then your stop loss will be at a level where if the
price reaches it, the pullback has failed.
If you’re trading chart patterns, then your stop loss will be at a level where if
the price reaches it, the chart pattern has failed.
And once you’ve defined a proper stop loss, the next thing is to apply proper
position sizing so you don’t lose a huge chunk of capital — even if you’re
wrong on the trade.
You probably don’t have enough capital to push the markets and trigger
other trader’s stop losses.
Still, you can take advantage of this phenomenon and enter your trades
after they get stopped out.
Here’s how…
An example:
Now that you’ve learned the Forex stop hunting strategy, you must also
consider…
Where will you put your stop loss?
Where will you take profit?
How much will you risk per trade?
How will you manage your trade?
Which markets will you trade?
These are important considerations that must be part of your trading plan.
Conclusion
So here’s what you’ve learned today: