Worldwide Hospitality and Tourism Themes: Article Information
Worldwide Hospitality and Tourism Themes: Article Information
Worldwide Hospitality and Tourism Themes: Article Information
Worldwide Hospitality and Tourism Themes, Vol. 4 Iss 5 pp. 410 - 427
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WHATT
4,5 Risk identification and analysis in
the hospitality industry
Practitioners’ perspectives from India
410
Sonia Bharwani
Institute for International Management and Technology,
Gurgaon, India, and
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David Mathews
Trident Gurgaon, Gurgaon, India
Abstract
Purpose – This paper aims to identify the key risks which are endemic to the hospitality industry
and considered as important by hoteliers in today’s growing global context, with particular reference
to the Indian context. It also seeks to propose a generic model for risk management.
Design/methodology/approach – Primary data collection using questionnaires and
semi-structured qualitative interviews with hospitality professionals was supplemented by
secondary research in the field of risk and uncertainty management.
Findings – To secure competitive advantage and develop business resilience, it is becoming
increasingly important for hospitality organisations to shift their focus from merely responding and
reacting to crises and emergency situations, to proactively identifying, analysing and assessing risks
while formulating their business strategies. The paper identifies the most commonly addressed areas
of risk in the Indian hospitality industry, which include competition, seasonality of business and
changes in customer preferences and demand.
Practical implications – Practitioners, researchers and educationists in the hospitality industry
will find the implications of this study useful in the context of the present complex business
environment which is fraught with risks.
Originality/value – Given the dearth of research in the field of risk and uncertainty management in
the hospitality industry, especially in the Indian context, the paper explores various aspects of
hospitality operations prone to risk and proposes a framework for identifying the key risks in
hospitality organisations. It also puts forward a generic model of the process of risk management.
Keywords Hospitality, Risk analysis, Risk identification, Uncertainty avoidance, Risk management,
India, Hospitality services, Hotel and catering industry
Paper type Research paper
Introduction
Hospitality and tourism is a key sector in the world economy today and accounts for
more than a third of the total global services trade. Over the past quarter of the century,
international tourist arrivals have increased about one percentage point faster than
global GDP in real terms (ILO, 2010). It is estimated that the tourism sector contributed
approximately US$5,991.9 billion or 9.1 per cent to the global gross domestic product
Worldwide Hospitality and Tourism (GDP) in 2011(HVS, 2012).
Themes The Indian hospitality and tourism sector has also been growing at a commendable
Vol. 4 No. 5, 2012
pp. 410-427 pace. Research undertaken by Tourism Satellite Accounting (TSA) predicts that
q Emerald Group Publishing Limited demand for travel and tourism in India will increase by an appreciable 8.1 per cent p.a.
1755-4217
DOI 10.1108/17554211211277851 in the coming decade making it the third fastest growing travel destination in the
world. In consonance with this rise in demand, capital investment in India’s travel and Risk
tourism sector is expected to grow at 8.7 per cent p.a. between 2011 and 2021 (WTTC, identification
2011).
There has been a tectonic shift in the playing field of the Indian hospitality industry and analysis
especially over the last decade. A significant number of international brands have
either entered or are exploring the possibility of entering the Indian market. This has
presented myriad opportunities to a host of domestic players – both corporate firms 411
and entrepreneurs to tie up with experienced international players.
Though they operate in different domains, the hospitality sector shares a fairly
symbiotic relationship with the travel and tourism industry. As economic growth
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Methodology
This research is based on data gathered using qualitative research methodology. An
in-depth literature review of relevant academic articles and other sources of secondary
WHATT data such as reports of consultancy companies and industry reports was conducted to
4,5 ascertain the key risks in context of the hospitality sector with particular reference to
Indian luxury hotels.
Risk management and reporting is a statutory requirement for public limited
companies listed on the stock exchange as per securities and Exchange Board of India
(SEBI) regulations. Large luxury hotel chains – given the monetary investment
412 involved and the sensitive profile of their guests – have far more detailed Risk
Management Systems, often with dedicated resources to manage the processes. Hence,
a sample based on convenience sampling of a cross-section of senior practitioners from
leading public limited companies, operating luxury hotels in the Indian hospitality
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benefit within each activity and across the gamut of all activities. Risk management,
thus, helps an organisation in minimising the obstacles in meeting its business
objectives. By setting up suitable internal processes, risk management fosters a deeper
understanding of the business processes and activities in order to identify potential
opportunities and threats, thereby, reducing volatility and optimising operations
efficiency. (IRM, 2002)
On the basis of a study of literature (IRM, 2002; Stoneburner et al., 2002; AS/NZS,
2004; Ernst & Young, 2008) a simplistic, generic model of risk management process
has been proposed. Figure 1 presents a diagrammatic representation of the model.
Risk management includes three main aspects:
(1) risk assessment;
(2) risk mitigation; and
(3) risk reporting.
Risk assessment
The first step in the risk management process is risk assessment, which consists of risk
analysis and risk evaluation. A systematic process has to be put in place for identifying
and classifying risks to which an organisation is exposed. An in-depth understanding
of the different aspects of the business has to be obtained through an internal and
external audit process. Intimate knowledge of the organisation’s day-to-day
functioning, its markets, its operating environment, its strengths and weaknesses,
Figure 1.
Risk management process
WHATT the opportunities and threats that it faces as well as key success factors which are
4,5 critical in the attainment of its strategic and operational objectives is imperative. This
will help in identifying the different risks that are specific to that particular company.
This is the process of risk identification.
Thereafter, the resulting impact of the risk can be estimated by preparing a Risk
Level Matrix or a Risk Map on the basis of the probability of occurrence of the risk and
414 the severity of consequences of the risk. Probability or frequency or occurrence of a
risk can range from “almost certain” to “likely” to “unlikely”, while the impact or the
consequence of the risk could span the spectrum from “critical” to “insignificant”
(AS/NZS, 2004). In the illustrative example of a Risk Level Matrix given in Table I, 1, 2
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and 3 represent the relative importance that should be accorded to each risk and
consequently the urgency with which it should be dealt. A rating of 1 indicates the
most important risk and 3 the least important.
Thus, Risk Estimation can be qualitative or quantitative. While quantitative impact
analysis helps in measuring the impact of risk in numerical terms and is useful in
conducting a cost benefit analysis of the recommended risk control measures,
qualitative impact analysis finds its utility in prioritising risks and figuring out where
immediate improvements can be made to reduce the vulnerabilities (Stoneburner et al.,
2002).
Any/many techniques can be used together or separately to identify and analyse
risks. Given below are examples of some such techniques for risk identification and
analysis (IRM, 2002):
.
risk assessment workshop;
.
scenario analysis;
.
industry benchmarking;
.
incident investigation;
.
auditing and investigation;
.
PESTLE analysis;
.
SWOT analysis;
.
business continuity analysis;
.
fault tree analysis; and
.
threat analysis.
The data gathered through the risk identification and risk estimation process is then
used to profile and group the risks into various categories based on the nature of the
risks and their estimated resultant impact. A risk taxonomy can then be created
through the Risk Profiling process which can prove to be very useful in prioritising the
Consequences of risk
Frequency of risk Critical Major Minor Insignificant
Almost certain 1 1 2 3
Table I. Likely 1 1 2 3
Risk level matrix Rare 2 2 3 3
risks and help in setting up controls internal controls for risk mitigation. Thus, Risk Risk
Identification, Risk Estimation and Risk Profiling are the three main components of the identification
Risk Analysis process, which helps in understanding the nature of the risks that affect
an organisation. and analysis
To holistically carry out the risk assessment process it is imperative to evaluate the
risk after completing risk analysis. Risk Evaluation helps in determining the
significance of the risk in context of the strategic organisational goals and functioning 415
and the priorities of the management. Different criteria are used to evaluate the
importance of risks and may include the cost and benefits associated with risks, the
regulatory and legal requirements as well as concerns of the various stakeholders.
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Evaluating risks helps in deciding on the degree of attention and the level of effort that
should be directed towards managing and mitigating different risks in light of their
potential impact on the business as a whole.
Risk mitigation
Depending upon the significance and expected impact of the risk, a decision has to be
made about how the risk will be dealt with. Generally, the strategies to manage risk
typically include avoiding the risk, reducing the negative effect or probability of the risk,
planning for the risk, transferring the risk to another party or even accepting some or all
of the potential or actual consequences of a particular risk. Thus, risks can be treated by
using any of the Risk Mitigation options listed below (Stoneburner et al., 2002):
.
Risk elimination: Elimination of the risk cause so as to avoid the occurrence of the
risk would be the ideal way of dealing with a potential risk. For example to
eliminate the risk of default of payment by creditors, a cash only policy may be
adopted.
.
Risk limitation: Since complete elimination may be impractical or not be possible in
the case of each and every risk, steps can be taken to limit the risks by
implementing controls that minimise the adverse impact of a particular risk on the
business. For example, access to data on the IT systems within the organisation
can be password protected to limit the risk of theft of information data.
.
Risk planning: In order to manage risks that arise due to external volatility such
as change in prices of raw materials and fuel and fluctuation of foreign exchange
rates, hospitality organisations may mitigate the risks by planning for the risk.
This can be done by entering into annual rate contracts for raw materials,
advance purchasing of fuel or hedging the foreign exchange risks by entering
into forward contracts or having dual room tariff rates.
.
Risk transference: A risk which cannot be eliminated, limited or planned for can be
mitigated by transferring the risk to a third party through risk financing or
purchasing insurance. However, it must be borne in mind that not all risks can be
insured. For example, it is difficult to obtain an insurance cover for reputation risk.
.
Risk acceptance: Any pragmatic organisation is aware that certain present and
future risks which are unknown. The essential lack of knowledge of these risks
forces an organisation to just accept them and deal with their consequences as
and when they arise. Once any information about the risk is available to the
organisation it would be appropriately dealt with using any of the four preceding
risk mitigation strategies.
WHATT The risk mitigation strategies and the proposed risk control measures need to be
4,5 chosen based on a trade-off between the potential economic impact if no action is taken,
vis-à-vis the cost of the proposed control measures. Thus, a cost-benefit analysis should
be conducted to check if the costs of implementing the mitigation strategy are justified
by the reduction in the level of the risk. Besides the operational impact of the risk
control strategy, for example, its effect on the existing systems and its feasibility in
416 terms of user acceptance, technical requirements etc. should also be considered
(Stoneburner et al., 2002).
Risk reporting
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The first three categories of risks are largely extraneous to an organisation while the
Operations Risks largely stem from internal drivers within an organisation. Each of
these Risk Categories has a number of Risk Groups in them. An organisation could use
these categories and the groups as a broad map to indicate the key areas where they
would need to drill down and identify the specific risks they face in each of their units.
Figure 2 gives a diagrammatic representation of the proposed Risk Identification
Framework for identifying key risks endemic to the hospitality industry.
The ensuing exposition deals with each of the four Risk Categories and the key risks
in each category. This two-level framework was also used to structure the discussions
and questionnaires with the industry professionals.
Strategic risks
Strategic risks are those threats or opportunities that materially affect the ability of an
organisation to survive (Allan and Beer, 2006). They find their roots in the fundamental
Figure 2.
Risk identification
framework for hospitality
industry
WHATT decisions taken by an organisation to face the dynamic changes in the business
4,5 environment caused by complex interactions of external processes and events related
to its products, customers and competition:
.
Reputation risk (brand burn). Reputation risk refers to the potential loss that
negative publicity regarding an institution’s business practices or brands,
whether true or not, will cause. It may manifest itself in a decline in the customer
418 base, in costly litigation, or result in revenue reductions (Board of Governors
Federal Reserve System, 2004).
.
New project viability assessment. A new hospitality project involves several risks
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with regard to choice of location, viability of the proposed business model, ability
to raise capital finance, construction delays and cost overruns, governmental
permits and authorisations to name but a few.
.
Competition. These risks find their roots in the highly competitive environment
in which hospitality businesses operate. Competitive risks may arise due to
increase in supply of rooms in the market, or changes in the competitors’
strategies which may manifest in new or improved facilities and amenities at
significantly lower rates, greater brand recognition, wider marketing and
distribution networks, larger global spread of operations or stronger financial
position.
.
Business portfolio revenue contribution mix. The mix and composition of an
organisation’s business portfolio has an impact on its cost and revenue positions.
An excessive dependence on a specific market segment or geographic location
may mean that the business runs the risk of not maximising its potential returns.
It needs to effectively maintain a balance in its business portfolio from a strategic
perspective.
.
Seasonality of business. The business in the hospitality sector is seasonal in
nature, that is, hotels may face the risk of varying levels of revenue activities at
different time periods during the year. The peak season and the low periods vary
from property to property and depend mainly upon location.
.
Change in customer preferences and demand. The success of any business
depends on its ability to anticipate and respond effectively to consumer trends.
Customer preferences and demand for the services and products offered by a
hospitality organisation may change due to changes in social trends, changes in
travel, vacation or leisure activity patterns, weather, taxation, changing
demographics etc. Inability on part of a business organisation to predict or react
to such changes could result in reduced demand and erosion of its competitive
and financial position.
.
Management contracts and joint ventures. Hotel chains are increasingly seeking
to expand their portfolio using asset-light avenues of growth such as
management contracts and joint ventures. Such contracts come with their
inherent risks - they may not be renewed post-expiry or in some cases can even
be terminated mid-way. The management contracts and joint ventures also run
the risk of being subject to differing interpretations by the contracting parties
leading to risk of disagreement, conflict and, in some cases, even litigation and
damages.
.
External reservation channels. The growing use of internet-based intermediaries Risk
to make hotel reservations exposes hospitality organisations to the risk of being identification
increasingly dependent on them. Some of the emerging business models and
intermediaries could have a telling impact on the organisations ability to and analysis
continue to drive reservations and rates. External intermediaries could
consolidate and demand higher commissions, which could lead to a higher
cost of distribution. 419
Perspectives of Indian hospitality practitioners on strategic risks
There was a high degree of consensus amongst the respondents in identifying
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leveraging, including the risk of internal cash flows from operations being
insufficient to meet payments of principal and interest as well as changes in the
interest rates and in the availability, costs and terms of financing.
. Environmental law compliance. Hotels run the risk of liabilities and penalties in
case of non-compliance with environmental laws & regulations which may be
applicable in the geography in which they operate.
.
Taxation. Like other businesses, hospitality organisations have to deal to
changes in taxation rates in both direct and indirect that they pay as well as the
taxes they collect from their customers (e.g. luxury tax, service tax). An increase
in taxation rate could adversely impact the operating results through its impact
on the bottom line as well as on the volume of business. Further, the business
may be subject to income tax audits or similar proceedings, which may lead to
increased costs in terms of additional taxes, interest and penalties which may
negatively impact the profitability of the business.
.
Property title/ownership. Being real estate centric, hospitality organisations are
exposed to the risk of unclear property title or ownership. In India, property
records do not provide a guarantee of title to the land (Sinha, 2008). Hospitality
companies may not be able to assess or identify all risks and liabilities associated
with the land where their hotels may be located such as faulty title or
irregularities in title, including due to non-execution or non-registration or
inadequate stamping of conveyance deeds and other acquisition documents;
unregistered encumbrances; adverse possession rights; discrepancies between
the area mentioned in the revenue records, the area mentioned in the title deeds
and/or the actual physical area; or other defects.
. Illiquidity of real estate and assets. Hospitality organisations may have
substantial investments in real estate and immovable assets, which are relatively
liquid. This increases their exposure to risk since they may not be able respond
to changing economic, financial and investment conditions with alacrity, by
hiving off their assets. In addition, hotel properties also run the risk of not being
readily converted to alternative uses if they were to become unprofitable due to
competition, age of improvements, decreased demand or other factors.
Legal and Taxation risks were deemed to be the most frequently occurring. This
concern is lent credence to by the increasing proclivity of the authorities to resort to
litigation to ensure compliance with their directives and regulations.
In the context of evaluating the strength of the existent risk control measures, the
majority of the industry professionals consulted concurred that Foreign Exchange and
Credit/Default were the best controlled. The endless list of internal checks and controls
most hotel organisations have instituted ensconce them effectively from such risks.
What was of interest was the evident adaptability of the industry to the perception of
the increasing frequency of Legal Risks – with these risks also seen as one of the best
controlled risks. The very nature of the repeated risk control efficacy exercises most
hotel companies conduct has ensured a heightened level of compliance in daily
operations.
Operational risks
Operational risks are risks that result in course of carrying out the normal business
activities in an organisation and are connected with its internal resources, systems,
processes and employees (Jobst, 2007):
Guest health and safety. The hospitality industry is in the business of providing its
guests with a “home away from home” – a safe haven. It thus becomes the
responsibility of the hotel to ensure the guest’s well-being and physical safety while
they are on hotel property. Hotel guests may be exposed to health risks due to lack of
adherence to hygiene standards in food preparation or any other unhygienic practices. Risk
The physical safety of the guests also runs the risk of being compromised in the identification
process of their using the services and recreational facilities of the hotel such as
gymnasium, swimming pools, sauna, steam room, barber/beauty salon, spa or any and analysis
other personal services.
Employee health and safety. Hotel employees run the risk of becoming ill or injured
on the job, on a daily basis. The nature of their job makes them increasingly vulnerable 423
to risks of slipping and tripping, risks associated with heavy-duty cooking equipment,
knives and other kitchen equipment which can prove to be dangerous if handled
ineptly, musculoskeletal disorders (such as back injuries) due to lifting of heavy
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Fire and explosion. Hotels are exposed to the risks of fire and explosion which could
arise due to improper use of cooking facilities, defective gas installations,
defective/overloaded electrical installations or equipment, unsafe use of open fires,
improper storage or disposal of waste materials or any other unsafe practices which
may cause a fire hazard (Department of the Environment, Community and Local
Government, n.d.)
Property upkeep and damage repair. Since a hotel operates round the clock and
through the year, the building structure and the equipment and facilities that it houses
have to be well maintained to meet guests’ expectations and needs. The in-house
“infrastructures” like air-conditioning, mechanical ventilation, fire services,
lift/escalators, plumbing/drainage, lighting, laundry and catering installations, have
to be managed in an effective and efficient manner to deliver quality services and
mitigate any risks due to breakdown (Chan, 2008).
Security of property and physical assets. The property of the hospitality organisation
or its guests may be exposed to the risk of theft and/or vandalism by hotel employees,
co-guests or intruders from outside. It is important to identify all the potential
exposures and develop a risk management strategy to reduce the chance of an incident.
faces strategic, operational, regulatory and even reputation risks which can have
significant impact on the performance of its players.
In the Indian context, risks such as terrorism, competition, foreign exchange rate
volatility and guest health and safety, have emerged as the most significant ones
according to the perceptions of senior hospitality practitioners. All the leading luxury
hospitality organisations which were surveyed had incorporated risk management as
an integral part of the company’s business processes. They had risk mapping and risk
control mechanisms in place, albeit of varying strengths for different risks, depending
on the individual company’s perception of importance of the risks. This was
corroborated by the risk related disclosures in the Management Discussion and
Analysis section of the Annual Reports of the respondent hotel companies.
The feedback from the practitioners in the industry clearly showed that there is
significant homogeneity in the drivers and types of risks at the assessment stage of the
risk management process. Thus, a framework for risk identification, which could be
used across the hospitality industry, has been proposed in this paper. However, a
marked divergence was noted in the outcomes of the evaluation of the risks and the
mitigation strategies adopted to deal with risks – not just between different companies,
but even at an individual hotel unit level within the same company. Further, the
respondents were not amenable to discussing the details of the risk mitigation strategies
adopted by their companies due to the highly sensitive and confidential nature of the
information since this could serve to exacerbate the risks faced by them.
The later stages of the risk management process such as Risk Mitigation Strategies
tend to be highly unit specific and confidential. This fact led the authors to realise that
an attempt to elaborate options, methods and outcomes at the Risk Mitigation level
would be too exhaustive for the scope of this paper.
Hence, it was thought best to focus on offering practitioners a comprehensive
template for risk identification for use with that part of the risk management process
that tends to be more commonly applicable across the industry. Based on this template,
hospitality professionals can further devise customised solutions to deal with the risks
they are likely to encounter.
Conclusion
To be successful, organisations have to proactively evaluate the opportunities and
threats before them in light of their strategic objectives and take calculated risks rather
than merely respond to crises situations as and when they arise (Queiroz, 2001).
Prudent risk management allows organisations to add value to their operations and
create sustainable competitive advantage while also addressing bottom-line
WHATT efficiencies and redundancies. A good risk management program effectively
4,5 incorporates adequate measures and monitoring methods on a sustainable,
consistent, efficient, and transparent basis and includes risk reporting which is a
statutory requirement in many countries including India. It has, therefore, become
imperative for operators in the hospitality sector to adopt a holistic, long-range,
systemic and systematic approach to risk management, compliance and governance.
426 This would create an embedded culture of risk awareness and management within the
company and would go a long way in both reducing the likelihood and impact of
adverse events making hospitality organisations more resilient to unexpected or
unidentifiable risks.
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1. Vinnie Jauhari, Gunjan M. Sanjeev. 2012. Responding to the emerging strategic and financial issues in
the Indian hospitality industry. Worldwide Hospitality and Tourism Themes 4:5, 478-485. [Abstract] [Full
Text] [PDF]
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