Hybrid Approach For Predictive Maintenance Using Digital Twin
Hybrid Approach For Predictive Maintenance Using Digital Twin
THESIS
SUBMITTED IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENT FOR
THE AWARD OF THE DEGREE OF
BACHELOR OF TECHNOLOGY
IN
MECHANICAL ENGINEERING
SUBMITTED BY
SNEH SONAM 17070125113
SHERON SISODIYA 17070125108
MEHR BILLAWARIA 17070125067
UTKARSH NATH 17070125122
YEAR- 2017-2021
i
A PROJECT REPORT ON
THESIS
SUBMITTED IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENT FOR
THE AWARD OF THE DEGREE OF
BACHELOR OF TECHNOLOGY
IN
MECHANICAL ENGINEERING
SUBMITTED BY
SNEH SONAM 17070125113
SHERON SISODIYA 17070125108
MEHR BILLAWARIA 17070125067
UTKARSH NATH 17070125122
YEAR- 2017-2021
ii
CERTIFICATE
The thesis entitled “Hybrid approach for Predictive Maintenance using Digital Twin”
submitted to the Symbiosis Institute of Technology, Pune for the award of B. Tech in
Mechanical Engineering is based on my original work carried out under the guidance of Prof.
Priya Jadhav. The thesis has not been submitted elsewhere for award of any degree.
The material borrowed from other sources and incorporated in the thesis has been duly
acknowledged and/or referenced.
I understand that I, myself could be held responsible and accountable for plagiarism, if any,
detected later on.
iii
CONTENTS
LIST OF FIGURES iv
LIST OF TABLES iv
LIST OF ABBREVIATION iv
ABSTRACT iv
CHAPTER I: INTRODUCTION 1
CHAPTER II: LITERATURE REVIEW 3
2.1 LITERATURE GAP 6
CHAPTER III: OBJECTIVE 8
CHAPTER IV: METHODOLOGY 9
4.1 DESIGN OF DTMT DESCRIPTIVE MODEL 9
LIST OF FIGURES/TABLES
iv
Fig. 1 CAD model of Milling Machine
Fig.4 SIMULINK one mass model for Y-axis feed drive model
Fig.5 SIMULINK one mass model for X-axis feed drive model
Fig.6 Cutting force model for X-axis and Y-axis feed drive model
Table 1 Parameters used in creating the SIMULINK model of Feed Drive System
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
v
DT Digital Twin
GRU Gated Recurrent Unit
ARMA Auto Regressive Moving Average
PHM Prognostics and Health Monitoring
CPS Cyber Physical System
ANFIS Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System
IMT Intelligent Machine Tool
ABSTRACT
CNCMT is a typical manufacturing equipment and is therefore known as the mother machine of
industry. Any fault in CNCMT might cause loss of precision and will affect production if
troubleshooting is not done from time to time. Therefore, there is a big significance of reliability
of CNCMT. Predictive maintenance is an effective method to avoid faults, error and casualties.
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Due to less consideration of the status variety and consistency of CNCMT in its life cycle,
current methods cannot achieve accurate, timely and intelligent results. For reliable and accurate
predictive maintenance of CNCMT, a hybrid approach is studied which is driven by DT. This
approach is DT model-based and data-driven hybrid. With the proposed framework, a hybrid
predictive maintenance algorithm based on DT model and DT data is researched.
For the virtual modelling of the system the Matlab SIMULINK software was used. The influence
of changing and optimizing several feed drive parameters such as position loop gain Kv,
proportional gain Kp of the velocity controller, integral gain of velocity controller Tn, electrical
drive time constant Te, total moving mass m, sampling period Ts, etc., on the positioning
accuracy and the dynamic stiffness was simulated, tested and validated. The cutting force model
was also considered to predict the tracking errors in the milling process.
At last, the tracking errors predicted using the proposed model are compared to those predicted
using the traditional model without consideration of the transmission path.
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INTRODUCTION
Mass production has now evolved into customized production with the steady increase of smart
and automated manufacturing. As technology keeps developing, manufacturing develops with it.
What we now know as digital networked manufacturing was earlier digital manufacturing and
will soon become the latest intelligent manufacturing by becoming more digitized, intelligent
and automated.
These changes have created challenges for fault detection and predictions which are considered
for new products, increasing the accuracy of prediction and product customization. Signal
analysis is typically the method used for the detection of fault and this is mostly dependent on
the operator’s experience and inspections. Usually statistical data are used to make prediction
using the runtime data. Digital twin is what we will use for fault prediction inorder to optimize
the dependability, accessibility and safety of the machine.
CNC machine tool’s performance and reliability is determined by the quality of products it will
process during its working. The non-linearity in the process along with the noise is what causes
degradation in the performance of the Computer Numerical Control machine tool. As a result, an
error occurs in the prognosis. Decrease in performance is a time-varying process. These previous
methods of error deduction do not take into account the regularity and uniformity of the
apparatus during the cycle of its life. This in turn causes the outcome of the predictive
maintenance to be flawed, inconsistent and imprecise. We can create a data model based on the
information that indicates the strength and longevity of the apparatus in order to use it to
diagnose and predict the life of equipment.
There are numerous defects and reasons that cause hindrance and result in getting an inaccurate
output. Noise and the lack of comprehension of the various attributes of the machine are included
in these. Inorder to execute the hybrid predictive approach and overcome the defects, many
scholars proposed the idea of a Digital Twin. Hybrid predictive maintenance can be implemented
effectively with the help of DT concept CPS are enabled by Digital Twins.
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Digital Twin allows the CPS method to be executed. It uses laws of physics and thus results in
having an extremely accurate digital model. This model can then cache historical data used while
running inorder to be used further. It can also procure and sense data in real time one the
equipment is utilized.
2
LITERATURE REVIEW
Production time studies in smaller businesses show that each operation's machining and
assembly activities constitute just 5% of the entire length of the operation. The other 95 percent
of the operational time reflects the location of physical resources during setup periods during the
preliminary operations or the waiting before the next operations. Most of the working time is
often spent excessively on transport and storage, etc. Nyhuis P et al., 2009 [1].
A paradigm shift from 'real' to 'virtual' output has resulted in an increase in research interest in
the field since the early 1990s. Simulating some of the operations of a physical production
system has become possible with the help of computers. The main goal is to understand and
simulate the behavior of a specific production system on a machine prior to physical
manufacturing, thus minimizing the quantity of tests and experiments on the shop floor.
Less material is lost by the use of a computer device and interruptions can be avoided in the oper
ation of an actual machine on the shop floor Radharamanan R, 2002 [2].
The method developed for the success of virtual output was focused on literature findings and
practical experience. The approach is referred to as PoVEIR (Production in Virtual Environment
Integrating Resources) and is explicitly designed to optimize production processes in smaller co
mpanies characterized by special small-scale and variable volumes of production.
So far, different modelling and simulation techniques have been introduced in the field of CNC
machining. They are important for the improvement and cost reduction of manufacturing.
Onosato M (1993), Mwinuka T.E (2015), Debevec M (2014), Čuš, F (2015), Hrelja M (2014)
and Todorovic P (2014) [3,4, 5, 6, 7, 8].
The objective of modern manufacturing technologies is to produce the first part correctly and in
the most costeffective way in the shortest period of time. The construction and testing of physical
prototypes are major bottlenecks for the successful and economically advantageous production
of modern machine tools, as the product complexities increase and the competitive product life
cycle times are reduced Weck, M et al., 2003 [9].
The creation of modern software tools for the simulation of product properties has been greatly
enhanced in recent years, initiated primarily by the automotive and aircraft industries Weck M.
et al., 2003 [10].
Before the first physical prototype is constructed, advanced software and hardware systems
allow design engineers to test and optimize critical product characteristics with virtual prototypes
For the various design phases of a machine tool, a large range of software tools are available
Weule, H et al., 2003 [11].
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improvements. A computer simulation model of a physical product that can be interpreted and
analysed like a real machine is the virtual prototype of a machine tool. During the design process
, iterative change of a simulated model of the machine tool and exercise design variationsbefore t
he performance criteria are met reduces the entire product development time and costs significan
tly Altintas Y et al., 2005 [12].
Traditionally, the form of reliability statistics is generally used for Predict based on the statistical
features of historical characteristics Data on faults. However the approach of reliability statistics
needs a lot of checks, Historical and detailed data, which is difficult to apply for complex andco
mplex Large-scale, costly facilities, such as aircraft, machine tools, nuclear devices electric
power stations, etc. Another is the physical model-based method which by defining the digital
device model, physical failure model and fatigue life model, conducts fault predictions N. Cauch
et al., 2017 [14]. It is heavily dependent on the expertise and knowledge of experts to create an
effective mathematical model for complex electromechanical systems. The variety of status and
quality of equipment during its life cycle are not taken into account by these two types of
approaches, resulting in unreliable, untimely and unintelligent prediction outcomes.
As new generation technologies such as sensing, monitoring, simulation, big data and artificial
intelligence (AI) are being developed, Many smart methods have been applied to manufacturing,
which Providing an efficient means of predictive maintenance powered by the Data from
manufacturing J. Wang et al., 2019 [15]. Based on the monitoring of historical circumstances,
Equipment info, characteristics reflecting the health status of equipment The data-driven model
for prediction and prediction can be extracted to construct the Diagnosis of machinery. The
performance of different algorithms varies according to the characteristics of the target system
for the data-driven process. As well as its information and inaccuracy occurs because of the lack
of understanding The physical features, noise and uncertainty of equipment Duan L et al., 2016
[16].
Many scholars have suggested the hybrid predictive maintenance approach to resolve the defects
of the above-mentioned approaches H. Hanach (2019) and L. Liao (2016) [17,18]. By The
benefits of each process are augmented by the creation of a fusion technique. To understand the
4
hybrid predictive maintenance strategy, however it is important to develop precise mathematical
and physical Models, obtain accurate running data in real time, and render useful data.
(1) Reliability statistics method: Statistical features of historical fault data are used for fault
prediction in the reliability statistics method, as shown in Fig. (a), in which less detailed
information is required and no specific data or mathematical model is required Shimada J (2016)
and C. Li (2012) [20, 21]. A series of different probability density functions contain the
5
information required for prediction. Weibull distribution, Bayesian method, and fuzzy logic, etc.,
include fault prediction methods based on reliability statistics.
For commercial products in large batches, these methods are mostly used. It is not suitable for
complex and costly equipment or systems containing millions of parts and components, such as
spacecraft, aircraft and CNCMTs. Moreover this technique does not take into account the
complex operating environment, equipment performance degradation, and so on, resulting in low
prediction accuracy and confidence levels.
(2) Physical model-based method: The physical mathematical model reflecting the
performance degradation of the system is established according to the internal working
mechanism of the target system in the physical model-based method Ortiz J et al., 2016[22], as
shown in Fig. (b) from Y. Lei (2016) and B. Iung (2008) [23,24]. The essence of the physical
object can be clearly described by a mathematical model through which the degradation trend of
the object can be predicted to achieve the precise results of the fault prediction.
Although the physical model-based technique can reveal the system's fault logic without
collecting a lot of data, it needs expert support to design and develop the model. Most of the
machinery is typically complex mechanical and electrical systems, the corresponding
degradation models of which are difficult to accurately determine due to the lack of degradation
mechanism.
(3) Data-driven method: Data can be collected from running devices in the data-driven
predictive maintenance method, and no precise fault evolution model or performance
degradation process is required M. Baptista (2018), Daily J, Canizo M (2017) and J. Wang
(2019) [25 - 27]. For the analysis of big data, autoregressive model, artificial neural network
support vector machine, correlation vector machine, Gauss regression process etc are commonly
used J. Wang et al., 2019 [28],. As indicated in Fig. (c), features are extracted from historical
data and then converted into system knowledge. Via data collection and analysis, system
information on health status and deterioration that is concealed in data can be mined.
Many sensors are usually installed to collect data in order to obtain the operational status and
information of equipment, but some key components are unable to install sensors, resulting in
data acquisition and further data analysis difficulties J. Wang (2017) and J. Xie (2017) [29, 30].
What's more, in different systems, different algorithms have discrepant results. Therefore to find
the most appropriate algorithm and corresponding parameters, heavy work is required for the
algorithm experiments.
In summary, there are different flaws in the existing predictive maintenance approach based on a
single technique and do not satisfy the criteria of greater precision and reliability for fault
prediction. With the advent of new technologies, as shown in Fig., the hybrid approach (d) has
been a hotspot for research L. Liao (2016), J. Wang (2015) and Y. Liang (2020) [31 - 35]. In a
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hybrid approach, it is possible to follow the benefits of each method, essentially eliminating the
disadvantages of each single method.
There are several companies visualizing and implementing real life in terms of Digital Twin
applications, such as General Electric, PTC, NASA, Siemens and so on.
Currently, several studies have been conducted on digital twins Rosen R(2015), W. Luo(2018),
Guo(2018), Zhang(2017), QiangLiu(2018) and Jiewu Leng(2018) [41-46]. From the above
research and studies, it can be found that a lot of work has been done in the development of
digital twin-based computer tools involving technologies such as big data processing, the
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Internet of Things, cyber-physical systems and cloud computing. The benefits of the digital twin
in terms of diagnosis and prognosis of fault are that it is possible to process information from
diverse or different sources and to track the actual working conditions, and that the predictive
results may be put in the digital model to demonstrate the precision of the cutting quantity or to
better feed the tool system Jinjiang Wang et al.[47].
With the advancement of technology, the approaches to tool system fault prognosis are also
strengthened. There are several work on data-driven approaches to prognosis at the moment. A
new system for tracking the state of motor bearings and diagnosis of faults is used for
undersampling vibration signals Siliang Lu et al. [48]. The community method of data handling
(GMDH) suggests the method of predicting and detecting cutting tool failure in a process device
Uematsu T et al. [49]. Such methods of diagnosis and prognosis based on statistical processes
have been suggested El Wardany T, Lamiaa M, Kang J (2007) and Park S [50-53]. The above
model and methods are all about the model-based approach to prognosis.
There are some special benefits of current methods of fault prognosis. However there are some
drawbacks: 1) the system is always too stochastic to model for some, 2) the approach relies
heavily on expert expertise and requires a large number of rules, 3) the model lacks a scheme to
update the model with new test data.
Thus to help the study of fault diagnosis and prognosis, a Digital Twin reference model is hereby
investigated. Big data is used for sensor information interpretation and processing, and the
computer control machine accepts the digital signals and directs the physical devices by CPS to
the next steps. The model algorithm for fault prediction is given by deep learning. This
methodology is paired with a data-driven and model-based strategy. An effective virtual and real
model of interaction can be created, which can truly represent the type of movement and the
material structure of physical objects in the virtual world. In addition, the projected effects are
easy to visually show in three dimensions, which may allow operators to appreciate the outcomes
of the prognosis.
Just in Fig. , we present a new ontology focused on digital twin technology knowledge from
current literature and analysis, showing a digital twin model tool system in terms of six
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technology features, four service implementations, four advantages and three enabling factors
used to drive the development of the digital twin model tool system.
Fig. . Characteristics, service, advantage and enabling factors defining tool system digital twin
model.
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Digital Twin achieves human-machine interaction and is able to communicate in real time with
the world and physical entities. It has a unique identifier that is related only to the device of the
tool. The technology is incorporated in the digital twin model with AI (ontology, machine
learning and deep learning, etc.). Due to the feedback mechanism of the digital twin model, it
can effectively help to correct errors in the design process of the tool system. Digital Twin
allows the model, motion, and fault visibility of the tool system, and can reliably determine
whether the feed system or the failure of the tool.
In Fig., the enabling factors 2 are defined as education, knowledge and rules of conduct.
Innovative education provides people with higher criteria for smart manufacturing and opens up
a wider view. More specific technology for data processing needs to accommodate a large
volume of data processing. When it is designed, the code of behavior guarantees the consistency
and continuity of the digital twin model.
Feed Drives
Feed drives are the most significant components of each machine tool. The feed drives are very
complex electro-mechanical systems for CNC machine tools. In particular good control
dynamics, position precision, load stiffness, acceleration capability and process velocity must be
displayed Gross H (2006) and Pandilov Z (2014) [56, 57].
The numerous errors of each feed drive axis for machine tools should be investigated Ramesh R
et al., 2005 [58] to achieve high precision machining. A machine tool consists of servo motors,
spindles, structures, etc., and a complex interaction of many factors such as servo dynamics,
friction, structural vibration, thermal effects, and cutting dynamics is its dynamic response
Ramesh R (2000) and Muhammad BB [59, 60].
It is possible to represent the simplified linear dynamics of a typical feed drive, as shown in Fig.
Here, u '(V) is the control signal applied to the current amplifier input, denoted by the Ka (A/V)
gain. The amplifier induces the current i(A) in the armature of the motor, resulting in the Tm
(Nm) motor torque, which is linearly proportional to I with the Kt (Nm/A) motor torque
constant. The motor shaft is also subjected to a disturbance torque Td (Nm) in addition to the
torque generated by the current running through the armature, which includes the effect of
friction in the guideways, ball screws and bearings, as well as the cutting forces Y. Altintas et al.,
2005 [61].
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Fig. Linear dynamics of a feed drive
Many studies have examined methods to minimize static or dynamic errors, such as suppression
of structural vibration, enhancement of servo rigidity, compensation for friction or backlash,
avoidance of chatter, and compensation for thermal errors. The dynamics of the configuration of
a machine tool can be calculated using the process of receptance synthesis Zhang GP et al., 2003
[62]. To simulate the interaction between the structure and cutting dynamics of a machine tool an
effective position-dependent multibody dynamic model of a machine tool was developed Law M
et al., 2013 [63]. To enhance the servo response a feedforward controller was applied Wu J et al.,
2017 [64]. To predict the tracking error, a robust tracking servo device with the feedforward
controller using coprime factorization and disturbance observer was implemented Ohishi K et al.,
2006 [65]. The servo output of the system table during pre-sliding to sliding can be strongly
influenced by friction and backlash. Different friction and backlash models were proposed to
improve its efficiency and the related compensation methods were investigated Erkorkmaz K
(2001), Chen Y (2002) , Olsson H (1998) and Nguyen BD (2007) [66-69]. Therefore the
aforementioned literature shows that the relations between servo dynamics and the method of
cutting have rarely been addressed.
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presented separately and then combined as an integrated system model Chen-Jung L et al.,
(2019)[70]
Fig. The architecture of an end-milling process and a servo feed drive for a CNC machine tool system
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LITERATURE GAP
The fact that the literature mainly comprises conceptual studies rather than studies of particular
case is indicative of how DT is still in its very early phases of development. Although lower
level studies of assimilation like DS and DM do exist. As demonstrated, production planning and
control is one of our key focuses based on the latest research about DT in production and
manufacturing due to the fact that it is a chief data sink in a system of production that binds each
thing. Therefore, a lot of times simulations are used to make the most of the models at their best
because it has a middle level time horizon. Although, areas that have higher frequencies of time
can also use DT.
An example of this is the utilization of maintenance that is based on the control of the process
and also its conditions without the usage of simulations that are time intense; Rather, information
and data driven methods are used. To be able to understand the benefits that can be attained with
the help of DT, we need to research various case studies in different environments of the
industry.
Most of the researchers have excluded the cutting force model in the design. We have included it
in our design because the main performance is the machining quality of the workpiece.
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OBJECTIVE
In the manufacturing industry, the computer numerical control machine tool (CNCMT) is
considered to be the one of the most important machines of the industry. The machining process
we selected is cutting and the component we chose is the cutting tool due the major role it plays
in the process. The surface finish, and accuracy of dimensioning are some of the few important
things that make this tool very important. The key objectives of our paper are as follows:
1.) To find the reliability of CNCMT inorder to troubleshoot the problems in the tool to avoid
negative effects on production like loss of precision, etc.
2.) To make a virtual model of CNC machine feed drive system using MATLAB Simulink, and
then simulate the results.
3.) To make the cutting force model to find the tracking error in the milling process.
4.) To compare the tracking errors predicted using the proposed model and the traditional
model.
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METHODOLOGY (WORK PROGRESS TILL DATE)
CNCMT is an intricate mechatronic system that contains many objects with many properties.
We closely assimilate various stages of the lifecycle of a machine tool with a multi-domain
consolidated model so as to satisfy the need of DTMT. In order to recognize the self-adaptation,
self-prediction and self-evaluation of DTMT, we consider the general comprehensive
performance of the model along with how different parts are coupled. The strategies of design
and simulation of multi-domain machines include a software program interface method.
The first step in the study is the creation of a virtual 3D CAD model of CNC portal milling
machine with a direct lead screw feed drive for all three axes. While building the model, we need
to take into account various areas and domains of physics like thermodynamics, hydraulics,
mechanics, electronics, etc., SOLIDWORKS, MATLAB, Simulink are all software that support
multi-faceted modelling. So, with the aid of these software we can create models of objects like
the cutting tool, feed drive, form subsystems and then integrate these into a consolidated multi-
domain system.
The records accumulated from sensor-acceleration, reducing pressure (cutting force) and AE
statistics. The raw data tends to consist of trend items because of drift in sensors from variation
in temperature. Inorder to provide better accuracy in the positioning of the machine table, the
feed drive model consists of a full-closed loop position control by using a linear scale to
15
feedback the current position of the table. For the cutting force model, we assume that the end-
milling cutter and the workpiece are rigid and that the cutting force is proportional to the cross-
sectional area of the chip. Apart from this, the burrs in the sign waveform end up including noise
signs like random interference signal, power frequency sign and periodic interference due to the
superimposition of the noise sign with the raw facts that are sampled. Smoothing of raw
information is done for the purpose of reduction of the effect of the interference signals and the
improvement of the vibration curve smoothness.
1. The first step is the creation of a virtual 3D CAD model of one CNC portal milling machine
with a direct lead screw feed drive for all three axes.
2. On completion of the virtual model in SOLIDWORKS, we export the solid model into
Simulink using
Simscape Multibody.
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Figure 2. SIMULINK block representation of CAD model
3. Different parts of the solid model are imported into Simulink as blocks are connected to each
other. The blocks offer a very detailed information about the solid part.
4. The next step in modelling is to create a Feed Drive System for X, Y and Z axis. All the three
axis require a separate feed drive system. We create a SIMULINK one mass model for all the
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axis to check the influence of changing several parameters related to the drive system and the
compliance of the drive system in the frequency domain.
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Load inertia J kg m−2 0.019606 0.00196644
Table 1. Parameters used in creating the SIMULINK model of Feed Drive System
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Figure 4. SIMULINK one mass model for Y-axis feed drive model
Figure 5. SIMULINK one mass model for X-axis feed drive model
Figure 6. Cutting force model for X-axis and Y-axis feed drive model
CNCMT is an intricate mechatronic system that contains many objects with many properties. We
closely assimilate various stages of the lifecycle of a machine tool with a multi-domain
consolidated model so as to satisfy the need of DTMT. In order to recognize the self-adaptation,
self-prediction and self-evaluation of DTMT, we consider the general comprehensive
20
performance of the model along with how different parts are coupled. The strategies of design
and simulation of multi-domain machines include a software program interface method.
21
CONCLUSION
Our paper proposes a method of maintenance where a DT drives a hybrid predictive maintenance
method for a Computer Numerical Control Machine Tool (CNCMT). Our paper uses an
approach to create a hybrid algorithm using software such as MATLAB and SIMULINK for
fault detection and maintenance.
In the given method, a multi-domain DT model is created using physical, electrical, hydraulic
and thermodynamic information to reflect the working conditions in their actual form. After this,
we use the different values and amalgamate them using our algorithm in order to give us results
that are more accurate than existing methods or methods that use a single strategy for prediction.
The experimental results illustrate that the tracking errors predicted using the proposed model are
more accurate than those predicted using the traditional model without consideration of the
transmission path.
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