1 s2.0 S111098231630076X Main
1 s2.0 S111098231630076X Main
1 s2.0 S111098231630076X Main
a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t
Article history: In the mountainous area of Assiut plateau in southwestern Egypt, a proposed road is designed to pass
Received 30 October 2016 through a flood path near Durunka village. A reliable and accurate information about natural hazards,
Revised 7 October 2017 could occur in this region especially flash floods, is required. Due to the lack of this information, a runoff
Accepted 6 November 2017
model is built adopting the Soil Conservation Service method for an un-gauged watershed of Assiut pla-
Available online 15 November 2017
teau. The hydrologic characteristics and soil type and cover for the study area are estimated during a site
visit. The watershed is delineated and the morphometric parameters are derived from analyzing the
Keywords:
SRTM3 Digital Elevation Model (DEM) using Geographic Information System (GIS) to construct a hydro-
Hydrology
GIS
logical model. This model provides a good estimate about the magnitude of flash floods including the
Assiut plateau water velocities and depths using HEC-RAS. Two rainfall events are used in this analysis, the first event
Flood hazards is a storm with 50 years return period, and the second event is for highest precipitation value recorded in
Egypt this area. The model showed that the maximum water depth could occur is 4.01 m and the highest water
velocity is 11.75 m/s. The results of this study could help the decision makers in protecting the proposed
road and to minimize the flood hazards.
Ó 2017 National Authority for Remote Sensing and Space Sciences. Production and hosting by Elsevier B.V.
This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-
nd/4.0/).
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrs.2017.11.002
1110-9823/Ó 2017 National Authority for Remote Sensing and Space Sciences. Production and hosting by Elsevier B.V.
This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
220 H. Ezz / Egypt. J. Remote Sensing Space Sci. 21 (2018) 219–227
addition to the 1D models, some of the most widely used software steady flow model like HEC-RAS the water surface profile and
for 2D modelling are FLO 2D (O’Brien, 2006), MIKE-21 (DHI, 2000), water velocities can be well predicted along the wadi path.
DELFT-FLS (Hesselink et al., 2003), and DELFT-3D (Stelling and This paper aims to predict and quantify the magnitude of the
Duinmeijer, 2003). maximum flash flood can occur from multiple ungauged catch-
Recently, the GIS has become an essential tool in hydrological ments in Assiut plateau area, near Durunka village, using GIS,
modeling because of its capability in handling large amount of spa- SCS model, and HEC-RAS. The main objective is to estimate the
tial and attribute data. It has a lot of great features such as map possible water depths, and velocities could occur from a flash flood
overlay and analysis, help for deriving and aggregating hydrologic in order to determine a safe road level which is proposed to pass
parameters from different sources such as soil, land cover, and through this flood path. This flood path has a bad history since a
rainfall data if available (Cheng et al., 2006; de Winnaar et al., flash flood occurred in November 1994 caused to at least 200 peo-
2007). The GIS environment has the ability to extract the hydrolog- ple were killed in Durunka village (Hedges, 1994).
ical variables needed from a good quality digital elevation models
(DEMs), such as catchments shapes, flow directions, slopes, path
lengths, and watershed delineation (Jenson and Domingue, 1988; 2. Study area
Wilson and Gallant, 2000). Together with a one-dimensional
Assiut plateau drainage basin is located in the West bank of the
Nile valley. Our study area is named the ‘‘flood path” of Durunka
village in Assiut by the locals. This flood path is hydrologically
studied in this research since it is the best route for the proposed
road connecting Assiut airport with Assiut City Fig. 1. The terrain
of the study area is characterized by a high variability of elevations,
and ridges surrounding the flood path as shown Fig. 2. The study
area is a natural desert with scant natural vegetation as typical
condition in Mediterranean arid zone. The lack of vegetation cover
helps in collecting and transporting most of the precipitations with
minor losses discharging the water downstream towards the vil-
lage. The drainage basin occupies the area between latitude 27°
9:50 N to 27° 5:80 N, and longitude 31° 8:50 E to 31° 110 E.
The assiut plateau ‘‘Drunka Formation” is composed of hard,
crystalline, massive to thin laminated, algal, burrowed and some-
times chalky limestone (Khalifa et al., 2004). The Lower Eocene
Drunka Formation is a thick carbonate platform and is subdivided
into two units. The Lower one is 34 m in thickness and comprises
four emergence carbonate cycles. The upper unit measures 99.75m
in thickness, and also comprises emergence carbonate cycles.
3. Climate conditions
Fig. 2. Photograph showing the flood path terrain in two different locations.
H. Ezz / Egypt. J. Remote Sensing Space Sci. 21 (2018) 219–227 221
70
60
50
Precipitation (mm)
40
30
20
10
0
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Years
Table 1
Flood frequency analysis by Log-Pearson III distribution method.
Table 2
Results of the hydrology model for the study area at P 1 ¼ 39 mm, and P2 ¼ 60 mm.
Table 3
Flow change locations and values along the flood path for P 1 ¼ 39, and P2 ¼ 60 mm.
Catchment Station P 1 = 39 mm P 2 = 60 mm
R Qp1 (m3/s) R Qp2 (m3/s)
U/S end 4513 4.76 10.73
7 4025 23.68 53.39
6 3775 33.20 74.86
5 3225 44.84 101.10
4 2350 57.07 128.67
3 1950 64.21 144.77
2 1275 77.55 174.85
1 525 104.10 234.72
The watershed delineation for the study area was carried out by
using ArcGIS software. All the morphological parameters needed
can be estimated using the embedded functions in the ArcGIS
including determining the catchments boundary, flow direction
and accumulation. Fig. 5 demonstrates the catchments generated
in the ArcGIS after specifying seven outlets. The location of the out-
lets are determined according to the proposed road alignment. In
other words, each outlet refers to an extra flow added to the main
flood path along the road alignment. The figure shows the area of
the catchments, and their average slopes.
Fig. 5. Model-generated catchments of the study area using ArcGIS.
uses the Curve Number (CN) to abstract the total rainfall hyeto-
Qp graph into an effective rainfall hyetograph to model a hydrograph
for each catchment outlet, giving an account of hydrograph char-
acteristics (lag time, peak flow, base time, etc.) to catchment
parameters (area, length, slope, soil type, land cover, etc)
(Masoud, 2011).
The excess rainfall, Q, is a function of the cumulative precipita-
tion excluding the initial losses, Ia , and a maximum potential reten-
tion value, S, as shown in Eq. (1)
Tp Tr = 1.67 Tp ðP Ia Þ2
Q¼ ð1Þ
ðP Ia þ SÞ
Time (hr) where Q ; P; Ia , and S are all in mm. The initial losses term, Ia , is con-
sidering the infiltration, soil type, land cover, evapo-transpiration,
Fig. 6. SCS triangle hydrograph. interception, and surface depression storage. The initial losses is
H. Ezz / Egypt. J. Remote Sensing Space Sci. 21 (2018) 219–227 223
0:208QA
Qp ¼ ð3Þ
0:5D þ 0:6T c
2
where: Q p : peak runoff discharge (m3 /s); A: catchment area (km );
D: excess rain duration (hr) and equals to 0.5La ; La : lag time (hr) and
equals to 0.6T c ; T c : concentration time (hr), and can be calculated
using Kirpich formula, Kirpich, 1940, as shown in Eq. (4)
0:06628L0:77
Tc ¼ ð4Þ
S0:385
where: L: maximum hydraulic flow length (km); S: average catch-
ment slope (m/m).
225
200
175
Elevaon (m)
150
Staon 3275 m
Crical Secon
125
100
75
50
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500
Staon (m)
5.1. Watershed modeling values are calculated and defined as shown in Table 3. The table
shows the accumulated discharge at each station along the flood
Using the geographic information system (GIS) environment, the path. The stations are located where the road is crossing an outlet
study area watersheds are delineated, stream networks are demon- of a catchment as shown in Fig. 7.
strated, and all the hydrologic parameters are computed including For the whole path, manning’s coefficient is set to be 0.045 since
slopes, lengths, CN. . .and etc. Finally, the peak discharge for each the path can be defined as mountain stream and its bed is covered
catchment is calculated. These data are used as an input to the with gavels, cobbles and few boulders (Te Chow, 1959). The flow
HEC-RAS to model the water depths and velocities along the flood regime in HEC-RAS is set to be mixed. The upstream boundary con-
path. dition is set as a critical depth, while the downstream end is set as
In HEC-RAS, the flood path is defined through 181 cross sections a normal depth.
extracted from the DEM of the study area. The sections are 25 m After fulfilling all the input data and boundary conditions in
apart. They cover the whole length of the flood path which is HEC-RAS, the simulation is done as a steady state analysis. Fig. 8
4513 m. The cross sections width are 200 m. The peak discharge demonstrates the water surface profiles for the two scenarios at
Fig. 9. Different cross sections along the flood path with water surfaces for the two scenarios.
H. Ezz / Egypt. J. Remote Sensing Space Sci. 21 (2018) 219–227 225
P 1 ¼ 39 mm representing an event with 50 years returning period, scenario is 11.35 m/s at station 2950 m. On the other hand, the
and P2 ¼ 60 mm representing the maximum event happened to maximum water depth occurred at the second scenario, at
the study area. The flood path bed level is also shown in the figure P1 ¼ 60 mm, is 4.01 m at station 1875 m where the water velocity
and the proposed road vertical profile is shown as well. From the is 1.51 m/s, while the maximum velocity occurred at the same sce-
figure it is shown that the minimum free board is 4.94 m between nario is 11.75 m/s at station 1975 m. From these numbers it is rec-
the water surface and the road at station 3275 m. This minimum ommended to make a proper protection to avoid these high
section occurs when simulating the second scenario at velocities. These high velocities can cause a huge bed and sus-
P 2 ¼ 60 mm. This free board is safe enough for the road design, pended sediment transport which is a crucial parameter and must
and insures that no overtopping will occur. Six cross sections along be took into consideration. The effect of this sediment transport
the flood path are demonstrated in Fig. 9 showing the water sur- lead to massive destruction and might cause to failure of the road
face and the road levels for the two scenarios. The figure shows (Etemad-Shahidi et al., 2010). In these sections the hazard comes
that the road elevations along the path is higher than the water from the high velocities and sediment transport not from the over
surface with a safe distance. topping since the road profile is high enough from the water sur-
Fig. 10 demonstrates the water depths and velocities along the face all along the path. Further research must be done on sediment
flood path for the two scenarios. It is shown from the figure that transport using numerical models since these models use water
the maximum water depth occurred at the first scenario, at depths and velocities as an input. Both models HEC-RAS and MIKE
P 1 ¼ 39 mm, is 3.08 m at station 1875 m where the water velocity 11 can be used to simulate the sediment transport for this case
is 1.08 m/s, while the maximum velocity occurred at the same (Kourgialas and Karatzas, 2013).
Assuit_Flood_108 Flood_CL
12
Legend
Vel Chnl PF 1
Hydr Depth PF 1
10
Hydr Depth (m), Vel Chnl (m/s)
0
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000
Main Channel Distance (m)
Assuit_Flood_108 Flood_CL
12
Legend
Vel Chnl PF 2
Hydr Depth PF 2
10
Hydr Depth (m), Vel Chnl (m/s)
0
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000
Main Channel Distance (m)
Fig. 10. Water depths and velocities along the flood path in the two scenarios. PF1 represents P 1 ¼ 39 mm, and PF2 represents P 2 ¼ 360 mm.
226 H. Ezz / Egypt. J. Remote Sensing Space Sci. 21 (2018) 219–227
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