Principles of Macro Economics Part 4
Principles of Macro Economics Part 4
Principles of Macro Economics Part 4
MULTIPLIER
BYDR.
PAULSON MATHEW CHUNKAPURA
President &
Prof. Of
UAE Campus, Dubai Economics& Business, American City University & London
.
City College,
ODR. PAULSON,
JAN 2003. All rights reserved with
author. No part of this
the
publication may be
reproduced in any form or by any means, by any one.
The concept of
consumption function was developed by LORD J.M KEYNES.
him, as income
increases, consumption also According to
following table illustrates consumption function: increases,
but less than
proportionately. The
Income (Y)
Disposable Income
Consumption Savings
(in Millionsof S) (in Millions ofS)
(Yd) in Millionsof (S)
0
60
20
70
-20 Negative
0
120 120 0] Zero saving
180 170 +10
240 220 +20 Saving
300 270 +30
360 320 +40
From the above table , it is clear that consumption is a rising function of
Disposable income. Even when income is zero, people are still spending on consumer
goods because they have to eat in order to live. That part of the consumption expenditure
which is independent of the level of income is called autonomous consumption .People finance
autonomous consumption by using their past saving or by borrowing.
Function:
of Consumption
Diagrammatic Representation
RLaN-Evn
26RoSAVING d C+s
Saving
C f(yd)
=a by
Dissavirng
Autonomous Consumdtion
45
Disposable Income
Income". This is
level of
point.
Income is Zero
When disposable
a u t o n o m o u s consumption.
to point 'B'
the figure, OA and YS represent from their past saving .Up
In OA amount
people still spend rise in consumption
due to an
in the current period, incomne rises, consumption also rises. The there is positive
there is Dissaving.
As
-Induced consumption.
Beyond point B,
Income
increase in income
is called expenditure.
than the consumption
income is greater
because disposable
saving,
Consumption Function
Technical Attributes of of Income spent
on
APC C OR C
Yd saving
used for
of Income
APS is the
percentage
OR S
APS S Yd
APC + APS = 1, where 1 stands for
original disposable income.
2 Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC)
MPC is the ratio of change in
consumption to the change in income.
MPC AC OR AC
AY AYd
MPC +MPS =
1, where 1 stands for change in disposablelncome (Yd)
INVESTMENT-INCOME MULTIPLIER
The Concept of multiplier (K) is one of the most important contributions of LORD J.M
KEYNES to modern economics.
DEFINITION OF KK
K explains the relationship between an initial increase in Investment and the final
Increase in employment, output and Income.
The K shows what happens when an economy moves from one equilibrium
Level of income to another. It gets its name from the fact that, when investment in an
economy increases, the equilibrium output and income will rise by much more than the
Increase in investment.
MULTIPLIER FORMULA
K AY Change in income
AI Change in investment
OR
AY =KxAI |i.e., AY 1 - xAI
1-MPC
value of K
formulas to find the
LORD KEYNES has given 2
1. K=
1-MPC
2. K 1
MPS
The higher the MPC AC), the greater will be the value of K.
The lower the MPS, the higher will be the value of Multiplier.
IfMPC=0.8, K will be 5
11-0.8 - =5
0.2
1-0.9 0.1
In short, the value of K varies inversely with MPS and directly with MPC.
As a result , those
and income will increase by much
increases in output and income. In the end, output
further Million will.
MPC is 0.8 an investment of $ 10
than the initial increase in investment. If ,
more
income of $ 50 Million. i.e., ,
generate output and 5x10m=$ 50 million
S 50 million AY=_1 = X AI 1=1=
1-MPC 1-0.8 0.2
In a three sector economy, the size of K is measured by the formula= 1 D OR_ MPS+ MPT
1-MPC
formula:
the size of K can be found from the following
In a 4 sector open economy,
4
K 1 OR K
1-MPC MPS+MPT+MPM
Y
Y
C+TA
E1 C+I
Eo
45 A X
National Income
income.
Y
EP
11
lo
Io
National income
IfMPS=0.5
K will be 2 (K=1 or 1 -2)
MPS 0.5
However, the process does not stop there, if we assume that recipients of the $ 1000
have a marginal propensity to consume of 2/3, they will spend S 666.67 and save the
rest. This spending creates extra income for another group of People. If we assume
that they also have MPC of 2/3 , they will spend $ 444.44 of the $ 666.67 and save
the rest. This process will continue, with each new round ofspending being two-thirds
of the previous round. Thus a long chain of extra income, extra consumption and extra
saving is set up ( see the following table)
because the
to a halt when the
addition to savings total S 1000. This is
The process will come
and, therefore
original change in investment (A I) to income is
change in savings (A S)
is now equal to the the additions
because S=I ..At this point
to equilibrium
the economy is returned investment has created a $ 3000 rise in income;
to $ 3000. Thus $ 1000 extra
equal is3.
therefore,in this case, the value of the multiplier