E-Conomy Africa 2020:: Africa's $180 Billion Internet Economy Future
E-Conomy Africa 2020:: Africa's $180 Billion Internet Economy Future
E-Conomy Africa 2020:: Africa's $180 Billion Internet Economy Future
1.3B
people in 2019
40%
of population in 2019
700K
developers in 2019
2.5B
increase in GDP per capita
Key takeaways
Digital consumption growth is fueled by a fast growing urban and mobile population
A growing urban and mobile population brings tremendous potential to the economy. Internet penetration is 40% today and a 10%
increase in mobile Internet penetration can increase GDP per capita by 2.5% in Africa, compared with 2% globally. Increasing Internet
penetration to 75% has the potential to create 44 million new jobs.
Over the next five years, COVID-19 is expected to delay economic $712B
growth both in Africa as well as the rest of the world. However,
the resilience of the Internet economy, coupled with private
consumption, strong developer talent, public and private
investment, investments in digital infrastructure, and new
government policies and regulations will continue to drive this 2025
growth in Africa.
2020
$180B
$115B
e-Commerce e-Mobility
Key takeaway: Companies in the Internet economy have generally outperformed other sectors of the economy.
Source: Partech Africa Team. “2019 Africa Tech Venture Capital Report” (Partech Partners, Paris, January 2020).
CONSUMPTION GROWTH Proprietary + Confidential
45%
Urban population expected to grow by 190
million people, leading to 45% of Africans
2019 2050
living in a city by 2025
1.3B 2.5B
79%
Consumers in large urban areas spend 79% more
than the national average on goods and services
87% population growth in Africa
between 2020 and 2050
Source: Somik Venay Lall, J. Vernon Henderson, and Anthony J. Venables, “Africa’s Cities: Opening Doors to the World” (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2017),
Damian Hattingh, Acha Leke, and Bill Russo, “Lions (Still) on the Move: Growth in Africa’s Consumer Sector,” Perspectives on Retail and Consumer Goods 6 (Autumn 2018), McKinsey & Company.
CONSUMPTION GROWTH Proprietary + Confidential
Source: International Telecommunication Union (ITU), “Economic Contribution of Broadband, Digitization, and ICT Regulation: Econometric Modelling for Africa” (research paper, ITU Publications, Geneva, 2019).
EXPANDING TECH ECOSYSTEM Proprietary + Confidential
Ghana 15K 2%
Rwanda 5K 1%
Ethiopia 20K 3%
Tanzania 15K 2%
Uganda 10K 1%
Ivory Coast 10K 1%
U.S. junior developers (less than 6 years experience) Leading African educators
Key takeaway: While this number is still low, the growth of the ecosystem has begun creating
many opportunities for women coders, especially in Egypt, Morocco, and South Africa
Source:
Source:Google/Accenture,
Google “Africa Technology Ecosystem, Africa,” April 2020.
EXPANDING TECH ECOSYSTEM Proprietary + Confidential
2500 250
1500 150
The full impact of COVID-19 is yet to
1000 100
be realized, and as investors become
more risk averse, the landscape will
500 50 likely shift away from early and seed
stage investments towards
0 0
companies that are more established
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
with clearer paths to profitability.
Funding Deals
Source: Partech Africa Team. “2019 Africa Tech Venture Capital Report”
Briter Bridges, “State of Funding in Africa, Quarterly Bulletin”.
EXPANDING TECH ECOSYSTEM Proprietary + Confidential
11.8%
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENTS
increased access to 7
Tbps
higher-speed Internet 5
3
Digital infrastructure is the backbone of the Internet
economy around the globe and Africa. 1
International Internet bandwidth has increased by a factor of 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
10 over the past decade, to 12 terabits per second (Tbps).
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENTS
Branching unit
Source: Google.
PRO-INNOVATOR REGULATION Proprietary + Confidential
PRO-INNOVATOR REGULATION
Source: Trade Law Centre (tralac), “African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) Legal Texts and Policy Documents”.