Iran's Nuclear Program and U.N. Sanctions Reimposition
Iran's Nuclear Program and U.N. Sanctions Reimposition
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Iran’s Nuclear Program and U.N. Sanctions Reimposition
Whether the United States has the status to invoke Snapback would also end the process by which the Security
Resolution 2231’s snapback mechanism is under debate. Council is to end in 2025 its consideration of the Iranian
The JCPOA lacks a withdrawal clause, and no Security nuclear issue. The council adopted all of the resolutions that
Council resolution has altered the U.S. status as a JCPOA imposed sanctions on Iran, as well as Resolution 2231,
“participant.” Resolution 2231 is silent on the mechanism’s under Article 41 of Chapter VII, which enables the Security
status in the event that a P5+1 government ceases Council to adopt “measures not involving the use of armed
implementing its JCPOA commitments. The United States force,” including sanctions, “to give effect to its decisions”
neither describes itself nor acts as a JCPOA participant. Not concerning “threats to the peace, breaches of the peace, and
only does the May 2018 memorandum mentioned above acts of aggression.” Since adopting Resolution 1737 in
describe a U.S. decision to end its “participation” in the 2006, the council has been considering the Iranian nuclear
agreement, but the United States is also no longer issue pursuant to Article 41. Iranian officials have touted
performing its JCPOA commitments. the end of this status, which, as noted, Resolution 2231
Paragraph 10 of Resolution 2231 names the P5+1 countries stipulates.
as “JCPOA participants.” But it is not clear that Iranian statements and the JCPOA text indicate that the
“participants” is meant to include a P5+1 government that government may stop performing all or some of its JCPOA
ceases performing its JCPOA commitments, or if the term commitments if the Security Council extends the above-
merely identifies the JCPOA participants in July 2015. mentioned arms restrictions or invokes snapback. If Iran
Notably, the agreement describes the P5+1 as “participants” were to end its JCPOA participation entirely, the
when naming those states as members of the JCPOA- government would be bound only by its comprehensive
established joint commission. The United States no longer safeguards agreement, which is of indefinite duration. Iran
participates in that commission’s activities. would not be bound by its Additional Protocol, should
In an August 20 letter to Security Council President snapback occur before Iranian ratification of that
Indonesian Ambassador Dian Triansyah Djani, Secretary of agreement.
State Michael Pompeo initiated the snapback process by In such a scenario, the IAEA would retain its monitoring
notifying the council that Iran “is in significant non- and inspection authority pursuant to Iran’s comprehensive
performance” of its JCPOA commitments. This action safeguards agreement, but the scope of this authority would
followed the council’s rejection of a U.S.-sponsored draft be narrower. For example, the agency would no longer be
resolution to extend Resolution 2231’s conventional arms- able to monitor certain Iranian facilities that do not contain
related prohibitions. The letter argued that the Resolution nuclear material but are associated with the government’s
2231 language cited above gives the United States the right enrichment program. The IAEA would also retain its
to invoke snapback. The P4+1 Governments rejected this authority to verify the absence of undeclared nuclear
claim. Moreover, Djani explained in an August 21 letter to material and activities, but the agency would have fewer
the council that Pompeo’s letter “has no legal effect.” But means to do so, if Iran’s additional protocol is not in force.
Pompeo stated on September 19 that “the snapback of Moreover, Tehran would not be bound by any constraints
previously terminated UN sanctions…became effective” on its enrichment program, which has been the main source
that same day. of proliferation concern, although Iran would remain bound
UN Secretary General António Guterres wrote in a by its NPT obligations. Significant expansion of Tehran’s
September 19 letter that the “majority” of Security Council enrichment program would likely decrease the amount of
members have argued that Pompeo’s letter did not time necessary for Iran to produce enough weapons-grade
constitute the notification necessary for snapback, The highly enriched uranium for use in a nuclear weapon.
resulting uncertainty, he added, requires the Secretary to Prior to the JCPOA, Iran was improving its ability to
refrain from proceeding on the matter. The Security produce fissile material, despite U.N. and other sanctions’
Council could send the issue to the International Court of evident success in slowing the nuclear program. At the
Justice for an advisory opinion, but the council lacks an time, knowledgeable IAEA and U.S. officials observed that
independent mechanism to adjudicate these sorts of claims, IAEA safeguards on Iran’s declared nuclear facilities would
and council members typically reach political settlements to likely have detected an Iranian attempt to use them for
resolve such disputes. The implications of a council failure producing nuclear weapons. (For more information, see
to reach such a settlement in this case are unclear. CRS Report RL34544, Iran’s Nuclear Program: Status, by
On February 18, 2021, Acting U.S. Ambassador to the UN Paul K. Kerr.) Nevertheless, Iran’s continuing nuclear
Richard Mills sent a letter to Security Council President UK program concerned many governments. Indeed, U.S. and
Ambassador Barbara Woodward “reversing the previous Israeli officials at the time planned for a possible attack on
administration’s position on the ... sanctions snapback Iran’s nuclear program to prevent Tehran from developing a
issue,” a State Department official told reporters on nuclear weapon. The end of Iranian JCPOA participation
February 18, adding that “the United States is affirming could beget a similar situation.
that” Resolution 2231 “remains in full effect.” Iranian officials have indicated that the government might
Possible Iranian Responses withdraw from the NPT in response to snapback; the treaty
In addition to reimposing sanctions, snapback would has a withdrawal provision. In this case, Tehran would not
remove other incentives for Iran to continue participating in be bound by its comprehensive safeguards agreement or its
the agreement. These incentives include expiration of the treaty obligations. Notably, these Iranian officials, echoing
restrictions on Iranian arms-related imports and exports, as a long-standing government position, have stated that
well as missile-related imports described above. Tehran would still refrain from producing nuclear weapons.
https://crsreports.congress.gov
Iran’s Nuclear Program and U.N. Sanctions Reimposition
IF11583
Paul K. Kerr, Specialist in Nonproliferation
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