Financial Modelling CIA 2
Financial Modelling CIA 2
Income
Sales Turnover 9,845.98 11,343.77 12,753.15 10,088.18
Excise Duty 130.6 140.3 150.2 163.3
Net Sales 9,752.47 11,219.84 12,626.20 10,080.58
Other Income 180.63 186.85 88.47 131.12
Stock Adjustments 1501.1 1587.2 1602.3 1627.8
Total Income 10,103.90 11,579.41 12,899.93 10,127.03
Expenditure
Raw Materials 3,511.88 3,852.00 3,996.93 3,782.94
Power & Fuel Cost 336.39 350.35 334.23 381.32
Employee Cost 1,052.55 1,218.09 1,403.03 1,441.64
Other Manufacturing Expenses 0 0 0 0
Selling and Admin Expenses 6928 7510 7821 8161.5
Miscellaneous Expenses 1,649.20 1,985.12 2,591.15 2,304.15
Preoperative Exp Capitalised 0 0 0 0
Total Expenses 6,550.02 7,405.56 8,325.34 7,910.05
11,356.32 11,356.32
191.2 191.20
11,356.32 11,356.32
-48.64 -48.64
-1743.3 -1,743.30
11,454.91 11,454.91
4,430.56 4,430.56
416.3 416.30
1,515.42 1,515.42
0 0.00
9219.6 9,219.60
2,288.49 2,288.49
0 0.00
8,650.77 8,650.77
2,852.78 2,852.78
2,804.14 2,804.14
35.47 35.47
2,768.67 2,768.67
426.3 426.30
141.9 141.90
2,342.37 2,342.37
23.5 23.50
2,342.37 2,342.37
803.54 803.54
1,538.83 1,538.83
4,220.21 4,220.21
0 0.00
226.08 226.08
46.47 46.47
4,524.94 4,524.94
34.01 34.01
250 250.00
378.29 378.29
Balance Sheet of Biocon Ltd.
------------------- in Rs. Cr. -------------------
Mar '15 Mar '16 Mar '17 Mar '18
Sources Of Funds
Total Share Capital 89.9 90.12 90.32 90.42
Equity Share Capital 89.9 90.12 90.32 90.42
Share Application Money 0 0 0 0
Preference Share Capital 0 0 0 0
Reserves 8,937.84 11,822.95 14,689.92 15,694.54
Revaluation Reserves 0 0 0 0
Networth 9,027.74 11,913.07 14,780.24 15,784.96
Secured Loans 20.95 220.57 97 8.21
Unsecured Loans 19.14 166.25 491.51 4.08
Total Debt 40.09 386.82 588.51 12.29
Total Liabilities 9,067.83 12,299.89 15,368.75 15,797.25
Application Of Funds
Gross Block 3,274.26 2,644.15 3,656.80 4,346.79
Less: Accum. Depreciation 1,238.66 299.22 644.28 1,006.13
Net Block 2,035.60 2,344.93 3,012.52 3,340.66
Capital Work in Progress 489.96 624.25 480.76 1,171.04
Investments 3,444.23 3,740.82 6,913.92 5,362.85
Inventories 1,739.51 1,913.96 2,125.66 2,180.02
Sundry Debtors 2,515.21 4,545.15 3,902.45 4,946.31
Cash and Bank Balance 59.3 34.96 172.84 110.96
Total Current Assets 4,314.02 6,494.07 6,200.95 7,237.29
Loans and Advances 723.9 1,032.07 1,240.09 1,569.16
Fixed Deposits 0 0 0 0
Total CA, Loans & Advances 5,037.92 7,526.14 7,441.04 8,806.45
Deffered Credit 0 0 0 0
Current Liabilities 1,341.24 1,703.54 2,171.16 2,530.42
Provisions 598.64 232.71 308.33 353.33
Total CL & Provisions 1,939.88 1,936.25 2,479.49 2,883.75
Net Current Assets 3,098.04 5,589.89 4,961.55 5,922.70
Miscellaneous Expenses 0 0 0 0
Total Assets 9,067.83 12,299.89 15,368.75 15,797.25
90.5 90.5
90.5 90.5
0 0
0 0
17,026.77 17026.77
0 0
17,117.27 17117.27
1.68 1.68
0.53 0.53
2.21 2.21
17,119.48 17119.48
4,746.18 4746.18
1,373.23 1373.23
3,372.95 3372.95
1,199.09 1199.09
7,388.47 7388.47
2,305.98 2305.98
3,724.32 3724.32
61.44 61.44
6,091.74 6091.74
1,637.96 1637.96
0 0
7,729.70 7729.7
0 0
1,870.89 1870.89
699.84 699.84
2,570.73 2570.73
5,158.97 5158.97
0 0
17,119.48 17119.48
8,718.61 8718.61
378.29 378.29
Income Statement (Rs Crore)
Year Ending March. 31,
Mar '15 Mar '16 Mar '17 Mar '18 Mar '19
Sales 9,571.84 11,032.99 12,537.73 9,949.46 11,404.96
Cost of Sales 9,629.75 10,713.21 11,815.18 11,907.29 13,023.51
Other Income 10,103.90 11,579.41 12,899.93 10,127.03 11,454.91
Stock Adjustments 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Gross Operating Income 10,045.99 11,899.19 13,622.48 8,169.20 9,836.36
Assets
Cash and Marketable Securities 59.3 34.96 172.84 110.96 61.44
Accounts Receivable 2515.21 4545.15 3902.45 4946.31 3724.32
Deffered Tax Credit 0 0 0 0 0
Inventories 1739.51 1913.96 2125.66 2180.02 2305.98
Other Current Assets ( L& A and FD) 723.9 1032.07 1240.09 1569.16 1637.96
Total Current Assets 5037.92 7526.14 7441.04 8806.45 7729.7
Property, Plant and Equipment, Gross 3274.26 2644.15 3656.8 4346.79 4746.18
Accumulated Depreciation 1238.66 299.22 644.28 1006.13 1373.23
Property, Plant, and equipment, Net 2035.6 2344.93 3012.52 3340.66 3372.95
Miscellaneous Expenses 0 0 0 0 0
Other Non-Current Assets ( CWP+INVST) 3934.19 4365.07 7394.68 6533.89 8587.56
Total Non-Current Assets 3934.19 4365.07 7394.68 6533.89 8587.56
Total Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity 11007.71 14236.14 17848.24 18681 19690.21
Income Statement (Rs Crore)
Year Ending March. 31,
Mar '15 Mar '16 Mar '17 Mar '18
Sales 9,571.84 11,032.99 12,537.73 9,949.46
Cost of Sales 9,629.75 10,713.21 11,815.18 11,907.29
Other Income 10,103.90 11,579.41 12,899.93 10,127.03
Stock Adjustments 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Gross Operating Income 10,045.99 11,899.19 13,622.48 8,169.20
Assets
Cash and Marketable Securities 59.3 34.96 172.84 110.96
Accounts Receivable 2515.21 4545.15 3902.45 4946.31
Deffered Tax Credit 0 0 0 0
Inventories 1739.51 1913.96 2125.66 2180.02
Other Current Assets ( L& A and FD) 723.9 1032.07 1240.09 1569.16
Total Current Assets 5037.92 7526.14 7441.04 8806.45
Miscellaneous Expenses 0 0 0 0
Other Non-Current Assets ( CWP+INVST) 3934.19 4365.07 7394.68 6533.89
Total Non-Current Assets 3934.19 4365.07 7394.68 6533.89
0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
8650.77 68% 67% 66% 80% 76%
-10,269.32 -69% -64% -61% -99% -90%
1,185.59 37% 41% 42% 3% 10%
0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
426.30 4% 3% 3% 4% 4%
2342.37 34% 35% 33% 18% 21%
-1,583.08 -1% 3% 6% -19% -14%
46.47 1% 1% 1% 1% 0%
-5,849.76 -33% -30% -29% -62% -51%
61.44 1% 0% 1% 1% 1%
3724.32 26% 41% 31% 50% 33%
0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
2305.98 18% 17% 17% 22% 20%
1637.96 8% 9% 10% 16% 14%
7729.7 53% 68% 59% 89% 68%
0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
8587.56 41% 40% 59% 66% 75%
8587.56 41% 40% 59% 66% 75%
1.68 0% 2% 1% 0% 0%
0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
2572.94 21% 21% 24% 29% 23%
90.5 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
0.00 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
17,026.77 93% 107% 117% 158% 149%
17117.27 94% 108% 118% 159% 150%
0%
71%
-77%
27%
0%
3%
28%
-5%
35%
-40%
1%
-41%
1%
36%
0%
19%
11%
67%
35%
9%
26%
0%
56%
56%
149%
18%
1%
4%
23%
1%
0%
0%
24%
1%
0%
125%
126%
149%
Income Statement (Rs Crore)
Year Ending March. 31,
Mar '15 Mar '16 Mar '17 Mar '18 Mar '19
Sales (Net) 9,571.84 11,032.99 12,537.73 9,949.46 11,404.96
Cost of Sales 9,629.75 10,713.21 11,815.18 11,907.29 13,023.51
Other Income 10,103.90 11,579.41 12,899.93 10,127.03 11,454.91
Stock Adjustments 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Gross Operating Income 10,045.99 11,899.19 13,622.48 8,169.20 9,836.36
Assets
Cash and Marketable Securities 59.3 34.96 172.84 110.96 61.44
Accounts Receivable 2515.21 4545.15 3902.45 4946.31 3724.32
Deffered Tax Credit 0 0 0 0 0
Inventories 1739.51 1913.96 2125.66 2180.02 2305.98
Other Current Assets ( L& A and FD) 723.9 1032.07 1240.09 1569.16 1637.96
Total Current Assets 5037.92 7526.14 7441.04 8806.45 7729.7
Property, Plant and Equipment, Gross 3274.26 2644.15 3656.8 4346.79 4746.18
Accumulated Depreciation 1238.66 299.22 644.28 1006.13 1373.23
Property, Plant, and equipment, Net 2035.6 2344.93 3012.52 3340.66 3372.95
Miscellaneous Expenses 0 0 0 0 0
Other Non-Current Assets ( CWP+INVST) 3934.19 4365.07 7394.68 6533.89 8587.56
Total Non-Current Assets 3934.19 4365.07 7394.68 6533.89 8587.56
Total Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity 11007.71 14236.14 17848.24 18681 19690.21
Financial Indicators
Profitability Ratios
Return on Equity (ROE) -34.24% -26.94% -24.20% -38.34% -33.90%
Return on Sales (ROS) 36.52% 40.73% 42.25% 2.60% 10.40%
Growth Rates
EPS Growth Rate 2.33% -7.67% -38.55% 6.04% -
Dividend Growth Rate 0.00% -0.32% -0.16% 48.42% -
Sales Growth Rate -13.24% -12.00% 26.01% -12.76% -
EBIT Growth Rate -22.20% -15.17% 1944.04% -78.14% -
Net Income Growth Rate -3.69% -10.26% -40.90% 4.28% -
Plant Property Equipments Growth Rate Gross 23.83% -27.69% -15.87% -8.41% -
Liquidity Ratios
Current Ratio 2.57 3.58 2.50 3.05 3.01
Quick Ratio 1.68 2.67 1.79 2.29 2.11
Leverage Ratios
Total Debt to Total Capitalization 0.004 0.031 0.038 0.001 0.000
Long-Term Debt to Total Capitalization 0.002 0.018 0.006 0.001 0.000
Total Debt to Equity 0.004 0.032 0.040 0.001 0.000
Only Equity (No prederence capital)
Income Statement (Rs Million)
Forecasting Factor
Sales 5%
Cost of Sales 105%
Other Income 103.12%
Stock Adjustments 0%
Gross Operating Income
Interest (Income) 7%
Interest Expense 8%
Depriciation 28%
Pre-Tax Income
Dividends 40%
Addition to Retained Earnings
Assets
Cash and Marketable Securities 1%
Accounts Receivable 36%
Deffered Tax Credit 0%
Inventories 19%
Other Current Assets 11%
Total Current Assets
Miscellaneous Expenses 0%
Other Non-Current Assets (CWP+Invest) 10%
Total Non-Current Assets
Total Assets
% of Sales
% of Sales
IT Act
Same as 2018
Based on Historical Average
Based on Historical Average
Same as 2018
Nil
Previous Year R&S +Current year Addition to RE
Income Statement (Rs..Cr)
Year Ending March. 31,
Mar '19 Mar '20 Mar '21
Sales 11,404.96 11975.21 12573.97
Cost of Sales 13,023.51 12593.44 13223.11
Other Income 11,454.91 12349.38 12966.85
Stock Adjustments 0.00 0.00 0.00
Gross Operating Income 9,836.36 11,731.15 12,317.71
Assets
Cash and Marketable Securities 61.44 95.06 99.81
Accounts Receivable 3,724.32 4334.27 4550.98
Deffered Tax Credit 0 0 0
Inventories 2,305.98 2265.83 2379.12
Other Current Assets ( L& A and FD) 1,637.96 1363.77 1431.95
Total Current Assets 7729.70 8058.9200848 8461.8660891
Financial Indicators
Particulars Mar '19 Mar '20 Mar '21
EPS 34.010 187.319 232.024
Dividend per Share 5.000 74.928 92.810
P/E Ratio 26.100 - -
Book value per share 378.280 2005.410 2144.624
P/B (price to book) Ratio 2.400 - -
Dividend Payout Ratio 14.69% 40.00% 40.00%
Profitability Ratios
Return on Equity (ROE) 8.98% 9.34% 10.82%
Return on Sales (ROS) 15.36% 26.50% 26.50%
Growth Rates
EPS Growth Rate 19.45% 16.32% 23.87%
Dividend Growth Rate 5.78% 7.42% 13.56%
Sales Growth Rate 7.57% 5.00% 5.00%
EBIT Growth Rate 7.25% 4.61% 5.00%
Net Income Growth Rate 10.56% 8.42% 23.87%
Plant Property Equipments Growth Rate (Gross) 8.47% -12.88% 5.00%
Liquidity Ratios
Current Ratio 4.75 -1.11 -0.93
Quick Ratio 3.59 -0.80 -0.67
Leverage Ratios
Total Debt to Total Capitalization 0.141 -1.228 -1.592
Long-Term Debt to Total Capitalization 0.003 0.000 0.000
Total Debt to Equity 0.000 -0.551 -0.614
March. 31, Forecasting
Mar '22 Mar '23 Mar '24
13202.67 13862.80 14555.94 5%
13884.27 14578.48 15307.40 105.0%
13615.19 14295.95 15010.75 103.1%
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0%
12,933.59 13,580.27 14,259.28
os
5.29 5.29 5.29
2.76 2.76 2.76
-2.056 -2.664 -3.490
0.000 0.000 0.000
-0.673 -0.727 -0.777
-LTD-ONCL-TSEQ)
FINANCIAL INDICATORS
EPS
350.000
300.000
250.000
200.000
150.000
100.000
50.000
0.000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
EPS The EPS of the company increases drastically as the earning increase and for the purpose o
DPS Similarly, even the Dividend per share of the company increases drastically. In real life, with
BV/Share Keeping up with the EPS and DPS, the book value per share will also show a similar increase
Dividend Payout Ratio The Dividend Payout Ratio will increase from 15% and would stabilize around 40% over the
PROFITABILITY RATIOS
10.00%
8.00%
6.00%
4.00%
2.00%
0.00%
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
ROE The return on euity will increase from 8.98% and will stabilize around 13-14% over the nex
ROS The return on sales will increase from 15.36% and will stabilize around 26% over the next 5
GROWTH RATES
25.00%
20.00%
15.00%
10.00%
5.00%
0.00%
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
EPS Growth Rate The EPS growth rate will decline gradually over the next few years as the earnings stabilize
Dividend Growth Rate The Divident Growth Rate will increase for the first few years and after that it will correct it
Sales Growht Rate The sales growth rate will decrease from 7.57% and will stabilize around 5% for the next 5
EBIT Growth Rate The EBIT growth rate will decrease form 7.25% and will stabilize around 4-5% for the next 5
Net Income Growth Rate The net income of the company will reduce over the next 5 years as compared to the curre
Plant Growth Rate The plant property equipnents growth rate will come down from 8.47% to 5.99% in the nex
LIQUIDITY RATIOS
Current Ratio
6.00
5.00
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
-1.00
-2.00
1.00
0.00
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
-1.00
-2.00
Current Ratio Both the current ratios and quick ratio show a similar trend over the next few years but the
Quick Ratio The fluctuations in both can be attributed to the increasing current assets and current liabi
5.30
5.20
5.10
5.00
4.90
4.80
4.70
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Inventory Turnover Ratio The inventory turnover ratio increases with the higher increase in sale as compared to the
Receivable Turnover Ratio The accounts receivable increases highly in the next year as a result of which the receivable
LEVERAGE RATIOS
0.000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
-0.500
-1.000
-1.500
-2.000
-2.500
-3.000
-3.500
-4.000
-2.000
-2.500
-3.000
-3.500
-4.000
Debt to Capitalization Over the next few years, the debt increases substantially every year and hence the debt to
Long term debt to Capitalization Over the next few years, the long term debt to capitalization ratios increases gradually from
Debt to Equity As the total debt increases over the years, the ratios always increases in terms of absolute
Dividend per Share
140.000 3000.000
120.000 2500.000
100.000
2000.000
80.000
1500.000
60.000
1000.000
40.000
500.000
20.000
0.000 0.000
6 7 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 0 1
ase and for the purpose of forecasting, the number of outstanding shares have been taken constant but in real life, it will also increase acc
drastically. In real life, with increased earnings the company would issue more shares and the EPS and DPS will come down
lso show a similar increase.
bilize around 40% over the next 5 years. This increase is because of the increased earnings and hence the increased dividend.
25.00%
20.00%
15.00%
10.00%
5.00%
0.00%
6 7 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
14.00% 7.00%
12.00% 6.00%
10.00% 5.00%
8.00% 4.00%
6.00% 3.00%
4.00% 2.00%
2.00% 1.00%
0.00% 0.00%
6 7 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 0 1
Quick Ratio
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
-2.00
0.00
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
6 7
-1.00
-2.00
the next few years but the degree of fluctuation is more for current ratio as compared to quick ratio
nt assets and current liabilities over the next few years.
3.50
3.00
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
6 7 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
n sale as compared to the increase of invetory in the next year. After that, both sales and inventory increase gradually and in similar amoun
ult of which the receivable turnover ratio decreases. But after that year, the sales and receivables increase in similar accounts and the rati
0.002 -0.500
0.001 -0.600
-0.700
0.001
-0.800
0.000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 -0.900
0.002 -0.500
0.001 -0.600
-0.700
0.001
-0.800
0.000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 -0.900
40.00%
2500.000
35.00%
2000.000 30.00%
25.00%
1500.000
20.00%
1000.000 15.00%
10.00%
500.000
5.00%
0.000 0.00%
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 0 1 2 3
ased dividend.
Sales Growth Rate EBIT Gro
8.00% 8.00%
7.00% 7.00%
6.00% 6.00%
5.00% 5.00%
4.00% 4.00%
3.00% 3.00%
2.00% 2.00%
1.00% 1.00%
0.00% 0.00%
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 0 1 2 3
The ratios are negative because total current liabilites are taken as negative
adually and in similar amounts which results in the ratio getting stable at 5.29
imilar accounts and the ratio stabilizes at 2.76
-0.200
-0.300
-0.600
-0.700
-0.800
-0.900
-0.500
-0.600
-0.700
-0.800
-0.900
negative here, and hence reduces the amount in the denominator which thus increases the ratio
Dividend Payout Ratio
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
EBIT Growth Rate Net Income Growth Rate
30.00%
25.00%
20.00%
15.00%
10.00%
5.00%
0.00%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 0 1 2 3 4
s taken as negative, hence the ratios are negative
Income Growth Rate Plant Property Equipments Growth Rate (Gross)
10.00%
5.00%
0.00%
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
-5.00%
-10.00%
3 4 5 6 7 -15.00%
Growth Rate (Gross)
4 5 6 7
Sales sensitivity analysis