4 Distribusi Normal Multivariat-1
4 Distribusi Normal Multivariat-1
1 x 2
1 ( )
f ( x) e 2
dengan x
2 2
1 ( x )' 1 ( x )/2
f ( x) e
(2 ) | | p /2 1/2
xi , i 1, 2,..., p
b
P(a x b) f(x)dx
a
- x- μ
2
b
1
a 2
e 2σ2
dx
Distribusi normal dengan nilai rata rata sama , nilai standar deviasi
berbeda.
f(x)
x
Distribusi normal dengan nilai rata rata berbeda , nilai standar deviasi
sama.
f(x)
x
Distribusi normal standar :
= 0 and = 1.
b
P(a z b) f(z)dz
a
b
1 -z2
a 2
e 2 dz
Cumulative Standard Normal Distribution (J&W Table 1)
z 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0.0 0.5000 0.5040 0.5080 0.5120 0.5160 0.5199 0.5239 0.5279 0.5319 0.5359
0.1 0.5398 0.5438 0.5478 0.5517 0.5557 0.5596 0.5636 0.5675 0.5714 0.5753
0.2 0.5793 0.5832 0.5871 0.5910 0.5948 0.5987 0.6026 0.6064 0.6103 0.6141
0.3 0.6179 0.6217 0.6255 0.6293 0.6331 0.6368 0.6406 0.6443 0.6480 0.6517
0.4 0.6554 0.6591 0.6628 0.6664 0.6700 0.6736 0.6772 0.6808 0.6844 0.6879
0.5 0.6915 0.6950 0.6985 0.7019 0.7054 0.7088 0.7123 0.7157 0.7190 0.7224
0.6 0.7257 0.7291 0.7324 0.7357 0.7389 0.7422 0.7454 0.7486 0.7517 0.7549
0.7 0.7580 0.7611 0.7642 0.7673 0.7704 0.7734 0.7764 0.7794 0.7823 0.7852
0.8 0.7881 0.7910 0.7939 0.7967 0.7995 0.8023 0.8051 0.8078 0.8106 0.8133
0.9 0.8159 0.8186 0.8212 0.8238 0.8264 0.8289 0.8315 0.8340 0.8365 0.8389
1.0 0.8413 0.8438 0.8461 0.8485 0.8508 0.8531 0.8554 0.8577 0.8599 0.8621
1.1 0.8643 0.8665 0.8686 0.8708 0.8729 0.8749 0.8770 0.8790 0.8810 0.8830
1.2 0.8849 0.8869 0.8888 0.8907 0.8925 0.8944 0.8962 0.8980 0.8997 0.9015
1.3 0.9032 0.9049 0.9066 0.9082 0.9099 0.9115 0.9131 0.9147 0.9162 0.9177
1.4 0.9192 0.9207 0.9222 0.9236 0.9251 0.9265 0.9279 0.9292 0.9306 0.9319
1.5 0.9332 0.9345 0.9357 0.9370 0.9382 0.9394 0.9406 0.9418 0.9429 0.9441
1.6 0.9452 0.9463 0.9474 0.9484 0.9495 0.9505 0.9515 0.9525 0.9535 0.9545
1.7 0.9554 0.9564 0.9573 0.9582 0.9591 0.9599 0.9608 0.9616 0.9625 0.9633
1.8 0.9641 0.9649 0.9656 0.9664 0.9671 0.9678 0.9686 0.9693 0.9699 0.9706
1.9 0.9713 0.9719 0.9726 0.9732 0.9738 0.9744 0.9750 0.9756 0.9761 0.9767
2.0 0.9772 0.9778 0.9783 0.9788 0.9793 0.9798 0.9803 0.9808 0.9812 0.9817
2.1 0.9821 0.9826 0.9830 0.9834 0.9838 0.9842 0.9846 0.9850 0.9854 0.9857
2.2 0.9861 0.9864 0.9868 0.9871 0.9875 0.9878 0.9881 0.9884 0.9887 0.9890
2.3 0.9893 0.9896 0.9898 0.9901 0.9904 0.9906 0.9909 0.9911 0.9913 0.9916
2.4 0.9918 0.9920 0.9922 0.9925 0.9927 0.9929 0.9931 0.9932 0.9934 0.9936
2.5 0.9938 0.9940 0.9941 0.9943 0.9945 0.9946 0.9948 0.9949 0.9951 0.9952
2.6 0.9953 0.9955 0.9956 0.9957 0.9959 0.9960 0.9961 0.9962 0.9963 0.9964
2.7 0.9965 0.9966 0.9967 0.9968 0.9969 0.9970 0.9971 0.9972 0.9973 0.9974
2.8 0.9974 0.9975 0.9976 0.9977 0.9977 0.9978 0.9979 0.9979 0.9980 0.9981
2.9 0.9981 0.9982 0.9982 0.9983 0.9984 0.9984 0.9985 0.9985 0.9986 0.9986
3.0 0.9987 0.9987 0.9987 0.9988 0.9988 0.9989 0.9989 0.9989 0.9990 0.9990
Standard Normal Distribution
z 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0.0 0.0000 0.0040 0.0080 0.0120 0.0160 0.0199 0.0239 0.0279 0.0319 0.0359
0.1 0.0398 0.0438 0.0478 0.0517 0.0557 0.0596 0.0636 0.0675 0.0714 0.0753
0.2 0.0793 0.0832 0.0871 0.0910 0.0948 0.0987 0.1026 0.1064 0.1103 0.1141
0.3 0.1179 0.1217 0.1255 0.1293 0.1331 0.1368 0.1406 0.1443 0.1480 0.1517
0.4 0.1554 0.1591 0.1628 0.1664 0.1700 0.1736 0.1772 0.1808 0.1844 0.1879
0.5 0.1915 0.1950 0.1985 0.2019 0.2054 0.2088 0.2123 0.2157 0.2190 0.2224
0.6 0.2257 0.2291 0.2324 0.2357 0.2389 0.2422 0.2454 0.2486 0.2517 0.2549
0.7 0.2580 0.2611 0.2642 0.2673 0.2704 0.2734 0.2764 0.2794 0.2823 0.2852
0.8 0.2881 0.2910 0.2939 0.2967 0.2995 0.3023 0.3051 0.3078 0.3106 0.3133
0.9 0.3159 0.3186 0.3212 0.3238 0.3264 0.3289 0.3315 0.3340 0.3365 0.3389
1.0 0.3413 0.3438 0.3461 0.3485 0.3508 0.3531 0.3554 0.3577 0.3599 0.3621
1.1 0.3643 0.3665 0.3686 0.3708 0.3729 0.3749 0.3770 0.3790 0.3810 0.3830
1.2 0.3849 0.3869 0.3888 0.3907 0.3925 0.3944 0.3962 0.3980 0.3997 0.4015
1.3 0.4032 0.4049 0.4066 0.4082 0.4099 0.4115 0.4131 0.4147 0.4162 0.4177
1.4 0.4192 0.4207 0.4222 0.4236 0.4251 0.4265 0.4279 0.4292 0.4306 0.4319
1.5 0.4332 0.4345 0.4357 0.4370 0.4382 0.4394 0.4406 0.4418 0.4429 0.4441
1.6 0.4452 0.4463 0.4474 0.4484 0.4495 0.4505 0.4515 0.4525 0.4535 0.4545
1.7 0.4554 0.4564 0.4573 0.4582 0.4591 0.4599 0.4608 0.4616 0.4625 0.4633
1.8 0.4641 0.4649 0.4656 0.4664 0.4671 0.4678 0.4686 0.4693 0.4699 0.4706
1.9 0.4713 0.4719 0.4726 0.4732 0.4738 0.4744 0.4750 0.4756 0.4761 0.4767
2.0 0.4772 0.4778 0.4783 0.4788 0.4793 0.4798 0.4803 0.4808 0.4812 0.4817
2.1 0.4821 0.4826 0.4830 0.4834 0.4838 0.4842 0.4846 0.4850 0.4854 0.4857
2.2 0.4861 0.4864 0.4868 0.4871 0.4875 0.4878 0.4881 0.4884 0.4887 0.4890
2.3 0.4893 0.4896 0.4898 0.4901 0.4904 0.4906 0.4909 0.4911 0.4913 0.4916
2.4 0.4918 0.4920 0.4922 0.4925 0.4927 0.4929 0.4931 0.4932 0.4934 0.4936
2.5 0.4938 0.4940 0.4941 0.4943 0.4945 0.4946 0.4948 0.4949 0.4951 0.4952
2.6 0.4953 0.4955 0.4956 0.4957 0.4959 0.4960 0.4961 0.4962 0.4963 0.4964
2.7 0.4965 0.4966 0.4967 0.4968 0.4969 0.4970 0.4971 0.4972 0.4973 0.4974
2.8 0.4974 0.4975 0.4976 0.4977 0.4977 0.4978 0.4979 0.4979 0.4980 0.4981
2.9 0.4981 0.4982 0.4982 0.4983 0.4984 0.4984 0.4985 0.4985 0.4986 0.4986
3.0 0.4987 0.4987 0.4987 0.4988 0.4988 0.4989 0.4989 0.4989 0.4990 0.4990
Distribusi Normal Multivariat
Fungsi densitas distribusi normal multivariat , p variabel
'
x Σ-1 x
1
f(x) e 2
2
p 2 12
squared generalized
distance from x to
~ ~
- xi , i = 1,…,p.
'
x Σ-1 x
1
f(x) = e 2
2
12
squared generalized
- xi , i = 1, 2. distance from x to
~ ~
μ1 σ11 σ12
μ = , Σ =
μ
2 σ σ
21 22
Invers matriks kovarians (Gauss-Jordan elimination ) :
-1 1 σ22 -σ12
Σ = 2
-σ
σ11σ22 - σ12 21 σ 11
2
σ11σ22 - σ12 2
= σ11σ22 1 - ρ12
Graphically, the bivariate normal probability density function
looks like this:
contours
X2
X1
All points of equal density are called a contour, defined for p-dimensions
as all x such that
~
'
x Σ-1 x = c2
Properties of the Multivariate Normal
Distribution
For any multivariate normal random vector X
~
1. The density
'
x Σ-1 x
1
f(x) e 2
2
p 2 12
has maximum value at
μ1
μ2
μ=
μ p
i.e., the mean is equal to the mode.
2. The density
'
x Σ-1 x
1
f(x) e 2
2
p 2 12
is symmetric along its constant density contours and is centered at , i.e.,
the mean is equal to the median.
~
3. Linear combinations of the components of X are normally distributed
~
4. All subsets of the components of X have a (multivariate) normal
distribution
~ components of X are
5. Zero covariance implies that the corresponding
independently distributed
~
Some Important Results Regarding the
Multivariate Normal Distribution
1. If X ~ Np(,), then any linear combination
p
a'X =
i=1
ai X i ~ N p a'μ, a'Σa
X1 1 Σ11 Σ12
qx1 qx1 qxq qx p-q
X = ___ , = ___ , Σ =
px1 px1 pxp
X2 2 Σ21 Σ22
p-q x1 p-q x1
p-q xq p-q x p-q
and if
X1 1 Σ11 Σ12
X ~ N q1 + q 2 ,
2 2 Σ21 Σ22
X1 1 Σ11 0
X ~ N q1 + q 2 ,
2 2 0 Σ22
5. If X ~ Np(,) and || > 0, then
'
x Σ-1 x ~ χ p
and
'
x : x Σ-1 x χ 2p α
The results of calculations for the Q-Q plot look like this:
Adjusted Standard
Ordered
Probability Normal
Observations
Level Quantiles
x (j)
(j-0.5)/n q(j)
1.43 0.033 -1.834
1.62 0.100 -1.282
2.46 0.167 -0.967
2.48 0.233 -0.728
2.97 0.300 -0.524
4.03 0.367 -0.341
4.47 0.433 -0.168
5.76 0.500 0.000
6.61 0.567 0.168
6.68 0.633 0.341
6.79 0.700 0.524
7.46 0.767 0.728
7.88 0.833 0.967
8.92 0.900 1.282
9.42 0.967 1.834
…and the resulting Q-Q plot looks like this:
Observed
Q - Q Plot
Values xj
n
dan sumbu Y.
Jika membentuk garis linier variabel penelitian
berdistribusi normal multivariat.
• Contoh :
p=2 , n=10
j d 2 2 j 0,5
( j) p 2( )
10
1 0,59 0,10
2 0,81 0,33
3 0,83 0,58
4 0,97 0,86
5 1,01 1,20
6 1,02 1,60
7 1,20 2,10
8 1,88 2,77
9 4,34 3,79
10 5,33 5,99
7
5
Chi Kuadrat
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Dj kuadrat
To create a Chi-Square plot, we will need to calculate the squared
generalized distance from the centroid for each observation xj
'
d = xj - x S-1 xj - x , j = 1,
2
j ,n
5.26
x = -3.09
x j1 x j2 d 2j x j1 x j2 d 2j
1.43 -0.69 2.400 5.76 -3.97 0.090
1.62 -5.00 2.279 6.68 -3.24 0.281
2.46 -1.13 1.336 6.79 -3.56 0.333
2.48 -5.20 1.548 if we order the 7.88 -1.87 1.138
2.97 -6.39 1.739 observations relative to 2.46 -1.13 1.336
4.03 2.87 2.976 their squared 2.48 -5.20 1.548
4.47 -7.88 2.005 generalized distances 2.97 -6.39 1.739
5.76 -3.97 0.090 4.47 -7.88 2.005
6.61 2.32 2.737 1.62 -5.00 2.279
6.68 -3.24 0.281 1.43 -0.69 2.400
6.79 -3.56 0.333 7.46 1.61 2.622
7.46 1.61 2.622 8.92 -6.60 2.686
7.88 -1.87 1.138 6.61 2.32 2.737
8.92 -6.60 2.686 4.03 2.87 2.976
9.42 -7.64 3.819 9.42 -7.64 3.819
These data don’t seem to support the assertion that they were drawn
from a bivariate normal parent population…
Chi-Square Plot
d2(j)
possible
outliers!
q c,2[(j-0.5)/n]